• 제목/요약/키워드: Analytical loss model

검색결과 179건 처리시간 0.034초

부정기 건화물선 시장에서 용선 의사결정에 영향을 미치는 요인 분석 (Factor Analysis Affecting on Chartering Decision-making in the Dry Bulk Shipping Market)

  • 이충호;박근식
    • 한국항만경제학회지
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    • 제40권1호
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    • pp.151-163
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    • 2024
  • 본 연구는 부정기 건화물선 시장에서 용선의사결정시 분석적 방법과 의사결정자의 경험에 의한 직관이나 성향과 같은 직관적 방법이 의사결정에 미치는 영향을 확인하고자 하였다. 해운기업들이 왜 운임 예측, 용선계약시 고려하는 업무요소와 대안선택의 중요도와 같은 분석적인 방법에 따라서 합리적인 의사결정과 행동을 하지 않고, 동일한 시장 상황에서 의사결정의 차이로 동일한 행동을 하지 않는지 확인하기 위하여 용선 의사결정모형 연구를 시작하였다. 해운기업들은 용선 의사결정을 위해서 시장 전망, 현물 및 선물지수와 같은 외부 환경적인 시장요인을 활용하며, 내부적으로 운임(용선료) 분석, 화물 및 계약의 특성에 따라서 위험성이 적은 대안 선택을 위한 분석을 한다. 하지만 분석적 방법으로 확인이 어려운 다양한 의사결정 부분들이 존재하고 제한된 시간 안에 빠른 결정이 필요한 상황에서 의사결정자의 경험적 직관이나 심리적인 요인에 따른 의사결정이 최적의 대안 선택이 될 수도 있다. AHP분석으로 용선의사결정시 의존하는 방법 요인들의 중요도를 검증하였다. 용선의사결정 상위요인의 의존도는 시장요인, 경험적 직관, 내부요인, 군집행동성, 손실회피성 순으로 나타났다. 세부요인으로는 현물 운임지수, 경험적 직관이 의사결정시 의존하는 가장 중요한 요인으로 확인되었다. 분석적 방법인 내부적 분석보다 경험적 직관이 보다 중요도가 높다는 것을 확인하였다. 의사결정의 부문에 따른 대안 결정 분석 결과, 운임(용선료) 의사결정시에는 시장요인, 내부요인, 손실회피성, 군집행동성에 의존도가 높으며, 선박과 선사 결정에서는 경험적 직관성에 의존도가 높은 것으로 나타났다. 대안으로 선택할 수 있는 선박들의 운임에 차이가 작을 경우에는 의사결정자의 경험에 의해서 선박과 선사를 결정하고 있음을 알 수 있다. 용선계약의 형태에 따른 대안 결정 분석 결과, 장기계약 결정시에는 상대적으로 시장요인, 내부요인, 손실회피성에 의한 의존도가 높게 나타났으며, Spot계약 결정시에는 경험적 직관성과 군집행동성에 더 의존하고 있다고 나타났다. 장기계약은 Spot계약보다 시황에 따른 손실위험이 높고 손실 금액이 매우 크기 때문에 보다 더 분석적인 방법이 필요하며 손실회피 성향이 더 높게 작용한다고 판단된다. 또한 Spot계약시에는 보다 탄력적이고 빠른 의사결정이 필요하며 담당 관리자의 의사결정에 대한 권한이 많고, 장기계약보다 시황에 따른 손실 위험성의 민감도가 낮고, 분석적 방법보다는 경험과 시장의 분위기에 따라가는 의사결정을 하고 있다는 것을 알 수 있다. 본 연구는 온전히 합리적일 수 없는 인간의 제한된 합리성과 때로는 경험에 의존하거나 심리적인 성향을 부정기 건화물선 해운시장에서 용선 의사결정모형에 적용하여 학문적으로 연구하고 증명한 것에 의의가 있다고 할 수 있다. 또한 불확실하고 의사결정에 따른 손실 위험이 높은 부정기선 시장에서 의사결정자의 경험과 통찰력이 해운기업의 용선계약 부분의 업무 성과와 수익에 매우 중요한 영향이 있다는 것을 시사한다.

DGS 전송선로의 등가회로와 전파지연계수에 대한 재고찰 (A Study for the Equivalent Circuit and Slow-Wave Factor of Defected Ground Structure Transmission Line)

  • 임종식;구자경;한상민;정용채;안달
    • 전기학회논문지
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    • 제57권11호
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    • pp.2041-2046
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    • 2008
  • A frequency-dependent slow-wave factor (SWF) and equivalent circuit model of transmission line with defected ground structures (DGS) is described. Once S-parameters of a DGS transmission line are given, the conventional frequency -independent equivalent circuit elements are extracted using 3dB cutoff and resonant frequencies (Fc and Fo) as the first step. Using the initial equivalent elements and simple transmission line theories, a frequency-dependent equivalent transmission line model is established through an analytical method, and finally the frequency dependent SWF is calculated. The proposed equivalent circuit model and SWF are frequency-dependent and more reliable because even small insertion loss within available passband is considered, while they have been independent of frequency.

층간응력의 효과를 고려한 단일방향 900복합재 적층보의 진동감쇠 해석 (Vibraion Damping Analysis in $90^0$ Laminated Beam Considering the Effect of Interlaminar Stess)

  • 임종휘
    • 대한기계학회논문집A
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    • 제24권5호
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    • pp.1261-1270
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    • 2000
  • This paper is concerned with the development of a general model for predicting material damping in laminates based on the strain energy method. In this model, the effect of interlaminar stress on damping is taken into accounts along with those of in-plane extension/compression and in-plane shear. The model was verified by carrying out the damping measurements on $90^0$ unidirectional composite beams varying length and thickness. The analytical predictions were favorably compared with the experimental data. The transverse shear($$\sigma$_{yz}$) appears to have a considerable influence on the damping behaviors in $90^0$ unidirectional polymer composites. However, the other interlaminar stresses($$\sigma$_{xz}$, $$\sigma$_z$) were shown to have little impact on vibration damping in $90^0$ laminated composite beam.

21톤급 전기 굴삭기용 파일럿 작동식 유량제어 밸브의 해석모델 개발 및 검증 (Development and Verification of Analytical Model of a Pilot Operated Flow Control Valve for 21-ton Electric Excavator)

  • 김동명;남용윤;서자호;장주섭
    • 드라이브 ㆍ 컨트롤
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    • 제12권3호
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    • pp.52-59
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    • 2015
  • An electro hydraulic poppet valve (EHPV) and a variable orifice poppet are assembled in a single block, which is referred to as a RHINO but is also generally called a pilot-operated flow control valve. In this study, we analyzed the structure and the operating principle for a RHINO applied in a 21-ton electric excavator system. The RHINO was experimentally tested to measure the dynamic responses and the pressure energy loss. In this test, we investigated the variation in the conductance coefficient according to the increase in the supply pressure under a constant current and a variation in the flow rate according to the increase in the current. Then, the geometrical shapes and the spring stiffness of the RHINO were considered to develop an analysis model. The characteristics (current-force and hysteresis) for the solenoid based on the experimental data were reflected in the analysis model that was developed, and the reliability of the analysis model was also verified by comparing the experimental and analytical results. The developed model is thus considered to be reliable for use in a wide range of applications, including optimum design, sensitivity analysis, parameter tuning, etc.

Modeling As(III) and As(V) adsorption and transport from water by a sand coated with iron-oxide colloids

  • Ko, Il-Won;Lee, Cheol-Hyo;Kim, Kyoung-Woong
    • 한국지하수토양환경학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국지하수토양환경학회 2004년도 총회 및 춘계학술발표회
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    • pp.243-247
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    • 2004
  • Tile development of a porous iron-oxide coated sand filter system can be modelled with the analytical solution of tile transport equation in order to obtain the operating parameters and investigate the mechanism of arsenic removal. The adsorbed amount from the model simulation showed the limitation of adsorption removal during arsenic transport. A loss reaction term in the transport equation plays a role in the mass loss in column conditions, and then resulted into the better model fitting, particularly, for arsenate. Further, the competitive oxyanions delayed the breakthrough near MCL (10 $\mu$g/L) due to the competitive adsorption. This is the reason why arsenate can be strongly attracted in tile interface of an iron-oxide coated sand, and competing oxyanions can occupy the adsorption sites. Therefore, arsenic retention was regulated by non-equilibrium of arsenic adsorption in a porous iron-oxide coated sand media. The transport-limited process seemed to be affect the arsenic adsorption by coated sand.

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연층을 갖는 수직 비정형 건축물의 층수 및 코어 위치에 따른 지진손실함수 상관관계 분석 (Correlation of Seismic Loss Functions Based on Stories and Core Locations in Vertical-Irregular Structures)

  • 한상진;심정은;정민재;조재현;김준희
    • 한국지진공학회논문집
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    • 제28권3호
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    • pp.149-158
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    • 2024
  • Piloti-type structures with vertical irregularity are vulnerable to earthquakes due to the soft structure of the first story. Structural characteristics of buildings can significantly affect the seismic loss function, calculated based on seismic fragility, and therefore need to be considered. This study investigated the effects of the number of stories and core locations on the seismic loss function of piloti-type buildings in Korea. Twelve analytical models were developed considering two variations: three stories (4-story, 5-story, and 6-story) and four core locations (center core, x-eccentric core, y-eccentric core, and xy-eccentric core). The interstory drift ratio and peak floor acceleration were assessed through incremental dynamic analysis using 44 earthquake records, and seismic fragility was derived. Seismic loss functions were calculated and compared using the derived seismic fragility and repair cost ratio of each component. The results indicate that the seismic loss function increases with more stories and when the core is eccentrically located in the piloti-type structure model. Therefore, the uncertainty due to the number of stories and core location should be considered when deriving the seismic loss function of piloti-type structures.

히스테리시스 거동을 하는 탄성체의 비선형 점탄성 구성방정식 (Non Linear Viscoelastic Constitutive Relation of Elastomers for Hysteresis Behavior)

  • 유새롬;주재형;최석주;김두만
    • 대한기계학회논문집A
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    • 제40권4호
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    • pp.353-362
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    • 2016
  • 정확한 점탄성 재료의 히스테리시스 모델은 에너지 손실을 정량화 하는데 매우 중요하다. 우리는 본 논문에서 대변형 상태의 탄성체에 대한 비선형 초-점탄성 지배방정식 모델을 제시하고자 한다. 본 연구는 Hoofatt의 모델에서 Neo-Hookean 초탄성 모델 대신 Yeoh 초탄성 모델로 지배 방정식을 유도하여 탄성체의 점탄성 거동을 모델링하였다. 또한 폴리우레탄 시편을 사용하여, 평균 변형률 ${\varepsilon}_m=1.5$, 진폭 변형률 ${\varepsilon}_a=0.2{\sim}0.8$, 주파수 f=0.02~0.2의 조건에서 단축 사인형 반복 하중 실험과 제시한 점탄성 모델을 Matlab으로 비교하였다. 본 연구의 점탄성 모델은 변형률이 230% 이상의 대변형 상태의 에너지 손실도 계산할 수 있다.

공장건물의 화재리스크 경감방안에 관한 연구 (A Study on Factory Building Fire Risk Reduction Management)

  • 정의수;강경식
    • 대한안전경영과학회지
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    • 제10권3호
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    • pp.43-53
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    • 2008
  • This study is carried out for the fire safety of the factory building, the fire risk reduction measure in compliance with an example approached in fire risk reduction systematically, contribute to reduce the fire risk. The analytical fire risk process of discovering, identifying, estimating and evaluating risk and control measure as risk reduction measures are core concept, applies loss prevention with loss control techniques. The painting process in the workplace where the fire hazard and death accident accompanies coexists. Loss prevention problem of creation prevention of dangerous atmosphere at workplace is health and human services problem of normal circumstances, must be inspected with problem of combustible gases at the time of fire explosion. Static electricity measure accomplished the risk control process thoroughly as the fire risk reduction process model with the ignition sources measure which is presented. Fire risk from within organizing will be able to classify with each field by detailedly but risk treatment process will be able to apply basically all the same concept. Consequently about risk management example from before, this study is proposed risk management techniques that standardized rightly in the actual condition of organization with one plan, with discovery of fire risk, the feedback process in compliance with a fire risk reduction and the review which control the result is joint responsibility of engineer, technical expert and manager as part of safety management to practice with the fact must be supervised.

Friction Characteristics of piston Skirt Parametric Investigation

  • Cho, Myung-Rae;Kim, Jee-Woon;Moon, Tae-Sun;Han, Dong-Chul
    • KSTLE International Journal
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    • 제3권1호
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    • pp.1-6
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    • 2002
  • The purpose of this paper is to investigate the effects of design parameters on the friction loss in piston skirt. An analytical model to describe the friction characteristics of piston skirt has been presented, which is based on the secondary motion of piston and mixed lubrication theory, It could be shown that the skirt friction closely depends on the side force acted on the piston pin. The side force is inf1uenced by cylinder pressure at low engine speed, but by inertia force at high engine speed. The usage of extensive skirt area and low weight piston is effective to reduce the friction loss at high speed. The low viscosity oil considerably decreases viscous friction as engine speed increases, but it increases boundary friction at low engine speed. From the parametric study, it is found that the skirt axial profile is the most important design parameter related to the reduction of skirt friction.

조건부 차이조사의 관리한계 결정: 다구찌 품질손실 개념의 응용 (Determination of Control Limits of Conditional Variance Investigation: Application of Taguchi's Quality Loss Concept)

  • 배후석;임채관
    • 품질경영학회지
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    • 제49권4호
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    • pp.467-482
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    • 2021
  • Purpose: The main theme of this study is to determine the optimal control limit of conditional variance investigation by mathematical approach. According to the determination approach of control limit presented in this study, it is possible with only one parameter to calculate the control limit necessary for budgeting control system or standard costing system, in which the limit could not be set in advance, that's why it has the advantage of high practical application. Methods: This study followed the analytical methodology in terms of the decision model of information economics, Bayesian probability theory and Taguchi's quality loss function concept. Results: The function suggested by this study is as follows; ${\delta}{\leq}\frac{3}{2}(k+1)+\frac{2}{\frac{3}{2}(k+1)+\sqrt{\{\frac{3}{2}(k+1)\}^2}+4$ Conclusion: The results of this study will be able to contribute not only in practice of variance investigation requiring in the standard costing and budgeting system, but also in all fields dealing with variance investigation differences, for example, intangible services quality control that are difficult to specify tolerances (control limit) unlike tangible product, and internal information system audits where materiality standards cannot be specified unlike external accounting audits.