• Journal of the Korean Society of Surveying, Geodesy, Photogrammetry and Cartography
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• v.34 no.6
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• pp.597-607
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• 2016

The goal of this study was to analyze landslide susceptibility using two different models and compare the results. For this purpose, a landslide inventory map was produced from a field survey, and the inventory was divided into two groups for training and validation, respectively. Sixteen landslide conditioning factors were considered. The relationships between landslide occurrence and landslide conditioning factors were analyzed using the FR (Frequency Ratio) and EBF (Evidential Belief Function) models. The LSI (Landslide Susceptibility Index) maps that were produced were validated using the ROC (Relative Operating Characteristics) curve and the SCAI (Seed Cell Area Index). The AUC (Area under the ROC Curve) values of the FR and EBF LSI maps were 80.6% and 79.5%, with prediction accuracies of 72.7% and 71.8%, respectively. Additionally, in the low and very low susceptibility zones, the FR LSI map had higher SCAI values compared to the EBF LSI map, as high as 0.47%p. These results indicate that both models were reasonably accurate, however that the FR LSI map had a slightly higher accuracy for landslide susceptibility mapping in the study area.

• Geomechanics and Engineering
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• v.36 no.5
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• pp.441-453
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• 2024

Sinkhole subsidence and collapse is a common geohazard often formed in karst areas such as the state of Florida, United States of America. To predict the sinkhole occurrence, we need to understand the formation mechanism of sinkhole and its karst hydrogeology. For this purpose, investigating the factors affecting sinkholes is an essential and important step. The main objectives of the presenting study are (1) the development of a machine learning (ML)-based model, namely C5.0 decision tree (C5.0 DT), for the prediction of sinkhole susceptibility, which accounts for sinkhole/subsidence inventory and sinkhole contributing factors (e.g., geological/hydrogeological) and (2) the construction of a regional-scale sinkhole susceptibility map. The study area is east central Florida (ECF) where a cover-collapse type is commonly reported. The C5.0 DT algorithm was used to account for twelve (12) identified hydrogeological factors. In this study, a total of 1,113 sinkholes in ECF were identified and the dataset was then randomly divided into 70% and 30% subsets for training and testing, respectively. The performance of the sinkhole susceptibility model was evaluated using a receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve, particularly the area under the curve (AUC). The C5.0 model showed a high prediction accuracy of 83.52%. It is concluded that a decision tree is a promising tool and classifier for spatial prediction of karst sinkholes and subsidence in the ECF area.

• Earthquakes and Structures
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• v.19 no.4
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• pp.287-301
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• 2020

Fragility as one of the most effective methods to evaluate seismic performance, which is greatly affected by damage index. Taking a multi span continuous rigid frame offshore bridge as an example. Based on fragility and reliability theory, considering coupling effect of time-varying durability damage of materials and time-varying attenuation effect of damage index to analyze seismic performance of offshore bridges. Results show that IDA curve considering time-varying damage index is obviously below that without considering; area enclosed by IDA of 1# pier and X-axis under No.1 earthquake considering this effect is 96% of that without considering. Area enclosed by damage index of 1# pier and X-axis under serious damage with considering time-varying damage index is 90% of that without considering in service period. Time-varying damage index has a greater impact on short pier when ground motion intensity is small, while it has a great impact on high pier when the intensity is large. The area enclosed by fragility of bridge system and X-axis under complete destruction considering time-varying damage index is 165% of that without considering when reach designed service life. Therefore, time-varying attenuation effect of damage index has a great impact on seismic performance of bridge in service period.

• Clinical and Experimental Pediatrics
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• v.60 no.9
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• pp.290-295
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• 2017

Purpose: Airway pathology in children with atopic asthma can be reflected by the concave shape of the maximal expiratory flow-volume (MEFV) curve and high fractional exhaled nitric oxide (FeNO) values. We evaluated the capacity of the curvilinearity of the MEFV curve, FeNO, and their combination to distinguish subjects with atopic asthma from healthy individuals. Methods: FeNO and angle ${\beta}$, which characterizes the general configuration of the MEFV curve, were determined in 119 steroid-naïve individuals with atopic asthma aged 8 to 16 years, and in 92 age-matched healthy controls. Receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve analyses were performed to determine the cutoff points of FeNO and angle ${\beta}$ that provided the best combination of sensitivity and specificity for asthma detection. Results: Asthmatic patients had a significantly smaller angle ${\beta}$ and higher FeNO compared with healthy controls (both, P<0.001). For asthma detection, the best cutoff values of angle ${\beta}$ and FeNO were observed at $189.3^{\circ}$ and 22 parts per billion, respectively. The area under the ROC curve for the combination of angle ${\beta}$ and FeNO improved to 0.91 (95% confidence interval [CI], 0.87-0.95) from 0.80 (95% CI, 0.75-0.86; P<0.001) for angle ${\beta}$ alone and 0.86 (95% CI, 0.82-0.91; P=0.002) for FeNO alone. In addition, the combination enhanced sensitivity with no significant decrease in specificity. Conclusion: These data suggest that the combined use of the curvilinearity of the MEFV curve and FeNO is a useful tool to differentiate between children with and without atopic asthma.

• Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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• 2019.05a
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• pp.367-367
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• 2019

최근 기후변화로 인해 국지성 호우 및 태풍의 빈도가 빈발하고 및 규모가 커지고 있으며 그로 인한 홍수피해규모는 증가하고 있다. 본 논문에서는 도시 지역의 호우로 인한 침수유발 강우량을 산정하는 기법의 정확도를 산정하는데 목적이 있으며 이를 위해 ROC(Receiver Operation Characteristic Curve) 분석을 이용하였다. 본 논문에서는 분포형 홍수해석 모형인 S-RAT 모형과 2차원 침수해석 모형 FLO-2D을 커플링하여 호우로 인한 침수해석을 실시하였으며 강우시나리오는 설계 강우 200mm의 강우를 10% 간격으로 증가시켜 강우량 대비 침수심 자료를 모의하였다. 모의한 침수심 자료를 이용하여 유역 격자를 $1km{\times}1km$ 별 강우량-침수심 관계곡선식을 제시하였으며 개발된 곡선식을 이용하여 특정 침수심(20cm)을 유발시키는 강우량(한계강우량)을 산정하였다. 정확도 산정은 ROC(Receiver Operation Characteristic Curve) 분석 방법을 이용하여 침수 유무의 적중률에 따른 민감도와 특이도를 이용하여 AUC(Area Under the Curve)의 점수로 정확도를 판단하였다. 본 논문에서는 본 논문에서 제시한 한계강우량의 정확도를 판단하기 위하여 2011년 7월의 사당역 일대 침수사례를 이용하였다. 실제 침수정보가 없어 실제 호우사상과 실제 하수관망을 고려할 수 있는 SWMM 모형을 이용하여 침수분석을 실시하였다. 분석 결과 평균 ROC는 약 0.7로 나타났으며 5 단계의 구분에서 Fair 단계로 적정 수준의 정확도를 확보한 것으로 나타났다.

• Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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• v.22 no.4
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• pp.377-387
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• 2015

The area under the ROC curve can be represented by both Mann-Whitney and Wilcoxon rank sum statistics. Consider an ROC surface and manifold equal to three dimensions or more. This paper finds that the volume under the ROC surface (VUS) and the hypervolume under the ROC manifold (HUM) could be derived as functions of both conditional Mann-Whitney statistics and conditional Wilcoxon rank sum statistics. The nullhypothesis equal to three distribution functions or more are identical can be tested using VUS and HUM statistics based on the asymptotic large sample theory of Wilcoxon rank sum statistics. Illustrative examples with three and four random samples show that two approaches give the same VUS and $HUM^4$. The equivalence of several distribution functions is also tested with VUS and $HUM^4$ in terms of conditional Wilcoxon rank sum statistics.

• Asian Pacific Journal of Cancer Prevention
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• v.15 no.16
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• pp.6781-6785
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• 2014

Purpose: This study used receiver operating characteristic curves to analyze Surveillance, Epidemiology and End Results (SEER) medulloblastoma (MB) and primitive neuroectodermal tumor (PNET) outcome data. The aim of this study was to identify and optimize predictive outcome models. Materials and Methods: Patients diagnosed from 1973 to 2009 were selected for analysis of socio-economic, staging and treatment factors available in the SEER database for MB and PNET. For the risk modeling, each factor was fitted by a generalized linear model to predict the outcome (brain cancer specific death, yes/no). The area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC) was computed. Similar strata were combined to construct the most parsimonious models. A Monte Carlo algorithm was used to estimate the modeling errors. Results: There were 3,702 patients included in this study. The mean follow up time (S.D.) was 73.7 (86.2) months. Some 40% of the patients were female and the mean (S.D.) age was 16.5 (16.6) years. There were more adult MB/PNET patients listed from SEER data than pediatric and young adult patients. Only 12% of patients were staged. The SEER staging has the highest ROC (S.D.) area of 0.55 (0.05) among the factors tested. We simplified the 3-layered risk levels (local, regional, distant) to a simpler non-metastatic (I and II) versus metastatic (III) model. The ROC area (S.D.) of the 2-tiered model was 0.57 (0.04). Conclusions: ROC analysis optimized the most predictive SEER staging model. The high under staging rate may have prevented patients from selecting definitive radiotherapy after surgery.

• Water for future
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• v.10 no.1
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• pp.53-70
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• 1977

The analysis performed here is aimed to increase the familiarity of hydrologic process especially for the small basins which are densely gaged. Kyung An and Mu Shim river basins are selected as a representative basin according to the criteria which UNESCO has established back in 1964 and being operated under the auspice of Ministry of Construction. The data exerted from these basins is utilized for the determination of characteristics of procipitation and runoff phenomena for the small basin, which is considered as a typical Korean samall watershed. The study found that the areal distribution of preciptation did not show any significant deviation from the point rainfall. Since the area studied is less than 20 km#, the pointrainfall may be safely utilized as a representative value for the area. Also the effect of elevation on the precipitation has a minor significance in the small area where the elevation difference is less than 200m. The methodology developed by Soil Conservation Service for determination of runoff value from precipitation is applied to find the suitability of the method to Korean river basin. The soil cover complex number or runoff curve number was determined by comsidering the type of soil, soil cover, land use and other factors such as antecedent moisture content. The average values of CN for Kyung An and Mushim river basins were found to be 63.9 and 63.1 respectively under AMC II, however, values obtained from soil cover complex were less than those from total precipitation and effective precipitation about 10-30%. It may be worth to note that an attention has to be paid in application of SCS method to Korean river basin by adjusting 10-30% increase to the value obtained from soil cover complex. Finally, the design flood hydrograph was consturcted by employing unit hydrograph technique to the dimensionless mass curve. Also a stepwise multiple regression was performed to find the relationship between runoff and API, evapotranspiration rate, 5 days antecedentprecipitation and daily temperature.

• Journal of the Institute of Electronics Engineers of Korea CI
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• v.45 no.6
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• pp.179-186
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• 2008

In this paper we analyse the effects of Bayesian algorithm in teaming class imbalance problems and compare the performance evaluation methods. The teaming performance of the Bayesian algorithm is evaluated over the class imbalance problems generated by priori data distribution, imbalance data rate and discrimination complexity. The experimental results are calculated by the AUC(Area Under the Curve) values of both ROC(Receiver Operator Characteristic) and PR(Precision-Recall) evaluation measures and compared according to imbalance data rate and discrimination complexity. In comparison and analysis, the Bayesian algorithm suffers from the imbalance rate, as the same result in the reported researches, and the data overlapping caused by discrimination complexity is the another factor that hampers the learning performance. As the discrimination complexity and class imbalance rate of the problems increase, the learning performance of the AUC of a PR measure is much more variant than that of the AUC of a ROC measure. But the performances of both measures are similar with the low discrimination complexity and class imbalance rate of the problems. The experimental results show 4hat the AUC of a PR measure is more proper in evaluating the learning of class imbalance problem and furthermore gets the benefit in designing the optimal learning model considering a misclassification cost.

• Food Science and Biotechnology
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• v.16 no.4
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• pp.590-593
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• 2007

The textural properties of doughs mixed with L-ascorbic acid (AA), trypsin hydrolyzed gluten peptide (THGP), and a mixture of AA-THGP were investigated using texture analyzer under the fermentation of the full formula and the freezing process. The full formula dough (FFD) required a shorter mixing time than the flour and water formula dough (FWD). The maximum resistance (Rmax) values of both the unfrozen and frozen doughs were lower for the FFD. The effects of AA and THGP additions were not significant (p<0.01) in FFD, however, they were significant in FWD. The freezing effect was significant (p<0.0001) for FFD, indicating that yeast fermented dough was much more sensitive to damage from freezing, which subsequently affected dough strength. Additions of AA (p=0.0026) and THGP (p=0.0097) had a significant effect on the extensibility (E-value) of unfrozen FWD, where THGP increased and AA decreased the E-value. However, freezing did not significantly effect the extensibilities of FWD (p=0.64) or FFD (p=0.21). The area of FFD was lower than the area of FWD for both the unfrozen and frozen doughs. However, the frozen dough mixed with THGP alone had the largest area overall. The addition of additives did not result in significantly different (p<0.01) areas under the curve, except in the frozen FFD. Freezing caused a statistically significant difference in the area of FWD (p=0.0045).