• 제목/요약/키워드: Belief Function

검색결과 129건 처리시간 0.027초

토지보유과세강화(土地保有課稅强化)의 당위성(當爲性)에 대한 검토(檢討) (Is Higher Land Holding Tax the Solution for Korea's Land Problems?)

  • 손재영
    • KDI Journal of Economic Policy
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    • 제14권3호
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    • pp.49-72
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    • 1992
  • 본고(本稿)는 부동산, 특히 토지에 대한 보유과세가 강화되어야 한다는 주장들을 검토하여 토지보유과세(土地保有課稅)를 강화하는 것이 바람직한가, 그럴 경우 어느 정도의 세부담(稅負擔) 증가(增加)가 필요한가를 살펴봄으로써 세제개편(稅制改編)의 실천적인 지침을 도출하는 데에 그 목적이 있다. 빠른 지가상승(地價上昇)이 계속되는 상황에서는 보유과세가 가진 효과들이 나타나기 어려우므로, 토지개발(土地開發) 및 공급(供給)의 확대로 지가상승(地價上昇) 추세(趨勢)를 완화시키는 한편, 양도과세(讓渡課稅)의 기능을 제고(提高)하는 것이 우선적으로 추진되어야 할 과제이며, 토지보유과세(土地保有課稅)의 증가(增加)는 토지정책적(土地政策的) 목적(目的)에서보다는 지방세수(地方稅收)의 확대(擴大)와 같은 목적(目的)을 위해 지속적으로 추구해야 할 정책방향이다. 토지보유과세(土地保有課稅)는 조세저항 등의 부작용을 보아가면서 점진적으로 높여 가되 보다 '좋은' 조세의 특성을 가지도록 개편해 가야 할 것이다.

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문화매개자 개념의 비판적 재검토: 매스 미디어에서 온라인 미디어까지 (Cultural Intermediaries Reconsidered: From Mass Media to On-line Media)

  • 이상길
    • 한국언론정보학보
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    • 제52권
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    • pp.154-176
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    • 2010
  • 이 글은 영미권 문화연구에서 활발하게 쓰이고 있는 문화매개자(cultural intermediary) 개념을 비판적으로 검토하고 그 확장 가능성을 모색한다. 프랑스 사회학자 피에르 부르디외(Pierre Bourdieu)가 제안한 이 개념은 영미권에서 ‘문화생산과 수용의 중간 과정에 개입하는 모든 기구와 행위자들’을 가리키는 용어로 쓰여 왔다. 우리는 그동안 영미권을 중심으로 이루어진 문화매개자 관련 논의와 부르디외의 논의를 차례로 검토하면서, 이 개념의 문제의식과 이론적 지평을 재구성하고자 하였다. 그 과정에서 문화산물의 의미와 가치를 생산하고 사회 내 다양한 문화들을 중개하는 문화매개자의 기능, 특히 비평가 집단의 중요성을 강조하였다. 또 인터넷의 발달과 더불어 비평 활동이 일반화되고 있는 상황에서 문화매개자 개념을 온라인 영역에까지 적용해보고자 했다. 이러한 맥락에서 온라인 문화매개자와 온라인 문화매개활동이 기존의 다른 문화매개자 집단들과 비교해볼 때 어떠한 특징을 지니는지 이론적으로 기술하였다. 이러한 논의는 현재 한국사회에서 새롭게 부상하고 있는 디지털 문화정경을 문화매개자군의 다원화와 그에 따른 문화권력의 변동이라는 관점에서 이해할 수 있게 해주는 기초 작업으로서 의미를 가진다.

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A Methodology for Estimating the Uncertainty in Model Parameters Applying the Robust Bayesian Inferences

  • Kim, Joo Yeon;Lee, Seung Hyun;Park, Tai Jin
    • Journal of Radiation Protection and Research
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    • 제41권2호
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    • pp.149-154
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    • 2016
  • Background: Any real application of Bayesian inference must acknowledge that both prior distribution and likelihood function have only been specified as more or less convenient approximations to whatever the analyzer's true belief might be. If the inferences from the Bayesian analysis are to be trusted, it is important to determine that they are robust to such variations of prior and likelihood as might also be consistent with the analyzer's stated beliefs. Materials and Methods: The robust Bayesian inference was applied to atmospheric dispersion assessment using Gaussian plume model. The scopes of contaminations were specified as the uncertainties of distribution type and parametric variability. The probabilistic distribution of model parameters was assumed to be contaminated as the symmetric unimodal and unimodal distributions. The distribution of the sector-averaged relative concentrations was then calculated by applying the contaminated priors to the model parameters. Results and Discussion: The sector-averaged concentrations for stability class were compared by applying the symmetric unimodal and unimodal priors, respectively, as the contaminated one based on the class of ${\varepsilon}$-contamination. Though ${\varepsilon}$ was assumed as 10%, the medians reflecting the symmetric unimodal priors were nearly approximated within 10% compared with ones reflecting the plausible ones. However, the medians reflecting the unimodal priors were approximated within 20% for a few downwind distances compared with ones reflecting the plausible ones. Conclusion: The robustness has been answered by estimating how the results of the Bayesian inferences are robust to reasonable variations of the plausible priors. From these robust inferences, it is reasonable to apply the symmetric unimodal priors for analyzing the robustness of the Bayesian inferences.

Distinguishing the Effects of Environmental Stress and Forest Succession on Changes in the Forest Floor

  • Arthur, Mary A.;Ruth D. Yanai
    • The Korean Journal of Ecology
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    • 제23권2호
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    • pp.83-88
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    • 2000
  • When interpreting change over time in forest ecosystems, distinguishing the effects of forest succession from the effects of environmental stress can be difficult. The result may be a simplistic interpretation. citing a specific successional or environmental cause of forest change when both types may be occurring. We present two case studies of changes in the forest floor in northern hardwoods. First, the belief that 50% of soil organic matter is lost in the first 20 years after logging was based on a study comparing northern hardwood stands of different ages. We resampled a series of 13 such stands after an interval of 15 years, and found that the young stands were not, in fact. losing organic matter as rapidly as predicted from the original chronosequence study. The pattern of higher organic matter content in the forest floors of older stands compared to young stands could be equally well explained by changes in logging practices over the last century as by the aging of the stand. The observed pattern of forest floor organic matter as a function of stand age was previously interpreted as a successional pattern, ignoring changes in treatment history. In the second case study, observed losses of base cations from the forest floor were attributed to cation depletion caused by acid rain and declining calcium deposition. We found that young stands were gaining base cations in the forest floor; losses of base cations were restricted to older stands. Differences in litter chemistry in stands of different ages may explain some of the pattern in cation gains and losses. In this case, the contribution of successional processes to cation loss had been overlooked in favor of environmental stress as the dominant mechanism behind the observed changes. Studies of environmental stress use repeated measures over time. but often don't consider stand age as a factor. Studies of successional change often assume that environmental factors remain constant. We were able to consider both forest succession and external factors because we repeatedly sampled stands of different ages.

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새로운 미분동적 계획법에 의한 저수지군의 최적제어 (Applications of New Differential Dynamic Programming to the Control of Real-time Reservoir)

  • 선우중호;이재형
    • 대한토목학회논문집
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    • 제4권3호
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    • pp.27-42
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    • 1984
  • 수자원 부족과 개발비의 앙등은 관리상의 문제를 제가하고 있다. 일반 관리가 그러하듯이 물의 관리도 목적하는 바의 계량화 작업이 따르게 되고 수학적이 모형의 복잡성 때문에 컴퓨터를 사용하게 된다. 그 모형이 비선형 함수관계를 갖고 있으며 복잡한 제약조건이 부가될때 컴퓨터를 사용하기 위해 선행되어야할 작업은 통일된 알고리즘을 정하는 일이다. 위와 같이 문제의 해결에 이용되어온 기존의 동적계획법은 두 가지의 제한점을 가지고 있다. 즉, 변수를 이산화 해야하며 제약조건의 처리가 불가능 하다는 점이다. 현재까지 애용되고 있는 미분동적계획법에 의해 개발된 방법들 조차도 제약조건의 처리가 미흡하다. 본 논문에서는 위와 같은 어려움을 극복하고 저수지군의 다목적 다단계 제어에 응용할 수 있는 새로운 동적최적화 모형을 제안하였으며 본 논문에서 제안한 방법이 다른 대안들에 비해서 우월함을 입증하였다(즉, 기존의 문제를 본 방법에 의해 수치실험한 결과 기존 동적최적화 기법의 제약이 해소되었고 더 좋은 목적함수 값을 얻었다).

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농촌노인의 자기효능감에 영향을 미치는 요인: 사회적 자본의 매개효과를 중심으로 (Study on Variables Affecting Rural Elderly's Self Efficacy: Focused on Mediating Effect of Social Capital)

  • 오영은;이정화
    • 한국지역사회생활과학회지
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    • 제28권4호
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    • pp.561-579
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    • 2017
  • The rural elderly population has social capital based on regionalism and kinship, which acts as a positive function in terms of their self-efficacy. Self-efficacy refers to the belief in one's own abilities. In general, elderly people with high self-efficacy maintain a healthy life and age successfully. This study examines how the rural elderly population perceive their self-efficacy and social capital and analyzes the role of social capital as a mediating variable. Social capital consists of 4 aspects; trust, norms, network and participation. For this study, data were gathered from 344 rural elderly people aged 60 years and over. The results of this study were as follows. According to the analysis of the structure equation modeling effect, the direct effect of subjective health status on self-efficacy, the indirect effect of the parameters of norms and the total effect were all statistically significant. Second, the direct effect of adult children's support on self-efficacy was significant, and the indirect effects of the parameters of trust, norms and total effect were all statistically significant. This study confirmed that social capital has a mediating effect on the relationship among the subjective health status of the rural elderly, adult children's support and self-efficacy. Furthermore, social capital had a positive impact on the self-efficacy of the rural elderly. Based on these results, a policy for making use of the social capital of the rural elderly should be developed.

시뮬레이션 일정기법;최종공사기간의 확률 통계적 특성 추정 (Probability Distribution of Project Completion Times in Simulation based Scheduling)

  • 이동은;김률희
    • 한국건설관리학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국건설관리학회 2007년도 정기학술발표대회 논문집
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    • pp.327-330
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    • 2007
  • 기존의 시뮬레이션 일정기법은 최종공사기간(Project Completion Times: PCTs)이 정규분포를 따른다는 가정을 전제로 한다. 그러나 본 논문에서는 이 가정이 항상 옳은 것이 아니며, 이것이 잘못된 결과를 초래할 수 있다는 것을 검증한다. 이처럼 의문이 제기되지 않고 받아들여져 온 가정이 시뮬레이션 분석 결과에 어떠한 영향을 줄 수 있는지를 밝혀내는 리키스 정량화기법(risk Quantification method)을 MATLAB 알고리즘으로 구현하였으며, 네트워크의 모델링에서부터 시뮬레이션 출력 값들로 구성된 샘플집단들에 대한 분석에 이르기까지 전 단계를 MATLAB 프로그래밍으로 구현된 알고리즘을 사용하여 제기된 의문에 대한 답을 제시하였다. 특정 네트워크를 구성하는 엑티비티 기간 값들을 정의하는 확률분포함수의 종류를 다양하게 변화시켜 시뮬레이션 결과 값들 - 최종공사기간 값들 - 을 생성하고, 이처럼 생성된 시뮬레이션 출력 값들로 구성된 샘플집단들의 확률 통계적 특성을 분석하였다. 본 연구는 시뮬레이션을 기반으로 하는 일정관리기법의 신뢰성을 향상시키며, 일정관련 리시크 분석의 정확성을 향상시키는데 기여할 것이다.

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On Mathematical Representation and Integration Theory for GIS Application of Remote Sensing and Geological Data

  • Moon, Woo-Il M.
    • 대한원격탐사학회지
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    • 제10권2호
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    • pp.37-48
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    • 1994
  • In spatial information processing, particularly in non-renewable resource exploration, the spatial data sets, including remote sensing, geophysical and geochemical data, have to be geocoded onto a reference map and integrated for the final analysis and interpretation. Application of a computer based GIS(Geographical Information System of Geological Information System) at some point of the spatial data integration/fusion processing is now a logical and essential step. It should, however, be pointed out that the basic concepts of the GIS based spatial data fusion were developed with insufficient mathematical understanding of spatial characteristics or quantitative modeling framwork of the data. Furthermore many remote sensing and geological data sets, available for many exploration projects, are spatially incomplete in coverage and interduce spatially uneven information distribution. In addition, spectral information of many spatial data sets is often imprecise due to digital rescaling. Direct applications of GIS systems to spatial data fusion can therefore result in seriously erroneous final results. To resolve this problem, some of the important mathematical information representation techniques are briefly reviewed and discussed in this paper with condideration of spatial and spectral characteristics of the common remote sensing and exploration data. They include the basic probabilistic approach, the evidential belief function approach (Dempster-Shafer method) and the fuzzy logic approach. Even though the basic concepts of these three approaches are different, proper application of the techniques and careful interpretation of the final results are expected to yield acceptable conclusions in cach case. Actual tests with real data (Moon, 1990a; An etal., 1991, 1992, 1993) have shown that implementation and application of the methods discussed in this paper consistently provide more accurate final results than most direct applications of GIS techniques.

위등세모근의 발통점에 대한 허혈성 압박치료와 체외충격파치료의 효과비교 (Comparison of the Effect of Ischemic Compression Therapy and Extracorporeal Shock Wave Therapy on the Trigger Point of the Upper Trapezius Muscle)

  • 주지균;박삼호;신원섭
    • 대한통합의학회지
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    • 제9권2호
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    • pp.141-152
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    • 2021
  • Purpose: This study aimed to compare the effects of ischemic compression (IC) therapy and extracorporeal shock wave therapy (ESWT) in patients with upper trapezius myofascial pain syndrome and to present an effective treatment method for these patients. Methods: A total of 42 patients with upper trapezius myofascial pain syndrome were randomly assigned to the IC group (n = 21) and ESWT group (n = 21). IC therapy and ESWT were performed in the IC and ESWT groups, respectively. Treatment was applied to the trigger point of the upper trapezius muscle. Visual analog scales (VAS), pain pressure threshold (PPT), range of motion, neck disability index (NDI), and fear-avoidance belief questionnaire (FABQ) were evaluated before and after the intervention to compare its effectiveness. Results: Both groups showed significant differences before and after the intervention in VAS, PPT, NDI, FABQ, flexion, extension, right side bending, and left side bending (p <.05). In addition, there were significant differences in the IC group compared to the ESWT group in VAS, PPT, and NDI (p <.05). Conclusion: IC therapy and ESWT applied to patients with upper trapezius myofascial pain syndrome are mediating methods of pain, function, and psychosocial effects. In addition, IC therapy may be a more effective mediating method for pain and dysfunction than ESWT.

장기요양시설 거주노인의 치매 여부에 따른 신체활동수준과 관련 요인: 개인 및 기관 특성의 영향 (Current Status and Factors Related to Physical Activity of Older Nursing Home Residents with and without Dementia: Effects of Individual and Institutional Characteristics)

  • 전승연;김홍수
    • 보건행정학회지
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    • 제28권4호
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    • pp.392-401
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    • 2018
  • Background: Physical activity (PA) is critical for maintaining the health and well-being of older people in community and also institutional settings. The purpose of this study was to examine the current status of PA and related individual and organizational factors among older nursing home residents with and without dementia. Methods: This is a secondary data analysis study of a nationwide survey of 92 long-term care facilities in Korea, and the study sample includes older residents with dementia (n= 753) and without dementia (n= 480). The level of PA was measured by PA time and whether or not residents had an outdoor activity over the past 3 days. Multi-variate, multi-level analyses were conducted. Results: More than half of the sample in both groups had no or less than 1 hour of PA. About one out of four older people in our sample had no outdoor activity over the past 3 days regardless of whether or not they had dementia. Among the people without dementia, several individual-level factors were associated with PA, including dependency for activities of daily living, social activity participation, and caregivers' belief in the functional improvement of residents. Unlike the non-dementia group, individual- and organizationallevel factors including staffing level and having the relevant equipment for PA were associated with PA among those with dementia. Conclusion: Study findings provide evidence on the lack of PA among older nursing home residents, and the importance of institutional capacity with regard to human resources and physical equipment for promoting PA among people with dementia, in particular. Policies and supports are needed to promote the implementation of healthy aging programs including PA for older nursing home residents. Such programs should be person-centered with consideration to the physical and cognitive status of individual residents.