• Title/Summary/Keyword: Automatic validation

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A Missing Value Replacement Method for Agricultural Meteorological Data Using Bayesian Spatio-Temporal Model (농업기상 결측치 보정을 위한 통계적 시공간모형)

  • Park, Dain;Yoon, Sanghoo
    • Journal of Environmental Science International
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    • v.27 no.7
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    • pp.499-507
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    • 2018
  • Agricultural meteorological information is an important resource that affects farmers' income, food security, and agricultural conditions. Thus, such data are used in various fields that are responsible for planning, enforcing, and evaluating agricultural policies. The meteorological information obtained from automatic weather observation systems operated by rural development agencies contains missing values owing to temporary mechanical or communication deficiencies. It is known that missing values lead to reduction in the reliability and validity of the model. In this study, the hierarchical Bayesian spatio-temporal model suggests replacements for missing values because the meteorological information includes spatio-temporal correlation. The prior distribution is very important in the Bayesian approach. However, we found a problem where the spatial decay parameter was not converged through the trace plot. A suitable spatial decay parameter, estimated on the bias of root-mean-square error (RMSE), which was determined to be the difference between the predicted and observed values. The latitude, longitude, and altitude were considered as covariates. The estimated spatial decay parameters were 0.041 and 0.039, for the spatio-temporal model with latitude and longitude and for latitude, longitude, and altitude, respectively. The posterior distributions were stable after the spatial decay parameter was fixed. root mean square error (RMSE), mean absolute error (MAE), mean absolute percentage error (MAPE), and bias were calculated for model validation. Finally, the missing values were generated using the independent Gaussian process model.

Production of Agrometeorological Information in Onion Fields using Geostatistical Models (지구 통계 모형을 이용한 양파 재배지 농업기상정보 생성 방법)

  • Im, Jieun;Yoon, Sanghoo
    • Journal of Environmental Science International
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    • v.27 no.7
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    • pp.509-518
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    • 2018
  • Weather is the most influential factor for crop cultivation. Weather information for cultivated areas is necessary for growth and production forecasting of agricultural crops. However, there are limitations in the meteorological observations in cultivated areas because weather equipment is not installed. This study tested methods of predicting the daily mean temperature in onion fields using geostatistical models. Three models were considered: inverse distance weight method, generalized additive model, and Bayesian spatial linear model. Data were collected from the AWS (automatic weather system), ASOS (automated synoptic observing system), and an agricultural weather station between 2013 and 2016. To evaluate the prediction performance, data from AWS and ASOS were used as the modeling data, and data from the agricultural weather station were used as the validation data. It was found that the Bayesian spatial linear regression performed better than other models. Consequently, high-resolution maps of the daily mean temperature of Jeonnam were generated using all observed weather information.

An autonomous control framework for advanced reactors

  • Wood, Richard T.;Upadhyaya, Belle R.;Floyd, Dan C.
    • Nuclear Engineering and Technology
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    • v.49 no.5
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    • pp.896-904
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    • 2017
  • Several Generation IV nuclear reactor concepts have goals for optimizing investment recovery through phased introduction of multiple units on a common site with shared facilities and/or reconfigurable energy conversion systems. Additionally, small modular reactors are suitable for remote deployment to support highly localized microgrids in isolated, underdeveloped regions. The long-term economic viability of these advanced reactor plants depends on significant reductions in plant operations and maintenance costs. To accomplish these goals, intelligent control and diagnostic capabilities are needed to provide nearly autonomous operations with anticipatory maintenance. A nearly autonomous control system should enable automatic operation of a nuclear power plant while adapting to equipment faults and other upsets. It needs to have many intelligent capabilities, such as diagnosis, simulation, analysis, planning, reconfigurability, self-validation, and decision. These capabilities have been the subject of research for many years, but an autonomous control system for nuclear power generation remains as-yet an unrealized goal. This article describes a functional framework for intelligent, autonomous control that can facilitate the integration of control, diagnostic, and decision-making capabilities to satisfy the operational and performance goals of power plants based on multimodular advanced reactors.

The Comparative Analysis of Water Quality Environment Data of Wando Onshore Seawater Farm and Tidal Observatory (완도 육상 해수 양식장과 조위관측소의 수질 환경 데이터 비교 분석)

  • Ye, Seoung-Bin;Kwon, In-Yeong;Kim, Tae-Ho;Park, Jeong-Seon;Han, Soon-Hee;Ceong, Hee-Taek
    • The Journal of the Korea institute of electronic communication sciences
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    • v.16 no.5
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    • pp.957-968
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    • 2021
  • To improve the data on reliability of the onshore fish farm water quality monitoring system and operate the system efficiently, the water quality data of the onshore seawater fish farms which are progressing test operation, and the marine environmental information network(Wando tidal station) were compared and analyzed. Furthermore, data validation, data range filters, and data displacement checks were applied to analyze the data in a way that eliminates the data errors in water quality monitoring systems and increases the reliability of measurement data.

Comparison and Verification of Deep Learning Models for Automatic Recognition of Pills (알약 자동 인식을 위한 딥러닝 모델간 비교 및 검증)

  • Yi, GyeongYun;Kim, YoungJae;Kim, SeongTae;Kim, HyoEun;Kim, KwangGi
    • Journal of Korea Multimedia Society
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    • v.22 no.3
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    • pp.349-356
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    • 2019
  • When a prescription change occurs in the hospital depending on a patient's improvement status, pharmacists directly classify manually returned pills which are not taken by a patient. There are hundreds of kinds of pills to classify. Because it is manual, mistakes can occur and which can lead to medical accidents. In this study, we have compared YOLO, Faster R-CNN and RetinaNet to classify and detect pills. The data consisted of 10 classes and used 100 images per class. To evaluate the performance of each model, we used cross-validation. As a result, the YOLO Model had sensitivity of 91.05%, FPs/image of 0.0507. The Faster R-CNN's sensitivity was 99.6% and FPs/image was 0.0089. The RetinaNet showed sensitivity of 98.31% and FPs/image of 0.0119. Faster RCNN showed the best performance among these three models tested. Thus, the most appropriate model for classifying pills among the three models is the Faster R-CNN with the most accurate detection and classification results and a low FP/image.

Compositional Feature Selection and Its Effects on Bandgap Prediction by Machine Learning (기계학습을 이용한 밴드갭 예측과 소재의 조성기반 특성인자의 효과)

  • Chunghee Nam
    • Korean Journal of Materials Research
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    • v.33 no.4
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    • pp.164-174
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    • 2023
  • The bandgap characteristics of semiconductor materials are an important factor when utilizing semiconductor materials for various applications. In this study, based on data provided by AFLOW (Automatic-FLOW for Materials Discovery), the bandgap of a semiconductor material was predicted using only the material's compositional features. The compositional features were generated using the python module of 'Pymatgen' and 'Matminer'. Pearson's correlation coefficients (PCC) between the compositional features were calculated and those with a correlation coefficient value larger than 0.95 were removed in order to avoid overfitting. The bandgap prediction performance was compared using the metrics of R2 score and root-mean-squared error. By predicting the bandgap with randomforest and xgboost as representatives of the ensemble algorithm, it was found that xgboost gave better results after cross-validation and hyper-parameter tuning. To investigate the effect of compositional feature selection on the bandgap prediction of the machine learning model, the prediction performance was studied according to the number of features based on feature importance methods. It was found that there were no significant changes in prediction performance beyond the appropriate feature. Furthermore, artificial neural networks were employed to compare the prediction performance by adjusting the number of features guided by the PCC values, resulting in the best R2 score of 0.811. By comparing and analyzing the bandgap distribution and prediction performance according to the material group containing specific elements (F, N, Yb, Eu, Zn, B, Si, Ge, Fe Al), various information for material design was obtained.

Experimental and numerical validation of guided wave based on time-reversal for evaluating grouting defects of multi-interface sleeve

  • Jiahe Liu;Li Tang;Dongsheng Li;Wei Shen
    • Smart Structures and Systems
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    • v.33 no.1
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    • pp.41-53
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    • 2024
  • Grouting sleeves are an essential connecting component of prefabricated components, and the quality of grouting has a significant influence on structural integrity and seismic performance. The embedded grouting sleeve (EGS)'s grouting defects are highly undetectable and random, and no effective monitoring method exists. This paper proposes an ultrasonic guided wave method and provides a set of guidelines for selecting the optimal frequency and suitable period for the EGS. The optimal frequency was determined by considering the group velocity, wave structure, and wave attenuation of the selected mode. Guided waves are prone to multi-modality, modal conversion, energy leakage, and dispersion in the EGS, which is a multi-layer structure. Therefore, a time-reversal (TR)-based multi-mode focusing and dispersion automatic compensation technology is introduced to eliminate the multi-mode phase difference in the EGS. First, the influence of defects on guided waves is analyzed according to the TR coefficient. Second, two major types of damage indicators, namely, the time domain and the wavelet packet energy, are constructed according to the influence method. The constructed wavelet packet energy indicator is more sensitive to the changes of defecting than the conventional time-domain similarity indicator. Both numerical and experimental results show that the proposed method is feasible and beneficial for the detection and quantitative estimation of the grouting defects of the EGS.

Development of an AIDA(Automatic Incident Detection Algorithm) for Uninterrupted Flow Based on the Concept of Short-term Displaced Flow (연속류도로 단기 적체 교통량 개념 기반 돌발상황 자동감지 알고리즘 개발)

  • Lee, Kyu-Soon;Shin, Chi-Hyun
    • The Journal of The Korea Institute of Intelligent Transport Systems
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    • v.15 no.2
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    • pp.13-23
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    • 2016
  • Many traffic centers are highly hesitant in employing existing Automatic Incident Detection Algorithms due to high false alarm rate, low detection rate, and enormous effort taken in maintaining algorithm parameters, together with complex algorithm structure and filtering/smoothing process. Concerns grow over the situation particularly in Freeway Incident Management Area This study proposes a new algorithm and introduces a novel concept, the Displaced Flow Index (DiFI) which is similar to a product of relative speed and relative occupancy for every execution period. The algorithm structure is very simple, also easy to understand with minimum parameters, and could use raw data without any additional pre-processing. To evaluate the performance of the DiFI algorithm, validation test on the algorithm has been conducted using detector data taken from Naebu Expressway in Seoul and following transferability tests with Gyeongbu Expressway detector data. Performance test has utilized many indices such as DR, FAR, MTTD (Mean Time To Detect), CR (Classification Rate), CI (Composite Index) and PI (Performance Index). It was found that the DR is up to 100%, the MTTD is a little over 1.0 minutes, and the FAR is as low as 2.99%. This newly designed algorithm seems promising and outperformed SAO and most popular AIDAs such as APID and DELOS, and showed the best performance in every category.

SWAT model calibration/validation using SWAT-CUP I: analysis for uncertainties of objective functions (SWAT-CUP을 이용한 SWAT 모형 검·보정 I: 목적함수에 따른 불확실성 분석)

  • Yu, Jisoo;Noh, Joonwoo;Cho, Younghyun
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.53 no.1
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    • pp.45-56
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    • 2020
  • This study aims to quantify the uncertainty that can be induced by the objective function when calibrating SWAT parameters using SWAT-CUP. SWAT model was constructed to estimate runoff in Naesenong-cheon, which is the one of mid-watershed in Nakdong River basin, and then automatic calibration was performed using eight objective functions (R2, bR2, NS, MNS, KGE, PBIAS, RSR, and SSQR). The optimum parameter sets obtained from each objective function showed different ranges, and thus the corresponding hydrologic characteristics of simulated data were also derived differently. This is because each objective function is sensitive to specific hydrologic signatures and evaluates model performance in an unique way. In other words, one objective function might be sensitive to the residual of the extreme value, so that well produce the peak value, whereas ignores the average or low flow residuals. Therefore, the hydrological similarity between the simulated and measured values was evaluated in order to select the optimum objective function. The hydrologic signatures, which include not only the magnitude, but also the ratio of the inclining and declining time in hydrograph, were defined to consider the timing of the flow occurrence, the response of watershed, and the increasing and decreasing trend. The results of evaluation were quantified by scoring method, and hence the optimal objective functions for SWAT parameter calibration were determined as MNS (342.48) and SSQR (346.45) with the highest total scores.

Prediction of Greenhouse Strawberry Production Using Machine Learning Algorithm (머신러닝 알고리즘을 이용한 온실 딸기 생산량 예측)

  • Kim, Na-eun;Han, Hee-sun;Arulmozhi, Elanchezhian;Moon, Byeong-eun;Choi, Yung-Woo;Kim, Hyeon-tae
    • Journal of Bio-Environment Control
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    • v.31 no.1
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    • pp.1-7
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    • 2022
  • Strawberry is a stand-out cultivating fruit in Korea. The optimum production of strawberry is highly dependent on growing environment. Smart farm technology, and automatic monitoring and control system maintain a favorable environment for strawberry growth in greenhouses, as well as play an important role to improve production. Moreover, physiological parameters of strawberry plant and it is surrounding environment may allow to give an idea on production of strawberry. Therefore, this study intends to build a machine learning model to predict strawberry's yield, cultivated in greenhouse. The environmental parameter like as temperature, humidity and CO2 and physiological parameters such as length of leaves, number of flowers and fruits and chlorophyll content of 'Seolhyang' (widely growing strawberry cultivar in Korea) were collected from three strawberry greenhouses located in Sacheon of Gyeongsangnam-do during the period of 2019-2020. A predictive model, Lasso regression was designed and validated through 5-fold cross-validation. The current study found that performance of the Lasso regression model is good to predict the number of flowers and fruits, when the MAPE value are 0.511 and 0.488, respectively during the model validation. Overall, the present study demonstrates that using AI based regression model may be convenient for farms and agricultural companies to predict yield of crops with fewer input attributes.