• Title/Summary/Keyword: Analysis Time

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Stock Forecasting Using Prophet vs. LSTM Model Applying Time-Series Prediction

  • Alshara, Mohammed Ali
    • International Journal of Computer Science & Network Security
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    • v.22 no.2
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    • pp.185-192
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    • 2022
  • Forecasting and time series modelling plays a vital role in the data analysis process. Time Series is widely used in analytics & data science. Forecasting stock prices is a popular and important topic in financial and academic studies. A stock market is an unregulated place for forecasting due to the absence of essential rules for estimating or predicting a stock price in the stock market. Therefore, predicting stock prices is a time-series problem and challenging. Machine learning has many methods and applications instrumental in implementing stock price forecasting, such as technical analysis, fundamental analysis, time series analysis, statistical analysis. This paper will discuss implementing the stock price, forecasting, and research using prophet and LSTM models. This process and task are very complex and involve uncertainty. Although the stock price never is predicted due to its ambiguous field, this paper aims to apply the concept of forecasting and data analysis to predict stocks.

The Study for Software Future Forecasting Failure Time Using Curve Regression Analysis (곡선 회귀모형을 이용한 소프트웨어 미래 고장 시간 예측에 관한 연구)

  • Kim, Hee-Cheul;Shin, Hyun-Cheul
    • Convergence Security Journal
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    • v.12 no.3
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    • pp.115-121
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    • 2012
  • Software failure time presented in the literature exhibit either constant, monotonic increasing or monotonic decreasing. For data analysis of software reliability model, data scale tools of trend analysis are developed. The methods of trend analysis are arithmetic mean test and Laplace trend test. Trend analysis only offers information of outline content. In this paper, we discuss forecasting failure time case of failure time censoring. In this study, we predict the future failure time by using the curve regression analysis where the s-curve, growth, and Logistic model is used. The proposed prediction method analysis used failure time for the prediction of this model. Model selection using the coefficient of determination and the mean square error were presented for effective comparison.

Seismic Analysis of 3D-Truss by Response Spectrum (응답스펙트럼에 의한 트러스 구조물의 내진해석)

  • 안주옥;이승재
    • Proceedings of the Computational Structural Engineering Institute Conference
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    • 1999.04a
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    • pp.159-168
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    • 1999
  • In seismic analysis, there are two main ways - uniform load method and dynamic analysis, dynamic analysis can be divided into response spectrum analysis and time history analysis. In case of which get the complexion of the vibration with 3-axis of coordinate direction in each mode of free vibration mode happened owing to complication of the shape, 3-dimensional dynamic analysis is recommended to perform as multi-mode spectral analysis in standard specification for highway bridge. The purpose of this study is to understand the dynamic behavior by performing multi-mode seismic analysis according to responses analysis and time history anal)'sis in using record of earthquake. In accordance with the criterion of seismic design as defined in standard specification for highway bridge by using modified records of the El Centre and Coyote Lake earthquake, response spectrum was constructed by using the tripartite logarithmic plot. The 3-span continuous space truss bridge was selected as model of numerical analysis. As the result performed time history analysis and analysis of response spectrum for the model of numerical analysis, the result of time history analysis was slightly larger than that of response spectrum analysis. This coincide with the tendency of the result came from the analysis when using a jagged response spectrum analysis, This coincide with the tendency of the result came from the analysis when using a jagged response spectrum for a single excitation. In the Process of performing these two analysis. response spectrum analysis is more effective than time history analysis in saving times in analyzing data.

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The Study for Software Future Forecasting Failure Time Using Time Series Analysis. (시계열 분석을 이용한 소프트웨어 미래 고장 시간 예측에 관한 연구)

  • Kim, Hee-Cheul;Shin, Hyun-Cheul
    • Convergence Security Journal
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    • v.11 no.3
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    • pp.19-24
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    • 2011
  • Software failure time presented in the literature exhibit either constant monotonic increasing or monotonic decreasing, For data analysis of software reliability model, data scale tools of trend analysis are developed. The methods of trend analysis are arithmetic mean test and Laplace trend test. Trend analysis only offer information of outline content. In this paper, we discuss forecasting failure time case of failure time censoring. In this study, time series analys is used in the simple moving average and weighted moving averages, exponential smoothing method for predict the future failure times, Empirical analysis used interval failure time for the prediction of this model. Model selection using the mean square error was presented for effective comparison.

An Evaluation of Operator's Action Time for Core Cooling Recovery Operation in Nuclear Power Plant (원자력발전소의 노심냉각회복 조치에 대한 운전원 조치시간 평가)

  • Bae, Yeon-Kyoung
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Safety
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    • v.27 no.5
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    • pp.229-234
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    • 2012
  • Operator's action time is evaluated from MAAP4 analysis used in conventional probabilistic safety assessment(PSA) of a nuclear power plant. MAAP4 code which was developed for severe accident analysis is too conservative to perform a realistic PSA. A best-estimate code such as RELAP5/MOD3, MARS has been used to reduce the conservatism of thermal hydraulic analysis. In this study, operator's action time of core cooling recovery operation is evaluated by using the MARS code, which its Fussell-Vessely(F-V) value was evaluated as highly important in a small break loss of coolant(SBLOCA) event and loss of component cooling water(LOCCW) event in previous PSA. The main conclusions were elicited : (1) MARS analysis provides larger time window for operator's action time than MAAP4 analysis and gives the more realistic time window in PSA (2) Sufficient operator's action time can reduce human error probability and core damage frequency in PSA.

Time-frequency analysis of reactor neutron noise under bubble disturbance and control rod vibration

  • Yuan, Baoxin;Guo, Simao;Yang, Wankui;Zhang, Songbao;Zhong, Bin;Wei, Junxia;Ying, Yangjun
    • Nuclear Engineering and Technology
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    • v.53 no.4
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    • pp.1088-1099
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    • 2021
  • Time-frequency analysis technique is an effective analysis tool for non-stationary processes. In the field of reactor neutron noise, the time-frequency analysis method has not been thoroughly researched and widely used. This work has studied the time-frequency analysis of the reactor neutron noise experimental signals under bubble disturbance and control rod vibration. First, an experimental platform was established, and it could be employed to reactor neutron noise experiment and data acquisition. Secondly, two types of reactor neutron noise experiments were performed, and valid experimental data was obtained. Finally, time-frequency analysis was conducted on the experimental data, and effective analysis results were obtained in the low-frequency part. Through this work, it can be concluded that the time-frequency analysis technique can effectively investigate the core dynamics behavior and deepen the identification of the unstable core process.

The Estimation of the Floor Vibration in Structure for Application of Response Spectrum Analysis Method (응답스펙트럼 해석법을 이용한 건축 구조물의 바닥진동해석)

  • 이동근;김태호
    • Journal of the Earthquake Engineering Society of Korea
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    • v.2 no.4
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    • pp.169-178
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    • 1998
  • In general, the response spectrum analysis method is widely used for seismic analysis of building structures, and the time history analysis is applied for computation of structural vibration caused by equipments, machines and moving loads, etc. However, compared with the response spectrum analysis method, the time history method is very complex, difficult and time consuming. In this study, the maximum responses for the vertical vibration are calculated conveniently by the response spectrum method. At first, Response spectrum and time history analysis for some earthquake excitations are carried out, and the accuracy of maximum displacements obtained from response spectrum analysis is investigated. Secondly, the process for the response spectrum analysis in excitation is calculated, and the maximum modal responses are combined by CQC method. Finally, results of the proposed method are compared with those of the time history analysis.

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Implementation of Worst Case Execution Time Analysis Tool For Embedded Software based on XScale Processor (XScale 프로세서 기반의 임베디드 소프트웨어를 위한 최악실행시간 분석도구의 구현)

  • Park, Hyeon-Hui;Choi, Myeong-Su;Yang, Seung-Min;Choi, Yong-Hoon;Lim, Hyung-Taek
    • The KIPS Transactions:PartA
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    • v.12A no.5 s.95
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    • pp.365-374
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    • 2005
  • Schedulability analysis is necessary to build reliable embedded real-time systems. For schedulability analysis, worst-case execution time(WCET) analysis that computes upper bounds of the execution times of tasks, is required indispensably. WCET analysis is done in two phases. The first phase is high-level analysis that analyzes control flow and finds longest paths of the program. The second phase is low-level analysis that computes execution cycles of basic blocks taking into account the hardware architecture. In this thesis, we design and implement integrated WCET analysis tools. We develop the WCET analysis tools for XScale-based system called WATER(WCET Analysis Tool for Embedded Real-time system). WATER consist of high-level flow analyzer and low-level execution time analyzer. Also, We compare real measurement for execution of program with analysis result calculated by WATER.

Development of an Analysis Tool for Production Time for Components Machined by Turning (선삭 가공 부품의 생산 시간 분석 툴 개발)

  • Jin-Woo Choi
    • Design & Manufacturing
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    • v.18 no.2
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    • pp.51-56
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    • 2024
  • In this study, a tool was developed for analyzing production lead time in turning operations. It is expected to help to reduce machining time and to identify, for example, tool change intervals. The tool was developed using Visual Basic.Net and features a user-friendly graphical user interface (GUI) that allows users to easily input cutting conditions and calculate the usage time and feeding distance for each cutting tool based on a G-code program. Object-oriented programming techniques were also used to encapsulate and classify complex logic, thereby efficiently organizing and managing the functions and data structures of this analysis tool. The analysis tool provides various outputs. It calculates the use time of each detailed process of the turning operation, the use time of each tool, the use time of each type of feeding, and also generates the data needed for cutting time analysis, which can be visualized in charts. The analysis tool developed in this study is expected to significantly contribute to improving the efficiency of manufacturing processes and increasing productivity, particularly, in the manufacturing of components requiring massive material removal, such as aircraft parts.

Improvement of Reliability of Static Execution Time Analysis Using Software Monitoring Technique (소프트웨어 감시 기법을 활용한 정적 실행시간 분석의 신뢰성 향상)

  • Kim, Yun-Kwan;Kim, Tae-Wan;Chang, Chun-Hyon
    • Journal of the Korea Society of Computer and Information
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    • v.15 no.4
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    • pp.37-45
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    • 2010
  • A system which needs timely accuracy has to design and to verify correctly about execution-time for reliability. Accordingly, it is necessary for timing analysis tools, and much previous research worked. In timing analysis tool, there are two methods. One is a static analysis, and the other is a measurement based analysis. A static analysis is able to spend time less than a measurement based analysis method, but has low reliability of analysis result caused by hard to estimate time of I/O caused by various hardware. A measurement based analysis can be close analysis to real result, but it is hard to adapt to actual application, and spend a lot of time to get result of analysis. As such, this paper present a software monitoring architecture to supply reliability of static analysis process. In a presented architecture, it can select target as needed measurement through static analysis, and reuse result of measurement exist. Therefore, The architecture can reduce overload of time and performance for measurement, and improve the reliability which is the worst problem of static analysis.