• Title/Summary/Keyword: Benefit Estimation

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Comparison of Benefit Estimation Models in Cost-Benefit Analysis: A Case of Chronic Hypertension Management Programs

  • Lim, Ji-Young;Kim, Mi-Ja;Park, Chang-Gi;Kim, Jung-Yun
    • Journal of Korean Academy of Nursing
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    • v.41 no.6
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    • pp.750-757
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    • 2011
  • Purpose: Cost-benefit analysis is one of the most commonly used economic evaluation methods, which helps to inform the economic value of a program to decision makers. However, the selection of a correct benefit estimation method remains critical for accurate cost-benefit analysis. This paper compared benefit estimations among three different benefit estimation models. Methods: Data from community-based chronic hypertension management programs in a city in South Korea were used. Three different benefit estimation methods were compared. The first was a standard deterministic estimation model; second, a repeated-measures deterministic estimation model; and third, a transitional probability estimation model. Results: The estimated net benefit of the three different methods were $1,273.01, $-3,749.42, and $-5,122.55 respectively. Conclusion: The transitional probability estimation model showed the most correct and realistic benefit estimation, as it traced possible paths of changing status between time points and it accounted for both positive and negative benefits.

Small area estimation of the insurance benefit for customer segmentations (고객집단별 보험금에 대한 소지역 추정)

  • Kim, Yeong-Hwa;Kim, Ki-Su
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • v.20 no.1
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    • pp.77-87
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    • 2009
  • Bayesian methods have been focused in recent years for solving small area estimation problems. In this paper, the hierarchical Bayes procedure is implemented via MCMC techniques and compared with the results of One-way, GLM-Normal, and GLM-Gamma cases by analyzing real data of insurance benefit for customer segmentations. After analyzing insurance benefit real data for customer segmentations, we can conclude that the insurance benefit estimator through the small area estimation is more efficient than the estimators by other methods. In addition, we found that the small area estimation gave accurate estimation result for the small number domains.

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A Cost-Benefit Analysis of the Healthy School Canteen Program at Middle and High Schools (중.고등학교 건강매점사업의 비용편익분석)

  • You, Chang Hoon;Kim, Mi Kyung;Lee, Weon Young
    • Korean Journal of Health Education and Promotion
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    • v.29 no.5
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    • pp.37-48
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    • 2012
  • Objectives: The economic evaluation of health promotion programs has increasingly become an imperative activity for securing public fund or budget. The purpose of this study is to conduct an economic evaluation for the healthy school canteen program using the contingent valuation method(CVM). Methods: To estimate the benefit from the healthy school canteen program, double-bounded dichotomous choice method as a sort of willingness to pay was employed. Four hundred parents who lived in Seoul and have students at middle or high schools, were administrated by semi-constructive questionnaire containing the necessary information for benefit estimation. Cost estimation of healthy school canteen program was made referring to three types of pilot programs. Finally, the benefit against the cost was worked out according to the three levels of estimated cost. Results: Cost estimate is 8,488 and 9,311 won depending on the two senarios about how to invest on the program, respectably. The results of benefit estimate shows that the average cost willingness to pay(WTP) for healthy school canteen program is 21,275 won(16,963-59,838 won, 95% CI) and total benefits turned out 14.7 billion won. According to the cost-benefit analysis, average benefit-cost ratio is from 2.3 to 3.6. Conclusions: Healthy school canteen program could be economically accepted, and government can take consideration of expanding beneficiaries of healthy school canteen program for health promotion.

Estimation of Water Quality Improvement Benefit Using Replacement Cost Approach (대체비용법을 이용한 하천 수질개선편익 산정)

  • Yeo, Kyu-Dong;Yi, Choong-Sung;Kim, Gil-Ho;Shim, Myung-Pil
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.42 no.4
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    • pp.343-353
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    • 2009
  • The objective of this study is to evaluate the effect of the water quality improvement by water discharge through dams and to provide a benefit estimation methodology, taking domestic situation into consideration, by the replacement cost approach analyzed with a sewage treatment plant instead of an alternative dam. To this end, facility that alternates a dam must have same functions of the discharged water from the dam and the two facilities must be able to be compared objectively. To estimate the benefit, estimation methodology of alternative facility's cost is established and criteria of cost.benefit analysis that are duration period and ratio of large scale repairing expense was presented. As a case study, the water quality improvement benefit of Song-Li-Won dam was evaluated, which is planned to be built on Nae-Sung stream in Nak-Dong River system. The results of applying this methodology to Song-Li-Won dam are 644,006 million won of the annual average discharge and 1,351,526 million won of maximum discharge. The usage of the framework in this study is expected for estimation of water quality improvement benefit in case water quality improvement project is performed.

Estimation of Rebate Level for Energy Efficiency Programs Using Optimization Technique (최적화 기법을 이용한 에너지 효율 프로그램의 지원금 수준 산정)

  • Park, Jong-Jin;So, Chol-Ho;Kim, Jin-O
    • The Transactions of The Korean Institute of Electrical Engineers
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    • v.57 no.3
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    • pp.369-374
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    • 2008
  • This paper presents the evaluation procedures and the estimation method for the estimation of optimal rebate level for EE(Energy Efficiency) programs. The penetration amount of each appliance is estimated by applying price function to preferred diffusion model resulted from model compatibility test. To estimate the optimal rebate level, two objective functions which express the maximum energy saving and operation benefit are introduced and by multi-objective function which can simultaneously consider two objective functions the optimal rebate level of each appliance is estimated. And then, using the decided rebate level and each penetration amount, the priority order for reasonable investment of each high-efficiency appliance is estimated compared to the results of conventional method. Finally, using a benefit/cost analysis based on California standard practice manual, the economic analysis is implemented for the four perspectives such as participant, ratepayer impact measure, program administrator cost and total resource cost.

A Study on Safety Cos Estimation Using Process Risk Assessment for Polyol Process (polyol공정에 대한 위험성 평가에 의한 안저비용 산정에 관한 연구)

  • Lee, Jun-Suk;Lee, Young-Soon;Park, Young-Ku
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Safety
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    • v.17 no.1
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    • pp.68-71
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    • 2002
  • A research on accident loss calculation for polyol process without safety management activities, and safety cost estimation using process risk assessment has been implemented. In order to estimate a magnitude of loss, accident scenarios were made by combining result made from HAZOP Study method with accident possibility analysis results implemented with FTA. Also effect assessment was implement for accident consequence of each scenario. And minimum possible loss cost has been calculated when safety investment do or not. Result from cost-benefit analysis was shown as approximately \335 billion(=USS44,000 billion), as cost after subtracting safety management cost from minimum possible loss cost.

Estimation of Domestic Water Supply Benefit Using Demand Function Approach (수요함수 접근법을 이용한 생활용수 공급편익 산정)

  • Yeo, Kyu Dong;Yi, Choong Sung;Kim, Gil Ho;Lee, Sang Won
    • KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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    • v.32 no.4B
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    • pp.233-242
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    • 2012
  • In the past, the domestic water supply benefit of dam has been estimated by replacement dam cost approach. But it is logically inappropriate that we use the second priority dam as a replaced facility. Therefore, this study aims to suggest the estimation method of the domestic water supply benefit by using demand function, which is deduced from Willingness-To-Pay (WTP) of consumers. For this purpose, a survey concerning the marginal WTP is carried out according to the change of water use amount used, targeted 1,000 households in metropolitan area. And by using the marginal WPT, we estimated the demand function of a family. Finally, the monthly benefit equation is derived. The approach is demonstrated and discussed for an example, the Song-Li-Won dam project which is now renamed Young-Ju dam. From the example study, the total benefit for the durable years (50 years), was about 90 billion won. The method proposed herein is expected to be practical and useful in the economic analysis of the domestic water supply project including dam construction, as well as in further studies.

Estimation for the Economic Benefit of weather modification (Precipitation Enhancement and Fog Dissipation) (기상조절(인공강우와 안개저감)의 경제적 가치 추정 연구)

  • Lee, Chulkyu;Chang, Ki-Ho;Cha, Joo-Wan;Jung, Jae-Won;Jeong, Jin-Yim;Yang, Ha-Young;Seo, Sung-Kyu;Bae, Jin-Young;Kang, Sun-Young;Choi, Young-Jean;Cho, Ha-Man;Choi, Chee-Young
    • Atmosphere
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    • v.20 no.2
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    • pp.187-194
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    • 2010
  • We estimate the economic benefit of weather modification (precipitation enhancement and fog dissipation) by assuming its operation for the considered regions. Based on the statistical data, the economic benefit of the virtually operational precipitation enhancement experiments for the Andong and Imha basins, where the natural precipitation is relatively lack in South Korea, is calculated 348 for the water resources, 22,458 for forest fire prevention, and 28,458 million won/year for the drought relief. The benefit of the fog dissipation operation for the Incheon International Airport is estimated 7,365 million won/year for the flight delay due to fog. The calculated ratio of benefit to cost for precipitation enhancement operation for the basins is 14.07, which is comparable to that conducted in other countries.

Development of a Framework for Estimating the Benefits of IT Projects : Focusing on Preliminary Feasibility Study (정보화 사업의 편익 추정 프레임워크 개발 : 정보화부문 예비타당성조사를 중심으로)

  • Lee, Chunghun
    • Journal of Information Technology Services
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    • v.17 no.3
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    • pp.101-115
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    • 2018
  • In order to promote the IT business efficiently, the Preliminary Feasibility Study has been conducted since 2004. It is to verify the feasibility of a large-scale IT project in advance and to determine whether to reflect the budget. It is more difficult to analyze the benefits of the IT project than other projects, because the IT project is carried out by combining tangible and intangible assets and human resources. For this reason, the Standard Guideline for Preliminary Feasibility Study in the IT field suggests a framework to support in estimating the benefits of the IT project. However, it includes the following problems : 1) level discrepancy among the benefit categories, 2) lack of types of benefit items, 3) no consideration of benefit inducing factors. So the framework is facing a low utilization. This study develops a new framework through a three-step research process. The new framework can be used not only for preliminary feasibility studies but also for estimating the benefits of general IT projects.

Evidence-Based Benefit-Risk Assessment of Medication (근거에 기반한 의약품의 유익성-위해성 평가)

  • Lee, Eui-Kyung
    • The Journal of Health Technology Assessment
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    • v.1 no.1
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    • pp.22-26
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    • 2013
  • Objectives: Balancing benefits and risks through the drug life cycle has been discussed for many decades. The objective of this study was to review the processes and tools currently proposed for benefit-risk assessment of medicinal drugs. It aimed to establish scientific and efficient drug safety management system based on the synthetic analysis of benefit-risk evidence. Methods: We conducted a review of exiting literatures published by regulatory agencies or initiatives. Not only quantitative methodologies but also qualitative method were compared to understand their key characteristics for the benefit and risk assessment of drugs. Results: Recently, benefit-risk assessments have more structured approaches to decision making as part of regulatory science. Regulatory agencies such as European Medicines Agency, FDA have prepared plans to apply benefit-risk assessment to regulatory decision making. Also many initiatives such as IMI (Innovative Medicine Initiative) have conducted research and published reports about benefit-risk assessment. For benefit-risk assessment, four kinds of methods are necessary. Frameworks such as BRAT (Benefit Risk Action Team) framework, PrOACT-URL provide guidance for the whole process of decision-making. Metrics are measurements of risk benefit. The estimation techniques are methods to synthesis and combine evidences from various sources. The utility survey techniques are necessary to explicit preferences of various outcome from stakeholders. Conclusion: There is the lack of widely accepted, validated model for benefit-risk assessment. Nor there is an agreement among academia, industry, and government on methods for the quantitative valuation. It is also limited by available evidence and underlying assumptions. Nevertheless, benefit-risk assessment is fundamental to improve transparency, consistency and predictability for decision making through the structured systematic approaches.