• Title/Summary/Keyword: Artificial neural network analysis

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A Jittering-based Neural Network Ensemble Approach for Regionalized Low-flow Frequency Analysis

  • Ahn, Kuk-Hyun
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2020.06a
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    • pp.382-382
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    • 2020
  • 과거 많은 연구에서 다수의 모형의 결과를 이용한 앙상블 방법론은 인공지능 모형 (artificial neural network)의 예측 능력에 향상을 갖고 온다 논하였다. 본 연구에서는 미계측유역의 저수량(low flow)의 예측을 위하여 Jittering을 기반으로 한 인공지능 모형을 제시하고자 한다. 기본적인 방법론은 설명변수들에게 백색 잡음(white noise)를 삽입하여 훈련되는 자료를 증가시키는 것이다. Jittering을 기반으로 한 인공지능 모형에 대한 효과를 검증하기 위하여 본 연구에서는 Multi-output neural network model을 기반으로 모형을 구축하였다. 다음으로 Jittering을 기반으로 한 앙상블 모형을 variable importance measuring algorithm과 결합시켜서 유역특성치와 예측되는 저수량의 특성치들의 관계를 추론하였다. 본 연구에서 사용되는 방법론들의 효용성을 평가하기 위해서 미동북부에 위치하고 있는 총 207개의 유역을 사용하였다. 결과적으로 본 연구에서 제시한 Jittering을 기반으로 한 인공지능 앙상블 모형은 단일예측모형 (single modeling approach)을 정확도 측면에서 우수한 것으로 확인되었다. 또한, 적은 숫자의 앙상블 모형에서도 그 정확성이 단일예측모형보다 우수한 것을 확인하였다. 마지막으로 본 연구에서는 유역특성치들의 효과가 살펴보고자 하는 저수량의 특성치들에 따라서 일관적으로 영향을 미치거나 그 중요도가 변화하는 것을 확인하였다.

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Concurrent Modeling of Magnetic Field Parameters, Crystalline Structures, and Ferromagnetic Dynamic Critical Behavior Relationships: Mean-Field and Artificial Neural Network Projections

  • Laosiritaworn, Yongyut;Laosiritaworn, Wimalin
    • Journal of Magnetics
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    • v.19 no.4
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    • pp.315-322
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    • 2014
  • In this work, Artificial Neural Network (ANN) was used to model the dynamic behavior of ferromagnetic hysteresis derived from performing the mean-field analysis on the Ising model. The effect of field parameters and system structure (via coordination number) on dynamic critical points was elucidated. The Ising magnetization equation was drawn from mean-field picture where the steady hysteresis loops were extracted, and series of the dynamic critical points for constructing dynamic phase-diagram were depicted. From the dynamic critical points, the field parameters and the coordination number were treated as inputs whereas the dynamic critical temperature was considered as the output of the ANN. The input-output datasets were divided into training, validating and testing datasets. The number of neurons in hidden layer was varied in structuring ANN network with highest accuracy. The network was then used to predict dynamic critical points of the untrained input. The predicted and the targeted outputs were found to match well over an extensive range even for systems with different structures and field parameters. This therefore confirms the ANN capabilities and indicates the ANN ability in modeling the ferromagnetic dynamic hysteresis behavior for establishing the dynamic-phase-diagram.

Development of Optimization Algorithm for Unconstrained Problems Using the Sequential Design of Experiments and Artificial Neural Network (순차적 실험계획법과 인공신경망을 이용한 제한조건이 없는 문제의 최적화 알고리즘 개발)

  • Lee, Jung-Hwan;Suh, Myung-Won
    • Transactions of the Korean Society of Mechanical Engineers A
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    • v.32 no.3
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    • pp.258-266
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    • 2008
  • The conventional approximate optimization method, which uses the statistical design of experiments(DOE) and response surface method(RSM), can derive an approximated optimum results through the iterative process by a trial and error. The quality of results depends seriously on the factors and levels assigned by a designer. The purpose of this study is to propose a new technique, which is called a sequential design of experiments(SDOE), to reduce a trial and error procedure and to find an appropriate condition for using artificial neural network(ANN) systematically. An appropriate condition is determined from the iterative process based on the analysis of means. With this new technique and ANN, it is possible to find an optimum design accurately and efficiently. The suggested algorithm has been applied to various mathematical examples and a structural problem.

Prediction of Tunnel Behavior Using Artificial Neural Network (터널거동 평가에서의 인공신경망 활용기법 연구)

  • Yoo, Chung-Sik;Kim, Joo-Mi
    • Proceedings of the Korean Geotechical Society Conference
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    • 2005.03a
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    • pp.1324-1334
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    • 2005
  • This study investigated the applicability of the Artificial Neural Network (ANN) technique for prediction of tunnel behavior. For training data collection, a series of finite element analyses were conducted for actual tunnel project site. Using the data, optimimzed ANNs were developed through a sensitivity study on internal parameters. The developed ANNs can make tunneling related predictions such as tunnel crown settlement, shotcrete lining stress, ground surface settlement, and groundwater inflow rate. The results indicated that the developed ANNs can be used as an effective and efficient tool for tunnelling related prediction in practical tunneling situations.

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Sloshing Reduction Optimization of Storage Tank Using Evolutionary Method (진화적 기법을 이용한 유체저장탱크의 슬로싱 저감 최적화)

  • 김현수;이영신;김승중;김영완
    • Proceedings of the Korean Society for Noise and Vibration Engineering Conference
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    • 2004.05a
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    • pp.410-415
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    • 2004
  • The oscillation of the fluid caused by external forces is call ed sloshing, which occurs in moving vehicles with contained liquid masses, such as trucks, railroad cars, aircraft, and liquid rocket. This sloshing effect could be a severe problem in vehicle stability and control. In this study, the optimization design technique for reduction of the sloshing using evolutionary method is suggested. Two evolutionary methods are employed, respectively the artificial neural network(ANN) and genetic algorithm. An artificial neural network is used for the analysis of sloshing and genetic algorithm is adopted as optimization algorithm. As a result of optimization design, the optimized size and location of the baffle is presented

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Development of Artificial Neural Network Model for Predicting Carbon Dioxide Emissions by Construction Equipment (인공신경망 모델 구축을 통한 건설장비별 이산화탄소 배출량 예측)

  • Im, Somin;Ro, Sangwoo;Kim, Hayoon;Lee, Minwoo;Han, Seungwoo
    • Proceedings of the Korean Institute of Building Construction Conference
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    • 2020.06a
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    • pp.16-17
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    • 2020
  • In this paper, we intended to present a model for estimating carbon dioxide emissions by work of construction equipment using Artificial Neural Network(ANN) analysis. In this study, data of excavators and trucks are classified according to the work carried out, and carbon dioxide emissions are predicted through ANN based on equipment information and work information. As a result, the effect of each model was validated, and a carbon dioxide emission prediction model was derived for each work. This has the expected effect of establishig an eco-friendly process plan using this model from the construction planning stage.

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Neural Network Analysis in Forecasting the Malaysian GDP

  • SANUSI, Nur Azura;MOOSIN, Adzie Faraha;KUSAIRI, Suhal
    • The Journal of Asian Finance, Economics and Business
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    • v.7 no.12
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    • pp.109-114
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    • 2020
  • The aim of this study is to develop basic artificial neural network models in forecasting the in-sample gross domestic product (GDP) of Malaysia. GDP is one of the main indicators in presenting the macro economic condition of a country as set by the world authority bodies such as the World Bank. Hence, this study uses an artificial neural network-based approach to make predictions concerning the economic growth of Malaysia. This method has been proposed due to its ability to overcome multicollinearity among variables, as well as the ability to cope with non-linear problems in Malaysia's growth data. The selected inputs and outputs are based on the previous literatures as well as the economic growth theory. Therefore, the selected inputs are exports, imports, private consumption, government expenditure, consumer price index (CPI), inflation rate, foreign direct investment (FDI) and money supply, which includes M1 and M2. Whilst, the output is real gross domestic product growth rate. The results of this study showed that the neural network method gives the smallest value of mean error which is 0.81 percent with a total difference of 0.70 percent. This implies that the neural network model is appropriate and is a relevant method in forecasting the economic growth of Malaysia.

Multivariate Time Series Analysis for Rainfall Prediction with Artificial Neural Networks

  • Narimani, Roya;Jun, Changhyun
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2021.06a
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    • pp.135-135
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    • 2021
  • In water resources management, rainfall prediction with high accuracy is still one of controversial issues particularly in countries facing heavy rainfall during wet seasons in the monsoon climate. The aim of this study is to develop an artificial neural network (ANN) for predicting future six months of rainfall data (from April to September 2020) from daily meteorological data (from 1971 to 2019) such as rainfall, temperature, wind speed, and humidity at Seoul, Korea. After normalizing these data, they were trained by using a multilayer perceptron (MLP) as a class of the feedforward ANN with 15,000 neurons. The results show that the proposed method can analyze the relation between meteorological datasets properly and predict rainfall data for future six months in 2020, with an overall accuracy over almost 70% and a root mean square error of 0.0098. This study demonstrates the possibility and potential of MLP's applications to predict future daily rainfall patterns, essential for managing flood risks and protecting water resources.

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Comparative Study on the Neural Networks versus Numerical Analysis Algorithm (신경망과 수치 해석 알고리즘의 비교 연구)

  • 이승창;박승권
    • Computational Structural Engineering
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    • v.10 no.2
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    • pp.265-272
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    • 1997
  • The purpose of this paper is to develop Neural Network models for Approximate Structural Analysis (NNASA). As an initial stage, the paper classifies the characteristics and the active role of neural networks in the numerical analysis by comparing neural networks with conventional numerical analysis algorithms. The paper proposed two methods of finding solutions of linear algebraic equations by a modified neural network algorithm, and presents that multilayer feedforward networks are a class of universal approximators by comparing the neural network with regression and interpolation techniques.

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Approximate Life Cycle Assessment of Classified Products using Artificial Neural Network and Statistical Analysis in Conceptual Product Design (개념 설계 단계에서 인공 신경망과 통계적 분석을 이용한 제품군의 근사적 전과정 평가)

  • 박지형;서광규
    • Journal of the Korean Society for Precision Engineering
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    • v.20 no.3
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    • pp.221-229
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    • 2003
  • In the early phases of the product life cycle, Life Cycle Assessment (LCA) is recently used to support the decision-making fer the conceptual product design and the best alternative can be selected based on its estimated LCA and its benefits. Both the lack of detailed information and time for a full LCA fur a various range of design concepts need the new approach fer the environmental analysis. This paper suggests a novel approximate LCA methodology for the conceptual design stage by grouping products according to their environmental characteristics and by mapping product attributes into impact driver index. The relationship is statistically verified by exploring the correlation between total impact indicator and energy impact category. Then a neural network approach is developed to predict an approximate LCA of grouping products in conceptual design. Trained learning algorithms for the known characteristics of existing products will quickly give the result of LCA for new design products. The training is generalized by using product attributes for an ID in a group as well as another product attributes for another IDs in other groups. The neural network model with back propagation algorithm is used and the results are compared with those of multiple regression analysis. The proposed approach does not replace the full LCA but it would give some useful guidelines fer the design of environmentally conscious products in conceptual design phase.