• Title/Summary/Keyword: Causal factors

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Interrelationship Analysis between Causal Factors of Construction Defect Using Association Rule Mining

  • Lee, Sang-Deok;Han, Sang-Won;Hyun, Chang-Taek
    • International conference on construction engineering and project management
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    • 2015.10a
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    • pp.627-628
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    • 2015
  • Construction defect which can causes economic damage such as schedule delay, cost overrun is a considerably important factor in construction industry. In general, a construction defect features a difficulty to find out causes precisely because it occurs when several interrelated causes combine. Yet, studies have tried to understand the interrelationships between factors are limited. In addition, despite of a tremendous amount of construction data, it's not still enough to analyze them, but tends to depend on experience or know-how of practitioners. Thus, it is necessary to identify underlying causes in influential factors by utilizing related data. This paper analyses Interrelationships between causal factors using Association Rule Mining to discover root causes of construction defects. Confidence and Lift that can be used for presenting the interrelationships of the causes were extracted from 1241 cases in 30 projects in Korea. It is expected that this paper allows the construction managers to discover key factors and make right decisions to reduce occurrence of construction defects. Furthermore, analysis of interrelationships can improve understanding of structural patterns of construction defects.

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Evaluating Impact Factors of Forest Fire Occurrences in Gangwon Province Using PLS-SEM: A Focus on Drought and Meteorological Factors (PLS-SEM을 이용한 강원도 산불 발생의 영향 요인 평가 : 가뭄 및 기상학적 요인을 중심으로)

  • Yoo, Jiyoung;Han, Jeongwoo;Kim, Dongwoo;Kim, Tae-Woong
    • KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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    • v.41 no.3
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    • pp.209-217
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    • 2021
  • Although forest fires are more often triggered by artificial causes than by natural causes, the combustion conditions that spread forest fire damage over a large area are affected by natural phenomena. Therefore, using partial least squares structural equation modeling (PLS-SEM), which can analyze the dependent and causal relationships between various factors, this study evaluated the causal relationships and relative influences between forest fire, weather, and drought, taking Gangwon Province as our sample region. The results indicated that the impact of drought on forest fires was 27 % and that of the weather was 38 %. In addition, forest fires in spring accounted for about 60 % of total forest fires. This indicatesthat along with meteorological factors, the autumn and winter droughts in the previous year affected forest fires. In assessing the risk of forest fires, if severe meteorological droughts occur in autumn and winter, the probability of forest fires may increase in the spring of the following year.

Causal Loop Diagramming of Location Conflict on LULU(Locally Unwanted Land Use) Facilities and Policy Alternatives (비선호시설 입지갈등에 대한 인과지도 작성과 정책 대안)

  • Lee, Joong-Hoon;Kwon, Hyuk-Il;Kim, Yeon-Sik;Lee, Man-Hyung
    • Korean System Dynamics Review
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    • v.8 no.1
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    • pp.151-171
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    • 2007
  • Without exception, diverse LULU(Locally Unwanted Land Use) facilities have been under the location conflict, especially between the public government units and local residents. In spite of repeated trials-and-errors, literally, the location conflict has shown no sign of improvement over time in Korea. As practical means to tackle these issues, this study focuses on divulging explicit and implicit relationships among key factors derived from the location conflict on the LULU facilities. Here, major research variables cover residents' agreement, residents' perception, compensation expectation, and public opinion. As the location conflict on the LULU facilities could be strengthened or resolved by the dynamic feedback system, it applies basic tools geared toward causal loop diagramming. After repeated experiments, the study highlights the fact that the residents' perception, compensation expectation, and public opinion, individually and collectively, exert significant impact on the residents' agreement ratio.

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A Study on the Analysis ansd tne Quantification of Effect Level of Causal Factors in Tanker Casualties (유조선 사고의 원인분석과 유효수준 결정에 관한 연구)

  • 정재용;박진수
    • Journal of the Korean Institute of Navigation
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    • v.22 no.1
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    • pp.23-30
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    • 1998
  • Traffic density has increased recently in Korean waters due to an expansion of the sea trade and the development of coastal fisheries. The enlargement of the coastal industrial belts and the development of coastal inslands further increases marine traffic. The rapid increase of marine traffic has often resulted in marine casualties with the attendant loss of life, damage to property, and marine pollution. Especially, tanker casualties may destroyed the food web and an untold amount of ocean resources. Un regard to the potential of tanker spills in Korean waters, systematic research in this field is lacking. In this paper, the data relating to a total of 261 tanker casualties in Korean waters has been compiled and statistically anlaysed. The result of this study describes the general trend of marine casualties in Korean waters, and describes the casualtiy database, from which their causes and consequences are derived and this results in the determination of the causal relationships connected to tanker casualties, and quantifies the effective level of causal factorsin Korean waters.

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Causal relationship study of human sense for odor

  • Kaneki, N.;Shimada, K.;Yamada, H.;Miura, T.;Kamimura, H.;Tanaka, H.
    • Proceedings of the Korean Society for Emotion and Sensibility Conference
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    • 2002.05a
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    • pp.257-260
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    • 2002
  • The impressions for odors are subjective and have individual differences. In this study, the Impressions of odors were investigated by covariance structure analysis. 46 subjects (men in their twenty) recorded their reactions to ten odorants by grading them on a seven-point scale in terms of twelve adjective pairs. Their reactions were quantified by using factor analysis and covariance structure analysis. The factors were extracted as "preference", "arousal" and "persistency". The subjects were classified into three groups according to the most suitable causal models (structural equation models). Each group had different causal relationship and different impression structure for odors. It was suggested that there is a possibility to evaluate the subjective impression of odor using covariance structure analysis.

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Development of Railway Accidents Causal Analysis System (철도사고 원인분석시스템 구축 방안에 관한 연구)

  • Song, Bo-Young;Lee, Dong-Hoon;Lee, Hi-Sung;Moon, Dae-Seop
    • Proceedings of the KSR Conference
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    • 2008.06a
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    • pp.2472-2479
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    • 2008
  • There exist several ways to analyse the accident causal analysis. Selection of a method and procedure depends on the characteristics of the system being analysed. Moreover, the selection should take into account of how the accidents causes are classified, since analysis model should make use of the classified causes to identify factors contributing to the risk of accidents. For railway case, a relational analysis as well as statistical estimation of significant hazard frequencies is applied to identify the dominant causes of accidents. This paper introduces outline of the causal analysis system, which is a significant part of the railway accident information and analysis system.

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An Analysis of the Causal Relationship between Knowledge and Behavior towards Food Hygiene among Child Consumers (아동소비자의 식품위생에 대한 지식과 행동의 인과관계 분석)

  • Kim, Mee-Ra;Kim, Hyo-Chung
    • Journal of the Korean Home Economics Association
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    • v.44 no.3 s.217
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    • pp.143-151
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    • 2006
  • The purpose of this study was to investigate the levels of knowledge and behavior towards food hygiene among child consumers, examine the factors influencing them, and analyze the causal relationship between them. The data were collected from 521 elementary school students in Youngnam area by a self-administered questionnaire. Frequencies, Pearson's correlation analysis, multiple regression analyses, and path analysis were conducted by SPSS Windows. The results from this study were as follows. First, the level of knowledge towards food hygiene was not particularly high, and the level of behavior was somewhat more than the average. Second, the factors influencing the level of knowledge towards food hygiene were school record (upper and middle), and concerns about food hygiene. In addition, concerns about food hygiene, the frequency of food hygiene education in the family, and the level of knowledge towards food hygiene had an effect on the level of behavior towards food hygiene. Third, in the analysis of the causal relationship between the knowledge and behavior towards food hygiene, school record indirectly influenced the behavior towards food hygiene, and the frequency of food hygiene education in the family directly affected the behavior towards food hygiene. On the other hand, concerns about food hygiene had direct and indirect influence on the behavior towards food hygiene. In addition, the knowledge towards food hygiene showed a direct effect on the behavior towards food hygiene. These results imply that knowledge towards food hygiene is a very important factor to improve the children's behavior towards food hygiene and that parents' concerns and guidance for children are needed.

Influencing and Mediating Factors in Health Behaviors among Stroke Patients (뇌졸중 환자의 건강행위에 대한 영향요인 및 매개요인)

  • Kim, Min Kyeong;Lee, Hye Ryun;Kwon, Ju Yeon;Oh, Hyun Soo
    • Korean Journal of Adult Nursing
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    • v.25 no.6
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    • pp.610-621
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    • 2013
  • Purpose: The study was designed to identify influencing and mediating factors of health behaviors of stroke patients based on the hypothetical model constructed in this study. Methods: Non-experimental correlational research design was used. One hundred and five stroke patients were conveniently selected from one university hospital located in Incheon. Data were collected with survey and analyzed by path analysis to examine the significant influencing and mediating factors of health behaviors in stroke patients. Results: Age, diagnosis, disability in ADL, knowledge related to health behavior, and self-efficacy had significant direct causal influences on health behavior. And it was shown that knowledge and self-efficacy mediated influence of cohabitation status with family( whether or not living together with family) on health behavior. Self-efficacy also mediated influence of knowledge on health behavior. Conclusion: From the results, it was proposed that providing knowledge related to health behavior and enhancing self-efficacy by educating skill necessary for health behaviors and promoting health related beliefs might increase health behavior particularly for stroke patients living together with family.

The Causal Relationship of the Hydrocephalus in Patients with Aneurysmal Subarachnoid Hemorrhage

  • Shin, Tae-Sob;Jung, Chul-Ku;Kim, Hyun-Woo;Park, Keung-Suk;Kim, Jae-Myung
    • Journal of Korean Neurosurgical Society
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    • v.42 no.3
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    • pp.173-178
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    • 2007
  • Objective : Hydrocephalus is one of the major complications following spontaneous subarachnoid hemorrhage (SAH). However, the risk factors of the hydrocephalus after SAH are not still well known. This study was focused on verification of the causal relationships between the development of hydrocephalus and SAH. Methods : The patients who developed hydrocephalus after rupture of aneurysms were studied. To obtain prognostic factors regarding to hydrocephalus, several parameters such as age, sex, hypertension, location of aneurysm, existence of intraventricular hemorrhage (IVH) and intracerebral hemorrhage (ICH), Glasgow coma scale (GCS), Hunt-Hess SAH classification & Fisher Grade on admission and the ratio of frontal harn of lateral ventricle diameter to skull inner table diameter at this level (FH/ID) were studied retrospectively. Results : The development of hydrocephalus following SAH is multifactorial. The age, IVH, FH/ID ratio were related to hydrocephalus in analysis. There is a low clinical correlation between sex, hypertension, location of aneurysm, existence of ICH, GCS, Hunt-Hess SAH classification, Fisher Grade on admission and hydrocephalus. Conclusion : Knowledge on risk factors related to the occurrence of hydrocephalus may help guide neurosurgeons in the long-term care of patients who have experienced aneurysmal SAH.

A Study on the Estimation of Casualty Prevention Effectiveness through the Installation of Coastal Vessel Traffic Services (연안 선박교통관리제도의 도입에 따른 사고예방효과 추정에 관한 연구)

  • Jong, Jae-Yong;Lee, Hyong-Ki;Park, Jin-Soo
    • Journal of the Korean Institute of Navigation
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    • v.25 no.2
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    • pp.97-106
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    • 2001
  • The purpose of this paper is to determine the expected percentage of the 'VTS addressable' casualties that could be prevented with the installation of fourth level(Automatic Dependent Surveillance) of coastal VTS. In this study, it determines the VTS benefit by multiplying casualty rate reduction factors by the effect level of causal factors. The development of casualty rate reduction factors was based on the questionnaire survey, and the evaluation of effect levels was based on the causal analysis using functional block diagram. The results of this paper are compared With the results of worldwide literature related to the VTS effectiveness. One or more of the key variable inputs of this study, casualty rate reduction factors, may be somewhat uncertain and therefore subject to sensitivity analysis.

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