• Journal of Korean Society for Quality Management
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• v.24 no.4
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• pp.190-206
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• 1996

In case measurements are made on units of production in time order, it is reasonable to expect that the measurement errors will sometimes be first order autocorrelated, and a technique to test such autocorrelation is required to give good control of the productive process. Tool-wear process provide an example for which regression model can sometimes be useful in modeling and controlling the process. For the control of such process, we present a simple method for testing first order autocorrelation in regression errors. The method is based on Bayesian test method via Bayes factor and derived by observing that in general, a Bayes factor can be written as the product of a quantity called the Savage-Dickey density ratio and a correction factor ; both terms are easily estimated from Gibbs sampling technique. Performance of the method is examined by means of Monte Carlo simulation. It is noted that the test not only achieves satisfactory power but eliminates the inconvenience occurred in using the well-known Durbin-Watson test.

• Proceedings of the Korean Operations and Management Science Society Conference
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• 2006.05a
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• pp.92-100
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• 2006

In many common control charting situations, the statistic to be charted can be viewed as the output of a linear filter applied to the sequence of process measurement data. In recent work that has generalized this concept, the charted statistic is the output of a general linear filter in impulse response form, and the filter is designed by selecting its impulse response coefficients in order to optimize its average run length performance. In this work, we restrict attention to the class of all second-order linear filters applied to the residuals of a time series model of the process data. We present an algorithm for optimizing the design of the second-order filter that is more computationally efficient and robust than the algorithm for optimizing the general linear filter. We demonstrate that the optimal second-order filter performs almost as well as the optimal general linear filter in many situations. Both methods share a number of interesting characteristics and are tuned to detect any distinct features of the process mean shift, as it manifests itself in the residuals.

• Journal of Advanced Navigation Technology
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• v.8 no.2
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• pp.163-168
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• 2004

In this paper, we propose a frequency synchronization algorithm using characteristic of CAZAC sequence for HDR-WPAN and analyze the performance by signal constellation and EVM(error vector magnitude). The proposed frequency offset technique estimated each sample phase error of two sequences among 12 CAZAC sequences which have excellent autocorrelated characteristic. Estimated phase error is multiplied to each sample of next sequence for compensating the frequency offset. The remaining frequency offset after compensating it with two sequences has maximum 0.002 offsest ranges at each sample. The computer simulation proved that the permission of EVM value had satisfied in the case of DQPSK at 20[dB].

• Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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• v.28 no.6
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• pp.595-610
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• 2021

Recently a few articles have derived robust first-order rotatable and D-optimal designs for the lifetime response having distributions gamma, lognormal, Weibull, exponential assuming errors that are correlated with different correlation structures such as autocorrelated, intra-class, inter-class, tri-diagonal, compound symmetry. Practically, a first-order model is an adequate approximation to the true surface in a small region of the explanatory variables. A second-order model is always appropriate for an unknown region, or if there is any curvature in the system. The current article aims to extend the ideas of these articles for second-order models. Invariant (free of the above four distributions) robust (free of correlation parameter values) second-order rotatable designs have been derived for the intra-class and inter-class correlated error structures. Second-order rotatability conditions have been derived herein assuming the response follows non-normal distribution (any one of the above four distributions) and errors have a general correlated error structure. These conditions are further simplified under intra-class and inter-class correlated error structures, and second-order rotatable designs are developed under these two structures for the response having anyone of the above four distributions. It is derived herein that robust second-order rotatable designs depend on the respective error variance covariance structure but they are independent of the correlation parameter values, as well as the considered four response lifetime distributions.

• Journal of the Korea Society of Computer and Information
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• v.25 no.12
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• pp.187-194
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• 2020

In today's process-oriented industries, such as semiconductor and petrochemical processes, autocorrelation exists between observed data. As a management method for the process where autocorrelation exists, a method of using the observations is to construct a batch so that the batch mean approaches to independence, or to apply the EWMA (Exponentially Weighted Moving Average) statistic of the observed value to the EWMA control chart. In this paper, we propose a method to determine the batch size of UBM (Unweighted Batch Mean), which is commonly used as a management method for observations, and a method to determine the optimal batch size based on ARL (Average Run Length) We propose a method to estimate the standard deviation of the process. We propose an improved control chart for processes in which autocorrelation exists.

• Journal of the Korea Society for Simulation
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• v.19 no.3
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• pp.119-125
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• 2010

The moving block bootstrap, the stationary bootstrap, and the threshold bootstrap are methods of simulation output analysis, which are applicable to autocorrelated data. These bootstrap methods assume the stationarity of data. However, bootstrap methods cannot work if the stationary assumption is not guaranteed because of seasonality or trends in data. In the simulation output analysis, threshold bootstrap method is the best in describing the autocorrelation structure of original data set. The threshold bootstrap makes the cycle based on threshold value. If we apply the bootstrap to seasonality data, we can get similar accuracy of the results. In this paper, we verify the possibility of applying the bootstrap to seasonal data.

• Journal of Korean Society of Industrial and Systems Engineering
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• v.46 no.4
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• pp.93-100
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• 2023

In this paper, an alternative inventory policy that trades off the bullwhip effect at an upstream facility with cost minimization at a current facility, with the goal of reducing system wide total expected inventory costs, when external demand distributjon is autocorrelated, is considered. The alternative inventory policy has a form that is somewhere between one that completely neglects the autocorrleation and one that actively utilizes the autocorrelation. For this purpose, a mathematical model that allows us to evaluate system wide total expected inventory costs for a periodic review system is developed. This model enables us to identify an optimal inventory policy at a current facility that minimizes system wide total expected inventory costs by the best tradeoff of the bullwhip effect at an upstream facility with cost minimization at a current facility. From numerical experiments, it has been found that (i) when the autocorrelation is negative, the optimal policy is one that actively utilizes the autocorrelation, (ii) when the autocorrelation is small and positive, the optimal policy is one that neglects the autocorrelation, and (iii) when the autocorrelation is large and positive, the optimal policy is somewhere between one that actively utilizes the autocorrelation and one that neglect the autocorrelation.

• Korean Journal of Fisheries and Aquatic Sciences
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• v.35 no.3
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• pp.216-222
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• 2002

Autocorrelation in time series data can affect statistical inference in correlation or regression analyses. To improve a regression model from which the residuals are autocorrelated, Yule-Walker method, nonlinear least squares estimation, maximum likelihood method and 'prewhitening' method have been used to estimate the parameters in a regression equation. This study reviewed on the estimation methods of preventing spurious correlation in the presence of autocorrelation and applied the former three methods, Yule-Walker, nonlinear least squares and maximum likelihood method, to a 20-year real data set. Monte carlo simulation was used to compare the three parameter estimation methods. However, the simulation results showed that the mean squared error distributions from the three methods simulated do not differ significantly.

• Journal of the Economic Geographical Society of Korea
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• v.11 no.4
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• pp.564-579
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• 2008

It is often challenging to evaluate local spatial association among onedimensional vectors generally representing paired-location events where two points are physically or functionally connected. This is largely because of complex process of such geographic phenomena itself and partially representational complexity. This paper addresses an alternative way to identify spatially autocorrelated paired-location events (or vectors) at a local scale. In doing so, we propose a statistical algorithm combining univariate point pattern analysis for evaluating local clustering of origin-points and similarity measure of corresponding vectors. For practical use of the suggested method, we present an empirical application using transactions data in a local housing market, particularly recorded from 2004 to 2006 in Franklin County, Ohio in the United States. As a result, several locally characterized similar transactions are identified among a set of vectors showing various local moves associated with communities defined.

• Journal of the Korea Society for Simulation
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• v.20 no.4
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• pp.67-79
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• 2011

The statistical process control (SPC) assumes that observations follow the particular statistical distribution and they are independent to each other. However, the time-series data do not always follow the particular distribution, and most of cases are autocorrelated, therefore, it has limit to adopt the general SPC in tim series process. In this study, we propose a MPBC (Model Parameter Based Control-chart) method for fault detection in time-series processes. The MPBC builds up the process as a time-series model, and it can determine the faults by detecting changes parameters in the model. The process we analyze in the study assumes that the data follow the ARMA (p,q) model. The MPBC estimates model parameters using RLS (Recursive Least Square), and $K^2$-control chart is used for detecting out-of control process. The results of simulations support the idea that our proposed method performs better in time-series process.