• Title/Summary/Keyword: Annual maximum flood

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Estimation of Design Flood by the Determination of Best Fitting Order for LH-Moments (LH-모멘트의 차수에 따른 설계홍수량 추정)

  • Maeng, Sung-Jin;Lee, Soon-Hyuk
    • Proceedings of the Korean Society of Agricultural Engineers Conference
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    • 2002.10a
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    • pp.233-236
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    • 2002
  • This study was conducted to estimate the design flood by the determination of best fitting order for LH-moments of the annual maximum series at fifteen watersheds. Parameters of GEV distribution and flood flows of return period n years were derived by the methods of L, L1, L2, L3 and L4-moments. Frequency analysis of flood flow data generated by Monte Carlo simulation was performed by the methods of L, L1, L2, L3 and L4-moments using GEV distribution. Relative Root Mean Square Error (RRMSE), Relative Bias (RBIAS) and Relative Efficiency (RE) using methods of L, L1, L2, L3 and L4-moments for GEV distribution were computed and compared with those resulting from Monte Carlo simulation. At almost all of the watersheds, the more the order of LH-moments and the return periods increased, the more RE became, while the less RRMSE and RBIAS became. Consequently, design floods for the applied watersheds were derived by the methods of L3 and L4-moments among LH-moments in view of high confidence efficiency.

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Operation Rule Curve for Reservoir with Low Areal Ratio of Watershed to Downstream Paddy Field (유역배율이 작은 저수지의 이수관리방법)

  • Noh, Jae-Kyoung
    • KCID journal
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    • v.18 no.1
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    • pp.68-80
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    • 2011
  • To provide a operation rule curve for reservoir with low ratio of watershed area to paddy field area, Duckyong reservoir with watershed area of $15.8km^2$ and paddy field area of 1,071ha was selected, in which 4 meters are being heightened and full water levels will be increased from EL.26.0m to EL.30.0m, total water storages from 365.6M $m^3$ to 708.0M $m^3$. There was no operation rule curve that satisfied over 90% reliability of water supply in reservoir with watershed area of 1.48 times of paddy field area. The differences between observed and simulated reservoir daily water storages were minimized to determine parameters for simulating reservoir inflow in case of paddy field area of 550ha from 1991 to 2010. A operation rule curve was drawn to have a maximum storage with total water storage, which was in paddy field area of 700ha with ratio of 2.3 between watershed area and paddy field area. This case showed that annual irrigation water supply was 668M $m^3$ and instream flow of 57M $m^3$, water supply reliability of 55.6% in normal operation, and annual irrigation water supply was 605M $m^3$ and instream flow of 38M $m^3$, water supply reliability of 95.6% in withdrawal limited operation. Water supply reliabilities showed 35.6% without flood regulation and 17.8% with flood regulation in existing reservoir before heightening.

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Comparative Analysis of Design Flood by Different Methods for the Estimation of Parameters in Generalized Gamma Distribution Model (Generalized Gamma 분포 모형의 매개변수 유도 방법에 의한 설계홍수량의 비교분석)

  • Lee Soon-hyuk;Maeng Sung-jin;Ryoo Kyong-sik
    • KCID journal
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    • v.5 no.1
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    • pp.32-46
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    • 1998
  • This study was conducted to derive optimal design floods by generalized gamma distribution model of the annual maximum series at six watersheds along Han and Nag Dong river systems. Design floods obtained by different methods for estimation of parameters

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Derivation of Optimal Design Flood by L-Moments (L-모멘트법에 의한 적정 설계홍수량의 유도)

  • 이순혁;박명근;맹승진;정연수;김동주;류경식
    • Proceedings of the Korean Society of Agricultural Engineers Conference
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    • 1998.10a
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    • pp.318-324
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    • 1998
  • This study was conducted to derive optimal design floods by Generalized Extreme-value(GEV) distribution for the annual maximum series at ten watersheds along Han, Nagdong, Geum, Yeongsan and Seomjin river systems. Adequacy for the analysis of flood data used in this study was established by the tests of Independence, Homogeneity, detection of Outliers. L-coefficient of variation, L-skewness and L-kurtosis were calculated by L-moment ratio respectively. Parameters were estimated by the Methods of Moments and L-Moments. Design floods obtained by Methods of Moments and L-Moments using different methods for plotting positions in GEV distribution were compared by the relative mean and relative absolute error. It was found that design floods derived by the method of L-moments using weibull plotting position formula in GEV distribution are much closer to those of the observed data in comparison with those obtained by method of moments using different formulas for plotting positions in view of relative mean and relative absolute error.

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Comparative Analysis of Flood Frequncy by Moment and L-moment in Weibull-3 distribution (Weibull-3 분포모형의 모멘트법 및 L-모멘트법에 의한 홍수빈도비교분석)

  • 이순혁;맹승진;송기헌;류경식;지호근
    • Proceedings of the Korean Society of Agricultural Engineers Conference
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    • 1998.10a
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    • pp.331-337
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    • 1998
  • This study was carried out to derive optimal design floods by Weibull-3 distribution with the annual maximum series at seven watersheds along Man, Nagdong, Geum, Yeongsan and Seomjin river systems. Adequacy for the analysis of flood data used in this study was acknowledged by the tests of Independence, Homogeneity, detection of Outliers. Parameters were estimated by the Methods of Moments and L-Moments. Design floods obtained by Methods of Moments and L-Moments using different methods for plotting positions in Weibull-3 distribution were compared by the rotative mean error and relative absolute error. It has shown that design floods derived by the method of L-moments using Weibull plotting position formula in Weibull-3 distribution are much closer to those of the observed data in comparison with those obtained by method of moments using different formulas for plotting positions in view of relative mean and relative absolute error.

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Flood Frequency Analysis using L, L1 and L2-Moment Methods (L, L1 및 L2-모멘트법에 의한 홍수빈도분석)

  • Lee, Soon-Hyuk;Maeng, Sung-Jin;Ryoo, Kyong-Sik;Jee, Ho-Keun
    • Proceedings of the Korean Society of Agricultural Engineers Conference
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    • 2001.10a
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    • pp.310-313
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    • 2001
  • This study was conducted to derive optimal design floods by Gumbel, GEV, GLO and GPA distributions for the annual maximum series at sixteen watersheds. Adequacy for the analysis of flood data used in This study was established by the tests of Independence, Homogeneity, detection of Outliers. Parameters were estimated by the Methods of L, L1 and L2-moments. Design floods obtained by Methods of L, L1 and L2-moments using Gringorten methods for plotting positions in GEV distribution were compared by the Relative Mean Errors and Relative Absolute Errors.

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The Circulation in Kwang Yang Bay (광양만의 해수유동에 관하여)

  • 윤갑동
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Fisheries and Ocean Technology
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    • v.12 no.1
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    • pp.19-24
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    • 1976
  • A series of physical oceanographic investigations of the circulation in the Kwang Bay' were carried out seven times from May 1974 to May 1975 every other month. The average water transports through the southern entrance of the' Kwang Yang Bay were approximately $1,014{\times}I0^6m^3$/half-tide in ebb current and $278{\times}10^6m^3$$405.6{\times}I0^6m^34/half-tide in ebb current, and $282{\times}10^6m^3 $/half-tide in flood current, at the maximum current intensity. The water from Seomjin River flows into the bay at an annual average rate of $84{\times}I0^6m^3$/half-tide, the rate being fluctuated from month to month from $6.0\times}10^6m^3 $to $11. 5{\times}I0^6m^3 $per half-tide.

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Establishment of flood forecasting and warning system in the un-gauged small and medium watershed through ODA (ODA사업을 통한 미계측 중소하천 유역 홍수예경보시스템 구축)

  • Koh, Deuk-Koo;Lee, Chihun;Jeon, Jeibok;Go, Sukhyon
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.54 no.6
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    • pp.381-393
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    • 2021
  • As part of the National Disaster Management Research Institute's Official Development Assistance (ODA) projects for transferring new technologies in the field of disaster-safety management, a flood forecasting and warning system was established in 2019 targeting the Borikhan in the Namxan River Basin in Bolikhamxai Province, Laos. In the target area, which is an ungauged small and medium river basin, observation stations for real-time monitoring of rainfall and runoff and alarm stations were installed, and a software that performs real-time data management and flood forecasting and warning functions was also developed. In order to establish a flood warning standard and develop a nomograph for flood prediction, hydraulic and hydrological analysis was performed based on the 30-year annual maximum daily rainfall data and river morphology survey results in the target area. This paper introduces the process and methodology used in this study, and presents the results of the system's applicability review based on the data observed and collected in 2020 after system installation.

The method of period division and range setting for annual river discharge management (연중 하천유량 관리를 위한 기간 구분 및 관리범위 설정 방안)

  • Park, Tae Sun
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.56 no.1
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    • pp.1-9
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    • 2023
  • Until now, the periods of river discharge management throughout a year are divided into flood and non-flood periods, and the ranges of discharges to be managed are broadly defined from drought discharge to flood discharge. In this study, using the long-term daily discharge data from 8 points of four major rivers, we propose a method of dividing the year into several periods with the homogeneous mean and dispersion of discharges. As a result of the study, the period of through a year was different depending on the point, but it could be divided into pre-flood period, flood period, and post-flood period. And the more subdivided the period, the more decreased the ratio of the maximum discharge to the minimum discharge. In addition, in order to ensure that the discharge for a year is more than the drought discharge and less than the flood discharge, to set the range of discharge management per period as the average flow ± standard deviation for each period is proposed.

Use of beta-P distribution for modeling hydrologic events

  • Murshed, Md. Sharwar;Seo, Yun Am;Park, Jeong-Soo;Lee, Youngsaeng
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • v.25 no.1
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    • pp.15-27
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    • 2018
  • Parametric method of flood frequency analysis involves fitting of a probability distribution to observed flood data. When record length at a given site is relatively shorter and hard to apply the asymptotic theory, an alternative distribution to the generalized extreme value (GEV) distribution is often used. In this study, we consider the beta-P distribution (BPD) as an alternative to the GEV and other well-known distributions for modeling extreme events of small or moderate samples as well as highly skewed or heavy tailed data. The L-moments ratio diagram shows that special cases of the BPD include the generalized logistic, three-parameter log-normal, and GEV distributions. To estimate the parameters in the distribution, the method of moments, L-moments, and maximum likelihood estimation methods are considered. A Monte-Carlo study is then conducted to compare these three estimation methods. Our result suggests that the L-moments estimator works better than the other estimators for this model of small or moderate samples. Two applications to the annual maximum stream flow of Colorado and the rainfall data from cloud seeding experiments in Southern Florida are reported to show the usefulness of the BPD for modeling hydrologic events. In these examples, BPD turns out to work better than $beta-{\kappa}$, Gumbel, and GEV distributions.