• Transactions of the Korean Society of Mechanical Engineers A
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• v.37 no.9
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• pp.1133-1140
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• 2013

A computer model is a useful tool that provides solution via physical modeling instead of expensive testing. In reality, however, it often does not agree with the experimental data owing to simplifying assumption and unknown or uncertain input parameters. In this study, a Bayesian approach is proposed to calibrate the computer model in a probabilistic manner using the measured data. The elasto-plastic analysis of a pyrotechnically actuated device (PAD) is employed to demonstrate this approach, which is a component that delivers high power in remote environments by the combustion of a self-contained energy source. A simple mathematical model that quickly evaluates the performance is developed. Unknown input parameters are calibrated conditional on the experimental data using the Markov Chain Monte Carlo algorithm, which is a modern computational statistics method. Finally, the results are applied to determine the reliability of the PAD.

• Proceedings of the Korean Institute of Information and Commucation Sciences Conference
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• 2012.10a
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• pp.547-549
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• 2012

Forex trading participants, due to the intensified economic internationalization exchange risk avoidance measures are needed. In this research, Model suitable for estimation of time-series data, such as stock prices and exchange rates, through the concealment of HMM and estimate the short-term exchange rate forecasting model is applied to the prediction of the future. Estimated by applying the optimal model if the real exchange rate data for a certain period of the future will be able to predict the movement aspect of it. Alleged concealment of HMM. For the estimation of the model to accurately estimate the number of states of the model via Bayesian Information Criterion was confirmed as a model predictive aspect of physical exercise aspect and predict the movement of the two curves were similar.

• Journal of the Korean Institute of Intelligent Systems
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• v.21 no.4
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• pp.512-517
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• 2011

In this paper, we propose an Active Shape Model (ASM) and Lucas-Kanade (LK) optical flow-based feature extraction and analysis method for analyzing the emotional features from facial images. Considering the facial emotion feature regions are described by Facial Action Coding System, we construct the feature-related shape models based on the combination of landmarks and extract the LK optical flow vectors at each landmarks based on the centre pixels of motion vector window. The facial emotion features are modelled by the combination of the optical flow vectors and the emotional states of facial image can be estimated by the probabilistic estimation technique, such as Bayesian classifier. Also, we extract the optimal emotional features that are considered the high correlation between feature points and emotional states by using common spatial pattern (CSP) analysis in order to improvise the operational efficiency and accuracy of emotional feature extraction process.

• Journal of KIISE
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• v.42 no.2
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• pp.190-202
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• 2015

Much research has been conducted on location-based intelligent personal assistants that can understand a user's intention by learning the user's route model and then inferring the user's destinations and routes using data of GPS and other sensors in a smartphone. The intelligence of the location-based personal assistant is contingent on the accuracy and efficiency of the real-time predictions of the user's intended destinations and routes by processing movement information based on uncertain sensor data. We propose a robust particle filter based on Dynamic Bayesian Network model to infer the user's routes. The proposed robust particle filter includes a particle generator to supplement the incorrect and incomplete sensor information, an efficient switching function and an weight function to reduce the computation complexity as well as a resampler to enhance the accuracy of the particles. The proposed method improves the accuracy and efficiency of determining a user's routes and destinations.

• Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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• v.27 no.5
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• pp.1119-1131
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• 2016

The Neyman-Scott Rectangular Pulses Model (NSRPM) is mainly used to construct hourly rainfall series. This model uses a modest number of parameters to represent the rainfall processes and underlying physical phenomena, such as the arrival of storms or rain cells. In NSRPM, the method of moments has often been used because it is difficult to know the distribution of rainfall intensity. Recently, approximated likelihood function for NSRPM has been introduced. In this paper, we propose a hierarchical model for applying a spatial structure to the NSRPM parameters using the approximated likelihood function. The proposed method is applied to summer hourly precipitation data observed at 59 weather stations (Korea Meteorological Administration) from 1973 to 2011.

• YAKHAK HOEJI
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• v.39 no.2
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• pp.103-112
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• 1995

Population pharmacokinetics for gentamicin were compared with 24 American patients (16 male and 8 female) and 16 Korean-American appendicitis patients(12 male and 4 female). Two to six blood specimens were collected from all patients at the following times: just before a regularly scheduled infusion and at 1/2 hour after the end of a 1/2 hour infusion. Nonparametric expected maximum(NPEM) algorithm for population modeling was used. The estimated parameters were the elimination rate constant(K), the slope of the relationship between K versus creatinine clearance(KS), the apparent volume of distribution(V), the slope of the relationship between V versus weight(VS), gentamicin clearance(CL) and the slope of the relationship between CL versus creatinine clearance and the VS(CS). The output includes a 3-dimensional plot of the joint probability density function(PDF), two marginal PDF, means, medians, modes, variance, skewness, kurtosis, and CV%. The mean K(KS) were 0.424$\pm$0.139(0.00429$\pm$0.00164) and 0.411$\pm$0.135 hr$^{-1}$ (0.00475$\pm$0.00180[hr.mL/min/1.73m$^{2}]^{-1}$) for American and Korean-American populations, respectively. The mean V(VS) were not different at 15.6$\pm$4.77(0.233$\pm$0.0526) and 15.1$\pm$3.84L(0.239$\pm$0.0492 L/kg) for American and Korean-American populations, respectively (P>0.2). The mean CL (CS) were 6.28$\pm$1.85(0.0634$\pm$0.0191) and 5.70$\pm$1.77 L/hr(0.0701$\pm$0.0215 L/kg[hr.mL/min/1.73m$^{2}$)] for American and Korean-American populations, respectively. There are no differences in gentamicin pharmacokinetics between American and Korean-American Appendicitis patients.

• The Journal of Korean Institute of Communications and Information Sciences
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• v.41 no.2
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• pp.277-284
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• 2016

Various network attacks such as DDoS(Distributed Denial of service) and orm are one of the biggest problems in the modern society. These attacks reduce the quality of internet service and caused the cyber crime. To solve the above problem, signature based IDS(Intrusion Detection System) has been developed by network vendors. It has a high detection rate by using database of previous attack signatures or known malicious traffic pattern. However, signature based IDS have the fatal weakness that the new types of attacks can not be detected. The reason is signature depend on previous attack signatures. In this paper, we propose a k-means clustering based malicious traffic detection method to complement the problem of signature IDS. In order to demonstrate efficiency of the proposed method, we apply the bayesian theorem.

• Journal of Internet of Things and Convergence
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• v.2 no.2
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• pp.1-6
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• 2016

Recently, various types of wearable computers have been studied. In this paper, we analyze the characteristics of head motion information for the operation of the motion classifier produced motion headset that the user can use while listening to music. The prototype receives music from smart phone over bluetooth communications, and transmits the motion information measured by the acceleration sensor to the smart phone. And the smartphone classifies the motion of the head through a motion classifier. we implemented a prototype for our experiment. The user's head motion "up", "down", "left" and "right" were classified using a Bayesian classifier. As a result, in case of the movement of the head "up" and "down", there are a large changes in the x, z-axis values. In future we have a plan to perform a user study to find suitable variables for creating motion classifier.

• Korean Journal of Remote Sensing
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• v.21 no.6
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• pp.493-503
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• 2005

In this study, the weight of evidence(WofE) technique based on GIS was applied to spatially estimate the groundwater yield characteristics at the Pocheon area In Gyunggi-do. The groundwater preservation depends on many hydro-geologic factors that include hydrologic data, land-use data, topographic data, geological map and other natural materials collected at the site, even with man-made things. All these data can be digitally processed and managed by GIS database. In the applied technique of WofE, the prior probabilities were estimated as the factors that affect the yield on lineament, geology, drainage pattern or river system density, landuse and soil. We calculated the value of the weight values, W+ and W-, of each factor and estimated the contrast value of it. Results by the groundwater yield characteristic computation using this scheme were presented feasibility map in the form of the posterior probability to the consideration of in-situ samples. It is concluded that this technique is regarded as one of the effective techniques for the feasibility mapping related to the estimation of groundwater-bearing potential zones and its spatial pattern.

• Journal of the Korea Institute of Information and Communication Engineering
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• v.25 no.8
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• pp.1013-1018
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• 2021

Due to the recent accident caused by the automated vehicle, discussions on the ethical aspects of AI have been actively underway. This paper confirms that AI is inevitably connected to ethical components through the concepts and techniques related to robots-AI, and argues that ethical aspects are built-in, not post facto. Furthermore, this devises a solution to the trolley dilemma that can serve as a clue to ethical problems associated with automated vehicles. Preferentially, that process contains writing Bayesian networks. Next, only important and influential data are left after the pre-processing stage, and crowd-sourcing & extrapolation is used to calculate the exact figures of the networks. Through this process, this argues that humans' subjects are certainly included in implementing algorithms and models and discusses the necessity and direction of engineering liberal arts, especially education of ethics that distinguished from major education to prevent distortions and biases abouts AI systems.