• Title/Summary/Keyword: Agent-based Modeling (ABM)

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Developing an Evacuation Evaluation Model for Offshore Oil and Gas Platforms Using BIM and Agent-based Model

  • Tan, Yi;Song, Yongze;Gan, Vincent J.L.;Mei, Zhongya;Wang, Xiangyu;Cheng, Jack C.P.
    • International conference on construction engineering and project management
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    • 2017.10a
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    • pp.32-41
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    • 2017
  • Accidents on offshore oil and gas platforms (OOGPs) usually cause serious fatalities and financial losses considering demanding environment platforms locate and complex topsides structure platforms own. Evacuation planning on platforms is usually challenging. The computational tool is a good choice to plan evacuation by emergency simulation. However, the complex structure of platforms and varied evacuation behaviors usually weaken the advantages of computational simulation. Therefore, this study developed a simulation model for OOGPs to evaluate different evacuation plans to improve evacuation performance by integrating building information modeling (BIM) and agent-based model (ABM). The developed model consists of four parts: evacuation model input, simulation environment modeling, agent definition, and simulation and comparison. Necessary platform information is extracted from BIM and then used to model simulation environment by integrating matrix model and network model. During agent definition, in addition to basic characteristics, environment sensing and dynamic escape path planning functions are also developed to improve simulation performance. An example OOGP BIM topsides with different emergent scenarios is used to illustrate the developed model. The results showed that the developed model can well simulate evacuation on OOGPs and improve evacuation performance. The developed model was also suggested to be applied to other industries such as the architecture, engineering, and construction industry.

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A Study on War Potential Judgement of Defense Sufficiency Task Group Using Agent-Based Modeling and Simulation (에이전트 기반 모의를 이용한 방위충분성 기동전단 전력판단 연구)

  • Kim, Yeong-Jin;Lee, Jae-Yeong
    • Proceedings of the Korean Operations and Management Science Society Conference
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    • 2007.11a
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    • pp.397-407
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    • 2007
  • In this paper, We judge War Potential of Defense Sufficiency Task Croup Using Agent-Based Modeling and Simulation(ABMS) and indicate the Republic of Korea Navy's future. We use ABMS model, Map Aware Non-uniform Automata(MANA), to be obtained the results. To overcome future threat of Japan and China in a sea around the Korean Peninsula. War Potential of Defense Sufficiency Task Group are to be at least 4KDX-III and $20{\sim}24$KDX-II. Therefore, Republic of Korea Navy have to increase the war potential scales, $11{\sim}15$ battleship with future including build-up plan of present war Potential and Improve The battleship' performance not less than that of KDX-II.

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Analysis of UGV Communication Effectiveness focused on Message Complexity (메시지 복잡도를 중심으로한 UGV 통신효과 분석)

  • Chang, YooSang;Shin, SunWoo;SEO, DaYoon;Lee, JaeYeong;Kim, ChongMan;Yoo, CheolWoo;BAE, SungMin
    • Journal of Korean Society for Quality Management
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    • v.45 no.3
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    • pp.503-520
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    • 2017
  • Purpose: In the near future, it is expected that UGV(unmanned ground vehicle) will be put into battle due to IT technology and unmanned technology development. In this study, we analyze the combat effectiveness considering communication effect where complex combat information and commands are transmitted. Methods: We use ABM(agent-based modeling) and wireless channel module which provides sophisticated communication effect through geographic information and UGV performance. And UGV combat simulation using wireless channel module is used to grasp the combat effectiveness according to the number of packets, which is a unit for storing all information and commands having high complexity. Results: The result of this study is to derive the optimal number of packets which does not decrease the combat effectiveness and the number of lost tanks. The number of packet increases, the survival ratio of our tanks are decreased. Conclusion: In this study, we reveal that the communication success or failure could affect the combat effectiveness. Also, it helps develope the standard communication protocol between UGVs and could be applied to analyze the cost effectiveness analysis in UGV combat environment.

Analysis of UGV Effectiveness Based on ABM(Agent Based Modeling) and Communication Network Environments (에이전트 기반 모델링 및 네트워크 통신 환경을 고려한 UGV 효과분석)

  • Lee, Jaeyeong;Shin, Sunwoo;Kim, Chongman
    • Journal of the Korea Society for Simulation
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    • v.27 no.3
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    • pp.89-97
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    • 2018
  • In future warfare, most part of resources and their platforms would be replaced by unmanned system like UGV(Unmanned Ground Vehicle). They are also connected each other with communication network and it is called NCW(Network Centric Warfare) environment. Hence how to measure the effectiveness of UGV operated in NCW circumstance become an important issue. However, there are few research paper to deal with this kind of UGV effectiveness issue coupled with communication failure. In this paper, we proposed a new ABM process to measure the UGV effectiveness combined with communication success ratio based on terrain condition of the ground engagement. Additionally, we also provide the effectiveness analysis result when communication repeater is applied in case of communication failure.

Development of an Agent-based Simulator for Shopping Path Analysis in Retail Stores (유통매장 내 쇼핑 동선 분석을 위한 에이전트 기반 시뮬레이터 개발)

  • Kim, Sang-Hee;Keshavarz, Mehdi;Lee, Yong-Han
    • The Journal of Society for e-Business Studies
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    • v.17 no.1
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    • pp.91-110
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    • 2012
  • Recently the effort of retailers improving the efficiency of store operations by using the information technology (IT) is increasing. Among them, the analysis of the shoppers' flow in retail stores is one of the critical tasks since it is an essential part in optimizing store layout and item grouping, and in developing the customized services specialized to shoppers' classification. Agent-Based Modeling and Simulation (ABMS) is one of the most promising methods which support analyzing the shoppers' flow. In this paper, we suggested a shopper's behavior model and developed an agent-based simulator for optimizing the operations of retail stores. In order to model the shoppers' behavior, we analyzed the behavioral characteristics of shoppers based on their shopping lists, suggesting BDI-based agent models of the shoppers' behavior. The shopping agent model were suggested, which has an additional mental state, the shopper's behavioral characteristic, as well as the original mental states of the BDI theory which has beliefs, desires and Intentions. The result of this study can be used in as a preliminary study for modeling and simulation of retail stores congestion and in the end the optimization of item grouping and store layout.

Mutual Verification of an Analytic Model of a Complex System and Space Syntax Using Network Analyses (네트워크 분석방식 선택에 따른 복잡계 모형과 공간구문론의 상호검증)

  • Kim, Suk-Tae;Yoon, So-hee
    • Korean Institute of Interior Design Journal
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    • v.26 no.3
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    • pp.45-54
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    • 2017
  • A social phenomenon that occurs in a physical space is said to be a complex system. However, space syntax, which is commonly employed by researchers to identify such social phenomena, has various limitations in interpreting their complexity. On the other hand, agent-based modeling considers a variety of factors including the personality of the agent, objective-oriented work flows, estimation according to time flows and better prediction of space use through diverse parameters depending the situation, as well as the characteristics of the space. The agent-based method thus has the potentials to be developed as an alternative to space syntax techniques. In particular, discrete event driven simulation(DEVS), which is part of the agent-based modeling method, embraces the concept of networks just like space syntax, which allows a possible theoretical linkage in the future. This study suggests a procedural model of agent-based DEVS reflecting two different connection methods, i.e. connections between adjacent areas and those of the entire space, and attempts to identify the relationship between the local and regional indices of space syntax. A number of spaces were selected as examples-one for a preliminary experiment and eight modified for the main experiment-and space syntax and DEVS were applied to each of them. The comparative analysis of the results led to the conclusions as follows: 1) Adjacent connections were closely related to local indices, while the whole-space approach to regional indices. Local integration shows both characteristics. 2) Observation of the time flow model indicated a faster convergence with the range of 1 to 3-fold of the total time of one lap, with the error of less than 10%. 3) The heat map analysis showed more obvious characteristics of using the space for the entire space rather than adjacent connections. 4) Space syntax shows higher eligibility than ABM.

A Multidisciplinary Research Framework for Green Car Industry (그린카 산업의 학제적 분석 방안에 관한 연구)

  • Choi, Jinho;Chung, Sunyang;Park, Kyungbae;Jang, Dae-Chul;Cho, Hyeongrye;Kang, SeungGyu
    • Journal of Technology Innovation
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    • v.22 no.3
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    • pp.101-133
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    • 2014
  • Climate change and low-carbon consumer movement is demanding proper response around the world while rising oil price increases consumers' needs for green car. As a preliminary study to establish an industrial platform for green car and bring out corporate strategies, this article aims to propose an academic research framework by using various methodologies including conceptual/mathematical modeling, system dynamics, and ABM from different angles. First, an analysis framework for the industrial platform was introduced to analyze green car cases, required elements were proposed, and econometrics was applied to build a basic model related to green platform (two-sided market). Also, to analyze from a dynamic perspective, a system dynamics model was applied to green car environment to build a system dynamics analysis model that is applicable to particular green car industry analysis. Lastly, an agent based model was used to study the way to activate the hybrid car market in Korea from individual consumers' perspective. Based on the result, vehicle policies that are either being enforced or planned to be enforced in the Korean HEV market can be analyzed.

Analysis of the Ecological Impact of Climate Change using ABMS: A Case Study of Polar Bears and Glacier (기후 변화의 생태계 영향에 대한 ABMS 연구 -빙하감소와 북극곰의 모의실험을 바탕으로-)

  • Cho, Sung-Jin;Na, Yu-Gyung;Lee, Joon-Young;Joh, Chang-Hyeon
    • Journal of the Korean Geographical Society
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    • v.46 no.3
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    • pp.291-303
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    • 2011
  • It has actively advanced to study the impact of climate change on ecosystem. This study addresses ABMS (Agent Based Modeling and Simulation) as a methodology of ecosystem research. ABMS would suggest the possibility of practical use in this sector. This study would investigate how the melting speed of glacier in the arctic influences the extinction period of polar bears. The Polar Bears and Glacier Model in this study is expected to contribute to accurate prediction of the polar bear's extinction period. The suggested ABMS could also be applied to the study of various factors of ecosystem in general.

Foot-and-mouth disease spread simulation using agent-based spatial model (행위자 기반 공간 모델을 이용한 구제역 확산 시뮬레이션)

  • Ariuntsetseg, Enkhbaatar;Yom, Jae-Hong
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Surveying, Geodesy, Photogrammetry and Cartography
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    • v.31 no.3
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    • pp.209-219
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    • 2013
  • Epidemiological models on disease spread attempt to simulate disease transmission and associated control processes and such models contribute to greater understanding of disease spatial diffusion through of individual's contacts. The objective of this study is to develop an agent-based modeling(ABM) approach that integrates geographic information systems(GIS) to simulate the spread of FMD in spatial environment. This model considered three elements: population, time and space, and assumed that the disease would be transmitted between farms via vehicle along the roads. The model is implemented using FMD outbreak data in Andong city of South Korea in 2010 as a case study. In the model, FMD is described with the mathematical model of transmission probability, the distance of the two individuals, latent period, and other parameters. The results show that the GIS-agent based model designed for this study can be easily customized to study the spread dynamics of FMD by adjusting the disease parameters. In addition, the proposed model is used to measure the effectiveness of different control strategies to intervene the FMD spread.

A Study on the Agent Based Infection Prediction Model Using Space Big Data -focusing on MERS-CoV incident in Seoul- (공간 빅데이터를 활용한 행위자 기반 전염병 확산 예측 모형 구축에 관한 연구 -서울특별시 메르스 사태를 중심으로-)

  • JEON, Sang-Eun;SHIN, Dong-Bin
    • Journal of the Korean Association of Geographic Information Studies
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    • v.21 no.2
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    • pp.94-106
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    • 2018
  • The epidemiological model is useful for creating simulation and associated preventive measures for disease spread, and provides a detailed understanding of the spread of disease space through contact with individuals. In this study, propose an agent-based spatial model(ABM) integrated with spatial big data to simulate the spread of MERS-CoV infections in real time as a result of the interaction between individuals in space. The model described direct contact between individuals and hospitals, taking into account three factors : population, time, and space. The dynamic relationship of the population was based on the MERS-CoV case in Seoul Metropolitan Government in 2015. The model was used to predict the occurrence of MERS, compare the actual spread of MERS with the results of this model by time series, and verify the validity of the model by applying various scenarios. Testing various preventive measures using the measures proposed to select a quarantine strategy in the event of MERS-CoV outbreaks is expected to play an important role in controlling the spread of MERS-CoV.