• Title/Summary/Keyword: Cancellation Prediction

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A Study on the Prediction Model for Imported Vehicle Purchase Cancellation Using Machine Learning: Case of H Imported Vehicle Dealers (머신러닝을 이용한 국내 수입 자동차 구매 해약 예측 모델 연구: H 수입차 딜러사 대상으로)

  • Jung, Dong Kun;Lee, Jong Hwa;Lee, Hyun Kyu
    • The Journal of Information Systems
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    • v.30 no.2
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    • pp.105-126
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    • 2021
  • Purpose The purpose of this study is to implement a optimal machine learning model about the cancellation prediction performance in car sales business. It is to apply the data set of accumulated contract, cancellation, and sales information in sales support system(SFA) which is commonly used for sales, customers and inventory management by imported car dealers, to several machine learning models and predict performance of cancellation. Design/methodology/approach This study extracts 29,073 contracts, cancellations, and sales data from 2015 to 2020 accumulated in the sales support system(SFA) for imported car dealers and uses the analysis program Python Jupiter notebook in order to perform data pre-processing, verification, and modeling that is applying and learning to Machine learning model after then the final result was predicted using new data. Findings This study confirmed that cancellation prediction is possible by applying car purchase contract information to machine learning models. It proved the possibility of developing and utilizing a generalized predictive model by using data of imported car sales system with machine learning technology. It can reduce and prevent the sales failure as caring the potential lost customer intensively and it lead to increase sales revenue by predicting the cancellation possibility of individual customers.

A Study on the Development of Flight Prediction Model and Rules for Military Aircraft Using Data Mining Techniques (데이터 마이닝 기법을 활용한 군용 항공기 비행 예측모형 및 비행규칙 도출 연구)

  • Yu, Kyoung Yul;Moon, Young Joo;Jeong, Dae Yul
    • The Journal of Information Systems
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    • v.31 no.3
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    • pp.177-195
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    • 2022
  • Purpose This paper aims to prepare a full operational readiness by establishing an optimal flight plan considering the weather conditions in order to effectively perform the mission and operation of military aircraft. This paper suggests a flight prediction model and rules by analyzing the correlation between flight implementation and cancellation according to weather conditions by using big data collected from historical flight information of military aircraft supplied by Korean manufacturers and meteorological information from the Korea Meteorological Administration. In addition, by deriving flight rules according to weather information, it was possible to discover an efficient flight schedule establishment method in consideration of weather information. Design/methodology/approach This study is an analytic study using data mining techniques based on flight historical data of 44,558 flights of military aircraft accumulated by the Republic of Korea Air Force for a total of 36 months from January 2013 to December 2015 and meteorological information provided by the Korea Meteorological Administration. Four steps were taken to develop optimal flight prediction models and to derive rules for flight implementation and cancellation. First, a total of 10 independent variables and one dependent variable were used to develop the optimal model for flight implementation according to weather condition. Second, optimal flight prediction models were derived using algorithms such as logistics regression, Adaboost, KNN, Random forest and LightGBM, which are data mining techniques. Third, we collected the opinions of military aircraft pilots who have more than 25 years experience and evaluated importance level about independent variables using Python heatmap to develop flight implementation and cancellation rules according to weather conditions. Finally, the decision tree model was constructed, and the flight rules were derived to see how the weather conditions at each airport affect the implementation and cancellation of the flight. Findings Based on historical flight information of military aircraft and weather information of flight zone. We developed flight prediction model using data mining techniques. As a result of optimal flight prediction model development for each airbase, it was confirmed that the LightGBM algorithm had the best prediction rate in terms of recall rate. Each flight rules were checked according to the weather condition, and it was confirmed that precipitation, humidity, and the total cloud had a significant effect on flight cancellation. Whereas, the effect of visibility was found to be relatively insignificant. When a flight schedule was established, the rules will provide some insight to decide flight training more systematically and effectively.

Adaptive noise cancellation algorithm reducing path misadjustment due to speech signal (음성신호로 인한 잡음전달경로의 오조정을 감소시킨 적응잡음제거 알고리듬)

  • 박장식;김형순;김재호;손경식
    • The Journal of Korean Institute of Communications and Information Sciences
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    • v.21 no.5
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    • pp.1172-1179
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    • 1996
  • General adaptive noise canceller(ANC) suffers from the misadjustment of adaptive filter weights, because of the gradient-estimate noise at steady state. In this paper, an adaptive noise cancellation algorithm with speech detector which is distinguishing speech from silence and adaptation-transient region is proposed. The speech detector uses property of adaptive prediction-error filter which can filter the highly correlated speech. To detect speech region, estimation error which is the output of the adaptive filter is applied to the adaptive prediction-error filter. When speech signal apears at the input of the adaptive prediction-error filter. The ratio of input and output energy of adaptive prediction-error filter becomes relatively lower. The ratio becomes large when the white noise appears at the input. So the region of speech is detected by the ratio. Sign algorithm is applied at speech region to prevent the weights from perturbing by output speech of ANC. As results of computer simulation, the proposed algorithm improves segmental SNR and SNR up to about 4 dBand 11 dB, respectively.

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Delayed Parallel Interference Cancellation for GPS C/A Code Receivers

  • Glennon, Eamonn P.;Bryant, Roderick C.;Dempster, Andrew G.
    • Proceedings of the Korean Institute of Navigation and Port Research Conference
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    • v.2
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    • pp.261-266
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    • 2006
  • A number of different techniques are available to mitigate the problem of cross correlations caused by the limited dynamic range of the 10-bit Gold codes in the GPS C/A code. These techniques include successive-interference cancellation (SIC) and parallel-interference cancellation (PIC), where the strong signals are subtracted at IF prior to attempting to detect the weak signals. In this paper, a variation of these techniques is proposed whereby the subtraction process is delayed until after the correlation process, although still employing a pure reconstructed C/A code signal to permit prediction of the cross correlation process. The paper provides details on the method as well as showing the results obtained when the method was implemented using a software GPS receiver. The benefits of this approach are also described, as is the application of the method to the cancellation of CW interference.

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Acoustic Echo Canceller using Adaptive IIR Filters with Prewhitening Method and Variable Step-Size LMS Algorithm

  • Cho, Ju Pil;Hwng, Tae Jin;Baik, Heung Ki
    • The Journal of the Acoustical Society of Korea
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    • v.16 no.2E
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    • pp.14-20
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    • 1997
  • The future teleconferencing systems will need an appropriate system which controls properly the acoustic echo for the convenient communication. The conventional acoustic echo cancellation algorithms involve large adaptive filters identifying the impulse response of the echo path. The use of adaptive IIR filters appears to be a reasonable way to reduce computational complexity. Effective cancellation of acoustic echo presented in teleconferencing system requires that adaptive filters have a rapid convergence speed. One of the main problems of acoustic echo cancellation techniques is that the convergence properties degrade for an highly correlated signal input such as speech signals. By the way, the introduction of linear prediction filers onto the structure of the acoustic echo cancellation represents one approach to decorrelate the speech signal. And variable step-size LMS algorithm improves the convergence speed through a little increasing of computational complexity. In this paper, we applied these two methods to the acoustic echo canceller(AEC) and showed that these methods have better performances than the conventional AEC.

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A Residual Echo and Noise Reduction Scheme with Linear Prediction for Hands-Free Telephony (핸즈프리 전화기를 위한 선형 예측기를 이용한 잔여반향 및 잡음 제거 구조)

  • Hwang, Kyung-Rok;Son, Kyung-Sik;Kim, Hyun-Tae
    • The Journal of the Acoustical Society of Korea
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    • v.28 no.5
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    • pp.454-460
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    • 2009
  • In this paper, we propose a residual echo and noise reduction scheme by using linear predictor for hands-free telephony applications. The proposed scheme whitens residual echo by the linear prediction during the non double-talk. But whitened residual echo signal still has speech characteristics. In this scheme, the whitened residual echo signal is more whitened by using the power of the linear prediction error signal and the linear predicted signal. After whitening process, near-end speech and ambient noise is present during double-talk but white noise will appear during non double-talk situation. By linearly predicting again the combined signal of the near-end speech and the whitened signal, the ambient noise is removed. Through computer simulation, it is shown that the proposed method performs well at the side of AIC (acoustic interference cancellation).

Echo and Noise Reduction Using Modifed AP Algorithm Combined with Linear Predictor (선형예측기와 개선된 AP(affine projection) 알고리즘을 결합한 반향 및 잡음 제거)

  • Kim, Hyun-Tae;Do, Jin-Gyu;Park, Jang-Sik
    • Proceedings of the Korean Institute of Information and Commucation Sciences Conference
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    • 2010.05a
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    • pp.839-842
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    • 2010
  • In this paper, we propose a residual echo and noise reduction scheme for hands-free telephony applications. The proposed algorithm uses a noise robust modified AP algorithm which estimate well echo path in noisy and whitens residual echo signal using linear prediction at non double-talk duration. It is confirmed that the proposed algorithm shows better performance from acoustic interference cancellation (AIC) viewpoint.

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Recognition Difference of Local Residents and National Park Managers on National Park Adjustment: A Case of 37 Cancellation Areas

  • Choe, Yunseon;Lee, Hoseung;Han, Sangyoel;Kim, Taekyun;Sim, Kyuwon
    • Journal of Forest and Environmental Science
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    • v.32 no.2
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    • pp.164-172
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    • 2016
  • This study examined the recognition differences between local residents and national park managers on the adjustment of national parks which are conducted every ten years for the purpose of providing basic information for the park management, according to the Natural Parks Act. Both local residents and national park managers positively perceived the adjustment of national parks, but park managers showed concern towards the damage of natural resources resulting from the cancellation and adjustment of restricted development districts in Korean national parks. Local residents are more likely than park managers to recommend boundary adjustment in other national parks regarding the influence of parks adjustment on local change. While local residents recognized that the boundary adjustment of national parks improves the level of community management, park managers focused on damages on the local environment and the park landscape adjacent to the areas. The result shows the recognition differences of local residents and park managers. Further research into adjustment of national parks is necessary to diminish perception gaps among stakeholders and develop prediction indicators of cancellation effect in response to the future cancellation areas of national parks through the characteristics of cancellation communities, revitalization of local economy, and environmental change of local community.

A Case Study of Coastal Fog Event Causing Flight Cancellation and Traffic Accidents (항공기 결항과 연쇄 교통사고를 야기한 연안안개 사례 연구)

  • Kim, Young Chul
    • Journal of the Korean Society for Aviation and Aeronautics
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    • v.25 no.1
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    • pp.1-10
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    • 2017
  • A heavy foggy event accompanying with complex coastal fog was investigated in this study. This heavy foggy event occurred on FEB 11, 2015. Due to reduced visibility with this foggy event induced more than 100times serial traffic accidents over the Young-jong highway, and Flights from 04:30 AM to 10:00 AM were cancelled on Inchon International Airport. This heavy foggy event was occurred in synoptic and mesoscale environments but dense coastal fog were combined with a combination of sea fog, steam fog, and radiation fog. This kind of coastal fog can predicted by accurate analysis of the direction of the air flow, sea surface temperature(SST), and 925hPa isotherms from numerical weather prediction charts and real time analysis charts.

Leakage Signal Canceller and Adaptive Algorithm in Millimeter-Wave Seeker (밀리미터파 탐색기 내 누설신호 상쇄기 및 적응형 알고리즘에 관한 연구)

  • Park, Ji An;Song, Sung Chan
    • The Journal of Korean Institute of Electromagnetic Engineering and Science
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    • v.30 no.1
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    • pp.88-94
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    • 2019
  • A leakage canceller and adaptive algorithm for FMCW Radar is presented. Because a strong leakage signal causes various problems in the transceiver and digital processor, specific FMCW radars are in need of a leakage canceller. The leakage canceller has an adaptive structure and the algorithm calculates the prediction vector and learns the adaptive coefficient simultaneously. The proposed algorithm an improvement of 10 dB in the cancellation performance.