• 제목/요약/키워드: Agricultural Drought Index

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농업한발지수 설정에 관한 연구 (A Study on the Evaluation of Agricultural Drought Index)

  • 안병기;김태철;정도웅
    • 한국농공학회지
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    • 제30권1호
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    • pp.31-37
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    • 1988
  • This study, based on the monthly rainfall data, was carried out to determine the agricultural drought index which enables to describe the regional and seasonal drought characteristics of rice cropping system in Korea. The results obtained were summarized as follows ; 1.A new agricultural drought index (ADI) was evaluated seasonally according to the product of drought intensity and duration. This ADI is proposed as standard design criterion for irrigation planning. 2.The relationship between agricultural drought index and return periods was figured out. These diagrams could be used to estimate the seasonal drought severity of a certain year and to select design year corresponding to the specific drought frequency. 3.The regional drought characteristics were classified and those are useful to determine proper rice varieties and planting time and make drought counterplans. 4.Spring drought occurred once in 3 or 4 years and in a regional respect, rather frequently occurred in Seoul and Daegu areas than in Busan, Daejeon, Kwangju and Chuncheon areas. Summer drought occurred once in 5 years in Daegu and Busan areas and once in 7 or 8 years in other areas. 5.Sequential drought which gave severe drought damage of rice production occurred once in 20 years in Daegu area and in 10 years in Kwangju area.

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위성영상기반 농업가뭄 모니터링을 위한 Evaporative Stress Index (ESI)의 적용성 평가 (Application of Evaporative Stress Index (ESI) for Satellite-based Agricultural Drought Monitoring in South Korea)

  • 윤동현;남원호;이희진;홍은미;김태곤;김대의;신안국
    • 한국농공학회논문집
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    • 제60권6호
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    • pp.121-131
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    • 2018
  • Climate change has caused changes in environmental factors that have a direct impact on agriculture such as temperature and precipitation. The meteorological disaster that has the greatest impact on agriculture is drought, and its forecasts are closely related to agricultural production and water supply. In the case of terrestrial data, the accuracy of the spatial map obtained by interpolating the each point data is lowered because it is based on the point observation. Therefore, acquisition of various meteorological data through satellite imagery can complement this terrestrial based drought monitoring. In this study, Evaporative Stress Index (ESI) was used as satellite data for drought determination. The ESI was developed by NASA and USDA, and is calculated through thermal observations of GOES satellites, MODIS, Landsat 5, 7 and 8. We will identify the difference between ESI and other satellite-based drought assessment indices (Vegetation Health Index, VHI, Leaf Area Index, LAI, Enhanced Vegetation Index, EVI), and use it to analyze the drought in South Korea, and examines the applicability of ESI as a new indicator of agricultural drought monitoring.

SPI와 EDI 가뭄지수의 방글라데시 기상가뭄 평가 적용성 비교 (Comparative Evaluation of Standardized Precipitation Index (SPI) and Effective Drought Index (EDI) for Meteorological Drought Detection over Bangladesh)

  • 모하마드 캄루자먼;조재필;장민원;황세운
    • 한국농공학회논문집
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    • 제61권1호
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    • pp.145-159
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    • 2019
  • A good number of drought indices have been introduced and applied in different regions for monitoring drought conditions, but some of those are region-specific and have limitations for use under other climatic conditions because of the inherently complex characteristics of drought phenomenon. Standardized Precipitation Index (SPI) indices are widely used all over the world, including Bangladesh. Although newly developed, studies have demonstrated The Effective Drought Index (EDI) to perform better compared to SPIs in some areas. This research examined the performance of EDI to the SPI for detecting drought events throughout 35 years (1981 to 2015) in Bangladesh. Rainfall data from 27 meteorological stations across Bangladesh were used to calculate the EDI and SPI values. Results suggest that the EDI can detect historical records of actual events better than SPIs. Moreover, EDI is more efficient in assessing both short and long-term droughts than SPIs. Results also indicate that SPI3 and the EDI indices have a better capability of detecting drought events in Bangladesh compared to other SPIs; however, SPI1 produced erroneous estimates. Therefore, EDI is found to be more responsive to drought conditions and can capture the real essence of the drought situation in Bangladesh. Outcomes from this study bear policy implications on mitigation measures to minimize the loss of agricultural production in drought-prone areas. Information on severity level and persistence of drought conditions will be instrumental for resource managers to allocate scarce resources optimally.

Evaporative Stress Index (ESI)의 국내 가뭄 심도 분류 기준 제시 (Percentile Approach of Drought Severity Classification in Evaporative Stress Index for South Korea)

  • 이희진;남원호;윤동현;홍은미;김태곤;박종환;김대의
    • 한국농공학회논문집
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    • 제62권2호
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    • pp.63-73
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    • 2020
  • Drought is considered as a devastating hazard that causes serious agricultural, ecological and socio-economic impacts worldwide. Fundamentally, the drought can be defined as temporarily different levels of inadequate precipitation, soil moisture, and water supply relative to the long-term average conditions. From no unified definition of droughts, droughts have been divided into different severity level, i.e., moderate drought, severe drought, extreme drought and exceptional drought. The drought severity classification defined the ranges for each indicator for each dryness level. Because the ranges of the various indicators often don't coincide, the final drought category tends to be based on what the majority of the indicators show and on local observations. Evaporative Stress Index (ESI), a satellite-based drought index using the ratio of potential and actual evaporation, is being used as a index of the droughts occurring rapidly in a short period of time from studies showing a more sensitive and fast response to drought compared to Standardized Precipitation Index (SPI), and Palmer Drought Severity Index (PDSI). However, ESI is difficult to provide an objective drought assessment because it does not have clear drought severity classification criteria. In this study, U.S. Drought Monitor (USDM), the standard for drought determination used in the United States, was applied to ESI, and the Percentile method was used to classify drought categories by severity. Regarding the actual 2017 drought event in South Korea, we compare the spatial distribution of drought area and understand the USDM-based ESI by comparing the results of Standardized Groundwater level Index (SGI) and drought impact information. These results demonstrated that the USDM-based ESI could be an effective tool to provide objective drought conditions to inform management decisions for drought policy.

한국의 기상가뭄의 시공간 패턴으로부터 농업가뭄의 시공간 패턴 분리하기 (Decoupling of the Spatiotemporal Pattern of Agricultural Drought from that of Meteorological Drought in Korea)

  • 김대준
    • 한국농림기상학회지
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    • 제19권3호
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    • pp.140-152
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    • 2017
  • 기상청에서는 다양한 가뭄지수를 주기적으로 발표하고 있다. 하지만 이들 대부분은 기상학적인 가뭄지수로 농업적인 부분에 적용하기에는 어려운 부분이 있는 것이 사실이다. 본 연구에서는 전국 대표 지점에 대하여, 같은 기간 동안 기상학적 가뭄지수와 농업가뭄지수를 각각 계산하여 보고, 이를 비교하여 가뭄의 성격에 따른 지리적 분포의 차이와 특성을 분석하였다. 복수의 가뭄지수가 추정한 전반적인 가뭄의 양상은 비슷하였지만, 성격에 따른 모의 방식이 다른 것으로 인한 차이를 확인할 수 있었으며, 농업가뭄지수(ADI)는 기상학적 가뭄지수(SPI, PN)에 비하여 식물의 토양가용수분에 대하여 높은 정확도를 나타내었다. 또한 ADI를 바탕으로 분석한 최근의 가뭄발생 양상은 봄과 초여름의 경우 평년에 비해 최근에 가뭄의 강도가 심했으며, 가을과 겨울의 경우는 평년에 비해 약화되는 패턴을 보였다. 또한 내륙지방이 해안지방에 비해 최근의 가뭄 정도가 더 심했다. 분야별로 특화된 가뭄지수를 고려하는 것은 각각의 성격에 맞는 가뭄에 대한 대책마련에 도움이 될 수 있을 것이다.

수문기상가뭄지수 (HCDI) 개발 및 가뭄 예측 효율성 평가 (Development of Hydroclimate Drought Index (HCDI) and Evaluation of Drought Prediction in South Korea)

  • 류재현;김정진;이경도
    • 한국농공학회논문집
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    • 제61권1호
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    • pp.31-44
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    • 2019
  • The main objective of this research is to develop a hydroclimate drought index (HCDI) using the gridded climate data inputs in a Variable Infiltration Capacity (VIC) modeling platform. Typical drought indices, including, Standardized Precipitation Index (SPI), Standardized Precipitation Evapotranspiration Index (SPEI), and Self-calibrated Palmer Drought Severity Index (SC-PDSI) in South Korea are also used and compared. Inverse Distance Weighting (IDW) method is applied to create the gridded climate data from 56 ground weather stations using topographic information between weather stations and the respective grid cell ($12km{\times}12km$). R statistical software packages are used to visualize HCDI in Google Earth. Skill score (SS) are computed to evaluate the drought predictability based on water information derived from the observed reservoir storage and the ground weather stations. The study indicates that the proposed HCDI with the gridded climate data input is promising in the sense that it can help us to predict potential drought extents and to mitigate its impacts in a changing climate. The longer term drought prediction (e.g., 9 and 12 month) capability, in particular, shows higher SS so that it can be used for climate-driven future droughts.

수자원 가용능력을 고려한 수문학적 가뭄지수의 개발 (Development of a Hydrological Drought Index Considering Water Availability)

  • 박민지;신형진;최영돈;박재영;김성준
    • 한국농공학회논문집
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    • 제53권6호
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    • pp.165-170
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    • 2011
  • Recently natural disasters such as the frequency and intensity of drought have been increasing as a result of climate change. This study suggests a drought index, WADI (Water Availability Drought Index), that considers water availability using 6 components (water intake, groundwater level, agricultural reservoir water level, dam inflow, streamflow, and precipitation) using the Z score and data monitoring on a nationwide level. SPI (Standardized Precipitation Index) was applied in coastal area. For the severe droughts of 2001 spring and 2008 autumn, the index was evaluated by comparison with reported damage areas. suggested to combine The spatial concordance rate of WADI in 2001 and 2008 for estimation of the degree of drought severity was 50 % and 24 % compared to the actual recorded data respectively.

MODIS 위성영상 기반 ESI와 ROC 분석을 이용한 가뭄위험평가 (Drought Hazard Assessment using MODIS-based Evaporative Stress Index (ESI) and ROC Analysis)

  • 윤동현;남원호;이희진;홍은미;김태곤
    • 한국농공학회논문집
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    • 제62권3호
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    • pp.51-61
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    • 2020
  • Drought events are not clear when those start and end compared with other natural disasters. Because drought events have different timing and severity of damage depending on the region, various studies are being conducted using satellite images to identify regional drought occurrence differences. In this study, we investigated the applicability of drought assessment using the Evaporative Stress Index (ESI) based on Moderate Resolution Imaging Spectroradiometer (MODIS) satellite images. The ESI is an indicator of agricultural drought that describes anomalies in actual and reference evapotranspiration (ET) ratios that are retrieved using remotely sensed inputs of Land Surface Temperature (LST) and Leaf Area Index (LAI). However, these approaches have a limited spatial resolution when mapping detailed vegetation stress caused by drought, and drought hazard in the actual crop cultivation areas due to the small crop cultivation in South Korea. For these reasons, the development of a drought index that provides detailed higher resolution ESI, a 500 m resolution image is essential to improve the country's drought monitoring capabilities. The newly calculated ESI was verified through the existing 5 km resolution ESI and historical records for drought impacts. This study evaluates the performance of the recently developed 500 m resolution ESI for severe and extreme drought events that occurred in South Korea in 2001, 2009, 2014, and 2017. As a result, the two ES Is showed high correlation and tendency using Receiver Operating Characteristics (ROC) analysis. In addition, it will provide the necessary information on the spatial resolution to evaluate regional drought hazard assessment and and the small-scale cultivation area across South Korea.

위성영상 토양수분 기반 FDII를 활용한 돌발가뭄의 메커니즘 분석 (Flash Drought Onset and Development Mechanisms Using Flash Drought Intensity Index (FDII) Based on Satellite-Based Soil Moisture)

  • 이희진;남원호;서찬양
    • 한국농공학회논문집
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    • 제65권3호
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    • pp.57-67
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    • 2023
  • A flash drought is a rapid-onset drought that develops over a short period of time as weather and environmental factors change rapidly, unlike general droughts, due to meteorological abnormalities. Abnormally high evapotranspiration rates and rapid declines in soil moisture increase vegetation stress. In addition, crop yields may decrease due to flash droughts during crop growth and may damage agricultural and economic ecosystems. In this study, Flash Drought Intensity Index (FDII) based on soil moisture data from Gravity Recovery Climate Experiment (GRACE) was used to analyze flash drought. FDII, which is calculated using soil moisture percentile, is expressed by multiplying two factors: the rate of intensification and the drought severity. FDII was developed for domestic flash drought events from 2014 to 2018. The flash drought that occurred in 2018, Chungcheongbuk-do showed the highest FDII. FDII was higher in heat wave flash drought than in precipitation deficit flash drought. The results of this study show that FDII is reliable flash drought analysis tool and can be applied to quantitatively analyze the characteristics of flash drought in South Korea.

북한지역에 대한 기상학적 가뭄지수의 적용 (Application of Meteorological Drought Indices for North Korea)

  • 남원호;유승환;장민원;최진용
    • 한국농공학회논문집
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    • 제50권3호
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    • pp.3-15
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    • 2008
  • North Korea is one of the vulnerable countries facing the threat of a drought, so that it is unavoidable to experience fatal damage when drought is occurred, and it is necessary to improve the drought response capability of water resources systems. However, it is still difficult to find research efforts for drought characteristics and drought management in North Korea. This study is to quantify drought duration and magnitude and to analyze drought characteristics in North Korea. In order to quantitatively identify historical drought conditions and to evaluate their variability, drought indices are commonly used. In this study, drought indices including dry-day index, deciles of normal precipitation, Phillips drought index, standardized precipitation index and Palmer drought severity index are calculated and compared monthly using the weather data for the twenty one meteorological stations in North Korea. The indices compared with the drought damage records that have reported from 1990 to present to understand how the indices can explain the drought. A comparative study was also conducted to evaluate the relative severity of the significant droughts occurred during 2000 and 2001 which were reported as the worst drought in North Korea. Drought indices calculated from this study demonstrated that those can be the effective tools in quantitatively evaluating drought severity and measures of drought. Thus it is recommended the distributed trend of drought be considered when the plan or measures for drought in North Korea are established.