• 대한간호학회지
• /
• 제41권6호
• /
• pp.750-757
• /
• 2011

Purpose: Cost-benefit analysis is one of the most commonly used economic evaluation methods, which helps to inform the economic value of a program to decision makers. However, the selection of a correct benefit estimation method remains critical for accurate cost-benefit analysis. This paper compared benefit estimations among three different benefit estimation models. Methods: Data from community-based chronic hypertension management programs in a city in South Korea were used. Three different benefit estimation methods were compared. The first was a standard deterministic estimation model; second, a repeated-measures deterministic estimation model; and third, a transitional probability estimation model. Results: The estimated net benefit of the three different methods were $1,273.01, $-3,749.42, and $-5,122.55 respectively. Conclusion: The transitional probability estimation model showed the most correct and realistic benefit estimation, as it traced possible paths of changing status between time points and it accounted for both positive and negative benefits.

• Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
• /
• 제20권1호
• /
• pp.77-87
• /
• 2009

최근 들어 소지역 추정 문제를 해결하는데 베이지안 방법이 주목을 받고 있다. 본 논문에서는 고객집단별 보험금에 대한 실제 자료를 MCMC 기법을 통한 계층적 베이지안 모형과 일원분류, GLM-Normal, GLM-Gamma 모형으로 분석하여 그 결과를 비교하였다. 결론적으로 소지역 추정에 의하여 얻어진 보험금 추정량이 다른 방법으로부터 얻어진 추정량들과 비교하여 가장 합리적이고 좋은 추정량임을 보일 수 있었다. 특히, 표본 수가 적은 집단에 대하여 소지역 추정의 정확성이 현저하게 높음을 알 수 있었다.

• 보건교육건강증진학회지
• /
• 제29권5호
• /
• pp.37-48
• /
• 2012

Objectives: The economic evaluation of health promotion programs has increasingly become an imperative activity for securing public fund or budget. The purpose of this study is to conduct an economic evaluation for the healthy school canteen program using the contingent valuation method(CVM). Methods: To estimate the benefit from the healthy school canteen program, double-bounded dichotomous choice method as a sort of willingness to pay was employed. Four hundred parents who lived in Seoul and have students at middle or high schools, were administrated by semi-constructive questionnaire containing the necessary information for benefit estimation. Cost estimation of healthy school canteen program was made referring to three types of pilot programs. Finally, the benefit against the cost was worked out according to the three levels of estimated cost. Results: Cost estimate is 8,488 and 9,311 won depending on the two senarios about how to invest on the program, respectably. The results of benefit estimate shows that the average cost willingness to pay(WTP) for healthy school canteen program is 21,275 won(16,963-59,838 won, 95% CI) and total benefits turned out 14.7 billion won. According to the cost-benefit analysis, average benefit-cost ratio is from 2.3 to 3.6. Conclusions: Healthy school canteen program could be economically accepted, and government can take consideration of expanding beneficiaries of healthy school canteen program for health promotion.

• 한국수자원학회논문집
• /
• 제42권4호
• /
• pp.343-353
• /
• 2009

본 연구의 목적은 댐방류에 의한 하류하천의 수질개선효과를 대체댐이 아닌 하수처리시설을 대체시설의 비용으로 적용하여 국내 실정에 맞게 편익으로 산정하는 방법론을 제시하는 것이다. 이를 위해 댐을 대체하는 시설은 댐의 방류수와 동일한 기능을 제공해야 하고, 두 시설간의 비용을 객관적으로 비교할 수 있어야 한다. 본 논문은 대체비용법을 이용하여 수질개선편익을 산정하기 위해 대체시설(하수처리장)의 비용 산정방법, 비용 편익분석 관련 기준인 내용연수와 대수선비율의 근거를 제시하였다. 사례연구로서, 낙동강수계의 내성천에 계획한 송리원댐의 수질개선편익을 산정하였으며, 그 결과는 연평균 방류시 644,006 백만원, 수질악화기의 최대방류시 1,351,526 백만원으로 산정되었다. 본 연구방법은 환경개선용수 공급사업시 실무에서 활용 가능한 수질개선 편익산정방법이 될 것으로 기대된다.

• 전기학회논문지
• /
• 제57권3호
• /
• pp.369-374
• /
• 2008

This paper presents the evaluation procedures and the estimation method for the estimation of optimal rebate level for EE(Energy Efficiency) programs. The penetration amount of each appliance is estimated by applying price function to preferred diffusion model resulted from model compatibility test. To estimate the optimal rebate level, two objective functions which express the maximum energy saving and operation benefit are introduced and by multi-objective function which can simultaneously consider two objective functions the optimal rebate level of each appliance is estimated. And then, using the decided rebate level and each penetration amount, the priority order for reasonable investment of each high-efficiency appliance is estimated compared to the results of conventional method. Finally, using a benefit/cost analysis based on California standard practice manual, the economic analysis is implemented for the four perspectives such as participant, ratepayer impact measure, program administrator cost and total resource cost.

• 한국안전학회지
• /
• 제17권1호
• /
• pp.68-71
• /
• 2002

A research on accident loss calculation for polyol process without safety management activities, and safety cost estimation using process risk assessment has been implemented. In order to estimate a magnitude of loss, accident scenarios were made by combining result made from HAZOP Study method with accident possibility analysis results implemented with FTA. Also effect assessment was implement for accident consequence of each scenario. And minimum possible loss cost has been calculated when safety investment do or not. Result from cost-benefit analysis was shown as approximately \335 billion(=USS44,000 billion), as cost after subtracting safety management cost from minimum possible loss cost.

• 대한토목학회논문집
• /
• 제32권4B호
• /
• pp.233-242
• /
• 2012

기존에는 댐사업의 생활용수 공급편익 산정시 실무적으로 대체댐비용법을 적용하였다. 그러나 해당 댐의 대체시설로서 2순위의 댐을 적용하는 것은 논리적으로 적절하지 않다. 본 연구의 목적은 생활용수 공급사업의 효과에 대한 소비자의 효용을 지불의사액으로 측정하고, 수요함수를 도출하여 편익산정 방법을 제시하는 것이다. 이를 위해 수도권지역에서 1,000가구를 대상으로 생활용수의 사용량 변화에 대한 한계지불의사액을 측정하였다. 그리고 한계지불의사액을을 이용하여 가구별 수요함수를 추정하고, 최종적으로 용수공급 사업의 경제성분석에 적용할 수 있는 월평균 편익산정식을 도출하였다. 제시된 방법론은 적용방법 설명과 토론을 위해 예제로서 송리원댐(현 영주댐)에 적용하였다. 예제 적용 결과, 내용연수인 50년간 총 편익은 약 900억원으로 산정되었다. 본 연구에서 제시된 방법론은 향후 관련 연구 뿐 아니라, 댐 건설사업을 비롯한 생활용수 공급사업에서 경제성분석시 실무적 활용이 가능할 것으로 기대된다.

• 대기
• /
• 제20권2호
• /
• pp.187-194
• /
• 2010

We estimate the economic benefit of weather modification (precipitation enhancement and fog dissipation) by assuming its operation for the considered regions. Based on the statistical data, the economic benefit of the virtually operational precipitation enhancement experiments for the Andong and Imha basins, where the natural precipitation is relatively lack in South Korea, is calculated 348 for the water resources, 22,458 for forest fire prevention, and 28,458 million won/year for the drought relief. The benefit of the fog dissipation operation for the Incheon International Airport is estimated 7,365 million won/year for the flight delay due to fog. The calculated ratio of benefit to cost for precipitation enhancement operation for the basins is 14.07, which is comparable to that conducted in other countries.

• 한국IT서비스학회지
• /
• 제17권3호
• /
• pp.101-115
• /
• 2018

In order to promote the IT business efficiently, the Preliminary Feasibility Study has been conducted since 2004. It is to verify the feasibility of a large-scale IT project in advance and to determine whether to reflect the budget. It is more difficult to analyze the benefits of the IT project than other projects, because the IT project is carried out by combining tangible and intangible assets and human resources. For this reason, the Standard Guideline for Preliminary Feasibility Study in the IT field suggests a framework to support in estimating the benefits of the IT project. However, it includes the following problems : 1) level discrepancy among the benefit categories, 2) lack of types of benefit items, 3) no consideration of benefit inducing factors. So the framework is facing a low utilization. This study develops a new framework through a three-step research process. The new framework can be used not only for preliminary feasibility studies but also for estimating the benefits of general IT projects.

• 보건의료기술평가
• /
• 제1권1호
• /
• pp.22-26
• /
• 2013

Objectives: Balancing benefits and risks through the drug life cycle has been discussed for many decades. The objective of this study was to review the processes and tools currently proposed for benefit-risk assessment of medicinal drugs. It aimed to establish scientific and efficient drug safety management system based on the synthetic analysis of benefit-risk evidence. Methods: We conducted a review of exiting literatures published by regulatory agencies or initiatives. Not only quantitative methodologies but also qualitative method were compared to understand their key characteristics for the benefit and risk assessment of drugs. Results: Recently, benefit-risk assessments have more structured approaches to decision making as part of regulatory science. Regulatory agencies such as European Medicines Agency, FDA have prepared plans to apply benefit-risk assessment to regulatory decision making. Also many initiatives such as IMI (Innovative Medicine Initiative) have conducted research and published reports about benefit-risk assessment. For benefit-risk assessment, four kinds of methods are necessary. Frameworks such as BRAT (Benefit Risk Action Team) framework, PrOACT-URL provide guidance for the whole process of decision-making. Metrics are measurements of risk benefit. The estimation techniques are methods to synthesis and combine evidences from various sources. The utility survey techniques are necessary to explicit preferences of various outcome from stakeholders. Conclusion: There is the lack of widely accepted, validated model for benefit-risk assessment. Nor there is an agreement among academia, industry, and government on methods for the quantitative valuation. It is also limited by available evidence and underlying assumptions. Nevertheless, benefit-risk assessment is fundamental to improve transparency, consistency and predictability for decision making through the structured systematic approaches.