• Title/Summary/Keyword: Baseball game data

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A Study on Prediction of Baseball Game Based on Linear Regression

  • LEE, Kwang-Keun;HWANG, Seung-Ho
    • Korean Journal of Artificial Intelligence
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    • v.7 no.2
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    • pp.13-17
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    • 2019
  • Currently, the sports market continues to grow every year, and among them, professional baseball's entry income is larger than the rest of the professional league. In sports, strategies are used differently in different situations, and the analysis is based on data to decide which direction to implement. There is a part that a person misses in an analysis, and there is a possibility of a false analysis by subjective judgment. So, if this data analysis is done through artificial intelligence, the objective analysis is possible, and the strategy can be more rationalized, which helps to win the game. The most popular baseball to be applied to artificial intelligence to analyze athletes' strengths and weaknesses and then efficiently establish strategies to ease the competition. The data applied to the experiment were provided on the KBO official website, and the algorithms for forecasting applied linear regression. The results showed that the accuracy was 87%, and the standard error was ±5. Although the results of the experiment were not enough data, it would be possible to effectively use baseball strategies and predict the results of the game if the amount of data and regular data can be applied in the future.

Visual Representation and Applications of Hitting Direction in Korean Baseball Records

  • Hong, Chong-Sun;Park, Ha-Soo
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • v.19 no.2
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    • pp.539-549
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    • 2008
  • Most important thing in professional baseball game among all kinds of sports is the winning. Both coaches and players collected and analyzed lots of game data to get a victory. In this paper, batting data are analyzed so as to represent informations of hitting direction visually. This method could be provided a lot of useful information about hitting direction of a specific batter or a team to not only coaches, players but also the audience.

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Measuring the accuracy of the Pythagorean theorem in Korean pro-baseball (한국프로야구에서의 피타고라스 정리의 정확도 측정)

  • Lee, Jangtaek
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • v.26 no.3
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    • pp.653-659
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    • 2015
  • The Pythagorean formula for baseball postulated by James (1982) indicates the winning percentage as a function of runs scored and runs allowed. However sometimes, the Pythagorean formula gives a less accurate estimate of winning percentage. We use the records of team vs team historic win loss records of Korean professional baseball clubs season from 2005 and 2014. Using assumption that the difference between winning percentage and pythagorean expectation are affected by unusual distribution of runs scored and allowed, we suppose that difference depends on mean, standard deviation, and coefficient of variation of runs scored per game and runs allowed per game, respectively. In conclusion, the discrepancy is mainly related to the coefficient of variation and standard deviation for run allowed per game regardless of run scored per game.

The Effectiveness of CRM Approach in Improving the Profitability of Korea Professional Baseball Industry Measured by Entropy of ID3 Decision Tree Algorithm

  • Oh, Se-Kyung;Gwak, Chung-Lee;Lee, Mi-Young
    • Journal of Information Technology Applications and Management
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    • v.18 no.3
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    • pp.91-110
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    • 2011
  • Korea professional baseball industry has grown to take the lion's share of the domestic sports industry, but still does not make break even. The purpose of this study is to examine the financial impact of adopting the Customer Relation Management (CRM) approach on the profitability of Korea professional baseball industry. We use a measuring tool called entropy used in ID3 decision tree algorithm. In the paper, we specify five the most important factors that affect spectator satisfaction based on the previous literature, perform survey analysis, calculate entropy values, and find the results. We predicted the change in revenues when we adopt CRM by checking the spectators' willingness to pay more when the conditions of each factor are improved. We find that we can reap significant fruits of the effect of CRM introduction through enhancing 'game content factor' and 'game promotion factor' among the five factors. We also find that we can increase the revenues of domestic professional baseball teams to 2.4 times or 2.1 times the current level if we manage intensively those two factors respectively. It is very surprising to see that the improvement in total revenues makes both ends meet for domestic professional baseball teams. This clearly demonstrates the effectiveness of CRM approach in improving the profitability of organizations.

A Win/Lose prediction model of Korean professional baseball using machine learning technique

  • Seo, Yeong-Jin;Moon, Hyung-Woo;Woo, Yong-Tae
    • Journal of the Korea Society of Computer and Information
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    • v.24 no.2
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    • pp.17-24
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    • 2019
  • In this paper, we propose a new model for predicting effective Win/Loss in professional baseball game in Korea using machine learning technique. we used basic baseball data and Sabermetrics data, which are highly correlated with score to predict and we used the deep learning technique to learn based on supervised learning. The Drop-Out algorithm and the ReLu activation function In the trained neural network, the expected odds was calculated using the predictions of the team's expected scores and expected loss. The team with the higher expected rate of victory was predicted as the winning team. In order to verify the effectiveness of the proposed model, we compared the actual percentage of win, pythagorean expectation, and win percentage of the proposed model.

Convergence characteristics of Pythagorean winning percentage in baseball (야구 피타고라스 승률의 수렴특성)

  • Lee, Jangtaek
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • v.27 no.6
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    • pp.1477-1485
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    • 2016
  • The Pythagorean theorem for baseball based on the number of runs they scored and allowed has been noted that in many baseball leagues a good predictor of a team's end of season won-loss percentage. We study the convergence characteristics of the Pythagorean expectation formula during the baseball game season. The three way ANOVA based on main effects for year, rank, and baseball processing rate is conducted on the basis of using the historical data of Korean professional baseball clubs from season 2005 to 2014. We perform a regression analysis in order to predict the difference in winning percentage between teams. In conclusion, a difference in winning percentage is mainly associated with the ranking of teams and baseball processing rate.

Win/Lose Prediction System : Predicting Baseball Game Results using a Hybrid Machine Learning Model (혼합형 기계 학습 모델을 이용한 프로야구 승패 예측 시스템)

  • 홍석미;정경숙;정태충
    • Journal of KIISE:Computing Practices and Letters
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    • v.9 no.6
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    • pp.693-698
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    • 2003
  • Every baseball game generates various records and on the basis of those records, win/lose prediction about the next game is carried out. Researches on win/lose predictions of professional baseball games have been carried out, but there are not so good results yet. Win/lose prediction is very difficult because the choice of features on win/lose predictions among many records is difficult and because the complexity of a learning model is increased due to overlapping factors among the data used in prediction. In this paper, learning features were chosen by opinions of baseball experts and a heuristic function was formed using the chosen features. We propose a hybrid model by creating a new value which can affect predictions by combining multiple features, and thus reducing a dimension of input value which will be used for backpropagation learning algorithm. As the experimental results show, the complexity of backpropagation was reduced and the accuracy of win/lose predictions on professional baseball games was improved.

A Statistical Analysis of Professional Baseball Team Data: The Case of the Lotte Giants

  • Cho, Young-Seuk;Han, Jun-Tae;Park, Chan-Keun;Heo, Tae-Young
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.23 no.6
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    • pp.1191-1199
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    • 2010
  • Knowing what factors into a player's ability to affect the outcome of a sports game is crucial. This knowledge helps determine the relative degree of contribution by each team member as well as sets appropriate annual salaries. This study uses statistical analysis to investigate how much the outcome of a professional baseball game is influenced by the records of individual players. We used the Lotte Giants' data on 252 games played between 2007 and 2008 that included environmental data(home or away games and opponents) as well as pitchers' and batters' data. Using a SAS Enterprise Miner, we performed a logistic regression analysis and decision tree analysis on the data. The results obtained through the two analytic methods are compared and discussed.

A Study on the Timing of Starting Pitcher Replacement Using Machine Learning (머신러닝을 활용한 선발 투수 교체시기에 관한 연구)

  • Noh, Seongjin;Noh, Mijin;Han, Mumoungcho;Um, Sunhyun;Kim, Yangsok
    • Smart Media Journal
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    • v.11 no.2
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    • pp.9-17
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    • 2022
  • The purpose of this study is to implement a predictive model to support decision-making to replace a starting pitcher before a crisis situation in a baseball game. To this end, using the Major League Statcast data provided by Baseball Savant, we implement a predictive model that preemptively replaces starting pitchers before a crisis situation. To this end, first, the crisis situation that the starting pitcher faces in the game was derived through data exploration. Second, if the starting pitcher was replaced before the end of the inning, learning was carried out by composing a label with a replacement in the previous inning. As a result of comparing the trained models, the model based on the ensemble method showed the highest predictive performance with an F1-Score of 65%. The practical significance of this study is that the proposed model can contribute to increasing the team's winning probability by replacing the starting pitcher before a crisis situation, and the coach will be able to receive data-based strategic decision-making support during the game.

Analysis of the Importance and Satisfaction of Viewing Quality Factors among Non-Audience in Professional Baseball According to Corona 19 (코로나 19에 따른 프로야구 무관중 시청품질요인의 중요도, 만족도 분석)

  • Baek, Seung-Heon;Kim, Gi-Tak
    • Journal of Korea Entertainment Industry Association
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    • v.15 no.2
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    • pp.123-135
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    • 2021
  • The data processing of this study is focused on keywords related to 'Corona 19 and professional baseball' and 'Corona 19 and professional baseball no spectators', using text mining and social network analysis of textom program to identify problems and view quality. It was used to set the variable of For quantitative analysis, a questionnaire on viewing quality was constructed, and out of 270 survey respondents, 250 questionnaires were used for the final study. As a tool for securing the validity and reliability of the questionnaire, exploratory factor analysis and reliability analysis were conducted, and IPA analysis (importance-satisfaction) was conducted based on the questionnaire that secured validity and reliability, and the results and strategies were presented. As a result of IPA analysis, factors related to the image (image composition, image coloration, image clarity, image enlargement and composition, high-quality image) were found in the first quadrant, and the second quadrant was the game situation (support team game level, support player game level, star). Player discovery, competition with rival teams), game information (match schedule information, player information check, team performance and player performance, game information), interaction (consensus with the supporting team), and some factors appeared. The factors of commentator (baseball-related knowledge, communication ability, pronunciation and voice, use of standard language, introduction of game-related information) and interaction (real-time communication with the front desk, sympathy with viewers, information exchange such as chatting) appeared.