• Title/Summary/Keyword: Bootstrap Analysis

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Analysis of BOD Mean Concentration and Confidence Interval using Bootstrap Technique (Bootstrap 기법을 이용한 BOD 평균 농도 및 신뢰구간 분석)

  • Kim, Kyung Sub
    • Journal of Korean Society on Water Environment
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    • v.26 no.2
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    • pp.297-302
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    • 2010
  • It is very important to know mean and confidence interval of water-quality constituents such as BOD for water-quality control and management of rivers and reservoirs effectively. The mean and confidence interval of BOD at Anseong2 and Hwangguji3 sampling stations which are located at the border of local governments in Anseong Stream were estimated and analyzed in this paper using Bootstrap technique which is one of non-parametric statistics. The results of Bootstrap were compared with arithmetic mean, geometric mean, Biweight method mean as a point estimator and distribution mean came from the appropriate probability distribution of Log-normal. In Bootstrap technique 12 data set was randomly selected in each year and 1000 samples was produced to get parameter of population. Visual Basic for Applications (VBA) of Microsoft Excel was utilized in Bootstrap. It was revealed that the Bootstrap technique can be used to explain more rigorously and robustly the achievement or violation of BOD target concentration in Total Maximum Daily Load (TMDL).

Better Bootstrap Confidence Intervals for Process Incapability Index $C_{pp}$

  • Cho, Joong-Jae;Han, Jeong-Hye;Lee, In-Pyo
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • v.10 no.2
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    • pp.341-357
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    • 1999
  • Greenwich and Jahr-Schaffrath(1995) considered a new process incapability index(PII) $C_{pp}$, which modified the useful index $C^{\ast}_{pm}{$ for detecting assignable causes. The new index $C_{pp}$ provides an uncontaminated separation between information concerning the process accuracy and precision while this kind of information separation is not available with the $C^{\ast}_{pm}$ index. In this paper, we will study about the index $C_{pp}$ based on the bootstrap. First, we will prove the consistency of bootstrap deriving the bootstrap asymptotic distribution for our index $C_{pp}$. Moreover, with the consistency of bootstrap, we will construct six bootstrap confidence intervals and compare their performances. Some simulation results, comparison and analysis are provided. In particular, two STUD and ABC bootstrap methods perform significantly better.

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Frequency Analysis Using Bootstrap Method and SIR Algorithm for Prevention of Natural Disasters (풍수해 대응을 위한 Bootstrap방법과 SIR알고리즘 빈도해석 적용)

  • Kim, Yonsoo;Kim, Taegyun;Kim, Hung Soo;Noh, Huisung;Jang, Daewon
    • Journal of Wetlands Research
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    • v.20 no.2
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    • pp.105-115
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    • 2018
  • The frequency analysis of hydrometeorological data is one of the most important factors in response to natural disaster damage, and design standards for a disaster prevention facilities. In case of frequency analysis of hydrometeorological data, it assumes that observation data have statistical stationarity, and a parametric method considering the parameter of probability distribution is applied. For a parametric method, it is necessary to sufficiently collect reliable data; however, snowfall observations are needed to compensate for insufficient data in Korea, because of reducing the number of days for snowfall observations and mean maximum daily snowfall depth due to climate change. In this study, we conducted the frequency analysis for snowfall using the Bootstrap method and SIR algorithm which are the resampling methods that can overcome the problems of insufficient data. For the 58 meteorological stations distributed evenly in Korea, the probability of snowfall depth was estimated by non-parametric frequency analysis using the maximum daily snowfall depth data. The results of frequency based snowfall depth show that most stations representing the rate of change were found to be consistent in both parametric and non-parametric frequency analysis. According to the results, observed data and Bootstrap method showed a difference of -19.2% to 3.9%, and the Bootstrap method and SIR(Sampling Importance Resampling) algorithm showed a difference of -7.7 to 137.8%. This study shows that the resampling methods can do the frequency analysis of the snowfall depth that has insufficient observed samples, which can be applied to interpretation of other natural disasters such as summer typhoons with seasonal characteristics.

Conditional Bootstrap Methods for Censored Survival Data

  • Kim, Ji-Hyun
    • Journal of the Korean Statistical Society
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    • v.24 no.1
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    • pp.197-218
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    • 1995
  • We first consider the random censorship model of survival analysis. Efron (1981) introduced two equivalent bootstrap methods for censored data. We propose a new bootstrap scheme, called Method 3, that acts conditionally on the censoring pattern when making inference about aspects of the unknown life-time distribution F. This article contains (a) a motivation for this refined bootstrap scheme ; (b) a proof that the bootstrapped Kaplan-Meier estimatro fo F formed by Method 3 has the same limiting distribution as the one by Efron's approach ; (c) description of and report on simulation studies assessing the small-sample performance of the Method 3 ; (d) an illustration on some Danish data. We also consider the model in which the survival times are censered by death times due to other caused and also by known fixed constants, and propose an appropriate bootstrap method for that model. This bootstrap method is a readily modified version of the Method 3.

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Uncertainty Analysis of Flood Damage Estimation Using Bootstrap Method and SIR Algorithm (Bootstrap 방법 및 SIR 알고리즘을 이용한 예상홍수피해액의 불확실성 분석)

  • Lee, Keon-Haeng;Lee, Jung-Ki;Kim, Soo-Jun;Kim, Hung-Soo
    • Journal of Wetlands Research
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    • v.13 no.1
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    • pp.53-66
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    • 2011
  • We estimated the expected flood damage considering uncertainty which is involved in hydrologic processes and data. Actually, this uncertainty represents a freeboard or safety factor in the design of hydraulic structures. The uncertainty was analyzed using Bootstrap method, and SIR algorithm then the frequency based rainfalls were estimated for each method of uncertainty analysis. Also the benefits for each uncertainty analysis were estimated using 'multi-dimensional flood damage analysis(MD-FDA). As a result, the expected flood damage with SIR algorithm was 1.22 times of present status and Boostrap 0.92 times. However when we used SIR algorithm, the likelihood function should be selected with caution for the estimation of the expected flood damage.

Development of Web-based Quality & Reliability System for Bootstrap on the Internet Environment (인터넷 환경에서 붓스트랩 품질 및 신뢰성 시스템의 개발)

  • Choi Sung woon;Lim In sup
    • Journal of the Korea Safety Management & Science
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    • v.7 no.1
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    • pp.147-157
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    • 2005
  • Recently, growth of internet causes rapid changes in many areas of statistics such as statistical computation and analysis. Especially, bootstrap is the most interesting statistical methods applying computer resampling simulation. In this paper, we try to present how to use a method of bootstrap on the internet. We also develop to user a statistical system which is programed with ASP for user to handle easily in manufacturing system.

Resampling Technique for Simulation Output Analysis

  • Kim, Yun-Bae
    • Journal of the Korea Society for Simulation
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    • v.1 no.1
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    • pp.31-36
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    • 1992
  • To estimate the probability of long delay in a queuing system using discrete-event simulation is studied. We contrast the coverage, half-width, and stability of confidence intervals constructed using two methods: batch means and new resampling technique; binary bootstrap. The binary bootstrap is an extension of the conventional bootstrap that resamples runs rather than data values. Empirical comparisons using known results for the M/M/1 and D/M/10 queues show the binary bootstrap superior to batch means for this problem.

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Resampling Technique for Simulation Output Analysis

  • Kim, Yun-Bae-
    • Proceedings of the Korea Society for Simulation Conference
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    • 1992.10a
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    • pp.13-13
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    • 1992
  • To estimate the probability of long delay in a queuing system using discrete-event simulation studied. We contrast the coverage, half-width, and stability of confidence intervals constructed using two methods: batch means and new resampling technique; binary bootstrap. The binary bootstrap is an extension of the conventional bootstrap that resamples runs rather than data values. Empirical comparisons using known results for the M/M/1 and D/M/10 queues show the binary bootstrap superior to batch means for this problem.

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Applications of Bootstrap Methods for Canonical Correspondence Analysis (정준대응분석에서 붓스트랩 방법 활용)

  • Ko, Hyeon-Seok;Jhun, Myoungshic;Jeong, Hyeong Chul
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.28 no.3
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    • pp.485-494
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    • 2015
  • Canonical correspondence analysis is an ordination method used to visualize the relationships among sites, species and environmental variables. However, projection results are fluctuations if the samples slightly change and consistent interpretation on ecological similarity among species tends to be difficult. We use the bootstrap methods for canonical correspondence analysis to solve this problem. The bootstrap method results show that the variations of coordinate points are inversely proportional to the number of observations and coverage rates with bootstrap confidence interval approximates to nominal probabilities.

Generation of Simulation input Stream using Threshold Bootstrap (임계값 부트스트랩을 사용한 시뮬레이션 입력 시나리오의 생성)

  • Kim Yun Bae;Kim Jae Bum
    • Korean Management Science Review
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    • v.22 no.1
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    • pp.15-26
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    • 2005
  • The bootstrap is a method of computational inference that simulates the creation of new data by resampling from a single data set. We propose a new job for the bootstrap: generating inputs from one historical trace using Threshold Bootstrap. In this regard, the most important quality of bootstrap samples is that they be functionally indistinguishable from independent samples of the same stochastic process. We describe a quantitative measure of difference between two time series, and demonstrate the sensitivity of this measure for discriminating between two data generating processes. Utilizing this distance measure for the task of generating inputs, we show a way of tuning the bootstrap using a single observed trace. This application of the threshold bootstrap will be a powerful tool for Monte Carlo simulation. Monte Carlo simulation analysis relies on built-in input generators. These generators make unrealistic assumptions about independence and marginal distributions. The alternative source of inputs, historical trace data, though realistic by definition, provides only a single input stream for simulation. One benefit of our method would be expanding the number of inputs achieving reality by driving system models with actual historical input series. Another benefit might be the automatic generation of lifelike scenarios for the field of finance.