• Title/Summary/Keyword: Accident consequence assessment

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Assessing the Activity Concentration of Agricultural Products and the Public Ingestion Dose as Result of a Nuclear Accident

  • Keum, Dong-Kwon;Jeong, Hyojoon;Jun, In;Lim, Kwang-Muk;Choi, Yong-Ho
    • Journal of Radiation Protection and Research
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    • v.43 no.2
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    • pp.39-49
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    • 2018
  • Background: A model to assess the activity concentration of agricultural products and the public ingestion dose as result of a nuclear accident is necessarily required to manage the contaminated agricultural systems by the accident, or to estimate the effects of chronic exposure due to food ingestion at a Level 3 PSA. Materials and Methods: A dynamic compartment model, which is composed of three sub-modules, namely, an agricultural plant contamination assessment model, an animal product contamination assessment model, and an ingestion dose assessment model has been developed based on Korean farming characteristics such as the growth characteristics of rice and stockbreeding. Results and Discussion: The application study showed that the present model can predict well the characteristics of the activity concentration for agricultural products and ingestion dose depending on the deposition date. Conclusion: The present model is very useful to predict the radioactivity concentration of agricultural foodstuffs and public ingestion dose as consequence of a nuclear accident. Consequently, it is expected to be used effectively as a module for the ingestion dose calculation of the Korean agricultural contamination management system as well as the Level 3 PSA code, which is currently being developed.

Study on Development of Automated System for Hazard Screening at Analysis (위험 선별 및 분석 통합 자동화 시스템 개발에 대한 연구)

  • 한의진;김용하;최승준;김구회;윤인섭
    • Fire Science and Engineering
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    • v.17 no.4
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    • pp.20-27
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    • 2003
  • Hazard Analysis is one of the basic tasks to ensure the safety of chemical plants. However, it is an arduous, tedious, time-consuming work and requires multidisciplinary knowledge and demands considerable cognitive load from the analysts. To overcome these problems, there have been attempts to automate this work by utilizing computer technology, particularly in the area of knowledge-based technique. There is two methods in the risk assessment of Chemical plant; quantitative and qualitative risk assessment. Both of them have been applied respectively, but if the integrated method of quantitative and qualitative risk assessments is used, all of the advantage of two methods can be applied. It is difficult to carry out integrated risk management of chemical plant. Therefore, automated integration system of risk management is necessary. We developed S/W Automated System for Hazard Screening & Analysis(ASCA) and applied to practical plant. By applying ASCA to case study, we can get the information about relative ranks of equipments, variable deviation, and consequence of potential accident. In this study, we applied ASCA to the H.T.U(Hydrotreating Unit) of the process to produce aromatic material. We could know relative ranks of equipments, variable deviation of malfunction in storage tank, D-101, and consequence of potential accident using ASCA. If integrated risk management in the chemical plant is applied, we can develop the emergency plan and prevent the accident.

A Research on the Verification Test Procedure for Quantitative Explosion Risk Assessment and Management of Offshore Installations (해양플랜트 폭발사고 위험도 평가/관리를 위한 실증시험기법에 관한 연구)

  • Kim, Bong Ju;Ha, Yeon Chul;Seo, Jung Kwan
    • Journal of the Society of Naval Architects of Korea
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    • v.55 no.3
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    • pp.215-221
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    • 2018
  • The structural design of offshore installations against explosions has been required to protect vital areas (e.g. control room, worker's area etc.) and minimize the damage from explosion accidents. Because the explosion accident will not only result in significant casualties and economic losses, but also cause serious pollution and damage to surrounding environment and coastal marine ecosystems. Over the past two decades, an incredible efforts was made to develop reliable methods to reduce and manage the explosion risk. Among the methods Quantitative Risk Assessment and Management (QRA&M) is the one of cutting-edge technologies. The explosion risk can be quantitatively assessed by the product of explosion frequency based on probability calculation and consequence analyzed using computer simulations, namely Computational Fluid Dynamics (CFD) and Finite Element Analysis (FEA). However to obtain reliable consequence analysis results by CFD and FEA, uncertainties associate with modeling and simulation are needed to be identified and validated by comparison with experimental data. Therefore, large-scaled explosion test procedure is developed in this study. And developed test procedure can be helpful to obtain precious test data for the validation of consequence analysis using computer simulations, and subsequently allow better assessment and management of explosion risks.

An Approach to Risk Assessment of City Gas Pipeline (도시가스 배관의 위험평가 방법론 제시)

  • Park Kyo-Shik;Lee Jin-Han;Jo Young-Do;Park Jin-Hee
    • Journal of the Korean Institute of Gas
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    • v.7 no.1 s.18
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    • pp.33-40
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    • 2003
  • In this work, a novel approach was introduced to assess cost of loss resulting from risk as well as to help deciding inspection period through quantifying risk. In order to quantifying risk of city gas pipeline, frequency and consequence analysis were required. The main causes of city gas accident were analyzed to be digging, external corrosion, ground movement, and equipment failure. Tools to evaluate frequency of each cause was also suggested. Among city gas accidents, fire damage is the dominant one and mainly discussed; fatality, burning injury, and damage to building were estimated using the consequence model suggested. By combining frequency and consequence analysis, evaluating cost of risk management together with calculating example. This work could be applicable for city gas companies to plan how to manage risk most effectively.

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Determination of Optimum Investment level for Safely Management by Process Risk Assessment at Gas Governor Station (가스공급기지에서 공정 위험성 평가에 의한 최적 안전관리 투자수준 결정)

  • Kim Tae-Ok;Jang Seo-Il
    • Journal of the Korean Institute of Gas
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    • v.7 no.3 s.20
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    • pp.1-6
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    • 2003
  • This study has suggested a decision method which determine optimum investment level for safety management by process risk assessment at gas governor station. Hazard and operability study(HAZOP), fault tree analysis(FTA) and consequence analysis(CA) were carried out and potential accident cost and benefit for safety management were estimated. As a result, we could be found the trend of safety cost and benefit by the nonlinear regression method and could be determined the optimum investment level for safety management from analysis of safety management cost and potential accident cost.

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A Study on the Advancement of Quantitative Risk Assessment for the PBL Process - The Center of FTA and Consequence Analysis- (PBL 반응공정의 정량적 위험성 평가에 관한 연구 - 결함수분석(FTA) 및 사고결과영향분석(CA)을 중심으로-)

  • Lee Young-Soon;Kang Sun-Jung;Choi Bong-Sun;Kim Hyong-Shuk
    • Journal of the Korean Institute of Gas
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    • v.2 no.2
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    • pp.1-11
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    • 1998
  • A quantitative risk assessment and consequence analysis for PBL(Poly Butadiene Latex) reaction processes were performed. As a result of the Quantitative risk assessment, for the accident probability of PBL reactors causing a reaction runaway, was calculated as $9.197{\times}10^{-5}/yr$ The most important factor that affected the accident probability of PBL reactor was the relief device. When the reactor exploded, peak overpressure at the target point was $5.066{\times}10^5(Pa)$ and the range of effects windows to be broken occurred in almost all of the factory areas. The maximum radius of effect was 27m, in which workers could be die by the direct for eardrum damage was calculated at 77m. When the PBL reactor exploded, the extent of structural damage to buildings was calculated from the center of the explosion to a range of 52m. The results of the study's assessment have provided a direction for facility's improvement as well as effective safety investment.

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석유화학 공장에서의 가상 사고 시나리오 생성 모델

  • Kang, Mi-Jin;Lee, Young-Soon;Moon, Il;Yoon, Dong-Hyun;Lee, Young-Jun
    • Proceedings of the Korean Institute of Industrial Safety Conference
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    • 2000.06a
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    • pp.196-196
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    • 2000
  • This paper presents an approach for modeling of the generation of a set of credible accident scenarios for a petrochemical plant, which will be used to perform quantitative hazard assessments such as the consequence assessment, FTA or ETA. This approach is carried out in ways of identifying, classifying a set of major components and elements for scenarios generation by analysis of the informations on various actual accidents, and thus setting priorities of both factors of likelihood and consequence on each component or element identified.

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Source term inversion of nuclear accidents based on ISAO-SAELM model

  • Dong Xiao;Zixuan Zhang;Jianxin Li;Yanhua Fu
    • Nuclear Engineering and Technology
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    • v.56 no.9
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    • pp.3914-3924
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    • 2024
  • The release source term of radioactivity becomes a critical foundation for emergency response and accident consequence assessment after a nuclear accident Rapidly and accurately inverting the source term remains an urgent scientific challenge. Today source term inversion based on meteorological data and gamma dose rate measurements is a common method. But gamma dose rate actually includes all nuclides information, and the composition of radioactive nuclides is generally uncertain. This paper introduces a novel nuclear accident source term inversion model, which is Improve Snow Ablation Optimizer-Sensitivity Analysis Pruning Extreme Learning Machine (ISAO-SAELM) model. The model inverts the release rates of 11 radioactive nuclides (I-131, Xe-133, Cs-137, Kr-88, Sr-91, Te-132, Mo-99, Ba-140, La-140, Ce-144, Sb-129). It does not require the use of the physical field of the reactor to obtain prior information and establish a dispersion model. And the robustness is validated through noise analysis test. The mean absolute errors of the release rates of 11 nuclides are 15.52 %, 15.28 %, 15.70 %, 14.99 %, 14.85 %, 15.61 %, 15.96 %, 15.42 %, 15.84 %, 15.13 %, 17.72 %, which show the significant superiority of ISAO-SAELM. ISAO-SAELM model not only achieves notable advancements in accuracy but also receives validation in terms of practicality and feasibility.

Recommended Evacuation Distance for Offsite Risk Assessment of Ammonia Release Scenarios (냉동, 냉장 시스템에서 NH3 누출 사고 시 장외영향평가를 위한 피해범위 및 대피거리 산정에 관한 연구)

  • Park, Sangwook;Jung, Seungho
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Safety
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    • v.31 no.3
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    • pp.156-161
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    • 2016
  • An accident of an ammonia tank pipeline at a storage plant resulted in one death and three injuries in 2014. Many accidents including toxic gas releases and explosions occur in the freezing and refrigerating systems using ammonia. Especially, the consequence can be substantial due to that the large amount of ammonia is usually being used in the refrigeration systems. In this study, offsite consequence analysis has been investigated when ammonia leaks outdoors from large storages. Both flammable and toxic effects are under consideration to calculate the affected area using simulation programs for consequence analysis. ERPG-2 concentration (150 ppm) has been selected to calculate the evacuation distance out of various release scenarios for their dispersions in day or night. For offsite residential, the impact area by flammability is much smaller than that by toxicity. The methodology consists of two steps as followings; 1. Calculation for discharge rates of accidental release scenarios. 2. Dispersion simulation using the discharge rate for different conditions. This proactive prediction for accidental releases of ammonia would help emergency teams act as quick as they can.

Development of Emergency Response Plan System Using Quantitative Risk Assessment in Chemical Plants (화학공장에서의 정량적 위험성 평가를 이용한 비상 대응 계획 시스템 개발)

  • 임차순;서재민;엄성인;백종배;고재욱
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Safety
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    • v.16 no.2
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    • pp.69-74
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    • 2001
  • In this study, we analyzed the accident scenarios of chemical plants through the analysis of lots of chemical accidents and using experts knowledge, and looked into the method of prevention and response. Moreover, we developed a systemic and actual Emergency Response Plan Software(ERPS) that could prevent, prepare and respond totally for the chemical industry facilities using the data from the accident effect estimation from the local society and the geographic information of a chemical plant. The ERPS consists of the information for the plant and process, the consequence analysis and the ERPTA(Emergency Response Plan Tree Analysis). In conclusion, the program developed in this study could help effectively all the chemical industry facilities to prevent and respond to possible accidents.

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