• 제목/요약/키워드: Age Models

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Effect of test-caused degradation on the unavailability of standby safety components

  • S. Parsaei;A. Pirouzmand;M.R. Nematollahi;A. Ahmadi;K. Hadad
    • Nuclear Engineering and Technology
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    • 제56권2호
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    • pp.526-535
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    • 2024
  • This paper proposes a safety-critical standby component unavailability model that contains aging effects caused by the elapsed time from installation, component degradation due to surveillance tests, and imperfect maintenance actions. An application of the model to a Motor-Operated Valve and a Motor-Driven Pump involved in the HPIS of a VVER/1000-V446 nuclear power plant is demonstrated and compared with other existing models at component and system levels. In addition, the effects of different unavailability models are reflected in the NPP's risk criterion, i.e., core damage frequency, over five maintenance periods. The results show that, compared with other models that do not simultaneously consider the full effects of degradation and maintenance impacts, the proposed model realistically evaluates the unavailabilities of the safety-related components and the involved systems as a plant age function. Therefore, it can effectively reflect the age-dependent CDF impact of a given testing and maintenance policy in a specified time horizon.

2차원 품질보증데이터 모델링 (Two­Dimensional Warranty Data Modelling)

  • Jai Wook Baik;Jin Nam Jo
    • 품질경영학회지
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    • 제31권4호
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    • pp.219-225
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    • 2003
  • Two­dimensional warranty data can be modelled using two different approaches: two­dimensional point process and one­dimensional point process with usage as a function of age. The first approach has three different models. First of all, bivariate model is appealing but is not appropriate for explaining warranty claims. Next, the rest of the two models (marked point process, and counting and matching on both directions independently) are more appropriate for explaining warranty claims. However, the second one (counting and matching on both directions independently) assumes that the two variables (variables representing the two­dimensions) are independent. Last of all, one­dimensional point process with usage as a function of age is also promising to explain the two­dimensional warranty claims. But the models or variations of them need more investigation to be applicable to real warranty claim data.

Population Synthesis Models for the Sextans and Carina Dwarf Spheroidal Galaxies

  • Joo, Seok-Joo;Lee, Young-Wook
    • 한국우주과학회:학술대회논문집(한국우주과학회보)
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    • 한국우주과학회 2003년도 한국우주과학회보 제12권2호
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    • pp.78-78
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    • 2003
  • Dwarf galaxies are the most common type of galaxy in the universe and believed to be basic building blocks of the large scale structures. In order to understand the formation history of these galaxies, we selected two well-observed galaxies in the Local Group and constructed the stellar population models including HB stars. We employed Y$^2$ Isochrones (Yi et al. 2001) and HB tracks (Yi et al. 1997) for stellar population synthesis. Our models show that (1) the Carina dSph has several distinct populations with age of ∼10.5, 5.8, 4.1, 2.8 and 1.0 Gyrs, and (2) stellar populations of the Sextans dSph are constructed in terms of the two populations with age of ∼ 11 and ∼2.5 Gyrs. Observational data were kindly provided by Lee et al. (2003, in preparation) and Monelli et al. (2003) for Sextans and Carina dsphs, respectively.

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Estimation of Site Index for Larix kaempferi and Pinus koraiensis in Gangwon and North Gyeongsang Provinces

  • Lee, Daesung;Seo, Yeongwan;Park, Gildong;Choi, Jungkee
    • Journal of Forest and Environmental Science
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    • 제31권3호
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    • pp.202-206
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    • 2015
  • Site index curves were developed for Larix kaempferi and Pinus koraiensis in Gangwon and North Gyeongsang provinces in Korea. For the development of site index, Schumacher and Chapman-Richards model were applied using the data collected from 2012 to 2014. Base age was set to 40 years for Larix kaempferi and Pinus koraiensis in site index of this study. Coefficient of determination and root mean square error of site index models were provided by species, and the models were compared with the previous studies to check the suitability. Overall, site index models developed in this study fitted in the current data well. Thus, the site indexes are considered to be properly used in Gangwon and North Gyeongsang provinces.

A Model to Estimate Population by Sex, Age and District Based on Fuzzy Theory

  • Pak. Pyong-Sik;Kim, Gwan
    • 제어로봇시스템학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 제어로봇시스템학회 2002년도 ICCAS
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    • pp.42.1-42
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    • 2002
  • A model to predict population by sex, age and district over a long-range period is proposed based on fuzzy theories. First, a fuzzy model is described. Second, a method to estimate the social increase by sex and age in each district is proposed based on a fuzzy clustering method for dealing with long-range socioeconomic changes in population migration. By the proposed methods, it became possible to predict the population by sex, age and district over a long-range period. Third, the structure and characteristics of the three models of employment model, time distance model, and land use model constructed to predict various socioeconomic indicators, which are require...

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물질이동에 기초한 균열콘크리트의 철근부식 해석 (Corrosion Analysis of Cracked Concrete based on Mass Transfer)

  • 김태환;송하원;김호진;변근주;이승훈
    • 한국콘크리트학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국콘크리트학회 2004년도 춘계 학술발표회 제16권1호
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    • pp.806-809
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    • 2004
  • The early-age cracks have bad effects on the diffusion movement of chloride ions and oxygen. In this study, a corrosion analysis algorithm for cracked concrete is proposed to examine the influence of early-age cracks on corrosion of RC structures. For different environmental exposure conditions of RC structures, a corrosion model is combined with models for activation polarization and concentration polarization. From the finite element corrosion analysis using the proposed algorithm and the models, the effects of early-age cracks to the corrosion is simulated.

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증령에 따른 구치의 학모면적비에 관한 연구 (A Study on the Age Estimation Based upon Attrition of Molars)

  • 양무도;이승우
    • Journal of Oral Medicine and Pain
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    • 제6권1호
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    • pp.91-100
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    • 1981
  • The author collected 146 men's stone models and 175 women;s stone models over the age of twenties, and studied area ratio of attrition of molars. Area ratio of attrition = (area of attrition / area of occlusal surface)*100(%) All data were analyzed by means of statistical method, and following results were obtained. 1. There was correlation between age and area ratio of attrition, that is, area ratio of attrition was increased with aging process. 2. Regression equtions and coefficients of correlation showed a significant meaning. 3. Generally, upper teeth showed higher tendency of area ratio of attrition, being compared with lowers. 4. Being compared with male and female, there was no uniform difference.

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KIDAS 사고 통계에서 표준 연령 남녀의 상해 분석 및 해석연구 (Injuries Analysis and Interpretation of Standard Age and Sex in KIDAS Accident Statistics)

  • 박지양;윤영한
    • 자동차안전학회지
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    • 제11권1호
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    • pp.30-35
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    • 2019
  • KIDAS (Korean In-Depth Accident Study) is a data structure of accident investigation type, vehicle breakage and human injury database. A consortium of research institutes, universities, and medical institutions has been established and operated. KIDAS has the strongest difference from the TAAS (Traffic Accident Analysis System), which is the data of the National Police Agency, that it can grasp the injury information of passengers. In this study, the mean age and weight of the most frequent accident types in the KIDAS accident statistics were calculated to determine the degree of injury according to gender. Through the MADYMO analysis, it is aimed to grasp the difference of dummy injury using commercial dummy models and scaling models are currently used.

Genetic Parameters Estimated for Sexual Maturity and Weekly Live Weights of Japanese Quail (Coturnix coturnix japonica)

  • Sezer, Metin
    • Asian-Australasian Journal of Animal Sciences
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    • 제20권1호
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    • pp.19-24
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    • 2007
  • Covariance components and genetic parameters of weekly live body weight from hatching to six weeks of age and age of sexual maturation were estimated in a laying type Japanese quail line. The univariate and bivariate animal model analysis included hatching group and sex as fixed effects. Each trait was analysed with animal as random effect to fit the additive direct effect. Additional random effects incorporated in the models were changed according to the trait examined. The best model for a trait was chosen based on a likelihood ratio test, comparing the models with and without maternal additive genetic and maternal permanent environmental effects. Heritability estimates of live-weight at hatch and one to six weeks of age with their standard errors were 0.22${\pm}$0.088, 0.39${\pm}$0.099, 0.31${\pm}$0.086, 0.38${\pm}$0.056, 0.46${\pm}$0.055, 0.50${\pm}$0.059, and 0.56${\pm}$0.062, respectively. Direct heritability value of age of sexual maturation was moderate (0.24${\pm}$0.055). The variances due to permanent environmental effect of dam after one week of age and maternal genetic effect after two weeks of age were not important sources of variation. The correlations between direct and maternal genetic effects were negative and ranged from high to moderate values (-0.21 to -0.83). Among the weekly live weights, genetic correlations were generally high between not only successive but also early and late weightings. It suggests that selection for final weight may be based on early weight records. Genetic correlations between age of sexual maturation and live weights were low, favourable but had high standard errors. These results indicate that selection for high weight will potentially result in lower age of sexual maturation only with accurate determination of breeding values.

Suitability of stochastic models for mortality projection in Korea: a follow-up discussion

  • Le, Thu Thi Ngoc;Kwon, Hyuk-Sung
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • 제28권2호
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    • pp.171-188
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    • 2021
  • Due to an increased demand for longevity risk analysis, various stochastic models have been suggested to evaluate uncertainly in estimated life expectancy and the associated value of future annuity payments. Recently updated data allow us to analyze mortality for a longer historical period and extended age ranges. This study followed up previous case studies using up-to-date empirical data on Korean mortality and the recently developed R package StMoMo for stochastic mortality models analysis. The suitability of stochastic mortality models, focusing on retirement ages, was investigated with goodness-of-fit, validity of models, and ability of generating reasonable sets of simulation paths of future mortality. Comparisons were made across various types of models. Based on the selected models, the variability of important estimated measures associated with pension, annuity, and reverse mortgage were quantified using simulations.