• Title/Summary/Keyword: Approximate Estimate

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A Study on the Estimation of Effective Precipitation using Detailed Soil Map (정밀토양도를 이용한 유효강우량 산정에 관한 연구)

  • Kim, Kyung-Tak;Choi, Yun-Seok
    • Journal of the Korean Association of Geographic Information Studies
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    • v.7 no.2
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    • pp.1-15
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    • 2004
  • For the simulation of flow phenomenon that calculate basin outflow, it is required to estimate effective precipitation which contributes to direct runoff. This paper is focused on using detailed soil map which is one of the data required to estimate effective precipitation by SCS CN method. Korean detailed soil map must be reclassified as SCS hydrologic soil group when it is applied to SCS CN method. In this study, Korean detailed soil maps which are reclassified as SCS hydrologic soil group by the methods of Her and Jung (1987) and Jung et al. (1995) are applied to flow simulation and the results are analyzed. The study sites are Wichon watershed and Pyungchang river basin which are studied by International Hydrological Program(IHP). HEC-1 and WMS v6.1 are used to simulate flow phenomenon and calculate geographic parameters. The difference of flow analysis results from each soil reclassification method is different from each sites. But the results of flow analysis approximate observed data by using Jung et al. (1995) method more than Her and Jung (1987) method.

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An Analysis of the Characteristics of Standard Work and Design Information on Estimating Environmental Loads of PSC Beam Bridge in the Design Phase (PSC Beam 교량의 설계단계 환경부하량 산정을 위한 공종 및 설계정보 특성 분석)

  • Yun, Won Gun;Ha, Ji Kwang;Kim, Kyong Ju
    • KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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    • v.37 no.4
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    • pp.705-716
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    • 2017
  • As many environmental pollution problems have arisen, various studies related to the environmental evaluation have been carried out in the construction industry. However, there is no methodology for estimating the environmental load quickly for design alternatives of civil facilities in the design phase. This study aim to establish criteria of works information and designed parts which can efficiently estimate environmental loads of PSC beam bridge based on standard quantity at the early design phase. For this purpose, a detailed environmental loads database was constructed by performing Life Cycle Assessment (LCA) based on detailed design data of 25 bridges. In addition, major work with high impact on environmental load were selected, and the analysis of characteristics of environmental load according to the required materials and 8 impact categories were conducted. As a result, the superstructure accounted for 42.91%. In the superstructure, remicon of the material base and PSC beam work occupied 53.13% and 31.25%. In the substructure, remicon, rebar, and cement, which are material base, accounted for more than 93%. It is expected that this major work and material information for each part of bridge can be utilized in the construction of the model, which can estimate the approximate environmental load, reflecting the characteristics of the structure in the design phase.

Approximate Reliability Analysis Model for R.C. Bridge Superstructures based on Systems Reliability Methods (체계신뢰성(體系信賴性) 방법(方法)에 기초(基礎)한 R.C. 도로교(道路橋) 상부구조(上部構造)의 근사적(近似的) 신뢰성해석(信賴性解析) 모형(模型))

  • Cho, Hyo Nam;Koo, Bon Sung
    • KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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    • v.7 no.2
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    • pp.79-88
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    • 1987
  • This study is intended to propose a system reliability analysis model for R.C. bridge superstructures based on the systems reliability theory. Approximately assuming that the ultimate capacity of the superstructures is reached, when two adjacent girders fail subsequently, a practical system reliability model is proposed, which is based on a point estimate for Level II parallel-series system modelling. The sensitivity analysis of system reliabilities for the variation of the coefficients of correlations between the failure modes is performed by applying the proposed model for R.C. T beam bridges. It is observed that the point estimate method for the proposed model corresponds to the average value of the Ditlevsen's bound, and the system reliability index, ${\beta}_s$, varies quite sensitively according to the variation of the cofficients of correlations. Systems reliabilities of a few existing T beam bridges are analyzed by applying the proposed practical system reliability method of this study, and, in addition, the preferable direction of the development of the reliability-based code calibration using the system target reliability index concept are suggested.

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An Empirical Analysis on the Presumption of Public Apartment's Construction Cost in Housing Land Development Project (택지개발사업의 공공주택건설공사비 추정의 실증적 분석)

  • Kim, Seong-Hee
    • Korean Journal of Construction Engineering and Management
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    • v.12 no.2
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    • pp.81-88
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    • 2011
  • Providers haven't recently had a flexible construction cost estimation system to meet various needs of consumers about public housing. So the subject of this study is to estimate construction cost reasonably in early project stage of public housing and then develop reliable means which is able to support construction cost management and establish a adequate funding investment plan as a provider. In this study, Regression analysis was performed by the case on 20 public apartment complex which were designed from the first half of 2007 to the first half of 2008. A total construction cost of construction, civil engineering, machinery, elevator, land scape, electricity and communication work was used as one sample for increasing explanation and representativeness of the case. In addition, The total construction cost which is devided into design, contract and completion cost was variously analysed for increasing relevance of model and actual utilization. The result of estimation model based on a total construction cost set up completion and design cost showed that error rate is within 2%, which is a excellent result. The estimation model of the construction cost developed by this study is expected to estimate approximate construction cost which is adjacent real construction cost in early stage of the project by using some data.

An Approximate Estimation of Snow Weight Using KMA Weather Station Data and Snow Density Formulae (기상청 관측 자료와 눈 밀도 공식을 이용한 적설하중의 근사 추정)

  • Jo, Ji-yeong;Lee, Seung-Jae;Choi, Won
    • Korean Journal of Agricultural and Forest Meteorology
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    • v.22 no.2
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    • pp.92-101
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    • 2020
  • To prevent and mitigate damage to farms due to heavy snowfall, snow weight information should be provided in addition to snow depth. This study reviews four formulae regarding snow density and weight used in extant studies and applies them in Suwon area to estimate snow weight in Korea. We investigated the observed snow depth of 94 meteorological stations and automatic weather stations (AWS) data over the past 30 years (1988-2017). Based on the spatial distribution of snow depth by area in Korea, much of the fresh snow cover, due to heavy snowfall, occurred in Jeollabuk-do and Gangwon-do. Record snowfalls occurred in Gyeongsangbuk-do and Gangwon-do. However, the most recent heavy snowfall in winter occurred in Gyeonggi-do, Gyeongsangbuk-do, and Jeollanam-do. This implies that even if the snow depth is high, there is no significant damage unless the snow weight is high. The estimation of snow weight in Suwon area yielded different results based on the calculation method of snow density. In general, high snow depth is associated with heavy snow weight. However, maximum snow weight and maximum snow depth do not necessarily occur on the same day. The result of this study can be utilized to estimate the snow weight at other locations in Korea and to carry out snow weight prediction based on a numerical model. Snow weight information is expected to aid in establishing standards for greenhouse design and to reduce the economic losses incurred by farms.

The Evaluation of Failure Probability for Rock Slope Based on Fuzzy Set Theory and Monte Carlo Simulation (Fuzzy Set Theory와 Monte Carlo Simulation을 이용한 암반사면의 파괴확률 산정기법 연구)

  • Park, Hyuck-Jin
    • Journal of the Korean Geotechnical Society
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    • v.23 no.11
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    • pp.109-117
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    • 2007
  • Uncertainty is pervasive in rock slope stability analysis due to various reasons and subsequently it may cause serious rock slope failures. Therefore, the importance of uncertainty has been recognized and subsequently the probability theory has been used to quantify the uncertainty since 1980's. However, some uncertainties, due to incomplete information, cannot be handled satisfactorily in the probability theory and the fuzzy set theory is more appropriate for those uncertainties. In this study the random variable is considered as fuzzy number and the fuzzy set theory is employed in rock slope stability analysis. However, the previous fuzzy analysis employed the approximate method, which is first order second moment method and point estimate method. Since previous studies used only the representative values from membership function to evaluate the stability of rock slope, the approximated analysis results have been obtained in previous studies. Therefore, the Monte Carlo simulation technique is utilized to evaluate the probability of failure for rock slope in the current study. This overcomes the shortcomings of previous studies, which are employed vertex method. With Monte Carlo simulation technique, more complete analysis results can be secured in the proposed method. The proposed method has been applied to the practical example. According to the analysis results, the probabilities of failure obtained from the fuzzy Monte Carlo simulation coincide with the probabilities of failure from the probabilistic analysis.

Estimation of Chlorophyll-a Concentrations in the Nakdong River Using High-Resolution Satellite Image (고해상도 위성영상을 이용한 낙동강 유역의 클로로필-a 농도 추정)

  • Choe, Eun-Young;Lee, Jae-Woon;Lee, Jae-Kwan
    • Korean Journal of Remote Sensing
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    • v.27 no.5
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    • pp.613-623
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    • 2011
  • This study assessed the feasibility to apply Two-band and Three-band reflectance models for chlorophyll-a estimation in turbid productive waters whose scale is smaller and narrower than ocean using a high spatial resolution image. Those band ratio models were successfully applied to analyzing chlorophyll-a concentrations of ocean or coastal water using Moderate Imaging Spectroradiometer(MODIS), Sea-viewing Wide Field-fo-view Sensor(SeaWiFS), Medium Resolution Imaging Spectrometer(MERIS), etc. Two-band and Three-band models based on band ratio such as Red and NIR band were generally used for the Chl-a in turbid waters. Two-band modes using Red and NIR bands of RapidEye image showed no significant results with $R^2$ 0.38. To enhance a band ratio between absorption and reflection peak, We used red-edge band(710 nm) of RapidEye image for Twoband and Three-band models. Red-RE Two-band and Red-RE-NIR Three-band reflectance model (with cubic equation) for the RapidEye image provided significance performances with $R^2$ 0.66 and 0.73, respectively. Their performance showed the 'Approximate Prediction' with RPD, 1.39 and 1.29 and RMSE, 24.8, 22.4, respectively. Another three-band model with quadratic equation showed similar performances to Red-RE two-band model. The findings in this study demonstrated that Two-band and Three-band reflectance models using a red-edge band can approximately estimate chlorophyll-a concentrations in a turbid river water using high-resolution satellite image. In the distribution map of estimated Chl-a concentrations, three-band model with cubic equation showed lower values than twoband model. In the further works, quantification and correction of spectral interferences caused by suspended sediments and colored dissolved organic matters will improve the accuracy of chlorophyll-a estimation in turbid waters.

Prediction of Mean Water Level Rise Behind Low-Crested Structures and Outflow Velocity from Openings by Using a Hybrid Method Based on Two Dimensional Model Test and Hydrodynamic Numerical Modeling (단면수리모형 및 해수유동모델링 결합기법에 의한 저마루 구조물 배후의 평균수위 상승 및 개구부 유출유속 예측)

  • Lee, Dal Soo;Lee, Ki-Jae;Yoon, Jae Seon;Oh, Sang-Ho
    • Journal of Korean Society of Coastal and Ocean Engineers
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    • v.29 no.6
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    • pp.410-418
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    • 2017
  • The stability of low-crested structure (LCS) and overtopping discharge over a seawall behind the LCS are influenced by the water level behind the structure. Hence, the experimental results can be distorted unless the increase of water level is known when two-dimensional experiment is carried out. In order to estimate increase of the mean water level behind the low-crested structure, this study applied a hybrid technique that combined results of two-dimensional model test and hydrodynamic numerical modeling based on the relationship between the water level and discharge. By using this technique, the mean water level increase and flow field can be obtained almost at the same time, which resolved the above problem considerably. In addition, this method can provide an approximate information about the outflow velocity from the openings of the structure, which is helpful for selecting appropriate planar configuration of the low-crested structure.

Application of Navigating System based on Bluetooth Smart (블루투스 스마트 기반의 내비게이팅 시스템)

  • Lee, YoungDoo;Jan, Sana Ullah;Koo, Insoo
    • The Journal of the Institute of Internet, Broadcasting and Communication
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    • v.17 no.1
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    • pp.69-76
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    • 2017
  • Bluetooth Low Energy (BLE), also known as Bluetooth Smart, has ultra-low power consumption; in fact, BLE-enabled devices can run on a single coin cell battery for several years. In addition, BLE can estimate the approximate distance between two devices using the Received Signal Strength Indication (RSSI) feature, enabling relatively precise navigation in indoor and small outdoor areas where GPS is not an option. In this paper, an experimental setup is presented in which BLE is used for navigation within a small outdoor area. BLE-based beacons are installed in fixed positions, which periodically transmit a universally unique identifier (UUID). A smart device receives the UUID and sends it to a database server using cellular or Wi-Fi technology. The server returns fixed position information corresponding to the received UUID codes, and the smart device uses that information to compute its current position based on relative signal strengths, and display it on a map. These results demonstrate the successful application of BLE technology for navigation in small outdoor areas. This system can be implemented for indoor navigation as well.

Characterization of Radiation Field in the Steam Generator Water Chambers and Effective Doses to the Workers (증기발생기 수실의 방사선장 특성 및 작업자 유효선량의 평가)

  • Lee, Choon-Sik;Lee, Jai-Ki
    • Journal of Radiation Protection and Research
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    • v.24 no.4
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    • pp.215-223
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    • 1999
  • Characteristics of radiation field in the steam generator(S/G) water chamber of a PWR were investigated and the anticipated effective dose rates to the worker in the S/G chamber were evaluated by Monte Carlo simulation. The results of crud analysis in the S/G of the Kori nuclear power plant unit 1 were adopted for the source term. The MCNP4A code was used with the MIRD type anthropomorphic sex-specific mathematical phantoms for the calculation of effective doses. The radiation field intensity is dominated by downward rays, from the U-tube region, having approximate cosine distribution with respect to the polar angle. The effective dose rates to adults of nominal body size and of small body size(The phantom for a 15 year-old person was applied for this purpose) appeared to be 36.22 and 37.06 $mSvh^{-1}$) respectively, which implies that the body size effect is negligible. Meanwhile, the equivalent dose rates at three representative positions corresponding to head, chest and lower abdomen of the phantom, calculated using the estimated exposure rates, the energy spectrum and the conversion coefficients given in ICRU47, were 118, 71 and 57 $mSvh^{-1}$, respectively. This implies that the deep dose equivalent or the effective dose obtained from the personal dosimeter reading would be the over-estimate the effective dose by about two times. This justifies, with possible under- or over- response of the dosimeters to radiation of slant incidence, necessity of very careful planning and interpretation for the dosimetry of workers exposed to a non-regular radiation field of high intensity.

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