• Title/Summary/Keyword: Appropriate Risk Standard

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Application of Toxicogenomic Technology for the Improvement of Risk Assessment

  • Hwang, Myung-Sil;Yoon, Eun-Kyung;Kim, Ja-Young;Son, Bo-Kyung;Jang, Dong-Deuk;Yoo, Tae-Moo
    • Molecular & Cellular Toxicology
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    • v.4 no.3
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    • pp.260-266
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    • 2008
  • Recently, there has been scientific discussion on the utility of -omics techniques such as genomics, proteomics, and metabolomics within toxicological research and mechanism-based risk assessment. Toxicogenomics is a novel approach integrating the expression analysis of genes (genomic) or proteins (proteomic) with traditional toxicological methods. Since 1999, the toxicogenomic approach has been extensively applied for regulatory purposes in order to understand the potential toxic mechanisms that result from chemical compound exposures. Therefore, this article's purpose was to consider the utility of toxicogenomic profiles for improved risk assessment, explore the current limitations in applying toxicogenomics to regulation, and finally, to rationalize possible avenues to resolve some of the major challenges. Based on many recent works, the significant impact toxicogenomic techniques would have on human health risk assessment is better identification of toxicity pathways or mode-of-actions (MOAs). In addition, the application of toxicogenomics in risk assessment and regulation has proven to be cost effective in terms of screening unknown toxicants prior to more extensive and costly experimental evaluation. However, to maximize the utility of these techniques in regulation, researchers and regulators must resolve many parallel challenges with regard to data collection, integration, and interpretation. Furthermore, standard guidance has to be prepared for researchers and assessors on the scientifically appropriate use of toxicogenomic profiles in risk assessment. The National Institute of Toxicological Research (NITR) looks forward to an ongoing role as leader in addressing the challenges associated with the scientifically sound use of toxicogenomics data in risk assessment.

The Volatility and Estimation of Systematic Risks on Major Crypto Currencies (주요 암호화폐의 변동성 및 체계적 위험추정에 대한 비교분석)

  • Lee, Jungmann
    • Journal of Information Technology Applications and Management
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    • v.26 no.6
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    • pp.47-63
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    • 2019
  • The volatility of major crypto currencies was examined and they are diagnosed whether they have a systematic risk or not, by estimating market beta representing systematic risk using GARCH( Generalized Auto Regressive Conditional Heteroskedastieity) model. First, the empirical results showed that their prices are very volatile over time because of the existence of ARCH and GARCH effects. Second, in terms of efficiency, asymmetric GJR model was estimated to be the most appropriate model because the standard error of a market beta was less than that of the OLS model and GARCH model. Third, the estimated market beta of Bitcoin using GJR model was less than 1 at 0.8791, showing that there is no systematic risk. However, unlike OLS model, the market beta of Ethereum and Ripple was estimated at 1.0581 and 1.1222, showing that there is systematic risk. This result shows that bitcoin is less dangerous than Ripple and Ethereum, and ripple is the most dangerous of all three crypto currencies. Finally, the major cryptocurrency found that the negative impact caused greater variability than the positive impact, causing bad news to fluctuate more than good news, and therefore good news and bad news had a different effect on the variability.

Hearing loss screening tool (COBRA score) for newborns in primary care setting

  • Poonual, Watcharapol;Navacharoen, Niramon;Kangsanarak, Jaran;Namwongprom, Sirianong;Saokaew, Surasak
    • Clinical and Experimental Pediatrics
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    • v.60 no.11
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    • pp.353-358
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    • 2017
  • Purpose: To develop and evaluate a simple screening tool to assess hearing loss in newborns. A derived score was compared with the standard clinical practice tool. Methods: This cohort study was designed to screen the hearing of newborns using transiently evoked otoacoustic emission and auditory brain stem response, and to determine the risk factors associated with hearing loss of newborns in 3 tertiary hospitals in Northern Thailand. Data were prospectively collected from November 1, 2010 to May 31, 2012. To develop the risk score, clinical-risk indicators were measured by Poisson risk regression. The regression coefficients were transformed into item scores dividing each regression-coefficient with the smallest coefficient in the model, rounding the number to its nearest integer, and adding up to a total score. Results: Five clinical risk factors (Craniofacial anomaly, Ototoxicity, Birth weight, family history [Relative] of congenital sensorineural hearing loss, and Apgar score) were included in our COBRA score. The screening tool detected, by area under the receiver operating characteristic curve, more than 80% of existing hearing loss. The positive-likelihood ratio of hearing loss in patients with scores of 4, 6, and 8 were 25.21 (95% confidence interval [CI], 14.69-43.26), 58.52 (95% CI, 36.26-94.44), and 51.56 (95% CI, 33.74-78.82), respectively. This result was similar to the standard tool (The Joint Committee on Infant Hearing) of 26.72 (95% CI, 20.59-34.66). Conclusion: A simple screening tool of five predictors provides good prediction indices for newborn hearing loss, which may motivate parents to bring children for further appropriate testing and investigations.

Quantitative microbial risk assessment indicates very low risk for Vibrio parahaemolyticus foodborne illness from Jeotgal in South Korea

  • Choi, Yukyung;Kang, Joohyun;Lee, Yewon;Seo, Yeongeun;Kim, Sejeong;Ha, Jimyeong;Oh, Hyemin;Kim, Yujin;Park, Eunyoung;Lee, Heeyoung;Lee, Soomin;Rhee, Min Suk;Yoon, Yohan
    • Fisheries and Aquatic Sciences
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    • v.25 no.9
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    • pp.463-472
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    • 2022
  • In this study, a microbial risk assessment was performed for the bacteria Vibrio parahaemolyticus, which causes a foodborne illness following the consumption of Jeotgal, a fermented seafood in South Korea. The assessment comprised of six stages: product, market, home, consumption, dose-response, and risk. The initial contamination level (IC) was calculated based on the prevalence of V. parahaemolyticus in 90 Jeotgal samples. The kinetic behavior of V. parahaemolyticus was described using predictive models. The data on transportation conditions from manufacturer to market and home were collected through personal communication and from previous studies. Data for the Jeotgal consumption status were obtained, and an appropriate probability distribution was established. The simulation models responding to the scenario were analyzed using the @RISK program. The IC of V. parahaemolyticus was estimated using beta distribution [Beta (1, 91)]. The cell counts during transportation were estimated using Weibull and polynomial models [δ = 1 / (0.0718 - 0.0097 × T + 0.0005 × T2)], while the probability distributions for time and temperature were estimated using Pert, Weibull, Uniform, and LogLogistic distributions. Daily average consumption amounts were assessed using the Pareto distribution [0.60284,1.32,Risk Truncate(0,155)]. The results indicated that the risk of V. parahaemolyticus infection through Jeotgal consumption is low in South Korea.

Electronic Risk Assessment System as an Appropriate Tool for the Prevention of Cancer: a Qualitative Study

  • Amoli, Amir hossein Javan;Maserat, Elham;Safdari, Reza;Zali, Mohammad Reza
    • Asian Pacific Journal of Cancer Prevention
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    • v.16 no.18
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    • pp.8595-8598
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    • 2016
  • Background: Decision making modalities for screening for many cancer conditions and different stages have become increasingly complex. Computer-based risk assessment systems facilitate scheduling and decision making and support the delivery of cancer screening services. The aim of this article was to survey electronic risk assessment system as an appropriate tool for the prevention of cancer. Materials and Methods: A qualitative design was used involving 21 face-to-face interviews. Interviewing involved asking questions and getting answers from exclusive managers of cancer screening. Of the participants 6 were female and 15 were male, and ages ranged from 32 to 78 years. The study was based on a grounded theory approach and the tool was a semi-structured interview. Results: Researchers studied 5 dimensions, comprising electronic guideline standards of colorectal cancer screening, work flow of clinical and genetic activities, pathways of colorectal cancer screening and functionality of computer based guidelines and barriers. Electronic guideline standards of colorectal cancer screening were described in the s3 categories of content standard, telecommunications and technical standards and nomenclature and classification standards. According to the participations' views, workflow and genetic pathways of colorectal cancer screening were identified. Conclusions: The study demonstrated an effective role of computer-guided consultation for screening management. Electronic based systems facilitate real-time decision making during a clinical interaction. Electronic pathways have been applied for clinical and genetic decision support, workflow management, update recommendation and resource estimates. A suitable technical and clinical infrastructure is an integral part of clinical practice guidline of screening. As a conclusion, it is recommended to consider the necessity of architecture assessment and also integration standards.

Improvement of Dermal Absorption Slope Factor and Suspended Particle Concentration for Soil Risk Assessment Guideline (토양 위해성평가 지침에서 피부흡수발암계수 및 비산먼지농도 인자 개선)

  • Bo Bae Lee;Young Tae Jo;Jeong-Hun Park
    • Journal of Soil and Groundwater Environment
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    • v.28 no.6
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    • pp.33-44
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    • 2023
  • A risk assessment on the heavy metals including arsenic (As), cupper (Cu), lead (Pb), and zinc (Zn) was investigated by setting exposure routes in agricultural fields. Moreover, the factors requiring improvement in risk assessment were also discussed through a review of the dermal absorption slope factor (SFabs) and total amount of suspended particles (TSP) in the current risk assessment guidelines. Assessment results show that the total cancer risk (TCR) of As through crop and soil ingestion was 1.51E-03 in adults and 6.37E-4 in children, which indicated a carcinogenic risk (exceeding 1E-05). On the other side, the harzard index (HI) was 3.37 in adults and 1.41 in children, which was evaluated as having a non-carcinogenic risk (>1). The carcinogenic purification targets for As were calculated to be 6.84 mg/kg in adults and 6.86 mg/kg in children, while the non-carcinogenic purification targets were calculated to be 13.43 mg/kg for adults and 22.54 mg/kg for children. When applying SFabs 61 of the current guidelines, it appears that there is a carcinogenic risk even though the As exposure concentration is below the area of concern 1 standard (25 mg/kg), which suggestes that additional research on this factor is required for the risk assessment. In order to apply the measured suspended particle concentration to risk assessment, TSP should be derived from PM10 using an appropriate correlation equation. As a result, it is suggested to improve the risk assessment guidelines so that the mesured PM10 value measured in the field can be used directly.

Association of Mutual Fund Risk Measures and Return Parameters: A Juxtapose of Ranking for Performance in Pakistan

  • KHURRAM, Muhammad Usman;HAMID, Kashif;JAVEED, Sohail Ahmad
    • The Journal of Asian Finance, Economics and Business
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    • v.8 no.2
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    • pp.25-39
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    • 2021
  • This purpose of this study is to investigate the association among mutual funds (MFs) risk measures and return parameters, evaluate mutual fund performance and also explore the best appropriate mutual fund performance measure for investment in Pakistan. Therefore, thirty-five mutual funds have been selected for the period 2007-2015. The Sharpe, Treynor, Jensen Alpha, Information ratio and Fama's Net Selectivity measures has been used to analyze MF performance. Our study findings show significant positive relation exist between Sharpe and Jenson alpha & information ratio (IR); Treynor ratio is negatively correlated to Jenson alpha and Jenson alpha is positively allied with IR. Moreover, association among performance measures, Fama's net selectivity is a major driver in leading to other measures but Sharpe and IR lead to Treynor ratio as well. Furthermore, performance measures are ranked in accordance standard deviation with the arrangement of Fama's net selectivity at top, Jenson Alpha at second, Sharpe ratio at third, IR at fourth and Treynor ratio at fifth position according to risk parameters in Pakistan. Overall, Jensen Alpha measure appears to be the best suitable mutual fund performance measure in Pakistan due to its practical nature. Finally, the Pakistani stock market index KSE100 (as benchmark) performs better than MF industry of Pakistan.

A Study on the Method of Quantitative Risk Analysis in Railway Tunnels (철도터널의 안전성 평가 기법에 관한 연구)

  • Park, Jung-Hyun;Cho, Kook-Hwan;SaGong, Myung;Kim, Hyo-Gyu
    • Proceedings of the KSR Conference
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    • 2011.10a
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    • pp.1171-1176
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    • 2011
  • According to the 'Rules on the Safety Standard of Railroad Facilities', the 'Detailed Safety Standards of Railroad Facilities' and 'the Standards for Railroad Design' unified of MLTM(Ministry of Land, Transport and Maritime Affairs), the risk analysis on the application of fire safety facilities should be quantitatively performed to ensure the safety in tunnels over 1km long. This paper aims at proposal of basic data for the safety facilities' planning with reasonable and appropriate scale through case studies on different model tunnels.

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Review for HACCP system to PL infrastructure in Food Manufacturing (식품제조업체에 대한 PL 대응체제로서 HACCP 시스템의 고찰)

  • 김주홍;이승정;임현교
    • Journal of the Korea Safety Management & Science
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    • v.4 no.4
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    • pp.53-62
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    • 2002
  • As the life standard has enhanced, food products has incomparably advanced both in quality and variety to meet the consumer's choice. Despite of high quality and variety, appropriate food safety system has not been established yet in food manufacturing. With Product Liability issuance effective on July 2002, consumers are demanding far higher food safety level than what it used to be. The food manufacturers are seeking food safety assurance system. HACCP system is a pivotal product safety system providing the infrastructure to PL. By the time in the early 1970 when HACCP was developed suitable for food, it comprised the category of Risk, in fact it was quantitative sequence system. In a preparatory phase of HACCP, decision mostly depends on the quantitative analysis. In a recent study, the introduction of Risk Analysis is being reviewed for Food Safety system. In this study, FTA, FMEA are also reviewed in comparison with HACCP which have been utilized in Safety Engineering.

Estimation of Attributable Burden due to Premature Death from Smoking in Korea (우리 나라 흡연으로 인한 조기사망의 질병부담)

  • Ha, Beom-Man;Kang, Jong-Won;Chang, Hye-Chung;Yoon, Seok-Jun
    • Journal of Preventive Medicine and Public Health
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    • v.34 no.3
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    • pp.191-199
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    • 2001
  • Objective : In this study, we focused on estimating the burden of premature death in Korea caused by smoking using the YLL(years of life lost due to premature death) measurement. Methods : First, we determined parameters: such as age-specific standard life expectancy, age on death, sex, and cause of death by analyzing the national death certificate data and life table collected during 1997. These were provided by the National Statistical Office. Secondly, we estimated the age group- specific years of life lost due to premature death by employing the standard expected years of life lost(SEYLL) measurement. Thirdly, the burden of premature death caused by smoking was estimated using the YLLs measurement which was developed by the global burden of disease study group. Fourthly, We calculated the risk related to smoking using the population attributable risk. Results : The following results were obtained in this study: 1) Premature death that is attributable to smoking in males could be prevented in 60.9%(513,582 person-year) by non-smoking. 2) The burden of premature death by smoking for female was prevented to 17.7%(513,582 person-year) by non-smoking. Conclusion : We found that the YLL method employed in this study was appropriate in quantifying the burden of premature death. This provides a rational basis for planning a national health policy regarding premature deaths caused by smoking and other related risk factors.

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