• Title/Summary/Keyword: Bias error

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Fusion of Aerosol Optical Depth from the GOCI and the AHI Observations (GOCI와 AHI 자료를 활용한 에어로졸 광학두께 합성장 산출 연구)

  • Kang, Hyeongwoo;Choi, Wonei;Park, Jeonghyun;Kim, Serin;Lee, Hanlim
    • Korean Journal of Remote Sensing
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    • v.37 no.5_1
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    • pp.861-870
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    • 2021
  • In this study, fused Aerosol Optical Depth (AOD) data were produced using AOD products from the Geostationary Ocean Color Imager (GOCI) onboard Communication, Oceanography and Meteorology Satellite (COMS)satellite and the Advanced Himawari Imager (AHI) onboard Himawari-8. Since the spatial resolution and the coordinate system between the satellite sensors are different, a preprocessing was first preceded. After that, using the level 1.5 AOD dataset of AErosol RObotic NETwork (AERONET), which is ground-based observation, correlations and trends between each satellite AOD and AERONET AOD were utilized to produce more accurate satellite AOD data than the originalsatellite AODs. The fused AOD were found to be more accurate than the originalsatellite AODs. Root Mean Square Error (RMSE) and mean bias of the fused AODs were calculated to be 0.13 and 0.05, respectively. We also compared errors of the fused AODs against those of the original GOCI AOD (RMSE: 0.15, mean bias: 0.11) and the original AHI AOD (RMSE: 0.15, mean bias: 0.05). It was confirmed that the fused AODs have betterspatial coverage than the original AODsin areas where there are no observations due to the presence of cloud from a single satellite.

Development of bias correction scheme for high resolution precipitation forecast (고해상도 강수량 수치예보에 대한 편의 보정 기법 개발)

  • Uranchimeg, Sumiya;Kim, Ji-Sung;Kim, Kyu-Ho;Kwon, Hyun-Han
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.51 no.7
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    • pp.575-584
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    • 2018
  • An increase in heavy rainfall and floods have been observed over South Korea due to recent abnormal weather. In this perspective, the high-resolution weather forecasts have been widely used to facilitate flood management. However, these models are known to be biased due to initial conditions and topographical conditions in the process of model building. Theretofore, a bias correction scheme is largely applied for the practical use of the prediction to flood management. This study introduces a new mean field bias correction (MFBC) approach for the high-resolution numerical rainfall products, which is based on a Bayesian Kriging model to combine an interpolation technique and MFBC approach for spatial representation of the error. The results showed that the proposed method can reliably estimate the bias correction factor over ungauged area with an improvement in the reduction of errors. Moreover, it can be seen that the bias corrected rainfall forecasts could be used up to 72 hours ahead with a relatively high accuracy.

Error Characteristics of Ship Radiated Noise Estimation by Sea Surface Scattering Effect (해면 산란효과에 의한 선박 방사소음 추정치 오차)

  • Park, Kyu-Chil;Park, Jihyun;Seo, Chulwon;Choi, Jae Yong;Lee, Phil-Ho;Yoon, Jong Rak
    • Transactions of the Korean Society for Noise and Vibration Engineering
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    • v.23 no.6
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    • pp.563-573
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    • 2013
  • The ship radiated noise level fluctuates by the interference between direct and reflected paths. The effect of sea surface reflection path on interference depends strongly on sea surface roughness. This paper describes error characteristics of ship acoustic signature estimation by sea surface scattering effect. The coherent reflection coefficient which explains a magnitude of sea surface scattering and its resultant interference acoustic field is analyzed quantitatively as a function of a grazing angle, effective surface height, frequency, source-receiver range and depths of source and receiver. Theoretical interference acoustic field is compared with experimental result for two different sea surfaces and five different frequencies by changing source-receiver range. It is found that both matches well each other and a magnitude of interference acoustic field is decreasing by increasing a grazing angle, effective surface height, frequency, and depths of source and receiver and decreasing source-receiver range. For given experimental conditions, the transmission anomaly which is a bias error of ship acoustic signature estimation, is about a range of 1~3 dB. The bias error of an existing ship radiated noise measurement system is also analyzed considering wind speed, source depth and frequency.

Study on Error Correction of Impact Sound Position Estimation Using Ray Tracing (음선 추적을 이용한 폭발음 위치추정 오차 보정에 대한 연구)

  • Choi, Donghun;Go, Yeong-Ju;Lee, Jaehyung;Na, Taeheum;Choi, Jong-Soo
    • Transactions of the Korean Society for Noise and Vibration Engineering
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    • v.26 no.1
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    • pp.89-96
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    • 2016
  • TDOA(time delay of arrival) position estimate from acoustic measurement of artillery shell impact is studied in order to develop a targeting evaluation system. Impact position is calculated from the intersections of hyperbolic estimates based on the least square Taylor series method. The mathematical process of Taylor series estimation is known to be robust. However, the concern lays with the accuracy because it is sensitive to the bias caused by the randomness of measurement situation. The measurement error typically occurs from the distortion of waveform, change of travelling path, and sensor position error. For outdoor measurement, a consideration should be made on the atmospheric condition such as temperature and wind which can possibly change the trajectories of rays of sound. It produces wrong propagation time events accordingly. Ray tracing and optimization techniques are introduced in this study to minimize the bias induced by the ray of sound. The numerical simulation shows that the atmospheric correction improves the estimation accuracy.

Underwater Hybrid Navigation System Based on an Inertial Sensor and a Doppler Velocity Log Using Indirect Feedback Kalman Filter (간접 되먹임 필터를 이용한 관성센서 및 초음파 속도센서 기반의 수중 복합항법 시스템)

  • Lee, Chong-Moo;Lee, Pan-Mook;Seong, Woo-Jae
    • Proceedings of the Korea Committee for Ocean Resources and Engineering Conference
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    • 2003.05a
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    • pp.149-156
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    • 2003
  • This paper presents an underwater hybrid navigation system for a semi-autonomous underwater vehicle (SAUV). The navigation system consists of an inertial measurement unit (IMU), an ultra-short baseline (USBL) acoustic navigation sensor and a doppler velocity log (DVL) accompanying a magnetic compass. The errors of inertial measurement units increase with time due to the bias errors of gyros and accelerometers. A navigational system model is derived to include the error model of the USBL acoustic navigation sensor and the scale effect and bias errors of the DVL, of which the state equation composed of the navigation states and sensor parameters is 25 in the order. The conventional extended Kalman filter was used to propagate the error covariance, update the measurement errors and correct the state equation when the measurements are available. Simulation was performed with the 6-d.o.f. equations of motion of SAUV in a lawn-mowing survey mode. The hybrid underwater navigation system shows good tracking performance by updating the error covariance and correcting the system's states with the measurement errors from a DVL, a magnetic compass and a depth senor. The error of the estimated position still slowly drifts in horizontal plane about 3.5m for 500 seconds, which could be eliminated with the help of additional USBL information.

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Evaluation of UM-LDAPS Prediction Model for Daily Ahead Forecast of Solar Power Generation (태양광 발전 예보를 위한 UM-LDAPS 예보 모형 성능평가)

  • Kim, Chang Ki;Kim, Hyun-Goo;Kang, Yong-Heack;Yun, Chang-Yeol
    • Journal of the Korean Solar Energy Society
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    • v.39 no.2
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    • pp.71-80
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    • 2019
  • Daily ahead forecast is necessary for the electricity balance between load and supply due to the variability renewable energy. Numerical weather prediction is usually employed to produce the solar irradiance as well as electric power forecast for more than 12 hours forecast horizon. UM-LDAPS model is the numerical weather prediction operated by Korea Meteorological Administration and it generates the 36 hours forecast of hourly total irradiance 4 times a day. This study attempts to evaluate the model performance against the in situ measurements at 37 ground stations from January to May, 2013. Relative mean bias error, mean absolute error and root mean square error of hourly total irradiance are averaged over all ground stations as being 8.2%, 21.2% and 29.6%, respectively. The behavior of mean bias error appears to be different; positively largest in Chupoongnyeong station but negatively largest in Daegu station. The distinct contrast might be attributed to the limitation of microphysics parameterization for thick and thin clouds in the model.

A study of glass and carbon fibers in FRAC utilizing machine learning approach

  • Ankita Upadhya;M. S. Thakur;Nitisha Sharma;Fadi H. Almohammed;Parveen Sihag
    • Advances in materials Research
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    • v.13 no.1
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    • pp.63-86
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    • 2024
  • Asphalt concrete (AC), is a mixture of bitumen and aggregates, which is very sensitive in the design of flexible pavement. In this study, the Marshall stability of the glass and carbon fiber bituminous concrete was predicted by using Artificial Neural Network (ANN), Support Vector Machine (SVM), Random Forest (RF), and M5P Tree machine learning algorithms. To predict the Marshall stability, nine inputs parameters i.e., Bitumen, Glass and Carbon fibers mixed in 100:0, 75:25, 50:50, 25:75, 0:100 percentage (designated as 100GF:0CF, 75GF:25CF, 50GF:50 CF, 25GF:75CF, 0GF:100CF), Bitumen grade (VG), Fiber length (FL), and Fiber diameter (FD) were utilized from the experimental and literary data. Seven statistical indices i.e., coefficient of correlation (CC), mean absolute error (MAE), root mean squared error (RMSE), relative absolute error (RAE), root relative squared error (RRSE), Scattering index (SI), and BIAS were applied to assess the effectiveness of the developed models. According to the performance evaluation results, Artificial neural network (ANN) was outperforming among other models with CC values as 0.9147 and 0.8648, MAE values as 1.3757 and 1.978, RMSE values as 1.843 and 2.6951, RAE values as 39.88 and 49.31, RRSE values as 40.62 and 50.50, SI values as 0.1379 and 0.2027 and BIAS value as -0.1 290 and -0.2357 in training and testing stage respectively. The Taylor diagram (testing stage) also confirmed that the ANN-based model outperforms the other models. Results of sensitivity analysis showed that the fiber length is the most influential in all nine input parameters whereas the fiber combination of 25GF:75CF was the most effective among all the fiber mixes in Marshall stability.

A GPS/DR Integration Scheme using Carrier Measurements (반송파 정보를 이용한 GPS/DR 통합 방법)

  • Seo, Hung-Seok;Sung, Tae-Kyung;Lee, Sang-Jeong
    • The Transactions of the Korean Institute of Electrical Engineers A
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    • v.48 no.10
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    • pp.1279-1286
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    • 1999
  • In conventional GPS/DR integration schemes, the GPS position (or pseudo-range) information is used in calibrating DR sensors. In those schemes, however, an inaccurate calibration may degrade the position accuracy when the GPS measurement is not available. This paper presents a new integration scheme where the GPS velocity information is used in calibrating DR sensors. Also proposed is a new error model of DR sensors for calibrating the bias error and the tilt error in dynamic environments. The proposed model makes it possible that the errors of both the DR sensor parameters and the velocity are calibrated using the GPS carrier-based velocity(or the pseudo-range rate) measurement while the DR position error is calibrated using the GPS position measurement. Since the DR sensors are calibrated accurately, the positioning accuracy is drastically improved when the GPS measurements are unavailable.

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SOME PROPERTIES OF SIMEX ESTIMATOR IN PARTIALLY LINEAR MEASUREMENT ERROR MODEL

  • Meeseon Jeong;Kim, Choongrak
    • Journal of the Korean Statistical Society
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    • v.32 no.1
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    • pp.85-92
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    • 2003
  • We consider the partially linear model E(Y) : X$^{t}$ $\beta$+η(Z) when the X's are measured with additive error. The semiparametric likelihood estimation ignoring the measurement error gives inconsistent estimator for both $\beta$ and η(.). In this paper we suggest the SIMEX estimator for f to correct the bias induced by measurement error, and explore its properties. We show that the rational linear extrapolant is proper in extrapolation step in the sense that the SIMEX method under this extrapolant gives consistent estimator It is also shown that the SIMEX estimator is asymptotically equivalent to the semiparametric version of the usual parametric correction for attenuation suggested by Liang et al. (1999) A simulation study is given to compare two variance estimating methods for SIMEX estimator.

Robust Kalman Filter Design via Selecting Performance Indices (성능지표 선정을 통한 강인한 칼만필터 설계)

  • Jung Jongchul;Huh Kunsoo
    • Transactions of the Korean Society of Mechanical Engineers A
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    • v.29 no.1 s.232
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    • pp.59-66
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    • 2005
  • In this paper, a robust stationary Kalman filter is designed by minimizing selected performance indices so that it is less sensitive to uncertainties. The uncertainties include not only stochastic factors such as process noise and measurement noise, but also deterministic factors such as unknown initial estimation error, modeling error and sensing bias. To reduce the effect on the uncertainties, three performance indices that should be minimized are selected based on the quantitative error analysis to both the deterministic and the stochastic uncertainties. The selected indices are the size of the observer gain, the condition number of the observer matrix, and the estimation error variance. The observer gain is obtained by optimally solving the multi-objectives optimization problem that minimizes the indices. The robustness of the proposed filter is demonstrated through the comparison with the standard Kalman filter.