• Title/Summary/Keyword: Casualty Probability

Search Result 15, Processing Time 0.021 seconds

Study on the Estimation of Collision Risk of Ship in Ship Handling Simulator using Environmental Stress Model (시뮬레이터 기반 환경스트레스를 이용한 선박 충돌위험도 추정에 관한 연구)

  • Son Nam-Sun;Gong In-Young;Kim Sun-Young;Lee Chang-Min
    • Proceedings of the Korean Institute of Navigation and Port Research Conference
    • /
    • 2004.11a
    • /
    • pp.73-80
    • /
    • 2004
  • Recently, many maritime accidents have been increased and the collisions due to human error are given a great deal of proportions out if them We develop the Real-time Collision Risk Monitoring System (CRMS) for the navigational officers to cope with the emergency situation promptly and thus to reduce the probability if casualty. In this study, the risk of collision is evaluated by two kinds if method. The first method is based on Fuzzy algorithm, which evaluates the risk of collision between traffic ships. The second method is based on Environmental Stress (ES) Model, where the total risk if collision is evaluated by the environmental stress felt by human. The developed real-time CRMS has been installed to the ship handling simulator system and its capabilities have been tested through simulator experiments.

  • PDF

Study on the Estimation of Collision Risk of Ship in Ship Handling Simulator using Fuzzy Algorithm and Environmental Stress Model (시뮬레이터 기반 퍼지알고리즘과 환경스트레스모델을 이용한 선박 충돌위험도 추정에 관한 연구)

  • Son, Nom-Sun;Kim, Sun-Young;Gong, In-Young
    • Journal of Navigation and Port Research
    • /
    • v.33 no.1
    • /
    • pp.43-50
    • /
    • 2009
  • Recently, many maritime accidents have been increased and the collisions due to human error are given a great deal of proportions out of them We develop the Real-time Collision Risk Monitoring System (CRMS) for the navigational officers to cope with the emergency situation promptly and thus to reduce the probability of casualty. In this study, the risk of collision and grounding is evaluated by two kinds of method. The first method is based on Fuzzy algorithm, which evaluates the risk of collision between traffic ships. The second method is based on Environmental Stress (ES) Model, where the total risk of collision and grounding is evaluated by the environmental stress felt by human. The developed real-time CRMS has been installed to the ship handling simulator system and its capabilities have been tested through simulator experiments.

Study of the Post Mission Disposal Maneuver for KOMPSAT-2 (다목적실용위성 2호의 폐기기동 연구)

  • Seong, Jaedong;Jung, Okchul;Chung, Daewon
    • Journal of the Korean Society for Aeronautical & Space Sciences
    • /
    • v.46 no.12
    • /
    • pp.1037-1048
    • /
    • 2018
  • In this paper, we investigated the international guidelines and actual disposal maneuver cases to prepare KOMPSAT-2 post mission disposal. And then, disposal maneuver plan was established using current propellant of KOMPSAT-2 and verification was also performed to find out whether the international guidelines are satisfied. As a result, the lifetime of KOMPSAT-2 was 3.6 years when 45kg propellant was used to decrease perigee altitude to 300km. And if more than 14.5kg propellant consumed for same strategy, KOMPSAT-2 can satisfy the international guidelines. Finally, re-entry survivability analysis was performed and it represented that heat resistant objects, such as propellant tank and reaction wheel, could be survived but total ground casualty probability was less than international guidelines.

Introduction of the M(i,j,k)BCP and Risk Assessment of Underground Limestone Mine (재난관리체계(M(i,j,k)BCP) 제안과 석회석광산의 리스크 평가)

  • Lee, Seong Min;Kim, Sun-Myung;Lee, Yeon Hee
    • Tunnel and Underground Space
    • /
    • v.22 no.6
    • /
    • pp.383-392
    • /
    • 2012
  • This study introduces $M_{(i,j,k)}BCP$ (Mining Business Continuity Planning) which is the smart management system of mine disasters to achieve the safe and eco-friendly mining. Where, 'i' is mine kinds, 'j' is mining processes, and 'k' is risks at process respectively. By specifically setting 'i=1=limestone mine', this study also suggests that $M_{(i,j,k)}BCP$ is the smart management system of limestone mine. Mining risks used in this study were obtained from professional survey and literature review. This study classified these risks by five different mining processes and reduced risk numbers approximately 60 to 26. And they were all allocated into $M_{(i,j,k)}BCP$ and assessed. To do assess risks, this study used four risk indexes which are probability, casualty, facility loss, and discontinuity respectively. By the results of the assessment of risks, results could be four specific groups based on their causes and impacts. In addition, one of the results showed that the most possible risks at limestone mine was the roof-fall and rock-fall in digging process. This result means that $M_{(1,2,1)}BCP$ should be established as a first priority at limestone mine.

Study on the EDA based Statistics Attributes Discovery and Utilization for the Maritime Safety Statistics Items Diversification (해상안전 통계 항목 다양화를 위한 EDA 기반 통계 속성 도출 및 활용에 관한 연구)

  • Kang, Seong Kyung;Lee, Young Jai
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Marine Environment & Safety
    • /
    • v.26 no.7
    • /
    • pp.798-809
    • /
    • 2020
  • Evidence-based policymaking and assessments for scientific administration have increased the importance of statistics (data) utilization. Statistics can explain specific phenomena by providing numerical values and are a public resource for national decision making. Due to these inherent attributes, statistics are utilized as baseline and base data for government policy determinations and the analysis of various phenomena. However, compared to the importance, the role of statistics is limited, and statistics are often used as simple abstracts, produced mainly for suppliers, not for consumers' perspectives to create value. This study explores the statistical data and other attributes that can be utilized for policies or research to address the problems mentioned above. The baseline statistical data used in this study is from the Maritime Distress Accident Statistical Yearbook published by the South Korean Coast Guard, and other additional attributes are from text analyses of vessel casualty situation reports from the South Korean Maritime Police. Collecting 56 attributes drawn from the text analysis and executing an EDA resulted in 88 attribute unions: 18 attribute unions had a satisfactory significance probability (p-value < .05) and a strong correlation coefficient above 0.7, and 70 attribute unions had a middle correlation. (over 0.4 and under 0.7). Additionally, to utilize the extra attributes discovered from the EDA politically, a keyword analysis for each detailed strategy of the disaster Preparation basic plan was executed, the utilization availability of the attributes was obtained using a matching process of keywords, and the EDA deducted attributes were examined.