• Title/Summary/Keyword: Agricultural imports

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Effect of Agricultural Exports and Imports on Economic Growth in Bangladesh: A Study on Agribusiness Supply Chain

  • HASAN, Mostofa Mahmud;HOSSAIN, BM Sajjad;SAYEM, Md. Abu;AFSAR, Mahnaz
    • Journal of Distribution Science
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    • v.20 no.11
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    • pp.79-88
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    • 2022
  • Purpose: The purpose of this study was to determine the effect of agricultural exports and imports on economic growth in Bangladesh and propose an upgraded and customized model of the supply chain for agribusiness growth in Bangladesh to achieve plain sailing and systematic operation and financial gains at home and abroad. Research design, data, and methodology: All data in the research have been collected from secondary sources. Gross domestic product was used as the dependent variable and exports and imports of agricultural products were used as independent variables. Pairwise Granger causality was utilized to see the impact of the variable responsible for the economic growth in Bangladesh and the causal relationship between the variables analyzed was measured using Johansen co-integration test. Results: From the empirical analysis, the researchers observed that agricultural commodity imports and exports have a unidirectional impact on economic growth in Bangladesh and a long-run causal link with economic growth in Bangladesh. The suggested supply chain model of agribusiness aids in achieving smooth operations, systematic management, and monetary gains both domestically and internationally. Conclusions: This paper contributes to the development of a more effective and profitable agribusiness supply chain in Bangladesh systematically through their theoretical and practical implications.

Analysis on the inhibitory effects of frozen pepper imports from China by tariff-rate quota, a trade policy tool using a structural equation model

  • Hong, Seungjee;Han, Sukho;Jang, Heesoo
    • Korean Journal of Agricultural Science
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    • v.47 no.2
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    • pp.337-347
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    • 2020
  • Since 2012, despite the fact that tariff rate quotas (TRQ) in the form of dried peppers has not been imported, the imports of pepper-related items such as low- tariff frozen peppers (27%) and other sauces (45%) have increased, there has been a problem in the domestic pepper industry, in which the domestic self-sufficiency rate has declined. The purpose of this study was to find out whether the operation of chili pepper TRQ has the effect of suppressing the imports of pepper-related items from China. We analyzed the import substitution effect (import suppression effect) through causal analysis of the imports of red pepper TRQ, frozen peppers, and other sauces using the structural equation model analysis method. As a result of the hypothetical scenario analysis, when the government imports and releases 7,185 tons of pepper TRQ in 2019/20 (scenario), private imports were estimated to decrease by only 3,060 tons. In other words, the import substitution effect between imported items was estimated to decrease about 2,079 tons of private dried peppers, and about 981 tons of imported pepper-related items. There was an effect of suppressing the imports of pepper-related items such as frozen peppers, but it was analyzed to be insignificant. That reason was that the replacement substitution elasticity of the pepper-related items for TRQ import was less than 1 (inelastic). Therefore, it is judged that the government's operation of the pepper TRQ is preferably focused on stabilizing domestic prices rather than focusing on import control of pepper-related items.

Analysis of Factors Affecting Market Opening and Import of Agricultural Products Following the Implementation of FTAs (FTA 이행에 따른 시장개방과 농산물 수입에 영향을 미치는 요인분석)

  • Ji, Seong-Tae;Lee, Suh-Wan
    • Journal of the Korea Academia-Industrial cooperation Society
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    • v.18 no.9
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    • pp.146-156
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    • 2017
  • In this study, the causal relationship between the main factors influencing the import of agricultural products and the changes in agricultural imports was investigated. In addition, we compared the magnitude of the impact of each factor on the changes in agricultural imports. It was found that the import liberalization rate, which represents the FTA factors and reflects the per capita GDP, the conditions of supply and demand of agricultural products in exporting countries and the changes in exchange rates, affects the changes of the agricultural products imports. However, the factors affecting the change of the imports by agricultural product category and the magnitude of the influence by each factor were different. This shows that various factors, other than the FTA factors, are compounding the changes in the agricultural imports. In the future, the market openings due to the implementation of the FTA will be further enlarged and the economic territory of the FTA will be further expanded, due to the implementation of additional FTAs, and the changes in the imports of agricultural products will cause damage to the domestic agricultural sector.

Factors affecting consumers' preferences for US beef

  • Yoo, Jeongho;Kim, Sounghun;Yoo, Juyoung
    • Korean Journal of Agricultural Science
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    • v.45 no.4
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    • pp.905-916
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    • 2018
  • The purpose of this study was to analyze factors affecting US beef consumption intention in the future, to identify the causes of US beef import growth and to derive implications and strategies for domestic beef producers. Since the KORUS FTA was signed in 2012, US beef imports in 2017 totaled 379,064 tons, an annual increase of 3.5 percent. US beef imports have been steadily increasing due to cuts in FTA tariffs and changes in consumer preferences. The data used in this study utilized a sample of 3,290 grocery purchasers from the Korea Rural Economic Institute's 2016 Food Consumption Behavior Survey. The analytical method used the Ordered Logit Model to analyze what factors influence a consumer's subjective evaluation. As a result, the major factors affecting US beef consumption intention in the future are price, taste and safety. In particular, it has to do with the recent surge in U.S. imports of good-tasting chilled meat. Because chilled meat does not differentiate the market from Hanwoo beef produced in Korea, it is necessary to have differentiated taste and low price through cost reduction. By age and family group, people aged 30 - 40 years and single-person households are the main consumption group. As a result of this study, it is necessary to establish marketing strategies for producers such as rational pricing, safety, taste promotion, and small-scale sales to extend the demand for Hanwoo beef in the younger generation to enhance the competitiveness of the domestic beef market.

The Competitiveness of Korea-China-Japan agricultural products and Korea-China FTA Agricultural Trade impacts (한·중·일 농산물 경쟁력과 한·중 FTA 농산물 교역량증가 효과)

  • Nam, Kuk-Hyun;Li, Tianguo
    • Journal of Agricultural Extension & Community Development
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    • v.25 no.2
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    • pp.71-83
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    • 2018
  • This study aims to analyze the competitiveness of agricultural products in Korea, China and Japan and the effect of increasing imports from Korea and China. and then we discussed how to cooperate in the agricultural trade field between the three countries. The results are summarized as follows. First, The intra-industry trade of agricultural products was the most active in Korea and China, followed by the intra-industry trade index between Korea and Japan. The intra-industry trade between China and Japan were the lowest. Second, The mutual complementarity of agricultural products trade between Korea, China and Japan is mostly high. Among them, Korea and Japan are the highest, while Japan and China have the lowest complementarity. Third, it was found that in tariff elimination, imports of rice and meat products increased the most, while the import growth rate of green tea, meat products and ginseng increased the most. Finally, the three countries in Korea, China, and Japan can consider the way to increase the trade of agricultural products in the region by internalizing the trade of complementary items while maintaining a constant level of production of mutually competitive products.

Satisfaction with the Quality of Agricultural Machinery and the Propensity for Replacement Purchases

  • Shin, Seung-Yeoub;Kang, Chang Ho;Yu, Seok Cheol;Kim, Byounggap;Kim, Yu-Yong;Kim, Jin Oh
    • Journal of Biosystems Engineering
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    • v.39 no.4
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    • pp.261-266
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    • 2014
  • Purpose: This study was conducted to serve as a basis for strengthening policy support and R&D to improve the domestic and international competitiveness of domestic agricultural machinery. Levels of satisfaction among farmers and service engineers were analyzed regarding the current quality of agricultural machinery and the primary consumers' propensity for replacement purchases. Methods: A survey was carried out targeting farmers in over 150 townships and 300 villages in South Korea who collectively used 711 tractors, 286 rice transplanters, and 221 combine harvesters. Furthermore, agricultural machinery service engineers from 20 different after-services were surveyed regarding the quality of main components in domestic agricultural machinery versus those in imported agricultural machinery. Results: The farmers' overall quality satisfaction ratings for tractors, rice transplanters, and combine harvesters ranged from 57.1% to 62.6% in consideration of operating performance, failure rate, and durability. Compared with imports, satisfaction ratings for domestic agricultural machinery were 19.1%p to 38.1%p lower for quality. Regarding engines, transmissions, hydraulics, planters, reapers, threshers, and electrical components, only 5.3% to 25.0% of service engineers indicated that domestic agricultural machinery was higher in quality compared with imports. By contrast, 33.3% to 78.9% of those surveyed indicated that domestic components were lower in quality compared with imports. Intent to purchase replacement agricultural machinery at the end of their respective products' lifecycles was indicated that they planned to purchase imported tractors, rice transplanters, and combine harvesters comprised 25.2%, 46.9%, and 43.9%, respectively. This clearly shows that a very high percentage of farmers were satisfied, particularly for transplanters and combine harvesters. Conclusions: The level of desire for purchasing imported agricultural machinery was very high among those who expressed intent to purchase replacement machinery. Therefore, strong policy support and R&D for domestic agricultural machinery is critical for improving competitiveness on the domestic and foreign markets.

Improving Forecasting Performance for Onion and Garlic Prices (양파와 마늘가격 예측모형의 예측력 고도화 방안)

  • Ha, Ji-Hee;Seo, Sang-Taek;Kim, Seon-Woong
    • Journal of Korean Society of Rural Planning
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    • v.25 no.4
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    • pp.109-117
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    • 2019
  • The purpose of this study is to present a time series model of onion and garlic prices. After considering the various time series models, we calculated the appropriate time series models for each item and then selected the model with the minimized error rate by reflecting the monthly dummy variables and import data. Also, we examined whether the predictive power improves when we combine the predictions of the Korea Rural Economic Institute with the predictions of time series models. As a result, onion prices were identified as ARMGARCH and garlic prices as ARXM. Monthly dummy variables were statistically significant for onion in May and garlic in June. Garlic imports were statistically significant as a result of adding imports as exogenous variables. This study is expected to help improve the forecasting model by suggesting a method to minimize the price forecasting error rate in the case of the unstable supply and demand of onion and garlic.

A study on Estimation Optimum Farm Size for Selected Farming Items at the Year 2001 (2001년(年) 기준(基準) 적정영농(適正營農) 규모(規模) 추정(推定))

  • Shin, Dong-Wan
    • Korean Journal of Agricultural Science
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    • v.23 no.2
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    • pp.261-271
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    • 1996
  • Korean government has pursued measure of promoting specialized full time farmers, one hundred fifty thousand by 2001, along with "New Agricultural Policy" begining since year 1993, so as to improve agricultural structure depressed by urbanization and industrialization and also under pressure for agricultural imports liberlization. Objective of the study was to estimate optimal farming size for selected cash crops and livestocks aimed at farm income of more than fifty million won at the year 2001. Estimated items were eighteen fann models of four area for cash crops and nine models of three kind livestocks. Optimal fann size was estimated from the data collected through ninety nine fann household survey for farming result in 1993. and developed computer model on changing farm size estimation related on price change. Those results is espected to utilize as basic reference for promoting specialized full time farmers proposed by the New Agricultural Policy.

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Prospect and Directions for Chungnam's Regional Agriculture Post Uruguay Round Agreements (UR이후 충남농업(忠南農業)의 전망(展望)과 대응방안(對應方案))

  • Kwon, Young Dae
    • Korean Journal of Agricultural Science
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    • v.21 no.2
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    • pp.168-181
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    • 1994
  • This paper reviews the development of Uruguay Round of GATT talks and forecasts its effect on regional agriculture particularly concerning Chungnarn provincial agriculture. Since agriculture is composed of main industry for Chungnam economy, as imports of cheap agricultural products increase, domestic price of farm products will rapidly decrease so that it might discourage domestic production and have severe adverse consequences in regional farm economy. To cope with agricultural trade liberalization, directions which regional agriculture should pursue are suggested as follows; 1) to establish the integrated rural development strategy so as to improve living conditions in rural area equivalent to urban area, 2) to adjust the agricultural institute system facing diversification of farming type, 3) to encourage commercialized farmers in order to maintain adequate farm income, 4) to increase R&D investment on comparatively advanced technology compared with other regions, 5) to foster farmers' organization and to rear young farmers to protect family farms.

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Investment beneficial analysis of rice alternative plants

  • Yi, Hyang-Mi;Goh, Jong-Tae;Lee, Jong-In
    • Korean Journal of Agricultural Science
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    • v.40 no.2
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    • pp.169-176
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    • 2013
  • The price and revenue of rice are expected to decrease due to increasing rice imports, decreasing consumption and the discontinuance of the government's rice procurement. This degenerating profitability is leading to a rise in the cultivation of upland-crops such as beans, fodder crops and fruits in paddy fields. However, there is a lack of research on the selection of rice substitute crops which are adaptable to the relevant region through profitability analysis. This research, therefore, analyzed investment profitability of rice substitute crops for Cheorwon-gun area in Kangwon province. The study applied net present value (NPV) and internal rate of return (IRR), which fit for mutually exclusive investments that make one selection to the exclusion of other crops. Target crops are green house plants in Cheorwon-gun area. Financial analysis showed paprika and cucumber have investment feasibility for automated vinyl greenhouses and conventional plastic greenhouses respectively.