• 한국대기환경학회지
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• 제10권4호
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• pp.224-232
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• 1994

A new neural network model has been developed to predict short-term air pollution concentration. In addition, a multiple regression model widely used in statistical analysis was tested. These models were applied for prediction of daily maximum ozone concentration in Seoul during the summer season of 1991. The time periods between May and September 1989 and 1990 were utilized to train set of learning patterns in neural network model, and to estimate multiple regression model. To evaluate the results of the different models, several Performance indices were used. The results indicated that the multiple regression model tended to underpredict the daily maximum ozone concentration with small r$^{2}$(0.38). Also, large errors were found in this model; 21.1 ppb for RMSE, 0.324 for NMSE, and -0.164 for MRE. On the other hand, the results obtained from the neural network model were very promising. Thus, we can know that this model has a prominent efficiency in the adaptive control for the non-linear multi- variable systems such as photochemical oxidants. Also, when the recent new information was added in the neural network model, prediction accuracy was increased. From the new model, the values of RMSE, NMSE and r$^{2}$ were 13.2ppb, 0.089, 0.003 and 0.55 respectively.

• 상하수도학회지
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• 제19권4호
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• pp.395-403
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• 2005

It is very important to forecast water supply for reasonal operation and management of water utilities. In this paper, water supply forecasting models using artificial intelligence are developed. Artificial intelligence models shows better results by using Temperature(t), water supply discharge (t-1) and water supply discharge (t-2), which are expressed by neural network(LMNNWS; Levenberg-Marquardt Neural Network for Water Supply, MDNNWS; MoDular Neural Network for Water Supply) and neuro fuzzy(ANASWS; Adaptive Neuro-Fuzzy Inference Systems for Water Supply). ANFISWS model which is applied for water supply forecasting shows stable application to the variable water supply data. As results, MDNNWS model shows the highest overall accuracy among proposed water supply forecasting models and the lowest estimation error with the order of ANFISWS, LMNNWS model.

• 한국정밀공학회:학술대회논문집
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• 한국정밀공학회 2004년도 추계학술대회 논문집
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• pp.237-240
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• 2004

Indexable end mills, which consist of inserts and cutter body, have been widely used in roughing of parts in the mold industry. The geometry and distribution of inserts on cutter body are determined by application. This paper proposes analytical cutting force model for indexable flat end-milling process. Developed cutting force model uses the cutting-condition-independent cutting force coefficients and considers runout, cutter deflection and size effect for the accurate cutting force prediction. Unlike solid type endmill, the tool geometry of indexable endmill is variable according to the axial position due to the geometry and distribution of inserts on the cutter body. Thus, adaptive algorithm that calculates tool geometry data at arbitrary axial position was developed. Then number of flute, angular position of flute, and uncutchip thickness are calculated. Finally, presented model was validated through some experiments with aluminum workpiece.

• 대한전기학회논문지
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• 제39권4호
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• pp.364-370
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• 1990

In this paper, we propose a self-tuning PID controller for unknown systems with time-varying delay. Using pole placement equations, we derive the controller that can be extended to the multi-step time delay case. The time-varying delays are estimated by a prediction error delay method using multiple predictors. Since the order of the estimation vector is not increased, the persistant exciting condition of control input is alleviated. Since the least square method gives biased parameter estimates for colored noise cases, the recursive instrumental variable method is used to estimate system parameters. The computational burden of the proposed method is less than the conventional adaptive methods. Computer simulations are performed to illustrate the efficiency of the proposed method.

• 센서학회지
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• 제1권2호
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• pp.155-163
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• 1992

위상배열 안테나 레이다에서는 기계적 관성에 관계없이 레이다 빔의 신속한 조향이 가능하기 때문에 측정을 원하는 목표와 그 목표에 대한 측정시간, 측정표본속도를 선택적으로 취할 수 있게 된다. 이 논문에서는 주어진 측정 파라미터에 대해 이러한 위상배열 레이다 시스템을 위한 3차원 가변 포본화 빈도 추적 필터를 설계했다. 이 추적 필터는 추적목표의 탐지확률을 적정한 값 이상으로 유지하기 위해서 목표의 각도 예측오차를 안테나 빔 폭의 일정한 비율이내로 줄일 수 있어야 한다. 여기서 설계한 추적 필터는 이러한 요구를 만족하는 범위에서 표본화 빈도를 낮출 수 있도록 목표까지의 거리와 기동에 따라 표본화 빈도를 선택하게 된다. 이 추적 필터설계의 타당성은 여러가지 기동목표에 대한 수치실험을 통해 확인했다.

• Geomechanics and Engineering
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• 제31권2호
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• pp.129-147
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• 2022

The properties of soil are naturally highly variable and thus, to ensure proper safety and reliability, we need to test a large number of samples across the length and depth. In pile foundations, conducting field tests are highly expensive and the traditional empirical relations too have been proven to be poor in performance. The study proposes a state-of-art Particle Swarm Optimization (PSO) hybridized Artificial Neural Network (ANN), Extreme Learning Machine (ELM) and Adaptive Neuro Fuzzy Inference System (ANFIS); and comparative analysis of metaheuristic models (ANN-PSO, ELM-PSO, ANFIS-PSO) for prediction of bearing capacity of pile foundation trained and tested on dataset of nearly 300 dynamic pile tests from the literature. A novel ensemble model of three hybrid models is constructed to combine and enhance the predictions of the individual models effectively. The authenticity of the dataset is confirmed using descriptive statistics, correlation matrix and sensitivity analysis. Ram weight and diameter of pile are found to be most influential input parameter. The comparative analysis reveals that ANFIS-PSO is the best performing model in testing phase (R² = 0.85, RMSE = 0.01) while ELM-PSO performs best in training phase (R² = 0.88, RMSE = 0.08); while the ensemble provided overall best performance based on the rank score. The performance of ANN-PSO is least satisfactory compared to the other two models. The findings were confirmed using Taylor diagram, error matrix and uncertainty analysis. Based on the results ELM-PSO and ANFIS-PSO is proposed to be used for the prediction of bearing capacity of piles and ensemble learning method of joining the outputs of individual models should be encouraged. The study possesses the potential to assist geotechnical engineers in the design phase of civil engineering projects.

• Geomechanics and Engineering
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• 제12권3호
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• pp.441-464
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• 2017

The determination of the mixture parameters of stabilization has become a great concern in geotechnical applications. This paper presents an effort about the application of artificial intelligence (AI) techniques including radial basis neural network (RBNN), multi-layer perceptrons (MLP), generalized regression neural network (GRNN) and adaptive neuro-fuzzy inference system (ANFIS) in order to predict the unconfined compressive strength (UCS) of silty soil stabilized with bottom ash (BA), jute fiber (JF) and steel fiber (SF) under different freeze-thaw cycles (FTC). The dosages of the stabilizers and number of freeze-thaw cycles were employed as input (predictor) variables and the UCS values as output variable. For understanding the dominant parameter of the predictor variables on the UCS of stabilized soil, a sensitivity analysis has also been performed. The performance measures of root mean square error (RMSE), mean absolute error (MAE) and determination coefficient ($R^2$) were used for the evaluations of the prediction accuracy and applicability of the employed models. The results indicate that the predictions due to all AI techniques employed are significantly correlated with the measured UCS ($p{\leq}0.05$). They also perform better predictions than nonlinear regression (NLR) in terms of the performance measures. It is found from the model performances that RBNN approach within AI techniques yields the highest satisfactory results (RMSE = 55.4 kPa, MAE = 45.1 kPa, and $R^2=0.988$). The sensitivity analysis demonstrates that the JF inclusion within the input predictors is the most effective parameter on the UCS responses, followed by FTC.

• Steel and Composite Structures
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• 제34권5호
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• pp.743-767
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• 2020

Due to the impressive flexural performance, enhanced compressive strength and more constrained crack propagation, Fibre-reinforced concrete (FRC) have been widely employed in the construction application. Majority of experimental studies have focused on the seismic behavior of FRC columns. Based on the valid experimental data obtained from the previous studies, the current study has evaluated the seismic response and compressive strength of FRC rectangular columns while following hybrid metaheuristic techniques. Due to the non-linearity of seismic data, Adaptive neuro-fuzzy inference system (ANFIS) has been incorporated with metaheuristic algorithms. 317 different datasets from FRC column tests has been applied as one database in order to determine the most influential factor on the ultimate strengths of FRC rectangular columns subjected to the simulated seismic loading. ANFIS has been used with the incorporation of Particle Swarm Optimization (PSO) and Genetic algorithm (GA). For the analysis of the attained results, Extreme learning machine (ELM) as an authentic prediction method has been concurrently used. The variable selection procedure is to choose the most dominant parameters affecting the ultimate strengths of FRC rectangular columns subjected to simulated seismic loading. Accordingly, the results have shown that ANFIS-PSO has successfully predicted the seismic lateral load with R² = 0.857 and 0.902 for the test and train phase, respectively, nominated as the lateral load prediction estimator. On the other hand, in case of compressive strength prediction, ELM is to predict the compressive strength with R² = 0.657 and 0.862 for test and train phase, respectively. The results have shown that the seismic lateral force trend is more predictable than the compressive strength of FRC rectangular columns, in which the best results belong to the lateral force prediction. Compressive strength prediction has illustrated a significant deviation above 40 Mpa which could be related to the considerable non-linearity and possible empirical shortcomings. Finally, employing ANFIS-GA and ANFIS-PSO techniques to evaluate the seismic response of FRC are a promising reliable approach to be replaced for high cost and time-consuming experimental tests.

• 한국해양학회지:바다
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• 제27권2호
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• pp.71-86
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• 2022

해양환경을 정량적으로 평가하기 위해 수질평가지수(water quality index, WQI)가 사용되고 있다. 우리나라는 해양수산부고시 해양환경기준에 따라 WQI를 5개 등급으로 구분하여 수질을 평가한다. 하지만, 방대한 수질 조사 자료에 대한 WQI 계산은 복잡하고 많은 시간이 요구된다. 이 연구는 기존의 조사된 수질 자료를 활용하여 WQI 등급을 예측할 수 있는 기계학습(machine learning, ML) 기반의 모델을 제안하고자 한다. 특별관리해역인 시화호를 모델링 지역으로 선정하였다. AdaBoost와 TPOT 알고리즘을 모델 훈련을 위해 사용하였으며, 분류 모델 평가 지표(정확도, 정밀도, F1, Log loss)로 모델 성능을 평가하였다. 훈련하기 전, 각 알고리즘 모델의 최적 입력자료 조합을 탐색하기 위해 변수 중요도와 민감도 분석을 수행하였다. 그 결과 저층 용존산소(dissolved oxygen, DO)는 모델의 성능에서 가장 중요한 인자였다. 반면, 표층 용존무기질소(dissolved inorganic nitrogen, DIN)와 표층 용존무기인(dissolved inorganic phosphorus, DIP)은 상대적으로 영향이 적었다. 한편, 최적 모델의 시공간적 민감도와 WQI 등급 별 민감도를 비교한 결과 각 조사 정점 및 시기, 등급 별 모델의 예측 성능이 상이하였다. 결론적으로 TPOT 알고리즘이 모든 입력자료 조합에서 성능이 더 우수하여 충분한 자료로 훈련된 최적 모델은 새로운 수질 조사 자료의 WQI 등급을 정확하게 분류할 수 있을 거라 판단된다.

• 대한토목학회논문집
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• 제32권2D호
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• pp.137-145
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• 2012

경찰청 발표 자료에 따르면 2010년 우리나라에서 발생한 교통사고 건수는 226,878건으로 전체 교통사고 중 교차로가 차지하는 비중이 44.8%로 교차로 사고는 교통사고 중 많은 부분을 차지하고 있다. 이 중 신호교차로 교통사고에 대한 연구는 지속적으로 이루어지고 있는 반면에 비신호교차로에 대한 연구는 아직 부족한 실정이다. 본 연구는 환경적 요인으로 퍼지적 성격을 가진 교통량, 차로폭, 시거를 입력변수로 비신호교차로에서의 사고건수예측을 위한 ANFIS(Adaptive Neuro-Fuzzy Inference System) 모형을 구축하였다. 이렇게 구축된 모형의 예측력은 검증자료를 이용한 실측치와 추론치를 비교함으로써 평가되었다. 본 모형의 예측력은 결정계수인 $R^2$와 평균절대오차(MAE), 평균제곱근오차(MSE)를 통하여 적합성을 평가하였으며, 이들은 각각 평가 결과 0.9817, 0.4773, 0.3037로 나타나 모형의 설명력이 우수한 것으로 평가된다. 본 연구의 비신호 교차로 사고예측분석 연구결과는 비신호교차로의 안전 대책 수립 및 교통사고 개선사업을 위한 기초자료를 제공할 것으로 사료된다.