• Title/Summary/Keyword: Areal precipitation

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A Comparative Analysis of the Accuracy of Areal Precipitation According to the Rainfall Analysis Method of Mountainous Streams

  • Kang, Bo-Seong;Yang, Sung-Kee;Kang, Myung-Soo
    • Journal of Environmental Science International
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    • v.28 no.10
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    • pp.841-849
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    • 2019
  • The purpose of this study was to evaluate the method of estimating the areal precipitation reflecting the altitude of the mountainous terrain on Jeju Island by comparing and analyzing the areal precipitation using the Thiessen polygon method and the isohyetal method in mountainous streams. In terms of constructing the Thiessen polygon network, rainfall errors occurred in 94.5% and 45.8% of the Thiessen area ratio of the Jeju and Ara stations, respectively. This resulted in large areal precipitation and errors using the isohyetal method at altitudes below 600 m in the target watershed. In contrast, there were small errors in the highlands. Rainfall errors occurred in 18.91% of the Thiessen area ratio of Eorimok, 2.41% of Witseoreum, and 2.84% of Azalea Field because of the altitudinal influence of stations located in the highlands at altitudes above 600 m. Based on the areal precipitation estimation using the Thiessen polygon method, it was considered to be partially applicable to streams on Jeju Island depending on the altitude. However, the method is not suitable for mountainous streams such as the streams on Jeju Island because errors occur with altitude. Therefore, the isohyetal method is considered to be more suitable as it considers the locations of the rainfall stations and the orographic effect and because there are no errors with altitude.

Enhancing the radar-based mean areal precipitation forecasts to improve urban flood predictions and uncertainty quantification

  • Nguyen, Duc Hai;Kwon, Hyun-Han;Yoon, Seong-Sim;Bae, Deg-Hyo
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2020.06a
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    • pp.123-123
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    • 2020
  • The present study is aimed to correcting radar-based mean areal precipitation forecasts to improve urban flood predictions and uncertainty analysis of water levels contributed at each stage in the process. For this reason, a long short-term memory (LSTM) network is used to reproduce three-hour mean areal precipitation (MAP) forecasts from the quantitative precipitation forecasts (QPFs) of the McGill Algorithm for Precipitation nowcasting by Lagrangian Extrapolation (MAPLE). The Gangnam urban catchment located in Seoul, South Korea, was selected as a case study for the purpose. A database was established based on 24 heavy rainfall events, 22 grid points from the MAPLE system and the observed MAP values estimated from five ground rain gauges of KMA Automatic Weather System. The corrected MAP forecasts were input into the developed coupled 1D/2D model to predict water levels and relevant inundation areas. The results indicate the viability of the proposed framework for generating three-hour MAP forecasts and urban flooding predictions. For the analysis uncertainty contributions of the source related to the process, the Bayesian Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) using delayed rejection and adaptive metropolis algorithm is applied. For this purpose, the uncertainty contributions of the stages such as QPE input, QPF MAP source LSTM-corrected source, and MAP input and the coupled model is discussed.

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A Study on the Evaluation of Areal Precipitation in Korea. (한국 면적 강우량 산정에 관한 연구<월별, 계절별 및 연간우량 중심으로>)

  • 정문교;심재설
    • Water for future
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    • v.14 no.4
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    • pp.35-52
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    • 1981
  • This study is to evaluate the areal precipitation from the basic data groups of monthly, seasonal, and annual rainfalls over all ma in stations in Korea. The evaluating pocesses are performed through the point and regional frequency analysis from the basic data. The basic data groups are divided into two periods-the first(1916-1944) and the second (1960-1979)-which are compared with each other. In the point frequecny analysis, the variable transformation method is applied to the best fitting distribution, and the normal fittings are established by using the Chisquare test method. In the regional frequency analysis, the geomorphologic factors and hydrometeorological factors are taken into consideration when dividing into five zones and Thiessen method and the Isohyetal method are applied. The results of this study are as follows: 1)The areal precipitation values of the first period are about 70-80mm less than that of the second period for the whole of Korea. Therefore, a new precipitation value of 1180mm is considered more suitable than the value of 1159mm, which has been up till now. 2)As the annual areal precipitiation values areevaluated over the five divide zones, it tis noticed that the difference between the values of the first period and the second is the largest in spring (to the extent of 5 times that in the other seasonas). Thereform it is considered that this result is necessary for the establishment of a timely insurance plan for the water resources. 3)The application of the Isohyetal method through the division of Korea into five zones is considered to be a reasonable procedure in the analysis of areal precipitation.

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Spatial Analysis of Precipitation with PRISM in Gangwondo (강원도 지역의 PRISM를 이용한 강우의 공간분포 해석)

  • Um, Myoung-Jin;Jeong, Chang-Sam
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.44 no.3
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    • pp.179-188
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    • 2011
  • In this study, the regional factors in Gangwondo were used to analysis the relationship between point precipitation and areal precipitation. The most province area in Gangwondo is consist of mountainous terrain. At the east part of the Taebaek Mountains, the slope is very steep and the coastal plains don't exist. At the west part of the Taebaek Mountains, the slope is mild, there are many rivers, such as South Han-river and North Han-river, and the regions are very complex terrain. The data of 66 stations in Gangwondo and the PRISM (Parameter-elevation Regression on Indepedent Slope Model) were used to estimate the spatial distribution of precipitation. According to the topographic conditions, such as elevation and slope, and the regional conditions, such as Youngdong and Youngseo, the spatial distribution of precipitation is well shown. At the results of cross-validation, the RRBIAS and the RRMSE are under 0.1 and therefore the analysis of the PRISM are well conducted. Consequently the PRISM in this study is a appropriate method to estimate the spatial distribution of precipitation in Gangwondo.

A Random Sampling Method in Estimating the Mean Areal Precipitation Using Kriging

  • Lee, Sang-Il
    • Korean Journal of Hydrosciences
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    • v.5
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    • pp.45-55
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    • 1994
  • A new method to estimate the mean areal precipitation using kriging is developed. Urlike the conventional approach, points for double and quadruple numerical integrations in the kriging equation are selected randomly, given the boundary of area of interest. This feature eliminates the conventional approach's necessity of dividing the area into subareas and calculating the center of each subarea, which in turn makes the developed method more powerful in the case of complex boundaries. The algorithm to select random points within an arbitrary boundary, based on the theory of complex variables, is described. The results of Monte Carlo simulation showed that the error associated with estimation using randomly selected points is inversely proportional to the square root of the number of sampling points.

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Evapotranspiration and Water Balance in the Basin of Nakdong River (낙동강유역의 증발산량과 물수지)

  • 조희구;이태영
    • Water for future
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    • v.8 no.2
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    • pp.81-92
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    • 1975
  • Calculation of the monthly water balance for Nakdong River basin for the period from 1958 to 1968 is made by determining three components independently: precipitation, runoff and evapotranspiration. The areal precipitation is computed by the Thiessen method using the records of nine meteorological stations in the basin, and the runoff is the flow gauged at Jindong which is located on the most downstream. For the computation of evapotranspiration, the Morton method is adopted because this method is relatively fit best in the calculation of water balance among the Morton, Penman and Thornthwaite methods. The values of Morton evapotransp iration are corrected by the factor of 0.82 in the basin in order to bring the error to zero. The areal evapotranspiration is the arithmetic mean of the Morton estimates at the stations. Mean water balance components in the Nakdong river basin are 1117.0mm, 600.6mm and 516.4m for precipitation, runoff and evapotranspiration respectively. Accordingly, the mean runoff ratio comes out to be 0.54. The smallest values of runoff coefficient are due for Daegu area, while the largest ones are for the southwest of the basin with the higher rainfall and high elevations there. The amount of runoff obtained by both Thornthwaite and Budyko methods for water balance computations indicate 59 and 60 per cent of actual values which are lower than the expected. An attempt is made to find the best reliable rainfall-runoff relation among the four methods proposed by Schreiber, 01'dekop, Budyko and Sellers. The modified equation of Schreiber type for annual runoff coefficient could be obtained with the smallest mean error of 11 per cent.

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Sensitivity of a hydrological model to areal precipitation estimates: impacts on precipitation data selection considering homogeneous rainfall regions (강우특성의 동질성을 고려한 유역 평균 강우량이 수문모형의 성능 개선에 미치는 영향 평가)

  • Jung-Hun Song;Hakkwan Kim
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2023.05a
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    • pp.351-351
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    • 2023
  • 강우 자료는 수문 모델링에서 중요한 입력 요소 중 하나이다. 강우의 공간적 가변성은 모델링 불확실성의 중요한 원인으로 알려져 있다. 강우 관측자료는 많은 경우 유역을 대표하는 평균 면적강수량 (Mean Areal Precipitation, MAP)을 계산하여 수문모형에 입력된다. 선행 연구에서는MAP 예측 결과의 신뢰도를 개선하기 위하여 다양한 보간 방법이 개발되었다. 하지만, 강우특성의 동질성를 고려한 대표 기상 관측소 선정이 MAP 예측과 유출량 모의 결과에 미치는 연구는 아직 미흡한 실정이다. 본 연구에서는 유역의 MAP 예측에 있어 강우특성의 동실성을 고려한 강우 관측소 선정이 수문 모델링 성능 개선에 미치는 영향을 평가하고자 한다. 본 연구에서는 종관 기상관측(ASOS) 74개 지점과 방재기상관측(AWS) 400여개 지점에서 2003~2022년 기간에 대한 일강수량 자료를 수집하였고 강우특성이 동질한 지역을 구분하였다. 또한, 강우특성 동질성의 고려 유무에 따른 MAP를 계산하였다. 이후, 5개의 매개변수로 이루어진 개념적 강우-유출 모형FPHM을 사용하여 우리나라 전역 41개 유역을 대상으로 MAP 계산 결과가 모형 성능에 미치는 민감도를 조사하였다. 분석 결과, 강우특성의 동질성을 고려한 강우 관측소의 선택은 MAP 보간 방법 이상으로 중요한 요소임을 확인할 수 있었다.

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A Comparison of the Methods for Estimating the Missing Precipitation Values Ungauged (미계측 결측 강수자료 보완 방법의 비교)

  • Yoo, Ju-Hwan;Choi, Yong-Joon;Jung, Kwan-Sue
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2009.05a
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    • pp.1427-1430
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    • 2009
  • The amount and the continuity of the precipitation data used in a hydrological analysis may exert a big influence on the reliability of the analysis. It is a fundamental process to estimate the missing data caused by such as a breakdown of the rainfall recording machine or to expand a short period of rainfall data. In this study the eight methods widely used as methods for estimating are compared. The data used in this research is the annual precipitation amount during 17 years at the Cheolwon station including an ungauged period of 15 years and its five surrounding stations. By use of this certified method the ungauged precipitation values at the Cheolweon station is estimated and the areal average of annual precipitation for 32 years at the Han River basin is calculated.

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Computation of Areal Reduction Factor and Its Regional Variability (면적우량환산계수의 산정과 그 지역적 변화)

  • Kim, Won;Yoon, Kang-Hoon
    • Water for future
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    • v.25 no.3
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    • pp.79-86
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    • 1992
  • ARF(Areal Reduction Factor) have been developed and used to convert point I-D-F to areal I-D-F in many countries. In Korea, through ARF was calculated in Han river basin by several researchers, it has limit to apply to other regions \ulcorner 새 low density of rainfall gauge station and shortage of data. In this study ARF has developed in areas of high density of rainfall gauge station, Pyungchang river(han river), Wi stream(nakdong river), and Bochung stream(Guem river) basin by fixed-area method. And coefficient of variation of annual mean precipitation was presented to use ARF in othere areas and its applicability was analyzed.

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