• Title/Summary/Keyword: Accuracy management

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Accuracy improvement of a collaborative filtering recommender system (협력적 필터링 추천 시스템의 정확도 향상)

  • Lee, Seog-Hwan;Park, Seung-Hun
    • Journal of the Korea Safety Management & Science
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    • v.12 no.1
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    • pp.127-136
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    • 2010
  • In this paper, the author proposed following two methods to improve the accuracy of the recommender system. First, in order to classify the users more accurately, the author used a EMC(Expanded Moving Center) heuristic algorithm which improved clustering accuracy. Second, the author proposed the Neighborhood-oriented preference prediction method that improved the conventional preference prediction methods, so the accuracy of the recommender system is improved. The test result of the recommender system which adapted the above two methods suggested in this paper was improved the accuracy than the conventional recommendation methods.

Comparison of Multivariate CUSUM Charts Based on Identification Accuracy for Spatio-temporal Surveillance (시공간 탐지 정확성을 고려한 다변량 누적합 관리도의 비교)

  • Lee, Mi Lim
    • Journal of Korean Society for Quality Management
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    • v.43 no.4
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    • pp.521-532
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    • 2015
  • Purpose: The purpose of this study is to compare two multivariate cumulative sum (MCUSUM) charts designed for spatio-temporal surveillance in terms of not only temporal detection performance but also spatial detection performance. Method: Experiments under various configurations are designed and performed to test two CUSUM charts, namely SMCUSUM and RMCUSUM. In addition to average run length(ARL), two measures of spatial identification accuracy are reported and compared. Results: The RMCUSUM chart provides higher level of spatial identification accuracy while two charts show comparable performance in terms of ARL. Conclusion: The RMCUSUM chart has more flexibility, robustness, and spatial identification accuracy when compared to those of the SMCUSUM chart. We recommend to use the RMCUSUM chart if control limit calibration is not an urgent task.

Validation of Unmanned Aerial Photogrammetry by Research Case Study and Accuracy Analysis (연구사례 조사 및 정확도 분석에 의한 무인항공사진측량의 유효성 평가)

  • Lee, Keunwang;Park, Joonkyu
    • Journal of Korea Society of Digital Industry and Information Management
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    • v.14 no.4
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    • pp.155-161
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    • 2018
  • Recently, the development of sensor technology has led to an increase in research on unmanned aerial photogrammetry in various fields such as digital mapping, monitoring, cadastral survey, coastal survey, and topographic survey. However, existing studies are mainly limited experiments and analysis of specific application field, which is insufficient to demonstrate the validity of unmanned aerial photogrammetry for geospatial information construction. In this study, the studies related to the accuracy of unmanned aerial photogrammetry were investigated. The flight altitude and accuracy of horizontal direction is proportional to the GSD by analyzing the results of the individual studies conducted on the unmanned aerial photogrammetry within the last 5 years. In addition, the accuracy of the evaluation results varied widely according to the experimental conditions, and the problems of the previous studies that lacked the number of samples to evaluate the results were identified. A total accuracy analysis of 322 checkpoints yielded an accuracy of 0.028m in the horizontal direction and 0.044m in the vertical direction. In the future, the results of this study can be used as a basis for the validity of spatial information construction using unmanned aerial photogrammetry.

Assessing the Precision of a Jackknife Estimator

  • Park, Dae-Su
    • Management Science and Financial Engineering
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    • v.9 no.1
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    • pp.4-10
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    • 2003
  • We introduce a new estimator of the uncertainty of a jackknife estimate of standard error: the jack-knife-after-jackknife (JAJ). Using Monte Carlo simulation, we assess the accuracy of the JAJ in a variety of settings defined by statistic of interest, data distribution, and sample size. For comparison, we also assess the accuracy of the jackknife-after-bootstrap (JAB) estimate of the uncertainty of a bootstrap standard error. We conclude that the JAJ provides a useful new supplement to Tukey's jackknife, and the combination of jackknife and JAJ provides a useful alternative to the combination of bootstrap and JAB.

Assessing the Precision of a Jackknife Estimator

  • Park, Daesu
    • Management Science and Financial Engineering
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    • v.9 no.1
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    • pp.1-10
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    • 2003
  • We introduce a new estimator of the uncertainty of a jackknife estimate of standard error: the jack-knife-after-jackknife (JAJ). Using Monte Carlo simulation, we assess the accuracy of the JAJ in a variety of settings defined by statistic of interest, data distribution, and sample size. For comparison, we also assess the accuracy of the jackknife-after-bootstrap (JAB) estimate of the uncertainty of a bootstrap standard error. We conclude that the JAJ provides a useful new supplement to Tukey's jackknife, and the combination of jackknife and JAJ provides a useful alternative to the combination of bootstrap and JAB.

PREDICTING CORPORATE FINANCIAL CRISIS USING SOM-BASED NEUROFUZZY MODEL

  • Jieh-Haur Chen;Shang-I Lin;Jacob Chen;Pei-Fen Huang
    • International conference on construction engineering and project management
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    • 2011.02a
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    • pp.382-388
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    • 2011
  • Being aware of the risk in advance necessitates intricate processes but is feasible. Although previous studies have demonstrated high accuracy, their performance still leaves room for improvement. A self-organizing feature map (SOM) based neurofuzzy model is developed in this study to provide another alternative for forecasting corporate financial distress. The model is designed to yield high prediction accuracy, as well as reference rules for evaluating corporate financial status. As a database, the study collects all financial reports from listed construction companies during the latest decade, resulting in over 1000 effective samples. The proportion of "failed" and "non-failed" companies is approximately 1:2. Each financial report is comprised of 25 ratios which are set as the input variable s. The proposed model integrates the concepts of pattern classification, fuzzy modeling and SOM-based optimization to predict corporate financial distress. The results exhibit a high accuracy rate at 85.1%. This model outperforms previous tools. A total of 97 rules are extracted from the proposed model which can be also used as reference for construction practitioners. Users may easily identify their corporate financial status by using these rules.

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A Comparison of the Reliability Estimation Accuracy between Bayesian Methods and Classical Methods Based on Weibull Distribution (와이블분포 하에서 베이지안 기법과 전통적 기법 간의 신뢰도 추정 정확도 비교)

  • Cho, HyungJun;Lim, JunHyoung;Kim, YongSoo
    • Journal of Korean Institute of Industrial Engineers
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    • v.42 no.4
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    • pp.256-262
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    • 2016
  • The Weibull is widely used in reliability analysis, and several studies have attempted to improve estimation of the distribution's parameters. least squares estimation (LSE) or Maximum likelihood estimation (MLE) are often used to estimate distribution parameters. However, it has been proven that Bayesian methods are more suitable for small sample sizes than LSE and MLE. In this work, the Weibull parameter estimation accuracy of LSE, MLE, and Bayesian method are compared for sample sets with 3 to 30 data points. The Bayesian method was most accurate for sample sizes under 25, and the accuracy of the Bayesian method was similar to LSE and MLE as the sample size increased.

Design and Performance Measurement of a Genetic Algorithm-based Group Classification Method : The Case of Bond Rating (유전 알고리듬 기반 집단분류기법의 개발과 성과평가 : 채권등급 평가를 중심으로)

  • Min, Jae-H.;Jeong, Chul-Woo
    • Journal of the Korean Operations Research and Management Science Society
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    • v.32 no.1
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    • pp.61-75
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    • 2007
  • The purpose of this paper is to develop a new group classification method based on genetic algorithm and to com-pare its prediction performance with those of existing methods in the area of bond rating. To serve this purpose, we conduct various experiments with pilot and general models. Specifically, we first conduct experiments employing two pilot models : the one searching for the cluster center of each group and the other one searching for both the cluster center and the attribute weights in order to maximize classification accuracy. The results from the pilot experiments show that the performance of the latter in terms of classification accuracy ratio is higher than that of the former which provides the rationale of searching for both the cluster center of each group and the attribute weights to improve classification accuracy. With this lesson in mind, we design two generalized models employing genetic algorithm : the one is to maximize the classification accuracy and the other one is to minimize the total misclassification cost. We compare the performance of these two models with those of existing statistical and artificial intelligent models such as MDA, ANN, and Decision Tree, and conclude that the genetic algorithm-based group classification method that we propose in this paper significantly outperforms the other methods in respect of classification accuracy ratio as well as misclassification cost.

Assessing Personalized Recommendation Services Using Expectancy Disconfirmation Theory

  • Il Young Choi;Hyun Sil Moon;Jae Kyeong Kim
    • Asia pacific journal of information systems
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    • v.29 no.2
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    • pp.203-216
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    • 2019
  • There is an accuracy-diversity dilemma with personalized recommendation services. Some researchers believe that accurate recommendations might reinforce customer satisfaction. However, others claim that highly accurate recommendations and customer satisfaction are not always correlated. Thus, this study attempts to establish the causal factors that determine customer satisfaction with personalized recommendation services to reconcile these incompatible views. This paper employs statistical analyses of simulation to investigate an accuracy-diversity dilemma with personalized recommendation services. To this end, we develop a personalized recommendation system and measured accuracy, diversity, and customer satisfaction using a simulation method. The results show that accurate recommendations positively affected customer satisfaction, whereas diverse recommendations negatively affected customer satisfaction. Also, customer satisfaction was associated with the recommendation product size when neighborhood size was optimal in accuracy. Thus, these results offer insights into personalizing recommendation service providers. The providers must identify customers' preferences correctly and suggest more accurate recommendations. Furthermore, accuracy is not always improved as the number of product recommendation increases. Accordingly, providers must propose adequate number of product recommendation.

A Study of Estimation Method for Auto-Regressive Model with Non-Normal Error and Its Prediction Accuracy (비정규 오차를 고려한 자기회귀모형의 추정법 및 예측성능에 관한 연구)

  • Lim, Bo Mi;Park, Cheong-Sool;Kim, Jun Seok;Kim, Sung-Shick;Baek, Jun-Geol
    • Journal of Korean Institute of Industrial Engineers
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    • v.39 no.2
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    • pp.109-118
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    • 2013
  • We propose a method for estimating coefficients of AR (autoregressive) model which named MLPAR (Maximum Likelihood of Pearson system for Auto-Regressive model). In the present method for estimating coefficients of AR model, there is an assumption that residual or error term of the model follows the normal distribution. In common cases, we can observe that the error of AR model does not follow the normal distribution. So the normal assumption will cause decreasing prediction accuracy of AR model. In the paper, we propose the MLPAR which does not assume the normal distribution of error term. The MLPAR estimates coefficients of auto-regressive model and distribution moments of residual by using pearson distribution system and maximum likelihood estimation. Comparing proposed method to auto-regressive model, results are shown to verify improved performance of the MLPAR in terms of prediction accuracy.