• 제목/요약/키워드: Analysis of System GMM

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한국 제조업의 무역을 통한 인적자본축적이 경제성장에 미친 비대칭적 영향 분석 (The Asymmetric Impacts of Human Capital Accumulation through Trade on Economic Growth in the Manufacturing Sector of Korea)

  • 최봉호
    • 무역학회지
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    • 제44권1호
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    • pp.1-15
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    • 2019
  • This study aims to analyze the effects of trade on human capital accumulation and economic growth in Korean manufacturing industry. The results of empirical analysis by dynamic panel model are as follows. The increase in exports of skilled labor intensive industries has a positive effect on human capital and economic growth, and the impact of import on human capital accumulation and economic growth has alst a positive impact. The exports of unskilled intensive labor industries have a negative impact on human capital accumulation and economic growth. Imports of unskilled labor intensive industries have negative on human capital accumulation and economic growth. It is difficult to derive statistically significant results for the effects of trade on human capital accumulation and economic growth before and after 2008. However, as a result of the financial crisis in 2008, it seems that the effects have decreased since 2008.

지역의 사회·경제적 인자와 용수공급체계를 고려한 가뭄 위험도 평가 (Drought risk assessment considering regional socio-economic factors and water supply system)

  • 김지은;김민지;최시중;이주헌;김태웅
    • 한국수자원학회논문집
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    • 제55권8호
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    • pp.589-601
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    • 2022
  • 가뭄은 자연적 현상이지만, 지역의 물리적 및 사회적 요소와 결합되어 피해가 발생한다. 특히, 각종 용수 공급 및 수요과 연관되어 사회 경제적으로 큰 피해를 야기시킨다. 비슷한 심도의 기상학적 가뭄에도 지역의 특성과 용수공급체계에 따라 실제로 발생하는 가뭄 피해는 다르다. 본 연구에서는 지역의 사회·경제적 인자와 용수공급체계를 고려하여 가뭄 위험도를 평가하였다. 노출성은 용수공급 과부족량을 나타내는 결합가뭄관리지수(JDMI)를 등급화하여 평가하였다. 취약성은 가뭄에 영향을 받는 10개의 사회·경제적 인자에 엔트로피, PCA 및 GMM를 적용하여 가중평균하여 평가하였다. 대응능력은 지역의 용수능력을 나타내는 인자들을 베이지안 네트워크에 적용하여 평가하였다. 위험도는 노출성, 취약성 및 대응능력을 통합하여 결정하였다. 용수공급 실패 사상의 발생 가능성을 의미하는 가뭄 노출성을 평가한 결과, 괴산군이 0.81로 가장 높게 나타났다. 가뭄 취약성의 경우, 대전광역시가 0.61로 매우 취약한 것으로 나타났다. 지역의 용수공급체계가 고려된 가뭄 대응능력을 평가한 결과, 세종시가 가뭄 대응능력이 가장 낮은 것으로 나타났다. 마지막으로 위험도를 평가한 결과, 청주시가 가장 높게 나타났다. 이러한 결과를 통해 가뭄에 대한 위험 및 취약 원인을 파악하였으며, 향후 지역의 특성을 고려한 가뭄 피해 저감 정책 마련이 가능하다.

Bank Restructuring and Financial Performance: A Case Study of Commercial Banks in Vietnam

  • DUONG, Tam Thanh Nguyen;NGUYEN, Hoa Quynh
    • The Journal of Asian Finance, Economics and Business
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    • 제8권10호
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    • pp.327-339
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    • 2021
  • This study examines the impact of bank restructuring on the financial performance of commercial banks in Vietnam. The data for this study was obtained from the audited financial statements of 30 Vietnamese commercial banks from 2007 to 2019. Multiple regression analysis was used for investigation. Financial performance, as evaluated by ROAA, ROEA, and NIM, is the dependent variable. Financial restructuring, ownership restructuring, and operational restructuring are the independent variables. Pooled least squares (Pooled OLS), fixed effects model (FEM), random effects model (REM), and system generalized moment regression model (System GMM) are the estimate methods used to increase the accuracy of the regression coefficient. The research results show that the variables of financial restructuring activities such as government intervention and the ratio of equity to total assets; variables of ownership restructuring such as capital adequacy ratio, privatization of state-owned commercial banks, mergers, and acquisitions; variables of operational restructuring such as employees, branches, the cost to total assets; GDP variables and the second restructuring period have a positive impact on financial performance. Variables such as debt-to-capital ratio, bad debt ratio, state ownership ratio, expense-income ratio, and inflation have a negative effect on financial performance.

The Effect of Lending Structure Concentration on Credit Risk: The Evidence of Vietnamese Commercial Banks

  • LE, Thi Thu Diem;DIEP, Thanh Tung
    • The Journal of Asian Finance, Economics and Business
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    • 제7권7호
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    • pp.59-72
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    • 2020
  • This paper examines whether lending structure can lower credit risk by employing econometric techniques of panel data for the Vietnamese banking system at the bank level used by economic sectors from 2011 to 2016. New light is being shed on assessing the impact of each industry's debt outstanding on credit risk. Adopting findings from previous studies, we assess credit risk from two different sources, including loan loss provision and non-performing loan. Moreover, we also focus on observing lending structure in many different aspects, from concentrative levels to the short-term and long-term stability levels of lending structure. The Generalized Method of Moments (GMM) estimator was applied to analyze the relationship between concentration and banking risks. In general, the results show that lending concentration may decrease credit risk. It is interesting to observe that the Vietnamese commercial bank lending portfolios have, on average, higher levels of diversity across different sectors. In particular, the increase in hotel and restaurant lending contributes to decrease credit risk while the lending portfolios of banks in agriculture, electricity, gas and water increase credit risk. This study suggests the need for further analysis and research about portfolio risks in lending activities for maintaining efficiency and stability in the commercial banking system.

Economic Complexity Index and Economic Development Level under Globalization: An Empirical Study

  • Mao, Zhuqing;An, Qinrui
    • Journal of Korea Trade
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    • 제25권7호
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    • pp.41-55
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    • 2021
  • Purpose - This paper empirically investigates the relationship between the Economic Complexity Index (ECI) and the level of development. Moreover, this research attempts to discover the determinants of ECI in the globalization wave. Design/methodology - Our empirical model considers the relationship between ECI and the level of development in middle- and high-income economies from 1995 to 2010 by using systemic qualitative analysis, including OLS, fixed-effects, and system GMM. Next, this research used OLS regression to find the determinants of ECI. In particular, we compared the effects of different factors on ECI in the different development stages. Findings - Our main findings can be summarized as follows: 1. If the ECI increases by 1, it could lead to an increase of about 30% in the level of development in middle- and high-income economies. 2. Human capital plays an important role in the development of and increase in ECI. 3. GVC participation and outflow FDI enhance an increase in ECI, in particular in middle-income economies. 4. The development of manufacturing industries is helpful to increase ECI; however, middle-income economies should pay more attention to their comparative advantage industries. 5. R&D has positive effects on the ECI. Originality/value - To the best of our knowledge, this is the first paper that uses systemic qualitative analysis to investigate the relationship between ECI and the level of development. The paper provides suggestions for policy makers to increase ECI under the current wave of globalization, in particular in middle-income economies.

Sound System Analysis for Health Smart Home

  • CASTELLI Eric;ISTRATE Dan;NGUYEN Cong-Phuong
    • 대한전자공학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 대한전자공학회 2004년도 ICEIC The International Conference on Electronics Informations and Communications
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    • pp.237-243
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    • 2004
  • A multichannel smart sound sensor capable to detect and identify sound events in noisy conditions is presented in this paper. Sound information extraction is a complex task and the main difficulty consists is the extraction of high­level information from an one-dimensional signal. The input of smart sound sensor is composed of data collected by 5 microphones and its output data is sent through a network. For a real time working purpose, the sound analysis is divided in three steps: sound event detection for each sound channel, fusion between simultaneously events and sound identification. The event detection module find impulsive signals in the noise and extracts them from the signal flow. Our smart sensor must be capable to identify impulsive signals but also speech presence too, in a noisy environment. The classification module is launched in a parallel task on the channel chosen by data fusion process. It looks to identify the event sound between seven predefined sound classes and uses a Gaussian Mixture Model (GMM) method. Mel Frequency Cepstral Coefficients are used in combination with new ones like zero crossing rate, centroid and roll-off point. This smart sound sensor is a part of a medical telemonitoring project with the aim of detecting serious accidents.

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Revisiting Financial Inclusion and Income Inequality Nexus: Evidences from Selected Economies in Asia

  • ALI, Jamshed;KHAN, Muhammad Arshad;WADOOD, Misbah;KHAN, Usman Shaukat
    • The Journal of Asian Finance, Economics and Business
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    • 제8권12호
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    • pp.19-29
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    • 2021
  • This study aims to measure financial inclusion and examine its impact on income inequality in a panel of 18 Asian countries over the period 1997-2017. Two alternative approaches for developing financial inclusion index are used: one approach following the methodology of Sarma (2008), while the other is the Dynamic Factor Model (DFM)-based index. The impact of individual indicators and index of financial inclusion on inequality in income is analyzed. The Generalized Method of Moment (GMM) approach is used for empirical analysis. The results indicate that micro-level financial inclusion has a weak negative and statistically significant impact on income inequality. Macro-level index and all individual indicators of financial inclusion do not affect income inequality in the selected sample of economies. The income inequality issues have different natures and cannot be fixed by financial inclusion only. It needs holistic structural reforms to enable fair distribution of income and make an equitable financial system. Financial inclusion is a relatively less important intervention tool regarding fixing the issue of income inequality. This is one of the first studies that used the DFM method for financial inclusion indices construction.

The Relationship between Corporate Social Responsibility and Corporate Financial Performance: An Empirical Study of Commercial Banks in Vietnam

  • BUI, Hang Thi Thu
    • The Journal of Asian Finance, Economics and Business
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    • 제8권10호
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    • pp.373-383
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    • 2021
  • This article aims to examine the one-way relationship between corporate social responsibility (CSR) and the financial performance of Vietnamese commercial banks, mainly focusing on the moderating role of ownership structure. Net interest margin (NIM), return on assets (ROA), and return on equity (ROE) are selected to represent the financial performance of the bank. CSR was measured using a multi-method approach that included both quantitative and qualitative methods. Corporate Social Responsibility Expenditure (CSRE) was estimated using financial data. The Corporate Social Responsibility Disclosure (CSRD) index was created using the content analysis method. Using a sample of Vietnamese commercial banks from 2012 to 2019 to perform regressions in the dynamic panel models with the two-step system generalized method of moments (GMM) estimator, the results show a positive effect of both CSRE and CSRD on the financial performance of the bank. Empirical evidence shows that the positive relationship between CSRE and financial performance is more robust in statecontrolled banks than non-state-controlled banks. In contrast, the positive impact of CSRD on the financial performance of state-owned commercial banks is weaker than that of private banks. Finally, the paper points out the limitations and proposes future research directions.

Factors Impacting Tourism Demand: An Analysis of 10 ASEAN Countries

  • NGUYEN, Lien Phuong;NGUYEN, Ha Thu
    • The Journal of Asian Finance, Economics and Business
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    • 제8권1호
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    • pp.385-393
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    • 2021
  • This study investigates the effect of infrastructure, economic sectors and its status, foreign direct investment and private investment, as well as the role of political stability in enhancing the tourism demand in the ASEAN region. The research collected the secondary data from the World Bank database and the UNWTO website of 10 ASEAN countries over 17 years from 2000 to 2016. Applying the generalized method of moments, this research found that, "private investment", "economic sectors", "exchange rate and infrastructure measured by "using of the internet" can increase the tourism demand of a country in the ASEAN region. This research provided evidence indicating that the "foreign direct investment" and "inflation" are two detrimental factors for tourist attraction. The major finding confirmed the positive role of "political stability" in increasing tourist arrivals. First, attracting tourists to a country always poses many challenges to its government. It has been observed in the past decades that though there were many documents, which confirmed that industry can help in promoting tourism, very few studies investigated the role of both agriculture and manufacturing sectors in tourism promotion. Secondly, there are only a few studies which verifies the stability of the political system to the tourism demand in the ASEAN region and that this variable (political stability) has the strongest impact.

Does Foreign Direct Investment Promote Skill Upgrading in Developing Countries? Empirical Evidence from Malaysia

  • JAUHARI, Azmafazilah;MOHAMMED, Nafisah
    • The Journal of Asian Finance, Economics and Business
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    • 제8권4호
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    • pp.289-306
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    • 2021
  • This paper aims to investigate how and to what extent FDI impacts the relative demand for skilled labor within firms in the case of developing countries. The analysis uses a sizeable micro-level dataset for Malaysian manufacturing industries using the System-GMM estimators to control the estimations' endogeneity problems. For this purpose, the study uses foreign equity share at the firm level to investigate foreign ownership effects at the firm level and the Horizontal FDI index by Smarzynska Javorcik (2004) to analyze FDI intra-industry linkages influence on the structure of labor demand for Malaysian domestic firms. Our findings indicate that foreign ownership increases the skilled demand within Malaysian manufacturing through the learning process, exclusively for small- and medium-sized firms (SMEs). Conversely for foreign-owned firms, changes in their skilled-labor share do not associate with changes in firm-level foreign equity share. We conclude that foreign ownership per se is not the major contributing factor for skill upgrading in Malaysian manufacturing firms. Furthermore, the competitive pressures caused by foreign firms' presence within the same industry - namely horizontal FDI - has a significant negative spillover effect on the level of skilled-labor share for domestic firms in the Malaysian manufacturing sector within periods of the understudies.