• Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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• v.32 no.3
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• pp.198-206
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• 2014

According to the statistics of the National Police Agency, red light running (RLR) crashes represent a significant safety issue throughout Korea. This study deals with the RLR crashes occurred at signalized intersections in Cheongju. The objectives of this study are to comparatively analyze the characteristics of between RLR crashes and the Non-RLR crashes, and to find out factors using a Binary Logistic Regression(BLR) model. In pursuing the above, the study gives particular attentions to testing the differences between the above two groups with the data of 2,246 RLR/ 3,884 Non-RLR crashes (2007-2011). The main results are as follows. First, many RLR crashes were occurred in the nighttime and in going straight. Second, the difference between RLR and Non-RLR crashes were clearly defined by crash type, maneuver of vehicle before crash, age of driver (30s, 50s), alcohol use and accident pattern. Finally, a statistically significant model (Hosmer and Lemeshow test : 7.052, p-value : 0.531) was developed through the BLR model.

• Transactions of the Korean Society of Automotive Engineers
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• v.19 no.3
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• pp.9-15
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• 2011

This study analyzed contributing factors affecting leg injury severity in pedestrian-vehicle crashes. A Binary Logistic Regression (BLR) method was used to identify the factors. Independent variables include characteristics for pedestrian, vehicle, road, and environmental conditions. The leg injury severity is classified into two classes, which are dependent variables in this study, such as 'severe' and 'minor' injuries. Pedestrian age, collision speed, and the height of vehicle were identified as significant factors for the leg injury. The probabilistic outcome of predicting leg injury severity can be effectively used in not only deriving pedestrian-related safety policies but also developing advanced vehicular technologies for pedestrian protection.

• Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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• v.29 no.4
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• pp.43-51
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• 2011

Since a variety of factors are associated with crash occurrence, the analysis of causes of crash is a hard task for traffic researchers and engineers. Among contributing factors leading to crash, the characteristics of driver is of keen interest. This study attempted to identify factors affecting the severity of pedestrian in the collision between pedestrian and vehicle. In particular, our analyses were focused on the novice driver. A binary logistic regression technique was adopted for the analyses. The results showed that driver's age, crash location, and the frequency of violations were dominant factors for the severity. Findings are expected to be useful information for deffective policy- and education-based countermeasures.

• Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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• v.31 no.6
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• pp.53-66
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• 2013

The major purpose of this study is to evaluate methodologies to predict the injury severity of pedestrian-vehicle collisions. Methodologies to be evaluated and compared in this study include Binary Logistic Regression(BLR), Ordered Probit Model(OPM), Support Vector Machine(SVM) and Decision Tree(DT) method. Valuable insights into applying methodologies to analyze the characteristics of pedestrian injury severity are derived. For the purpose of identifying causal factors affecting the injury severity, statistical approaches such as BLR and OPM are recommended. On the other hand, to achieve better prediction performance, heuristic approaches such as SVM and DT are recommended. It is expected that the outcome of this study would be useful in developing various countermeasures for enhancing pedestrian safety.

• Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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• v.34 no.1
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• pp.29-42
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• 2016

Speeding is an important factor in traffic safety. Speed not only affects crash severity, but is also related to the possibility of crash occurrence. This study presents results from an analysis of 27,968 speed violation cases collected from 36 red light and speed enforcement cameras at signalized intersections in the city of Cheongju. Data included details of their violation history such as speeding tickets within a recent 3-year span and their demographic characteristics. The goal of this analysis is to understand the correlation between speed violations and various factors in terms of humans, vehicles and road environments. This study used descriptive statistics and Binary Logistics Regression(BLR) analysis with SPSS 20.0 software. The major results of this study are as follows. First, speed violations occurred at rural and suburban area. Second, about 25.6% of the violators committed to more than 20km/h over a speed limit. Third, the difference between speed violators and normal drivers clearly appeared in location of intersection(urban/rural/suburban area), gender and age. Finally, a statistically significant model(Hosmer and Lemeshow test: 11.586, p-value: 0.171) was developed through the BLR.

• Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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• v.29 no.3
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• pp.73-82
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• 2011

Recent advancement in traffic surveillance systems has allowed the researchers to obtain more detailed vehicular movement such as individual vehicle trajectory data. Understanding the characteristics of interactions between leading and following vehicles in the traffic flow stream is a backbone for designing and evaluating more sophisticated traffic and vehicle control strategies. This study proposes a methodology for estimating rear-end crash potential, as a probabilistic measure, in real-time based on the analysis of vehicular movements. The methodology presented in this study consists of three components. The first predicts vehicle position and speed every second using a Kalman filtering technique. The second estimates the probability for the vehicle's trajectory to belong to either 'changing lane' or 'going straight'. A binary logistic regression (BLR) is used to model the lane-changing decision of the subject vehicle. The other component calculates crash probability by employing an exponential decay function that uses time-to-collision (TTC) between the subject vehicle and the front vehicle. The result of this study is expected to be adapted in developing traffic control and information systems, in particular, for crash prevention.

• The Journal of The Korea Institute of Intelligent Transport Systems
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• v.9 no.3
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• pp.73-84
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• 2010

This study presents a novel method to identify hazardous segments of freeway using global positioning system(GPS) based probe vehicle data. A variety of candidate contributing factors leading to higher potential of accident occurrence were extracted from the probe vehicle dataset. The research problem was defined as a classification problem, then a well-known classifier, bayesian neural network was adopted to solve the problem. A binary logistic regression technique was also used for selecting salient input variables. Test results showed that the proposed method is promising in extracting hazardous freeway sections. The outcome of this study will be effectively used for evaluating the safety of freeway sections and deriving countermeasures to prevent accidents.

• The Journal of The Korea Institute of Intelligent Transport Systems
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• v.13 no.3
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• pp.96-106
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• 2014

Necessarily traffic policies have been biased in car than pedestrian, so pedestrian's environment is getting worse. Result of this situation our accident rate is high as 36.4%, compared to OECD member countries with average rate of 17.8%(in 2009). Increasing interest for pedestrians environment improvement, and it make an effort to build environment to guarantee walk and safety of pedestrians. Analysis on the binary logistic regression(BLR) was used. The dependent variable is occurring from the road width of less than 9m accident, and independent variable extracted can be obtained from the traffic accident data. Traffic accident on roads having width of less than 9 meters affecting variables is when the driver is straight, when the driver is female, when the pedestrian is walk driveway, and so on. To prevent it, efforts is demanded to protect handicapped, to build safe pedestrians environment using C-ITS and to decrease speed of going straight vehicle on roads having width of less than 9 meters.

• Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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• v.25 no.3
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• pp.99-109
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• 2007

Variable message signs (VMS), which are used for providing real-time information on traffic conditions and accident occurrences, are one of the important components of intelligent transportation systems VMS messages need to meet human factor requirements: messages should be readable and understandable while driving. Lab-controlled experiments on VMS messages were conducted to obtain useful data for analyzing drivers' responsive characteristics for VMS messages. Binary logistic regression (BLR) modeling techniques were applied to explore the relationships among drivers' message perceptions, message reading time, and amount of VMS messages. Probabilistic outcomes of the proposed BLR-based perception model could be greatly utilized to design VMS messages considering drivers' legibility performance. The major contribution of this study is to develop invaluable statistical models that can be used in designing VMS messages more effectively from the human factor point of view. The results could be further applied to establish the scheme of VMS message phase and duration.

• Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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• v.24 no.2 s.88
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• pp.139-145
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• 2006

This paper develops pedestrian fatality models capable of producing the probability of pedestrian fatality in collision between vehicles and pedestrians. Probabilistic neural network (PNN) and binary logistic regression (BLR) ave employed in modeling pedestrian fatality pedestrian age, vehicle type, and collision speed obtained from reconstructing collected accidents are used as independent variables in fatality models. One of the nice features of this study is that an iterative sampling technique is used to construct various training and test datasets for the purpose of better performance comparison Statistical comparison considering the variation of model Performances is conducted. The results show that the PNN-based fatality model outperforms the BLR-based model. The models developed in this study that allow us to predict the pedestrian fatality would be useful tools for supporting the derivation of various safety Policies and technologies to enhance Pedestrian safety.