• Title/Summary/Keyword: Bayesian

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Data Association and Its Applications to Intelligent Systems: A Review (데이터 연관 문제와 지능시스템에서의 응용: 리뷰)

  • Oh, Song-Hwai
    • Journal of the Institute of Electronics Engineers of Korea SC
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    • v.49 no.3
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    • pp.1-11
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    • 2012
  • Data association plays an important role in intelligent systems. This paper presents the Bayesian formulation of data association and its applications to intelligent systems. We first describe the Bayesian formulation of data association developed for solving multi-target tracking problems in a cluttered environment. Then we review applications of data association in intelligent systems, including surveillance using wireless sensor networks, identity management for air traffic control, camera network localization, and multi-sensor fusion.

Motivation-Based Action Selection Mechanism with Bayesian Affordance Models for Intelligence Robot (지능로봇의 동기 기반 행동선택을 위한 베이지안 행동유발성 모델)

  • Son, Gwang-Hee;Lee, Sang-Hyoung;Huh, Il-Hong
    • Proceedings of the IEEK Conference
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    • 2009.05a
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    • pp.264-266
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    • 2009
  • A skill is defined as the special ability to do something well, especially as acquired by learning and practice. To learn a skill, a Bayesian network model for representing the skill is first learned. We will regard the Bayesian network for a skill as an affordance. We propose a soft Behavior Motivation(BM) switch as a method for ordering affordances to accomplish a task. Then, a skill is constructed as a combination of an affordance and a soft BM switch. To demonstrate the validity of our proposed method, some experiments were performed with GENIBO(Pet robot) performing a task using skills of Search-a-target-object, Approach-a-target-object, Push-up-in front of -a-target-object.

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A Suboptimal Algorithm of the Optimal Bayesian Filter Based on the Receding Horizon Strategy

  • Kim, Yong-Shik;Hong, Keum-Shik
    • International Journal of Control, Automation, and Systems
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    • v.1 no.2
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    • pp.163-170
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    • 2003
  • The optimal Bayesian filter for a single target is known to provide the best tracking performance in a cluttered environment. However, its main drawback is the increase in memory size and computation quantity over time. In this paper, the inevitable predicament of the optimal Bayesian filter is resolved in a suboptimal fashion through the use of a receding horizon strategy. As a result, the problems of memory and computational requirements are diminished. As a priori information, the horizon initial state is estimated from the validated measurements on the receding horizon. Consequently, the suboptimal algorithm proposed allows for real time implementation.

Reliability analysis for fatigue damage of railway welded bogies using Bayesian update based inspection

  • Zuo, Fang-Jun;Li, Yan-Feng;Huang, Hong-Zhong
    • Smart Structures and Systems
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    • v.22 no.2
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    • pp.193-200
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    • 2018
  • From the viewpoint of engineering applications, the prediction of the failure of bogies plays an important role in preventing the occurrence of fatigue. Fatigue is a complex phenomenon affected by many uncertainties (such as load, environment, geometrical and material properties, and so on). The key to predict fatigue damage accurately is how to quantify these uncertainties. A Bayesian model is used to account for the uncertainty of various sources when predicting fatigue damage of structural components. In spite of improvements in the design of fatigue-sensitive structures, periodic non-destructive inspections are required for components. With the help of modern nondestructive inspection techniques, the fatigue flaws can be detected for bogie structures, and fatigue reliability can be updated by using Bayesian theorem with inspection data. A practical fatigue analysis of welded bogies is utilized to testify the effectiveness of the proposed methods.

Geostatistics for Bayesian interpretation of geophysical data

  • Oh Seokhoon;Lee Duk Kee;Yang Junmo;Youn Yong-Hoon
    • 한국지구물리탐사학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 2003.11a
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    • pp.340-343
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    • 2003
  • This study presents a practical procedure for the Bayesian inversion of geophysical data by Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) sampling and geostatistics. We have applied geostatistical techniques for the acquisition of prior model information, and then the MCMC method was adopted to infer the characteristics of the marginal distributions of model parameters. For the Bayesian inversion of dipole-dipole array resistivity data, we have used the indicator kriging and simulation techniques to generate cumulative density functions from Schlumberger array resistivity data and well logging data, and obtained prior information by cokriging and simulations from covariogram models. The indicator approach makes it possible to incorporate non-parametric information into the probabilistic density function. We have also adopted the MCMC approach, based on Gibbs sampling, to examine the characteristics of a posteriori probability density function and the marginal distribution of each parameter. This approach provides an effective way to treat Bayesian inversion of geophysical data and reduce the non-uniqueness by incorporating various prior information.

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Bayesian Analysis for Heat Effects on Mortality

  • Jo, Young-In;Lim, Youn-Hee;Kim, Ho;Lee, Jae-Yong
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • v.19 no.5
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    • pp.705-720
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    • 2012
  • In this paper, we introduce a hierarchical Bayesian model to simultaneously estimate the thresholds of each 6 cities. It was noted in the literature there was a dramatic increases in the number of deaths if the mean temperature passes a certain value (that we call a threshold). We estimate the difference of mortality before and after the threshold. For the hierarchical Bayesian analysis, some proper prior distribution of parameters and hyper-parameters are assumed. By combining the Gibbs and Metropolis-Hastings algorithm, we constructed a Markov chain Monte Carlo algorithm and the posterior inference was based on the posterior sample. The analysis shows that the estimates of the threshold are located at $25^{\circ}C{\sim}29^{\circ}C$ and the mortality around the threshold changes from -1% to 2~13%.

Bayesian Spatiotemporal Modeling in Epidemiology: Hepatitis A Incidence Data in Korea (역학분야에서의 베이지안 공간시간 모델링: 한국 A형 간염 자료)

  • Choi, Jungsoon
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.27 no.6
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    • pp.933-945
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    • 2014
  • Bayesian spatiotemporal analysis is of considerable interest to epidemiological applications because health data is collected over space-time with complicated dependency structures. A basic concept in spatiotemporal modeling is introduced in this paper to analyze space-time disease data. The paper reviews a range of Bayesian spatiotemporal models and analyzes Hepatitis A data in Korea.

Bayesian Testing for the Equality of K-Exponential Populations (K개 지수분포의 상등에 관한 베이지안 다중검정)

  • Moon, Kyoung-Ae;Kim, Dal-Ho
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • v.12 no.1
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    • pp.41-50
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    • 2001
  • We propose the Bayesian testing for the equality of K-exponential populations means. Specially we use the intrinsic Bayesian factors suggested by Beregr and Perrichi (1996,1998) based on the noninformative priors for the parameters. And, we investigate the usefulness of the proposed Bayesian testing procedures via simulations.

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Bayesian Testing for the Equality of Two Lognormal Populations with the fractional Bayes factor (부분 베이즈요인을 이용한 로그정규분포의 상등에 관한 베이지안검정)

  • Moon, Kyoung-Ae;Kim, Dal-Ho
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • v.12 no.1
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    • pp.51-59
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    • 2001
  • We propose the Bayesian testing for the equality of two Lognormal population means. Specially we use the fractional Bayesian factors suggested by O'Hagan (1995) based on the noninformative priors for the parameters. In order to investigate the usefulness of the proposed Bayesian testing procedures, we compare it with classical tests via both real data analysis and simulations.

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APPROXIMATE CONFIDENCE LIMITS OF THE RELIABILITY PERFORMANCES FOR A COLD STANDBY SERIES SYSTEM

  • SHI YIMIN;SRI XIAOLIN;XU YONG
    • Journal of applied mathematics & informatics
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    • v.19 no.1_2
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    • pp.439-445
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    • 2005
  • This paper is to investigate the approximate confidence limits of the reliability performances (such as failure rate, reliability function and average life) for a cold standby series system. The Bayesian approximate upper confidence limit of failure rate is obtained firstly, and next Bayesian approximate lower confidence limits for reliability function and average life are presented. The expressions for calculating Bayesian lower confidence limits of the reliability function and average life are also obtained, and an illustrative example is examined numerically by means of the Monte-Carlo simulation. Finally, the accuracy of confidence limits is discussed.