• Title/Summary/Keyword: BOK-X12-ARIMA

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A Korean Seasonal Adjustment Program BOK-X-12-ARIMA (한국형 계절변동조정 프로그램 BOK-X-12-ARIMA)

  • 이긍희
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.13 no.2
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    • pp.225-236
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    • 2000
  • To compile seasonally-adjusted statistics for Korean economic statistics accurately. it is necessary to develop a Korean seasonal adjustment program. In this paper. the Korean seasonal adjustment program BOK-X-12-ARIMA, developed through modification of the US. Bureau of the Census's X-12-ARIT\IA, is explained in detail.

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A Refinement of Point Forecast Using Dependency Structure in Irregualr Component of BOK-X12-ARIMA

  • Hwang, S.Y.;Yang, S.K.
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • v.17 no.1
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    • pp.141-147
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    • 2006
  • BOK-X12-ARIMA has been developed by the Bank of Korea in order to accomodate special features such as lunar effect, labor day and election effect which are intrinsic in Korean seasonal time series. Irregular component resulting from BOK-X12-ARIMA is usually treated as white noise time series. If this shows dependency structure, it may be advisable to incorporate dependency in irregular component into prediction. This article illustrates how to refine point forecast using dependency structure in irregular component.

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