• The Plant Pathology Journal
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• 제28권2호
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• pp.172-184
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• 2012

An infection risk model for Phytophthora blight on chili pepper was developed to estimate the first date of disease occurrence in the field. The model consisted of three parts including estimation of zoosporangium formation, soil water content, and amount of active inoculum in soil. Daily weather data on air temperature, relative humidity and rainfall, and the soil texture data of local areas were used to estimate infection risk level that was quantified as the accumulated amount of active inoculum during the prior three days. Based on the analysis on 190 sets of weather and disease data, it was found that the threshold infection risk of 224 could be an appropriate criterion for determining the primary infection date. The 95% confidence interval for the difference between the estimated date of primary infection and the observed date of first disease occurrence was $8{\pm}3$ days. In the model validation tests, the observed dates of first disease occurrence were within the 95% confidence intervals of the estimated dates in the five out of six cases. The sensitivity analyses suggested that the model was more responsive to temperature and soil texture than relative humidity, rainfall, and transplanting date. The infection risk model could be implemented in practice to control Phytophthora blight in chili pepper fields.

• Earthquakes and Structures
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• 제22권2호
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• pp.109-120
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• 2022

Older or damaged structures can require significant retrofit to ensure they perform well in subsequent earthquakes. Supplemental damping devices are used to achieve this goal, but increase base shear forces, foundation demand, and cost. Displacement reduction without increasing base shear is possible using novel semi-active and recently-created passive devices, which offer energy dissipation in selected quadrants of the force-displacement response. Combining these devices with large, strictly passive energy dissipation devices can offer greater, yet customized response reductions. Supplemental damping to reduce response without increasing base shear enables a net-zero base shear approach. This study evaluates this concept using two incremental dynamic analyses (IDAs) to show displacement reductions up to 40% without increasing base shear, more than would be achieved for either device alone, significantly reducing the risk of response exceeding the unaltered structural case. IDA results lead to direct calculation of reductions in risk and annualized economic cost for adding these devices using this net-zero concept, thus quantifying the trade-off. The overall device assessment and risk analysis method presented provides a generalizable proof-of-concept approach, and provides a framework for assessing the impact and economic cost-benefit of using modern supplemental energy dissipation devices.

• Ocean Systems Engineering
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• 제12권3호
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• pp.267-284
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• 2022

A subsea pipeline designed across active shipping lane prones to failure against external interferences such as anchorage activities, hence risk assessment is essential. It requires quantifying the geometric probability derived from ship traffic distribution based on Automatic Identification System (AIS) data. The actual probability density function from historical vessel traffic data is ideal, as for rapid assessment, conceptual study, when the AIS data is scarce or when the local vessels traffic are not utilised with AIS. Recommended practices suggest the probability distribution is assumed as a single peak Gaussian. This study compares several fitted Gaussian distributions and Monte Carlo simulation based on actual ship traffic data in main ship direction in an active shipping lane across a subsea pipeline. The results shows that a Gaussian distribution with five peaks is required to represent the ship traffic data, providing an error of 0.23%, while a single peak Gaussian distribution and the Monte Carlo simulation with one hundred million realisation provide an error of 1.32% and 0.79% respectively. Thus, it can be concluded that the multi-peak Gaussian distribution can represent the actual ship traffic distribution in the main direction, but it is less representative for ship traffic distribution in other direction. The geometric probability is utilised in a quantitative risk assessment (QRA) for subsea pipeline against vessel anchor dropping and dragging and vessel sinking.

• Asian Pacific Journal of Cancer Prevention
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• 제15권11호
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• pp.4429-4436
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• 2014

Background: Although the nutritional may exert effect on the breast cancer risk, it is not clear whether the role diet is the same in sedentary and physically active women. The aim of this study was to evaluate the association between fruit, vegetable and carbohydrate intake and the risk of breast cancer among Polish women considering their physical activity level. Materials and Methods: A case-control study was conducted that included 858 women with histological confirmed breast cancer and 1,085 controls, free of any cancer diagnosis, aged 28-78 years. The study was based on a self-administered questionnaire to ascertain physical activity, dietary intake, sociodemographic characteristics, reproductive factors, family history of breast cancer, current weight and high, and other lifestyle factors. Odds ratios (ORs) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs) were estimated in unconditional logistic regression analyses including a broad range of potential confounders. Results: With comparison of the highest vs lowest quartile of intake, strong significant associations were observed for total vegetables (OR=0.37, 95%CI=0.20-0.69 P for trend <0.01 and OR=0.53, 95%CI=0.29-0.96, P for trend <0.02), and total fruits (OR=0.47, 95%CI=0.25-0.87, P for trend <0.05 and OR=0.47, 95%CI=0.24-0.90, P for trend <0.02) among women characterized by the lowest and the highest quartile of physical activity. No associations were observed for total carbohydrate intake. Additional analysis showed a positive association for sweets and desert intake among women in the lowest quartile of physical activity (OR=3.49, 95%CI=1.67-7.30, P for trend <0.009) for extreme quartiles of intake comparing to the referent group. Conclusions: The results suggest that a higher consumption of vegetable and fruit may be associated with a decreased risk of breast cancer, especially among women who were low or most physically active throughout their lifetimes. These findings do not support an association between diet high in carbohydrate and breast cancer. However, a higher intake of sweets and deserts may by associated with an increased risk of breast cancer among women who were less physically active.

• Asian Pacific Journal of Cancer Prevention
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• 제16권8호
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• pp.3267-3272
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• 2015

Purpose: To retrospective assess the potential predictors for relapse and create an effective clinical mode for surveillance after orchidectomy in clinical stage I non-seminomatous germ cell testicular tumors (CSI-NSGCTs). Materials and Methods: We analyzed data for CSI-NSGCTs patients with non-lymphatic vascular invasion, %ECa < 50% (percentage of embryonal carcinoma < 50%), and negative or declining tumor markers to their half-life following orchidectomy (defined as low-risk patients); these patients were recruited from four Chinese centers between January 1999 and October 2013. Patients were divided into active surveillance group and retroperitoneal lymph node dissection (RPLND) group according to different therapeutic methods after radical orchidectomy was performed. The disease-free survival rates (DFSR) and overall survival rates (OSR) of the two groups were compared by Kaplan-Meier analysis. Results: A total of 121 patients with CSI-NSGCT were collected from four centers, and 81 low-risk patients, including 54 with active surveillance and 27 with RPLND, were enrolled at last. The median follow-up duration was 66.2 (range 6-164) months in the RPLND group and 65.9 (range 8-179) months in the surveillance group. OSR was 100% in active surveillance and RPLND groups, and DFSR was 89.8% and 87.0%, respectively. No significant difference was observed between these two groups ($X_2=0.108$, P=0.743). No significant difference was observed between the patients with a low percentage of embryonal carcinoma (<50%) and those without embryonal carcinoma (87.0% and 91.9%, $X_2=0.154$, P=0.645). No treatment-related complications were observed in the active surveillance group whereas minor and major complications were observed in 13.0% and 26.1% of the RPLND group, respectively. Conclusions: Active surveillance resulted in similar DFSR and OSR compared with RPLND in our trial. Patients with low-risk CSI-NSGCTs could benefit from risk-adapted surveillance after these patients were subjected to radical orchidectomy.

• 디지털융복합연구
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• 제14권3호
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• pp.489-497
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• 2016

본 연구는 8주간 고령여성을 대상으로 유단백 섭취와 탄성밴드운동을 통해 고령여성의 활동체력 및 대사성 위험인자의 변화를 살펴보고자 하였다. 이를 위해 처치군(TG)과 통제군(CG)으로 구분하여 두 그룹을 선정하였다. TG에서는 유단백 섭취와 탄성밴드운동을 8주간 적용하였으며, CG는 통제군으로서 본 프로그램에 참여하지 않고 일반적 생활을 영위하도록 하였다. TG에 적용된 유단백 섭취는 하루 3회 총 900ml가 제공되었으며, 이와 함께 탄성밴드운동을 주 당 4회 준비운동과 정리운동을 포함해 60분간 실시되었다(RPE<17). 자료분석은 8주간 프로그램 적용 전과 후에 측정하여 프로그램의 상호작용효과를 검증하고자 하였다. 이와 같은 절차를 통해 다음과 같은 결론을 얻었다. 첫째, 8주간의 유단백 섭취와 탄성밴드운동은 고령여성의 활동체력(근력, 근지구력, 평형성) 변화에 유의한 상호작용효과를 나타냈다(p<.05). 둘째, 8주간의 유단백 섭취와 탄성밴드운동은 고령여성의 대사성위험인자(TC, HDL-C, LDL-C) 변화에 유의한 상호작용효과를 나타냈다(p<.05). 본 연구는 유단백 섭취와 탄성밴드운동을 통해 고령여성의 활동체력 및 대사성위험인자의 긍정적 변화를 나타냈다. 하지만 모든 요인에서 유의한 변화를 나타내지 않아 후속연구에서는 구체화된 연구가 필요할 것으로 사료된다.

• 대한가정학회지
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• 제23권1호
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• pp.49-57
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• 1985

The central problem of purchasing houses is choice, which is accompanied by perception of risk. Perceived risk is defined as a risk perceived by a consumer subjectively in choice situations. The components of perceived risk are uncertainty and consequence. There are seven types of perceived risk in purchasing houses. Those are financial risk, functional risk, social risk, psychological risk, physical risk, time risk and future opportunity lost risk. The empirical survey about comsumer's purchasing Public Apartment suggests : 1) In general, rspondents perceive relatively high risk in purchasig Public Apartment. 2) Of seven risk types, financial, functionalm, future opportunity lost, time, and social risk correlate highest with overall perceived risk and explain the variance of it. 3) Physical and psychological risks don't correlate significantly with overall perceived risk. From the findings in empirical analysis, consumers are recommended to device riskreduction activities in purchasing Public Apartment. 1. Active information search is needed in purchasing Public Apartment in order to reduce overall perceived risk. 2. Housing concept should change from ownership to rental thinking. 3. Consumers should be accustomed to Housing Loans by bank. 4. Purchasing goals should be established clearly before purchasing houses. 5. Careful deliberation is required and informations from personal sources are useful.

• 한국안전학회지
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• 제28권2호
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• pp.60-65
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• 2013

On the basis of the guideline "2012-104(2012.9.26.)" notified by the ministry of employment and labor, this paper provided the baseline data and the improvement proposal in applying risk assessment to a construction site by group interview & survey of construction workers. The worker's awareness and action plan of safety and health were investigated by numerical analysis. From the result of group interview and the survey of construction workers, it was found that most of construction workers feel the danger during the work. The results also shows that risk assessment can help to change & raise the awareness of safety and to reduce the industrial disaster. In addition, simple safety management activity such as TBM & active education of safety will be necessary for safe workspace and the active TBT(tool box talk) which combines TBM & the education of safety will be also effective.

• 보건교육건강증진학회지
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• 제28권1호
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• pp.93-101
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• 2011

Objectives: The aim of this study was to investigate the prevalence of metabolically obese, normal-weight (MONW) phenotype and the association between lifestyle factors and the risk of MONW in Korean adolescents. Methods: Normal-weight (BMI, 5th to 85th percentile) subjects with ${\geq}1$ metabolic abnormalities were categorized as MONW phenotype. Data from adolescents aged 12 to 18 years who have participated in the Korean National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey in 1998 (n=751) and 2008 (n=455) were analyzed. Physical activity and dietary intakes were assessed. Results: The prevalence of hypertension and hyperglycemia in 2008 decreased compared with that in 1998 (P<0.001) but the prevalence of abdominal obesity, hypertriglyceridemia and low HDL did not changed. The overall prevalence of MONW in Korean adolescents declined over 10 years (P<0.001). Adolescent boys and girls engaging regular exercise significantly increased over 10 years (P<0.01). Physically active adolescents had a lower risk of being MONW in 1998. Dietary intake patterns were not associated with a risk of MONW. Conclusions: The prevalence of MONW among Korean adolescents declined over 10 years which may be due to the decreased prevalence of hypertension and hyperglycemia. The risk of MONW would be lower in individuals who are physically active.

• 정보처리학회논문지A
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• 제18A권4호
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• pp.151-158
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• 2011

다양한 산업의 기업들은 비용 절감과 판매 촉진을 목적으로 물류 관리 기법들을 도입하여 왔으나, 물류 환경이 급변함에 따라서 적절한 물품을 빠르고(Speedy), 안전하고(Safely), 확실하고(Surely), 저렴하게(low) 고객에게 제공하는 물류 관리의 기본적인 3S 1L 원칙의 균형이 물류 실행 중에 지켜지지 않아서 기업에 위해를 입히는 현상이 확인되었다. 이러한 현상을 관리하기 위해서는 기업은 물류 환경에 유연하게 대응하는 위험 대처 능력이 절대적으로 필요하다. 특히 3자 물류 형태에서 공급망 위험관리의 주요 의사결정자인 화주의 지속적인 물류 정보 수집과 물류업체와의 정보 교류가 요구된다. 하지만 기존의 위험 관리 시스템은 다양한 화주의 요구, 긴급한 위험 상황에서 신속한 위험 인지와 대응을 하기에 미흡하다. 따라서 본 논문에서는 이러한 문제점을 해결하기 위하여 기존 위험관리 연구를 고찰하여 위험 요인을 정리하고 능동적 공급망 위험관리 시스템 프레임워크를 제시하였다. 또한 기존 시스템과의 대응 활동을 비교한 안정성 검사를 통해 효율성을 검증하였다.