• Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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• 제7권1호
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• pp.165-178
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• 2000

Bayesian methods are considered for the multiple caputure-recapture data. Reference priors are developed for such model and sampling-based approach through Gibbs sampler is used for inference from posterior distributions. Furthermore approximate Bayes factors are obtained for model selection between trap and nontrap response models. Finally one methodology is implemented for a capture-recapture model in generated data and real data.

• Asian Pacific Journal of Cancer Prevention
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• 제14권2호
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• pp.673-677
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• 2013

Introduction: Capture-recapture methods have been suggested for reducing costs of disease registration as well as reducing bias in incidence estimations. This study aimed to estimate the gastric cancer incidence in the Tehran metropolis population during 2002-2006. Materials and Methods: We investigated new cases of gastric cancer reported by three sources; death certificates, pathology reports, and medical records to Tehran population-based cancer registry during 2002-2006. $G^2$ statistics and the two-source capture-recapture method were used to select the best-fitted log-linear model and to estimate incidence, respectively. EXCEL software version 2007 and SPSS software version 16 were used for this research. Results: The number of reported cases was 4,463, with an average age of 68.5 (${\pm}12.9$) years. We found the model that combined two sources of data including pathology reports and medical records and furthermore complemented by death certificates as the best model. The reported and the estimated incidences were 11.0 and 27.1 per 100,000 respectively. Conclusions: The incidence estimated by two-source capture-recapture method is about three times higher than the incidence reported by the sources under investigation. It is recommended to move towards the implementation of population-based cancer registration using various sources of data collection to achieve more accurate data.

• Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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• 제6권3호
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• pp.729-748
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• 1999

In this paper we present combined estimator of capture-recapture and line transect model using bivariate detection function and detection probability according to objects being in cluster population. Here bivariate detection function use distance and cluster size. The simulation shows that combined estimator approaches the more true value the larger size parameter. Therefore this estimator using the bivariate detection function is more efficient in estimate the population size and density by size parameter.

• Journal of Preventive Medicine and Public Health
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• 제30권2호
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• pp.428-436
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• 1997

Objectives : The purpose of this paper is to estimate the completeness of the Korean Medical Insurance Data in childhood asthma. Methods : Capture-recapture method was used to estimate the prevalence of childhood asthma and case ascertainment rate(completeness) of Korean Medical Insurance Data using two source model, 'Korean Medical Insurance Committee Data (KMICD)' and 'Nationwide Study of Asthma and Allergies in Korean Children'. The asthma cases were restricted to those who were born from 1981 to 1989 and were identified by their Resident Register Number. Asthma cases in Korean Medical Insurance Data were defined as cases coded by ICD-9 493 and ICD-10 J45. In 'Nationwide Study of Asthma and Allergies in Korean Children', asthma cases were defined as the children who had been diagnosed asthma and had experienced symptoms of asthma during the past 12 months. The defined cases in two data sources were matched by 13 digits Resident Register Number. The numbers of matched patients in two data sources were 245 of 32,825 eligible total subjects. Chapman and Wittes' nearly unbiased estimation was used for capture-recapture analysis of two data sources. Results : Observed prevalence rate of childhood asthma was 5.3% and estimated prevalence rate by capture-recapture analysis was 11.6%. The highest prevalence rate was observed in 6-7 age group and the older the rate decreased. The completeness (the proportion of cases ascertained by KMICD to the total observed cases by two data sources) was 20.6%, and ranged form 10.8% to 28.8% by area. Conclusions : Invalid diagnosis of cases might overestimate the prevalence of child-hood asthma and might underestimate the completeness of Korean Medical Insurance Committee Data in this study.

• Asian Pacific Journal of Cancer Prevention
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• 제17권sup3호
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• pp.225-229
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• 2016

Cancer registration is an important component of a comprehensive cancer control program, providing timely data and information for research and administrative use. Capture-recapture methods have been used as tools to investigate completeness of cancer registry data. This study aimed to estimate the completeness of lung cancer cases registered in Ardabil Population Based Cancer Registry (APBCR) with a three-source capture-recapture method. Data for all new cases of lung cancer reported by three sources (pathology reports, death certificates, and medical records) to APBCR for 2006 and 2008 were obtained. Duplicate cases shared among the three sources were identified based on similarity of first name, last name and father's names. A log-linear model was used to estimate number of missed cases and to control for dependency among sources. A total of 218 new cases of lung cancer was reported by three sources after removing duplicates. The estimated completeness calculated by log-linear method was 26.4 for 2006 and 27.1 for 2008. The completeness differed according to gender. In men, the completeness was 26.0% for 2006 and 28.1 for 2008. In women, the completeness was 36.5% for 2006 and 46.9 for 2008. In conclusion, none of the three sources can be considered as a reliable source for accurate cancer incidence estimation.

• 한국환경생태학회지
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• 제37권5호
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• pp.337-346
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• 2023

도로 건설로 인한 서식지 파편화에 대한 저감방안으로 육교형 생태통로가 건설되고 있기는 하지만 효과성에 대해서는 아직도 논쟁이 있다. 생태통로의 효과성 평가를 위해 족적트랩, 카메라트랩과 같은 모니터링 방법이 실시되고는 있으나 얼마나 많은 개체가 이용하는지 정량적으로 평가하기에는 한계가 있다. 이에 본 연구에서는 생태통로와 인근 지역을 서식지로 이용할 가능성이 큰 소형포유류인 등줄쥐를 대상으로 포획-재포획 방법으로 개체 위치 파악을 통해 생태통로 이용 정도를 도출하고, 트랩 주변 환경 특성을 이용하여 등줄쥐의 생태통로 이용에 미치는 요인을 확인하였다. 등줄쥐의 생태통로 이용도는 격자단위의 포획지점을 연결하여 이동 거리와 경로를 확인하였고, 생태통로 이용에 미치는 환경 특성은 트랩당 포획 횟수를 종속변수로 한 일반화 선형 모형(Generalized linear model)을 이용하였다. 연구결과, 등줄쥐의 이동 거리는 선행연구와 유사하게 나타났으며, 생태통로를 횡단하는 개체가 나타나지 않음에 따라 등줄쥐는 생태통로를 통로보다는 서식지로 이용함을 확인하였다. 등줄쥐가 생태통로를 이용하는 데 영향을 미친 환경 특성은 층위별 식생피복량(1~2m, 2~8m, 8m 이상), 교목식생, 트랩 주변 최대 수목 흉고직경, 경사도가 유의하게 나타났다. 이에 따라 생태통로 조성 시 더 많은 교목과 관목을 식재하고, 높은 경사와 절토사면 생성을 방지하여 생태계 내 먹이원으로 이용될 수 있는 등줄쥐 이용도를 높인다면 생태통로의 효과성을 더 높일 수 있을 것으로 예상된다.

• 한국응용곤충학회지
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• 제49권4호
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• pp.289-297
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• 2010

세계적으로 인간 활동 따른 서식지의 소실과 단절은 생물다양성을 떨어뜨리는 주요원인이며 서식지의 소형화와 세분화는 개체군의 크기를 감소시키고 있다. 본 연구는 꼬리명주나비를 표지-방사-재포획법(MRR 방법)을 이용하여 메타개체군 동태를 파악하였다. 그 결과 2,749 개체(암컷-2295, 수컷-454)가 포획되었으며 이중 343개체(12.8%)가 재포획되었다. 포획된 암수 비율에서는 수컷이 주를 이루는 것으로 나타났다. Jolly-Seber의 방법으로 일일메타개체군의 크기, 생존율, 추가율, 사망률을 추정하였다. 저자들은 보전생물학자들에게 단절된 경관에서 국지적 메타개체군의 관리와 보전을 강조하고자 하며, 특히 한국산 꼬리명주나비의 경우 지속적인 서식지 보전이 필요하다.