• 대한조선학회논문집
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• 제50권2호
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• pp.104-110
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• 2013

In this paper, the design procedure and results for 'Residual Life Prediction System Considering Corrosion and Coating' are explained, which is one module of 'Life-cycle Management System of Ship and Offshore Plant's' Operation. This 'Residual Life Prediction System' has two main functions; one is residual life prediction function based on probability processing using corrosion measurement data of ship's major structural members, and another is rust rate prediction function based on visual image processing of inspection photos. The analysis of system user requirements and functions are introduced, and the structure and environment of the developed system are explained.

• 한국지능시스템학회:학술대회논문집
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• 한국퍼지및지능시스템학회 2001년도 춘계학술대회 학술발표 논문집
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• pp.191-194
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• 2001

The ozone forecasting systems have many problems because the mechanism of the ozone concentration is highly complex, nonlinear, and nonstationary. Also, the results of prediction are not a good performance so far, especially in the high-level ozone concentration. This paper describes the modeling method of the ozone prediction system using neuro-fuzzy approaches and fuzzy clustering. The dynamic polynomial neural network (DPNN) based upon a typical algorithm of GMDH (group method of data handling) is a useful method for data analysis, identification of nonlinear complex system, and prediction of a dynamical system.

• Journal of Positioning, Navigation, and Timing
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• 제12권2호
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• pp.167-176
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• 2023

This study presents the performance analysis of real-time orbit determination and prediction for navigation message generation of Regional Navigation Satellite System (RNSS). Since the accuracy of ephemeris and clock correction in navigation message affects the positioning accuracy of the user, it is essential to construct a ground segment that can generate this information precisely when designing a new navigation satellite system. Based on a real-time architecture by an extended Kalman filter, we simulated orbit determination and prediction of RNSS satellites in order to assess the accuracy of orbit and clock prediction and signal-in-space ranging errors (SISRE). As a result of the simulation, the orbit and clock accuracy was at 0.5 m and 2 m levels for 24 hour determination and six hour prediction after the determination, respectively. From the prediction result, we verified that the SISRE of RNSS for six hour prediction was at a 1 m level.

• 4차산업연구
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• 제3권1호
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• pp.13-20
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• 2023

Purpose - By designing a PEF(Personalized Education Feedback) system for real-time prediction of learning achievement and motivation through real-time EEG analysis of learners, this system provides some modules of a personalized adaptive learning system. By applying these modules to e-learning and offline learning, they motivate learners and improve the quality of learning progress and effective learning outcomes can be achieved for immersive self-directed learning Research design, data, and methodology - EEG data were collected simultaneously as the English test was given to the experimenters, and the correlation between the correct answer result and the EEG data was learned with a machine learning algorithm and the predictive model was evaluated.. Result - In model performance evaluation, both artificial neural networks(ANNs) and support vector machines(SVMs) showed high accuracy of more than 91%. Conclusion - This research provides some modules of personalized adaptive learning systems that can more efficiently complete by designing a PEF system for real-time learning achievement prediction and learning motivation through an adaptive learning system based on real-time EEG analysis of learners. The implication of this initial research is to verify hypothetical situations for the development of an adaptive learning system through EEG analysis-based learning achievement prediction.

• 대한전기학회:학술대회논문집
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• 대한전기학회 2003년도 하계학술대회 논문집 D
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• pp.2028-2030
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• 2003

This paper describes the results of reliability prediction analysis of control rod control system, which is being developed as part of KNICS project. The results of reliability prediction indicate MTBF(Mean Time Between Failure) of cards for control rod control system. A purpose of reliability prediction is to evaluate MTBF of cards, identify the design drawbacks of cards, and propose design improvement to a designer to help design the more reliable control rod control system. This reliability prediction analysis used the the part count and part stress method in the basis of MIL-HDBK-217F.

• 한국대기환경학회지
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• 제9권3호
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• pp.207-215
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• 1993

In order to statistically predict $O_3$ levels in Seoul, the study used the TMS (telemeted air monitoring system) data from the Department of Environment, which have monitored at 20 sites in 1989 and 1990. Each data in each site was characterized by 6 major criteria pollutants ($SO_2, TSP, CO, NO_2, THC, and O_3$) and 2 meteorological parameters, such as wind speed and wind direction. To select proper variables and to determine each pollutant's behavior, univariate statistical analyses were extensively studied in the beginning, and then various applied statistical techniques like cluster analysis, regression analysis, and expert system have been intensively examined. For the initial study of high level $O_3$ prediction, the raw data set in each site was separated into 2 group based on 60 ppb $O_3$ level. A hierarchical cluster analysis was applied to classify the group based on 60 ppb $O_3$ into small calsses. Each class in each site has its own pattern. Next, multiple regression for each class was repeatedly applied to determine an $O_3$ prediction submodel and to determine outliers in each class based on a certain level of standardized redisual. Thus, a prediction submodel for each homogeneous class could be obtained. The study was extended to model $O_3$ prediction for both on-time basis and 1-hr after basis. Finally, an expect system was used to build a unified classification rule based on examples of the homogenous classes for all of sites. Thus, a concept of high level $O_3$ prediction model was developed for one of $O_3$ alert systems.

• 산업경영시스템학회지
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• 제23권54호
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• pp.155-165
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• 2000

The fault diagnosis is a systematic and unified method to find based on the observing data resulting in noises. This paper presents the fault prediction and diagnosis using fuzzy expert system technique to manipulate the uncertainties efficiently in predictive perspective. We apply a fuzzy event tree analysis to the computer system, and build up the fault prediction and diagnosis using fuzzy expert system that predicts and diagnoses the error of the system in the advance of error.

• 유통과학연구
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• 제17권11호
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• pp.73-79
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• 2019

Purpose: The purpose of this study was evaluated to compare the predictive power of distress prediction models by using discriminant analysis method and logit analysis method for food service franchise industry in Korea. Research design, data and methodology: Forty-six food service franchise industry with high sales volume in the 2017 were selected as the sample food service franchise industry for analysis. The fourteen financial ratios for analysis were calculated from the data in the 2017 statement of financial position and income statement of forty-six food service franchise industry in Korea. The fourteen financial ratios were used as sample data and analyzed by t-test. As a result seven statistically significant independent variables were chosen. The analysis method of the distress prediction model was performed by logit analysis and multiple discriminant analysis. Results: The difference between the average value of fourteen financial ratios of forty-six food service franchise industry was tested through t-test in order to extract variables that are classified as top-leveled and failure food service franchise industry among the financial ratios. As a result of the univariate test appears that the variables which differentiate the top-leveled food service franchise industry to failure food service industry are income to stockholders' equity, operating income to sales, current ratio, net income to assets, cash flows from operating activities, growth rate of operating income, and total assets turnover. The statistical significances of the seven financial ratio independent variables were also confirmed by logit analysis and discriminant analysis. Conclusions: The analysis results of the prediction accuracy of each distress prediction model in this study showed that the forecast accuracy of the prediction model by the discriminant analysis method was 84.8% and 89.1% by the logit analysis method, indicating that the logit analysis method has higher distress predictability than the discriminant analysis method. Comparing the previous distress prediction capability, which ranges from 75% to 85% by discriminant analysis and logit analysis, this study's prediction capacity, which is 84.8% in the discriminant analysis, and 89.1% in logit analysis, is found to belong to the range of previous study's prediction capacity range and is considered high number.

• 한국정보통신학회논문지
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• 제17권1호
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• pp.255-261
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• 2013

이 논문에서는 화재와 관련된 전투 시스템의 취약성 및 생존성을 분석하기 위하여 전투 시스템의 순간 화재를 예측하고 관련 정보를 시각화해주는 프로그램의 개발 및 시험에 관한 내용을 다룬다. 화재의 특성에 관한 선행 연구를 기반으로 FTA 기법을 적용하여 치명 부품의 순간 화재 확률 트리를 도출하였다. 개발한 프로그램에서는 도출된 순간 화재 확률 트리를 이용하여 전투 시스템의 순간 화재 발생 확률을 계산한다. 또한 개발한 프로그램은 전투 시스템 모델에서의 치명 부품 위치, 관통 유/무, 순간 화재 확률 트리, 온도 분포를 비롯하여 외부 위협, 내장재, 연료의 물성 테이블과 같은 관련 정보를 표시해 주는 기능을 가진다.

• 대한기계학회논문집A
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• 제25권2호
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• pp.264-274
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• 2001

An integrated fatigue strength assessment system was computerized. The system developed consists of 9 modules: user interface, cycle counting, load history construction, data searching, fatigue properties estimation, fatigue data analysis, true stress and strain analysis, expert system for crack initiation life prediction, fatigue crack initiation and propagation life prediction. Fatigue strength database also was included in this system. The fatigue expert system helps a beginner to predict a fatigue crack initiation life in fatigue strength assessment. The expert system module in this system is developed on the personal computer by using C language and UNiK, an expert system developing tool. To evaluate the system, the results of test under variable loading of SAE and failure data from a field were analyzed. The evaluation show that the system provided fatigue life prediction within 3-scatter band and gave reasonable predictions. To get more accurate predictions of fatigue life without fatigue properties, we recommend utilizing the system along with the fatigue strength database.