• 제목/요약/키워드: Bayesian optimization

검색결과 94건 처리시간 0.036초

Real-Time Stochastic Optimum Control of Traffic Signals

  • Lee, Hee-Hyol
    • Journal of information and communication convergence engineering
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    • 제11권1호
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    • pp.30-44
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    • 2013
  • Traffic congestion has become a serious problem with the recent exponential increase in the number of vehicles. In urban areas, almost all traffic congestion occurs at intersections. One of the ways to solve this problem is road expansion, but it is difficult to realize in urban areas because of the high cost and long construction period. In such cases, traffic signal control is a reasonable method for reducing traffic jams. In an actual situation, the traffic flow changes randomly and its randomness makes the control of traffic signals difficult. A prediction of traffic jams is, therefore, necessary and effective for reducing traffic jams. In addition, an autonomous distributed (stand-alone) point control of each traffic light individually is better than the wide and/or line control of traffic lights from the perspective of real-time control. This paper describes a stochastic optimum control of crossroads and multi-way traffic signals. First, a stochastic model of traffic flows and traffic jams is constructed by using a Bayesian network. Secondly, the probabilistic distributions of the traffic flows are estimated by using a cellular automaton, and then the probabilistic distributions of traffic jams are predicted. Thirdly, optimum traffic signals of crossroads and multi-way intersection are searched by using a modified particle swarm optimization algorithm to realize real-time traffic control. Finally, simulations are carried out to confirm the effectiveness of the real-time stochastic optimum control of traffic signals.

Wireless sensor network design for large-scale infrastructures health monitoring with optimal information-lifespan tradeoff

  • Xiao-Han, Hao;Sin-Chi, Kuok;Ka-Veng, Yuen
    • Smart Structures and Systems
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    • 제30권6호
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    • pp.583-599
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    • 2022
  • In this paper, a multi-objective wireless sensor network configuration optimization method is proposed. The proposed method aims to determine the optimal information and lifespan wireless sensor network for structural health monitoring of large-scale infrastructures. In particular, cluster-based wireless sensor networks with multi-type of sensors are considered. To optimize the lifetime of the wireless sensor network, a cluster-based network optimization algorithm that optimizes the arrangement of cluster heads and base station is developed. On the other hand, based on the Bayesian inference, the uncertainty of the estimated parameters can be quantified. The coefficient of variance of the estimated parameters can be obtained, which is utilized as a holistic measure to evaluate the estimation accuracy of sensor configurations with multi-type of sensors. The proposed method provides the optimal wireless sensor network configuration that satisfies the required estimation accuracy with the longest lifetime. The proposed method is illustrated by designing the optimal wireless sensor network configuration of a cable-stayed bridge and a space truss.

순환여과식 양식장 해수 열원 히트펌프 시스템의 전력 소비량 예측을 위한 인공 신경망 모델 (Power consumption prediction model based on artificial neural networks for seawater source heat pump system in recirculating aquaculture system fish farm)

  • 정현석;류종혁;정석권
    • 수산해양기술연구
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    • 제60권1호
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    • pp.87-99
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    • 2024
  • This study deals with the application of an artificial neural network (ANN) model to predict power consumption for utilizing seawater source heat pumps of recirculating aquaculture system. An integrated dynamic simulation model was constructed using the TRNSYS program to obtain input and output data for the ANN model to predict the power consumption of the recirculating aquaculture system with a heat pump system. Data obtained from the TRNSYS program were analyzed using linear regression, and converted into optimal data necessary for the ANN model through normalization. To optimize the ANN-based power consumption prediction model, the hyper parameters of ANN were determined using the Bayesian optimization. ANN simulation results showed that ANN models with optimized hyper parameters exhibited acceptably high predictive accuracy conforming to ASHRAE standards.

크리깅 기반 차원감소법을 이용한 베이지안 신뢰도 해석 (Bayesian Reliability Analysis Using Kriging Dimension Reduction Method(KDRM))

  • 안다운;최주호;원준호
    • 한국전산구조공학회논문집
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    • 제21권3호
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    • pp.275-280
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    • 2008
  • 신뢰성 기반 형상 최적화(RBDO)글 위한 기술은 한정된 정보로 인한 인식론적 불확실성을 다룰 수 있는 베이지안 접근에 근거하여 발달된다. 최근까지, 전통적인 RBDO는 측정 데이터가 무한히 많아서 확실한 확률정보를 알고 있다는 가정 하에 실행되었다. 하지만 실제로는, 부족한 데이터로 인해 기존의 RBDO 방법의 유용성을 떨어뜨린다. 본 연구에서는, 확률정보의 불확실성을 인식하고, 따라서 산포를 갖게 되는 시스템 신뢰도의 확률 분포에서의 신뢰수준의 하한 값을 고려하기 위해 '베이지안 신뢰성'이 소개된다. 이런 경우, 베이지안 신뢰성 해석은 기존 신뢰도 해석의 이중 해석을 요구하게 된다. 크리깅 기반 차원 감소 방법(KDRM)은 신뢰도 해석을 위한 새로운 효율적인 방법으로써 사용되며, 제시된 방법은 몇 가지 수치예제를 사용하여 설명된다.

Hybrid GA-ANN and PSO-ANN methods for accurate prediction of uniaxial compression capacity of CFDST columns

  • Quang-Viet Vu;Sawekchai Tangaramvong;Thu Huynh Van;George Papazafeiropoulos
    • Steel and Composite Structures
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    • 제47권6호
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    • pp.759-779
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    • 2023
  • The paper proposes two hybrid metaheuristic optimization and artificial neural network (ANN) methods for the close prediction of the ultimate axial compressive capacity of concentrically loaded concrete filled double skin steel tube (CFDST) columns. Two metaheuristic optimization, namely genetic algorithm (GA) and particle swarm optimization (PSO), approaches enable the dynamic training architecture underlying an ANN model by optimizing the number and sizes of hidden layers as well as the weights and biases of the neurons, simultaneously. The former is termed as GA-ANN, and the latter as PSO-ANN. These techniques utilize the gradient-based optimization with Bayesian regularization that enhances the optimization process. The proposed GA-ANN and PSO-ANN methods construct the predictive ANNs from 125 available experimental datasets and present the superior performance over standard ANNs. Both the hybrid GA-ANN and PSO-ANN methods are encoded within a user-friendly graphical interface that can reliably map out the accurate ultimate axial compressive capacity of CFDST columns with various geometry and material parameters.

베이지안 접근법을 이용한 입력변수 및 근사모델 불확실성 하에 서의 신뢰성 분석 (Reliability Analysis Under Input Variable and Metamodel Uncertainty Using Simulation Method Based on Bayesian Approach)

  • 안다운;원준호;김은정;최주호
    • 대한기계학회논문집A
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    • 제33권10호
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    • pp.1163-1170
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    • 2009
  • Reliability analysis is of great importance in the advanced product design, which is to evaluate reliability due to the associated uncertainties. There are three types of uncertainties: the first is the aleatory uncertainty which is related with inherent physical randomness that is completely described by a suitable probability model. The second is the epistemic uncertainty, which results from the lack of knowledge due to the insufficient data. These two uncertainties are encountered in the input variables such as dimensional tolerances, material properties and loading conditions. The third is the metamodel uncertainty which arises from the approximation of the response function. In this study, an integrated method for the reliability analysis is proposed that can address all these uncertainties in a single Bayesian framework. Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) method is employed to facilitate the simulation of the posterior distribution. Mathematical and engineering examples are used to demonstrate the proposed method.

인공지능기법을 이용한 초음파분무화학기상증착의 유동해석 결과분석에 관한 연구 (A Study on CFD Result Analysis of Mist-CVD using Artificial Intelligence Method )

  • 하주환;신석윤;김준영;변창우
    • 반도체디스플레이기술학회지
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    • 제22권1호
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    • pp.134-138
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    • 2023
  • This study focuses on the analysis of the results of computational fluid dynamics simulations of mist-chemical vapor deposition for the growth of an epitaxial wafer in power semiconductor technology using artificial intelligence techniques. The conventional approach of predicting the uniformity of the deposited layer using computational fluid dynamics and design of experimental takes considerable time. To overcome this, artificial intelligence method, which is widely used for optimization, automation, and prediction in various fields, was utilized to analyze the computational fluid dynamics simulation results. The computational fluid dynamics simulation results were analyzed using a supervised deep neural network model for regression analysis. The predicted results were evaluated quantitatively using Euclidean distance calculations. And the Bayesian optimization was used to derive the optimal condition, which results obtained through deep neural network training showed a discrepancy of approximately 4% when compared to the results obtained through computational fluid dynamics analysis. resulted in an increase of 146.2% compared to the previous computational fluid dynamics simulation results. These results are expected to have practical applications in various fields.

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A Novel Method for a Reliable Classifier using Gradients

  • Han, Euihwan;Cha, Hyungtai
    • IEIE Transactions on Smart Processing and Computing
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    • 제6권1호
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    • pp.18-20
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    • 2017
  • In this paper, we propose a new classification method to complement a $na{\ddot{i}}ve$ Bayesian classifier. This classifier assumes data distribution to be Gaussian, finds the discriminant function, and derives the decision curve. However, this method does not investigate finding the decision curve in much detail, and there are some minor problems that arise in finding an accurate discriminant function. Our findings also show that this method could produce errors when finding the decision curve. The aim of this study has therefore been to investigate existing problems and suggest a more reliable classification method. To do this, we utilize the gradient to find the decision curve. We then compare/analyze our algorithm with the $na{\ddot{i}}ve$ Bayesian method. Performance evaluation indicates that the average accuracy of our classification method is about 10% higher than $na{\ddot{i}}ve$ Bayes.

모델의 사전 확률 추정을 이용한 HMM 구조의 최적화 (HMM Topology Optimization using Model Prior Estimation)

  • 하진영;박미나
    • 한국정보과학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국정보과학회 2001년도 가을 학술발표논문집 Vol.28 No.2 (2)
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    • pp.325-327
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    • 2001
  • 본 논문은 온라인 문자 인식을 연속 밀도 HMM의 구조의 최적화 문제를 다룬다. 최적이란 최소한의 모델 파라미터를 사용하여 최소한의 오류를 허용하는 것이라고 정의할 수 있다. 본 연구에서는 HMM 구조의 최적화를 위해 Bayesian 모델 선택 방법론을 사용한다. 먼저 잘 알려진 BIC(Bayesian Information Criterion)을 적용해보고, 그것을 HMM의 복잡한 구조에 적합하도록 본 논문에서 제안한 HBIC(HMM-Oriented BIC)와 비교해본다. BIC는 모델의 사전 확률 분포를 추정하지 않고 다변량 정규분포라고 가정하는데 비해 HBIC는 모델의 각 파라미터로부터 사전 확률을 추정한 후 그것들을 사용함으로써 더 좋은 결과를 얻도록 한다. 실험 결과 BIC와 HBIC 둘 다 기존 방법보다 모델의 파라미터 수를 현저히 감소시킴을 확인했고, HBIC가 BIC에 비해 더 적은 수의 파라미터를 사용해도 비슷한 인식률을 얻을 수 있었다.

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연속 변수 함수 최적화를 위한 Variational 혼합 인자 분석 베이지안 진화 연산 (Bayesian Evolutionary Computation by Variational Mixtures of Factor Analyzers for Continuous Function Optimization)

  • 조동연;장병탁
    • 한국정보과학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국정보과학회 2005년도 한국컴퓨터종합학술대회 논문집 Vol.32 No.1 (B)
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    • pp.697-699
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    • 2005
  • 연속 변수 함수 최적화를 위한 진화 연산에서는 전통적으로 확률 분포를 도입하여 새로운 세대를 생성하는 기법을 사용하고 있다. 최근 들어 이러한 확률 분포를 개체군으로부터 추정하여 보다 효율적으로 최적화를 해결하려는 연구가 진행되고 있다. 본 논문에서는 variational 베이지안 혼합 인자 분석 기법(Bayesian mixtures of factor analyzers)을 사용한 개체군의 분포 추정을 통해 연속 변수 함수의 최적화 문제를 해결하는 방법을 제안한다. 이 기법은 혼합 분포의 개수 추정을 자동화하여 개체군의 다양성을 유지할 수 있기 때문에 지역 최적점으로 일찍 수렴하는 현상을 방지할 수 있으며, 세부 개체군 내의 분포 추정을 통해 탐색을 효율적으로 수행할 수 있다. 잘 알려진 평가 함수들에 대하여 다른 분포 추정 진화 연산과 비교하여 제안하는 방법의 우수성을 검증하였다.

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