• Title/Summary/Keyword: Ann(Artificial Neural Network)

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Study on the Estimation of Frost Occurrence Classification Using Machine Learning Methods (기계학습법을 이용한 서리 발생 구분 추정 연구)

  • Kim, Yongseok;Shim, Kyo-Moon;Jung, Myung-Pyo;Choi, In-tae
    • Korean Journal of Agricultural and Forest Meteorology
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    • v.19 no.3
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    • pp.86-92
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    • 2017
  • In this study, a model to classify frost occurrence and frost free day was developed using the digital weather forecast data provided by Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA). The minimum temperature, average wind speed, relative humidity, and dew point temperature were identified as the meteorological variables useful for classification frost occurrence and frost-free days. It was found that frost-occurrence date tended to have relatively low values of the minimum temperature, dew point temperature, and average wind speed. On the other hand, relatively humidity on frost-free days was higher than on frost-occurrence dates. Models based on machine learning methods including Artificial Neural Network (ANN), Random Forest(RF), Support Vector Machine(SVM) with those meteorological factors had >70% of accuracy. This results suggested that these models would be useful to predict the occurrence of frost using a digital weather forecast data.

The Study of Visualization for Moving Particles in the Water Using Artificial Neural Network (인공신경망을 이용한 수중 충돌입자의 가시화 연구)

  • Shin Bok-Suk;Je Sung-Kwan;Jin ChunLin;Kim Kwang-baek;Cho Jae-Hyun;Cha Eui-Young
    • Journal of the Korea Institute of Information and Communication Engineering
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    • v.8 no.8
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    • pp.1732-1739
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    • 2004
  • In this paper, we proposed a visualization system with ANN algorithm that traits the motion of particles that move colliding in the water, where we got a great deal of variable information and predicts the distribution of particles according to the flowing of water and the pattern of their precipitation. We adopted ART2 to detect sensitively the collision between particles in this visualzation. Various particles and their mutual collision influencing the force such as buoyancy force, gravitational force, and the pattern of precipitation are considered in this system. Flowing particles whose motion is changed with the environment can be visualized in the system presented here as they are in real water.

Efficient Management of Tunnel Construction Informations using ITIS(Intelligent Tunnelling Information System) (ITIS를 활용한 효율적인 터널 정보화 시공 관리)

  • Kim, Chang-Yong;Hong, Sung-Wan;Bae, Gyu-Jin;Kim, Kwang-Teom;Son, Moo-Rak;Han, Byeong-Hyeon
    • Proceedings of the Korean Geotechical Society Conference
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    • 2004.03b
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    • pp.946-951
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    • 2004
  • ITIS is applied to the several tunnel construction sites in Korea. Tunnel construction properties which are acquired from these sites are transferred to information management server(SQL 2000 server)by client application program in real time. Access permission to DB server depends on the user's roles. Some functions which cannot be embodied in SQL Server are serviced through XML and GMS server is used for spatial data based on GIS part. This system is supposed to give engineers the advantages which are not only easy handling of the program and computerized documentation on every information during construction but also analyzing the acquired data in order to predict the structure of ground and rock mass to be excavated later and show the guideline of construction. Neung-Dong tunnel and Mu-Gua express way tunnel are now under construction and with this system they have 3D visualized map of the geology and tunnel geometry and accumulate database of construction information such as tunnel face mapping results, special notes and pictures of construction and 3D monitoring data, all matters on the stability of rock bolts and shotcrete, and so on. Ground settlement prediction program included in ITIS, based on the artificial neural network(ANN) and supported by GIS technology is applying to the subway tunnel. This prediction tool can make it possible to visualize the ground settlement according to the excavation procedures by contouring the calculated result on 3D GIS map and to assess the damage of buildings in the vicinity of construction site caused by ground settlement.

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Development of Intelligent System to Select Production Method in Coalbed Methane Reservoir (석탄층 메탄가스 저류층의 생산방법 선정을 위한 지능형 시스템 개발)

  • Kim, Chang-Jae;Kim, Jung-Gyun;Lee, Jeong-Hwan
    • Journal of the Korean Institute of Gas
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    • v.18 no.2
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    • pp.1-9
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    • 2014
  • To develop a coalbed methane(CBM) reservoir, it is important to apply production methods such as drilling, completion, and stimulation which coincide with coal properties. However, the reliability of the selected resulted in most of CBM field is not enough to accept because the selection of production method has been done by empirical decision. As the result, the empirical decision show inaccurate results and need to prove using simulation whether it was true exactly. In this study, the intelligent system has been developed to assist the selection of CBM production method using artificial neural network(ANN). Before the development of the system, technical screening guideline was analyzed by literature survey and the system to select drilling and completion method, and hydraulic fracture fluid was developed by utilizing the guideline. The result as a validation of the developed system showed a high accuracy. In conclusion, it has been confirmed that the developed system can be utilized as a effective tool to select production method in CBM reservoir.

PREDICTION OF SEPARATION TRAJECTORY FOR TSTO LAUNCH VEHICLE USING DATABASE BASED ON STEADY STATE ANALYSIS (정상 해석 기반의 데이터베이스를 이용한 TST 비행체의 분리 궤도 예측)

  • Jo, J.H.;Ahn, S.J.;Kwon, O.J.
    • Journal of computational fluids engineering
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    • v.19 no.2
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    • pp.86-92
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    • 2014
  • In this paper, prediction of separation trajectory for Two-stage-To-Orbit space launch vehicle has been numerically simulated by using an aerodynamic database based on steady state analysis. Aerodynamic database were obtained for matrix of longitudinal and vertical positions. The steady flow simulations around the launch vehicle have been made by using a 3-D RANS flow solver based on unstructured meshes. For this purpose, a vertex-centered finite-volume method was adopted to discretize inviscid and viscous fluxes. Roe's finite difference splitting was utilized to discretize the inviscid fluxes, and the viscous fluxes were computed based on central differencing. To validate this flow solver, calculations were made for the wind-tunnel experiment model of the LGBB TSTO vehicle configuration on steady state conditions. Aerodynamic database was constructed by using flow simulations based on test matrix from the wind-tunnel experiment. ANN(Artificial Neural Network) was applied to construct interpolation function among aerodynamic variables. Separation trajectory for TSTO launch vehicle was predicted from 6-DOF equation of motion based on the interpolated function. The result of present separation trajectory calculation was compared with the trajectory using experimental database. The predicted results for the separation trajectory shows fair agreement with reference[4] solution.

A Study of the Valid Model(Kernel Regression) of Main Feed-Water for Turbine Cycle (주급수 유량의 유효 모델(커널 회귀)에 대한 연구)

  • Yang, Hac-Jin;Kim, Seong-Kun
    • Journal of the Korea Academia-Industrial cooperation Society
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    • v.20 no.12
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    • pp.663-670
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    • 2019
  • Corrective thermal performance analysis is required for power plants' turbine cycles to determine the performance status of the cycle and improve the economic operation of the power plant. We developed a sectional classification method for the main feed-water flow to make precise corrections for the performance analysis based on the Performance Test Code (PTC) of the American Society of Mechanical Engineers (ASME). The method was developed for the estimation of the turbine cycle performance in a classified section. The classification is based on feature identification of the correlation status of the main feed-water flow measurements. We also developed predictive algorithms for the corrected main feed-water through a Kernel Regression (KR) model for each classified feature area. The method was compared with estimation using an Artificial Neural Network (ANN). The feature classification and predictive model provided more practical and reliable methods for the corrective thermal performance analysis of a turbine cycle.

Application Assessment of water level prediction using Artificial Neural Network in Geum river basin (인공신경망을 이용한 금강 유역 하천 수위예측 적용성 평가)

  • Yu, Wansikl;Kim, Sunmin;Kim, Yeonsu;Hwang, Euiho;Jung, Kwansue
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2018.05a
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    • pp.424-424
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    • 2018
  • 인공신경망(Artificial Neural Network; ANN)은 뇌에 존재하는 생물학적 신경세포와 이들의 신호처리 과정을 수학적으로 묘사하여 뇌가 나타내는 지능적 형태의 반응을 구현한 것이다. 인공신경망은 학습(training)을 통해 입력과 출력으로 구성되는 하나의 시스템을 병렬적이고 비선형적으로 구축할 수 있으며, 유연한 모델링 특성으로 인하여 시스템 예측, 패턴인식, 분류 및 공정제어 등의 다양한 분야에서 활용되고 있다. 인공신경망에 대한 최초의 이론은 Muculloch and Pitts(1943)가 제안한 Perceptron에서 시작 되었으며, 기본적인 학습기법인 오차역전파 기법(back-propagation Algorithm) 이 1980년대에 들어 수학적으로 정립된 이후 여러 분야에서 활용되기 시작하였다). 본 연구에서는 하도추적, 구체적으로는 상류단의 복수의 수위관측을 이용하여 하류단의 수위를 예측하기 위하여 인공신경망 모델을 구성하였다. 대상하도는 금강유역의 용담댐과 대청댐 사이의 본류이며, 상류단 입력자료로써 본류에 있는 수통, 호탄 관측소 관측수위와 지류인 송천 관측소 관측수위를 고려하였다. 출력 값으로는 하류단의 옥천 관측소 수위를 3시간 및 6시간의 선행시간으로 예측하도록 인공신경망 모형을 구성하였다. 인공신경망의 학습(testing), 시험(testing), 검증(validation)을 위해 2000년부터 2012년까지 13년간의 시수위자료를 이용하여 학습을 진행하였으며, 2013년부터 2014년의 2년간의 수위자료를 이용한 시험을 통해 최적의 모형을 선정하였다. 또한 선정된 최적의 모형을 이용하여 2015년부터 2016년까지의 수위예측을 수행하였다.

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Run-off Forecasting using Distributed model and Artificial Neural Network model (분포형 모형과 인공신경망을 활용한 유출 예측)

  • Kim, Won Jin;Lee, Yong Gwan;Jung, Chung Gil;Kim, Seong Joon
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2019.05a
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    • pp.35-35
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    • 2019
  • 본 연구에서는 분포형 수문 모형 Drying Stream Assessment Tool and Water Flow Tracking (DrySAT-WTF)을 활용해 우리나라의 1976년부터 2015년까지의 유출량을 산정하고, 이를 다층퍼셉트론(Multi Layer Perceptron) 인경신경망 모형(Artificial Neural Network Model)에 적용해 미래 유출을 예측하였다. DrySAT-WFT은 전국 표준 유역을 대상으로 하천 건천화 원인 추적 및 평가를 위해 개발된 모형으로 유출모의를 위한 기상자료 외에 건천화 영향 요소를 고려하기 위한 산림 높이, 도로망, 지하수 이용량, 토지이용, 토심 변화에 대한 DB를 적용 가능한 것이 특징이다. DrySAT-WFT를 위한 기상자료로 모의 기간에 대한 일별 강우량, 상대습도, 평균풍속, 평균 및 최고, 최저 기온, 일조시간을 구축하였으며, 연대별 건천화 영향 요소 DB를 구축하여 적용하였다. 전국 다목적 댐 보 12지점의 유량을 활용해 모형의 보정(2005-2010) 및 검증(2011-2015)을 실시한 결과, 평균 결정계수(Coefficient of determination, $R^2$)는 0.76, 모형효율성계수(Nash-Sutcliffe efficiency, NSE)는 0.62, 평균제곱근오차(average root mean square error, RMSE)는 3.09로 신뢰성 있는 유출 모의 결과를 나타내었다. 미래 유출량 예측을 위한 MLP-ANN은 1976년부터 2015년까지의 유출 모의 결과를 Training Set으로 훈련하여 $R^2$가 0.5 이상이 되어 신뢰성을 확보하였고, 2016년부터 2018년까지의 기간을 1개월 단위로 실제 유출량과 예측 유출량을 비교하며 적용성을 검증 및 향상시켰다.

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A Study on the Timing of Convertible Bonds Using the Machine Learning Model (기계학습 모형을 이용한 전환사채 행사 시점에 관한 연구)

  • Ryu, Jae Pil
    • Journal of the Korea Convergence Society
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    • v.12 no.10
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    • pp.81-88
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    • 2021
  • Convertible bonds are financial products that contain the nature of both bonds and shares, which are generally issued by companies with lower credit ratings to increase liquidity. Conversion bonds rely on qualitative judgment in the past, although decision-making on whether and when to exercise the right to convert is the most important issue. Therefore, this paper proposes to apply artificial neural network techniques to scientifically determine the exercise of conversion rights. We distinguish between a total of 1,800 learning data published in the past and 200 predictive experimental data and build an artificial neural network learning model. As a result, the parity performance in most groups was excellent, achieving an average excess of about 10% or more. In particular, groups 3-6 recorded an average excess of about 20% and group 6 recorded an average excess of about 37%. This paper is meaningful in that it focused on solving decision problems by converging and applying machine learning techniques, a representative technology of the fourth industry, to the financial sector.

Future water quality analysis of the Anseongcheon River basin, Korea under climate change

  • Kim, Deokwhan;Kim, Jungwook;Joo, Hongjun;Han, Daegun;Kim, Hung Soo
    • Membrane and Water Treatment
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    • v.10 no.1
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    • pp.1-11
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    • 2019
  • The Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) Fifth Assessment Report (AR5) predicted that recent extreme hydrological events would affect water quality and aggravate various forms of water pollution. To analyze changes in water quality due to future climate change, input data (precipitation, average temperature, relative humidity, average wind speed and sunlight) were established using the Representative Concentration Pathways (RCP) 8.5 climate change scenario suggested by the AR5 and calculated the future runoff for each target period (Reference:1989-2015; I: 2016-2040; II: 2041-2070; and III: 2071-2099) using the semi-distributed land use-based runoff processes (SLURP) model. Meteorological factors that affect water quality (precipitation, temperature and runoff) were inputted into the multiple linear regression analysis (MLRA) and artificial neural network (ANN) models to analyze water quality data, dissolved oxygen (DO), biological oxygen demand (BOD), chemical oxygen demand (COD), suspended solids (SS), total nitrogen (T-N) and total phosphorus (T-P). Future water quality prediction of the Anseongcheon River basin shows that DO at Gongdo station in the river will drop by 35% in autumn by the end of the $21^{st}$ century and that BOD, COD and SS will increase by 36%, 20% and 42%, respectively. Analysis revealed that the oxygen demand at Dongyeongyo station will decrease by 17% in summer and BOD, COD and SS will increase by 30%, 12% and 17%, respectively. This study suggests that there is a need to continuously monitor the water quality of the Anseongcheon River basin for long-term management. A more reliable prediction of future water quality will be achieved if various social scenarios and climate data are taken into consideration.