• Title/Summary/Keyword: Behavior prediction

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Aeroengine performance degradation prediction method considering operating conditions

  • Bangcheng Zhang;Shuo Gao;Zhong Zheng;Guanyu Hu
    • KSII Transactions on Internet and Information Systems (TIIS)
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    • v.17 no.9
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    • pp.2314-2333
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    • 2023
  • It is significant to predict the performance degradation of complex electromechanical systems. Among the existing performance degradation prediction models, belief rule base (BRB) is a model that deal with quantitative data and qualitative information with uncertainty. However, when analyzing dynamic systems where observable indicators change frequently over time and working conditions, the traditional belief rule base (BRB) can not adapt to frequent changes in working conditions, such as the prediction of aeroengine performance degradation considering working condition. For the sake of settling this problem, this paper puts forward a new hidden belief rule base (HBRB) prediction method, in which the performance of aeroengines is regarded as hidden behavior, and operating conditions are used as observable indicators of the HBRB model to describe the hidden behavior to solve the problem of performance degradation prediction under different times and operating conditions. The performance degradation prediction case study of turbofan aeroengine simulation experiments proves the advantages of HBRB model, and the results testify the effectiveness and practicability of this method. Furthermore, it is compared with other advanced forecasting methods. The results testify this model can generate better predictions in aspects of accuracy and interpretability.

Study on abnormal behavior prediction models using flexible multi-level regression (유연성 다중 회귀 모델을 활용한 보행자 이상 행동 예측 모델 연구)

  • Jung, Yu Jin;Yoon, Yong Ik
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • v.27 no.1
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    • pp.1-8
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    • 2016
  • In the recently, violent crime and accidental crime has been generated continuously. Consequently, people anxiety has been heightened. The Closed Circuit Television (CCTV) has been used to ensure the security and evidence for the crimes. However, the video captured from CCTV has being used in the post-processing to apply to the evidence. In this paper, we propose a flexible multi-level models for estimating whether dangerous behavior and the environment and context for pedestrians. The situation analysis builds the knowledge for the pedestrians tracking. Finally, the decision step decides and notifies the threat situation when the behavior observed object is determined to abnormal behavior. Thereby, tracking the behavior of objects in a multi-region, it can be seen that the risk of the object behavior. It can be predicted by the behavior prediction of crime.

An Analysis on Attitudes of University Students in the Prediction of Smoking Behavior (흡연행위 예측을 위한 대학생의 태도 분석)

  • Jung Hyang Mi
    • Child Health Nursing Research
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    • v.4 no.1
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    • pp.128-149
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    • 1998
  • Cigarette smoking has been identified as the single most important source of preventable morbidity and mortality. Smoking behavior varies each individual, so individuality & subjectivity of smoking behavior must be specially focused upon to understand smoking behavior. The purpose of this study was to find attitudes of university students in the prediction of smoking behavior. Q-Methodological method was used as a research design and data were collected during the period from Jan.1, 1997 to Feb. 28, 1998. As the research method, Q-statements were collected through in- depth interviews and a literature review. For the study 33 Q-statements were selected. There were 45 university students as subjects for the research. The 45 university students sorted the 33 statements using the principle of Forced Normal Distribution. The principle of Forced Normal Distribution, which has nine scales to measure the individual opinions, Pc Quanl program was used for analysis and Q-factors were analyzed by using principal component analysis. According to the results of this study, there were four categories of opinion about the smoking behavior in university students. The first type is seeking the habitual dependency. The second type is seeking the stress relief : The third type is seeking the active disapproval : The fourth type is seeking the self control. As a result, The meaning of the smoking behavior is affected by perceived subjective experience, so we need to understand each persons meaning of the smoking behavior and to develop appropriate nursing interventions based on the typology of smoking behavior. Finally, The result of the study will provide basic data for smoking prevention and cessation program.

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Springback prediction of friction stir welded DP590 steel sheets considering permanent softening behavior (영구 연화 거동을 고려한 마찰교반용접(FSW) 된 DP강 판재의 탄성 복원 예측)

  • Park, T.;Lee, W.;Chung, K.H.;Kim, J.H.;Kim, D.;Kim, Chong-Min;Okamoto, Kazutaka;Wagoner, R.H.;Chung, K.
    • Proceedings of the Korean Society for Technology of Plasticity Conference
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    • 2008.10a
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    • pp.304-307
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    • 2008
  • In order to evaluate the effect of permanent softening behavior on springback prediction, 2D-draw bending simulations were compared with experiments for friction stir welded DP590 steel sheets. To account fur the nonlinear hardening behavior, the combined isotropic-kinematic hardening law was utilized with and without considering the permanent softening behavior during reverse loading. Also, the non-quadratic orthotropic yield function, Yld2000-2d, was used to describe the anisotropic initial-yielding behavior of the base sheet while anisotropic properties of the weld zone were ignored for simplicity.

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Finite Element Analysis for the Prediction of Fatigue Crack Opening Behavior Using Cyclic Crack Tip Opening Displacement (되풀이 균열 선단 열림 변위를 이용한 피로 균열 열림 거동 예측을 위한 유한 요소 해석)

  • Choi, Hyeon-Chang
    • Transactions of the Korean Society of Mechanical Engineers A
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    • v.30 no.11 s.254
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    • pp.1455-1460
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    • 2006
  • The relationship between fatigue crack growth behavior and cyclic crack tip opening displacement is studied. An elastic-plastic finite element analysis (FEA) is performed to examine the growth behavior of fatigue crack, where the contact elements are used in the mesh of the crack tip area. We investigate the relationship between the reversed plastic zone size and the changes of the cyclic crack tip opening displacement along the crack growth. We investigate the effect of the element size when predict fatigue crack opening behavior using the cyclic crack tip opening displacement obtained from FEA. The cyclic crack tip opening displacement is related to fatigue crack opening behavior.

Review of stud shear resistance prediction in steel-concrete composite beams

  • Bonilla, Jorge;Bezerra, Luciano M.;Mirambell, Enrique;Massicotte, Bruno
    • Steel and Composite Structures
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    • v.27 no.3
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    • pp.355-370
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    • 2018
  • In steel-concrete composite beams, longitudinal shear forces are transferred across steel flange-concrete slab interface by means of shear connectors. The connector behavior is highly non-linear and involves several complex mechanisms. The design resistance and stiffness of composite beams depends on the shear connection behavior and the accuracy in the connector resistance prediction is essential. However determining the stud shear resistance is not an easy process: analytical methods do not give an adequate response to this problem and it is therefore necessary to use experimental methods. This paper present a summary of the main procedures to predict the resistance of the stud shear connectors embedded in solid slab, and stud shear connectors in composite slab using profiled steel sheeting with rib perpendicular to steel beam. A large number of experimental studies on the behavior of stud shear connectors and reported in the literature are also summarized. A comparison of the stud shear resistance prediction using six reference codes (AISC, AASHTO, Eurocode-4, GB50017, JSCE and AS2327.1) and other procedures reported in the literature against experimental results is presented. From this exercise, it is concluded that there are still inaccuracies in the prediction of stud shear resistance in all analysed procedures and that improvements are needed.

Low Cycle Fatigue Behavior of 12Cr Steel for Thermal Power Plant Steam Turbine (화력발전소 증기터빈용 12Cr 강의 저주기 피로거동)

  • Kang, Myeong-Soo
    • Journal of the Korean Society for Precision Engineering
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    • v.19 no.8
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    • pp.71-76
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    • 2002
  • In this study low cycle fatigue (LCF) behavior of 12Cr steel at high temperature are described. Secondly, comparisons between predicted lives and experimental lives are made for the several sample life prediction models. Two minute hold period in either tension or compression reduce the number of cycles to failure by about a factor of two. Twenty minute hold periods in compression lead to shorter lives than 2 minute hold periods in compression. Experiments showed that life predictions from classical phenomenological models have limitations. More LCF experiments should be pursued to gain understanding of the physical damage mechanisms and to allow the development of physically-based models which can enhance the accuracy of the predictions of components. From a design point-of-view, life prediction has been judged acceptable for these particular loading conditions but extrapolations to thermo-mechanical fatigue loading, for example, require more sophisticated models including physical damage mechanisms.

Prediction of Settlement for the Highly Plastic and Silty Soft Ground Contained of the Organic Deposits (유기질층을 포함한 고소성 실트질 연약지반의 침하 예측)

  • Yoo, Nam-Jae;Kim, Kyum;Yoo, Chang-Sun
    • Journal of Industrial Technology
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    • v.31 no.B
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    • pp.91-98
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    • 2011
  • In this thesis, from the results of settlement measurement performed at the site where embankment earthwork was carried out on the ground consisting of highly plastic and silty soft soils interlayered with organic deposits, various methods of predicting the embankment settlement such as Hoshino's method, Asaoka's method, hyperbolic method, ${\sqrt{s}}$ method and Monden's method were used to investigate their applicability and the inverse method of finding the soil parameter related to consolidation was used to predict the consolidation behavior in the future. It was confirmed that reliable prediction of consolidation behavior under various conditions could be done to estimate soil parameter related to consolidation such as the consolidation index and consolidation coefficient by the inverse method of comparing the measured settlement with the predicted value by the settlement prediction methods.

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Prediction of Long-Term behavior of polyethylene pipe buried underground (지중매설 폴리에틸렌 관의 장기거동 예측)

  • Lee, Jae-Ho;Kim, Bin;Yoon, Soo-Hyun;Kim, Eung-Ho
    • Journal of Korean Society of Water and Wastewater
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    • v.31 no.1
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    • pp.7-12
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    • 2017
  • Most of existing buried pipes are composed of reinforced concrete. Reinforced concrete pipes have many problems such as aging, corrosion, leaking, etc. The polyethylene (PE) pipes have advantages to solve these problems. The plastic pipes buried underground are classified into a flexible pipe. National standard that has limited the long-term vertical deformation of the pipe to 5% for flexible pipes including PE pipe. This study presents a prediction for the long-term behavior of the polyethylene pipe based on ASTM D 5365. This prediction method is presented to estimate by using the statistical method from the initial deflection measurement data. We predict the behavior of long-term performance on the double-wall pipe and multi-wall pipe. As a result, it was found that the PE pipe will be sound enough more than 50 years if the compaction of soil around the pipe is more than 95% of the standard soil compaction density.

Crack Closure and Growth Behavior of Short Fatigue Cracks under Random Loading (Part II : Growth Behavior and Growth Life Prediction) (짧은 피로균열의 랜덤하중하의 균열닫힘 및 진전거동(Part II : 진전거동 및 진전수명예측))

  • Lee, Shin-Young;Song, Ji-Ho
    • Proceedings of the KSME Conference
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    • 2000.11a
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    • pp.141-146
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    • 2000
  • Crack closure and growth behavior of physically short fatigue cracks under random loading are investigated by performing narrow- and wide-band random loading tests for various stress ratios. The importance of the crack closure phenomenon is examined by predicting the growth lives of short cracks using obtained crack opening behavior. Artificially prepared two-dimensional, short through-thickness cracks are used. The crack opening load of short cracks is much lower under random loading than under constant-amplitude loading corresponding to the largest load cycle in a random load history. This result indicates that the largest load cycle in a random load history has an effect to enhance crack opening of short cracks. Most of the life prediction ratios are within the factor of 2 scatter band except several data at very short crack sizes, indicating that crack growth predictions based on the measured crack opening data are excellent. From the results obtained in this study, it can be concluded that crack closure is the primary factor governing fatigue crack growth of short cracks under random loading as well as under constant-amplitude loading.

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