• Title/Summary/Keyword: Bitcoin market

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The Rise of Blockchain Technology: Overcoming Theoretical Poverty and Its Implications for Developing Countries

  • Park, Han Woo;Ozel, Bulent
    • Journal of Contemporary Eastern Asia
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    • v.18 no.2
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    • pp.1-8
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    • 2019
  • The blockchain is still new and unfamiliar. But blockchain appears to shake an entire technology innovation system. Blockchain is rapidly drawing attention in that it will be able to fundamentally revolutionize industry ecosystem. While cryptocurrency transactions and market capitalization have been popular in mass media, several platform operators in non-cryptocurrency areas such as jewelry, social networks, and entertainment, are also moving to introduce blockchain technology in full swing. In this brief note, we intend to present integrated theoretical strands to summarize various prospects for blockchain technology. Further, we want to provide a reflection as to whether this new technology gives opportunities, challenges, or risks to future society. Particularly, we point out one of its alternative and promising adoption that gives way to new forms of decentralized and autonomous organizations (DAOs).

A Study on Bitcoin Yield Analysis (비트코인 수익률 분석에 관한 연구)

  • Cho, Sang Sup;Chae, Dong Woo;Lee, Jungmann
    • Journal of Information Technology Applications and Management
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    • v.29 no.2
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    • pp.17-25
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    • 2022
  • Although the two types of currencies compete, the possibility of a virtual currency price bubble is diagnosed by assuming an economic model with currencies (won, virtual currency) that are intrinsically worthless. The won is supplied by the central bank to achieve the price stability target, while the supply of virtual currency increases by a fixed number. According to the basic price theory equation, as a simple proposition, cryptocurrency prices form a Martin Gale process [Schilling and Uhlig, 2019, p.20]. Based on the existing theoretical proposition, we applied the variance ratio verification method [Linton and Smetanina, 2016] and a simple technical chart method for empirical analysis. For the purpose of this study, the possibility of a bubble was empirically analyzed by analyzing the price volatility formed in the Korean virtual currency market over the past year, and brief policy implications for this were presented.

The Impact of COVID-19 Pandemic on the Relationship Structure between Volatility and Trading Volume in the BTC Market: A CRQ approach (COVID-19 팬데믹이 BTC 변동성과 거래량의 관계구조에 미친 영향 분석: CRQ 접근법)

  • Park, Beum-Jo
    • Economic Analysis
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    • v.27 no.1
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    • pp.67-90
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    • 2021
  • This study found an interesting fact that the nonlinear relationship structure between volatility and trading volume changed before and after the COVID-19 pandemic according to empirical analysis using Bitcoin (BTC) market data that sensitively reflects investors' trading behavior. That is, their relationship appeared positive (+) in a stable market state before COVID-19 pandemic, as in theory based on the information flow paradigm. In a state under severe market stress due to COVID-19 pandemic, however, their dependence structure changed and even negative (-). This can be seen as a consequence of increased market stress caused by COVID-19 pandemics from a behavioral economics perspective, resulting in structural changes in the asset market and a significant impact on the nonlinear dependence of volatility and trading volume (in particular, their dependence at extreme quantiles). Hence, it should be recognized that in addition to information flows, psychological phenomena such as behavioral biases or herd behavior, which are closely related to market stress, can be a key in changing their dependence structure. For empirical analysis, this study performs a test of Ross (2015) for detecting a structural change, and proposes a Copula Regression Quantiles (CRQ) approach that can identify their nonlinear relationship structure and the asymmetric dependence in their distribution tails without the assumption of i.i.d. random variable. In addition, it was confirmed that when the relationship between their extreme values was analyzed by linear models, incorrect results could be derived due to model specification errors.

Measuring Return and Volatility Spillovers across Major Virtual Currency Market (주요 가상화폐 시장간 수익률 및 변동성 전이효과에 관한 연구)

  • Yoo, Ju-Hyun;Kang, Ju-Young;Park, Sang-Un
    • The Journal of Information Systems
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    • v.27 no.3
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    • pp.43-62
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    • 2018
  • Purpose Since the Bitcoin, which was the first virtual currency, was made at 2009, almost 1,000 virtual currencies appeared onstage in the world. Even though virtual currencies have the function of money as a medium of exchange or contract, any of those has not yet entered the commercialization stage. Instead, some of the virtual currencies show the nature of investment assets. In the case of virtual money investment, users tend to use all the information of the world because information transfer is very easy and capital movement is almost free between different countries. In addition, as the transaction sizes of virtual currencies increase, a virtual currency price is no longer independent and is likely to be affected by the prices of other virtual currencies. Therefore, it is necessary to understand the influence among virtual currency markets, which helps successful implementation of investment strategies. Design/methodology/approach This study focuses on the investment product function of virtual money and conducts the analysis using the time series model used in the financial and economic areas. In this paper, we try to analyze the return and volatility transfer effect of virtual money markets through GJR-GARCH model. Findings This study is expected to find out whether we can make market forecasts through reflecting changes in other markets. In addition, we can reduce the trial and error of user decision making by using the information on the yield and volatility transition effect derived from the research results, and it is expected to reduce the opportunity cost of users.

Token's function and role for securing ecosystem

  • Yoo, Soonduck
    • International Journal of Advanced Culture Technology
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    • v.8 no.1
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    • pp.128-134
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    • 2020
  • The purpose of this study is to investigate the role and function of tokens to form a healthy blockchain-based ecosystem. Tokens must be constructed in a way that enhances their desired behavior to grow into a healthy token economy. The actions required of ecosystem participants in designing tokens should enable each individual to receive appropriate incentives (rewards) and encourage voluntary participation in taking this action. Also, all ecosystem participants must design to make the token ecosystem self-sustainable by generating profits. For example, in Bitcoin's proof-of-work method, mining is designed as a desirable behavior. Token-based services should be designed to induce multiple engagements, to design penalties for undesirable behavior, and to take into account evolutionary development potentials. Besides, the economic value of the entire token ecosystem will increase if the value that is designed and designed to take into account the revolutionary Innovation Possibility is greater than the reward amount paid to tokens. This study will contribute to presenting relevant service model by presenting how to design tokens and criteria when establishing blockchain-based service model. Future research is needed to discover new facts through a detailed comparative analysis between Tokennomics models.

A Study on Adoption and Policy Direction of Blockchain Technology in Financial Industry (금융분야의 블록체인기술 활용과 정책방향에 관한 연구)

  • Park, Jeong Kuk;Kim, Injai
    • Journal of Information Technology Services
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    • v.16 no.2
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    • pp.33-44
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    • 2017
  • The financial industry recently introduces several issues for utilizing the blockchain technology as the core infrastructure of future finance. Blockchain, first introduced as the underlying technology of Crypto-currencies, Bitcoin is a technology that can ensure the integrity and reliability of data by verifying, recording, and storing data jointly in the network without a central administration organization or a manager. This blockchain has its potential power as a technology for issuing digital currencies, providing transparency, and securing record management, that is expected to be useful in the financial sector. At the same time, considering the characteristics of financial transactions which emphasize privacy, questions are raised about whether a blockchain structure in which information is distributed and shared among participants can be successful. How will we support to implement the potential of the blockchain in order to change the paradigm of the financial industry? How can we manage the side effects of blockchain effectively? Such a policy discussion is necessary. This study introduces the meaning of the blockchain technology, various utilization attempts, and possible problems facing technology from the viewpoint of financial industry, and suggests a policy direction for utilizing this technology as a catalyst to the progress of the financial industry or as a new technology power.

Analysis of Distributed Cryptocurrency Exchange Model and Issues (분산 암호화폐 거래소 모델 및 이슈 분석)

  • Lee, Tae-Gyu
    • The Journal of the Convergence on Culture Technology
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    • v.8 no.1
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    • pp.583-590
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    • 2022
  • With the release of the Bitcoin source in 2009, cryptocurrencies are continuously developing and expanding the market. Recently, new applicability is expanding centered on NFT coin and metaverse payment service. In particular, the Central Cryptocurrency Exchange actively supports relay transactions between cryptocurrencies or between traditional fiat currencies and cryptocurrencies. The cryptocurrency trading market based on such a central exchange encouraged speculative factors of cryptocurrencies, strongly arousing speculation and futility of cryptocurrencies. In addition, the central cryptocurrency exchange induces the centralization of users and virtual assets, thereby hindering the decentralization and security enhancement strategies of the block chain. Therefore, this study describes the current status and problems of centrally controlled centralized cryptocurrency exchanges in service, and presents a distributed cryptocurrency exchange modeling strategy and major issues as a decentralization model of the exchange. This research can strengthen the anonymity, decentralization, and autonomy of cryptocurrency based on blockchain.

An Exploratory Study of Influencer's Impacts for Cryptocurrency Markets: Focused on the Elon Musk's Twitter Activity (가상화폐 시장의 인물 영향력에 대한 탐색적 연구: 일론 머스크의 발언을 중심으로)

  • Ga-Yeon Hong;Sang-Gun Lee;Chang-Gyu Yang
    • Information Systems Review
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    • v.25 no.3
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    • pp.83-97
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    • 2023
  • The primary purpose of this study is to examine the influencer's impacts of cryptocurrency markets. By using Elon Musk's twitter activity to compute effects of influencer's impacts in cryptocurrency markets, this study aims to analyze influencer's impacts and to offer implications for cryptocurrency markets. This study used the tweets that Elon Musk posted for the period between the April 1, 2019 to July 31, 2021 to conduct event study to evaluate influencer's impacts in cryptocurrency market. The results revealed that (1) influencer's impacts was disappearing, and (2) speculative investments was still made in the cryptocurrency market, (3) duration of the influencer's impacts was becoming short. The results indicate that objective evaluation system for cryptocurrency and sanction of bad cryptocurrencies should be needed, in order to ensure right cryptocurrency investment environment. On the other hand, the government should make policies to create the right cryptocurrency investment environment and flatform.

Prediction of Cryptocurrency Price Trend Using Gradient Boosting (그래디언트 부스팅을 활용한 암호화폐 가격동향 예측)

  • Heo, Joo-Seong;Kwon, Do-Hyung;Kim, Ju-Bong;Han, Youn-Hee;An, Chae-Hun
    • KIPS Transactions on Software and Data Engineering
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    • v.7 no.10
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    • pp.387-396
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    • 2018
  • Stock price prediction has been a difficult problem to solve. There have been many studies to predict stock price scientifically, but it is still impossible to predict the exact price. Recently, a variety of types of cryptocurrency has been developed, beginning with Bitcoin, which is technically implemented as the concept of distributed ledger. Various approaches have been attempted to predict the price of cryptocurrency. Especially, it is various from attempts to stock prediction techniques in traditional stock market, to attempts to apply deep learning and reinforcement learning. Since the market for cryptocurrency has many new features that are not present in the existing traditional stock market, there is a growing demand for new analytical techniques suitable for the cryptocurrency market. In this study, we first collect and process seven cryptocurrency price data through Bithumb's API. Then, we use the gradient boosting model, which is a data-driven learning based machine learning model, and let the model learn the price data change of cryptocurrency. We also find the most optimal model parameters in the verification step, and finally evaluate the prediction performance of the cryptocurrency price trends.

Design of Management System for Registering Agricultural Machine Using Blockchain (블록체인을 활용한 농업기계 등록 관리 시스템의 설계)

  • Son, Yong-Bum;Kim, Young-Hak
    • The Journal of the Korea Contents Association
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    • v.19 no.12
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    • pp.18-27
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    • 2019
  • Through the technology of the 4th industrial revolution, agricultural machinery is becoming increasingly intelligent, and the machine is replacing the role of farmer manpower as a whole. However, safety accidents caused by careless use of agricultural machines and theft accidents due to the difficulty of keeping them are increasing every year. Because agricultural machines do not manage the history of events and accidents unlike automobiles, they are often used for crime. There is also no way to cope with the issues if there happens issues on agricultural machines. In this paper, we propose the system based on block chain which can manage the history of the agricultural machinery by registering the chassis number at the same time when purchasing the agricultural machinery. Since this system contains the history of accident and repair information about the owner's agricultural machinery, it is possible to trace back even if a theft occurs. The proposed system also allows buyers to secure transactions by providing reliable data through inquiry of this system when trading in the secondary market in the future.