• Title/Summary/Keyword: Accident Scenario

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UNCERTAINTY AND SENSITIVITY ANALYSIS OF TMI-2 ACCIDENT SCENARIO USING SIMULATION BASED TECHNIQUES

  • Rao, R. Srinivasa;Kumar, Abhay;Gupta, S.K.;Lele, H.G.
    • Nuclear Engineering and Technology
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    • 제44권7호
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    • pp.807-816
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    • 2012
  • The Three Mile Island Unit 2 (TMI-2) accident has been studied extensively, as part of both post-accident technical assessment and follow-up computer code calculations. The models used in computer codes for severe accidents have improved significantly over the years due to better understanding. It was decided to reanalyze the severe accident scenario using current state of the art codes and methodologies. This reanalysis was adopted as a part of the joint standard problem exercise for the Atomic Energy Regulatory Board (AERB) - United States Regulatory Commission (USNRC) bilateral safety meet. The accident scenario was divided into four phases for analysis viz., Phase 1 covers from the accident initiation to the shutdown of the last Reactor Coolant Pumps (RCPs) (0 to 100 min), Phase 2 covers initial fuel heat up and core degradation (100 to 174 min), Phase 3 is the period of recovery of the core water level by operating the reactor coolant pump, and the core reheat that followed (174 to 200 min) and Phase 4 covers refilling of the core by high pressure injection (200 to 300 min). The base case analysis was carried out for all four phases. The majority of the predicted parameters are in good agreement with the observed data. However, some parameters have significant deviations compared to the observed data. These discrepancies have arisen from uncertainties in boundary conditions, such as makeup flow, flow during the RCP 2B transient (Phase 3), models used in the code, the adopted nodalisation schemes, etc. In view of this, uncertainty and sensitivity analyses are carried out using simulation based techniques. The paper deals with uncertainty and sensitivity analyses carried out for the first three phases of the accident scenario.

한국형 고속전철 차체의 충돌안전도 평가 연구 (An Evaluation of Crashworthiness for the car-bodies of KHST)

  • 노규석;구정서;송달호
    • 한국철도학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국철도학회 2001년도 추계학술대회 논문집
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    • pp.223-228
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    • 2001
  • In this paper, crashworthiness of the KHST carbodies is evaluated by numerical simulation under the SNCF accident scenario (collision against a movable rigid mass of 15 ton at 110 kph) and the scenario of train-to-train collision at 30 kph. The numerical results of the several simulations, such as the accident collided against a deformable dump truck of 15 tons at 110 kph, the driver's dummy analysis using the integrated analysis method, and the accident of train-to-train collision for the first three units at 30 kph, show good performances in the viewpoint of energy absorption and survival space.

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계절별 기상조건에 따른 사고시나리오 모델링 발전방안 - 염소 누출사고를 중심으로 - (Development Plan of Accident Scenario Modeling Based on Seasonal Weather Conditions - Focus on Chlorine Leakage Accident -)

  • 김현섭;전병한
    • 한국산학기술학회논문지
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    • 제18권10호
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    • pp.733-738
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    • 2017
  • 본 연구에서는 여러 사업장에서 많이 사용되는 대표적 독성 물질인 염소를 누출 물질로 선정하여 화학사고 통계자료에 따라 사고 발생 빈도가 높은 여름철 기상조건을 인자로 한 대안의 시나리오와 기존의 시행방법인 연평균 기상조건을 인자로 한 대안의 시나리오 비교분석을 통해 개선방안을 제시하고자 하였다. 2014년 1월부터 2016년 12월까지 발생한 총 296건의 화학 사고를 분석한 결과 사계절 중 여름에 가장 많은 사고가 발생하는 것으로 조사되었으며 전체 사고 발생건수의 35.81%를 차지하였다. 실제 염소를 취급하는 사업장을 대상으로 위험성 평가 결과 2016년의 경우 연평균 기상조건하에서 산출된 영향범위는 발생원으로부터 반경 712.4 m, 영향범위 내 주민 수는 20,090 명이였으며, 여름철 평균 기상조건하에서 산출된 영향범위는 발생원으로부터 반경 796.2 m, 영향범위 내 주민 수는 27,143 명으로 나타났다. 이와 같은 결과는 특정 조건하에서 현 대안의 시나리오 상의 영향범위가 포괄할 수 없는 부분이 존재함을 의미한다. 따라서 화학 물질별 특성을 고려한 Case Risk Assessment가 이루어져야 한다는 위험성 평가 제도의 발전방향을 제시한다.

자율주행차 평가용 상황 시나리오 개발 : 톨게이트, 램프 구간을 중심으로 (Development of Functional Scenarios for Automated Vehicle Assessment : Focused on Tollgate and Ramp Sections)

  • 노종민;고우리;김중효;오석진;윤일수
    • 한국ITS학회 논문지
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    • 제21권6호
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    • pp.250-265
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    • 2022
  • 자율주행차의 도입으로 인적 오류에 의한 교통사고가 크게 줄어드는 것과 같은 긍정적 파급효과를 기대할 수 있다. 그러나 자율주행차의 H/W 또는 S/W의 오류 및 기능 부족등으로 새로운 교통안전 이슈가 앞으로 발생할 것으로 예상됨에 따라 자율주행차의 주행 안전성을 평가하기 위한 현실적이고 체계적인 시나리오 구축이 필요하다. 이에 본 연구에서는 경찰청 교통사고 데이터를 바탕으로 자율주행차 주행 안전성을 평가하기 위한 상황 시나리오(functional scenario)를 개발하였다. GIS 프로그램인 QGIS를 활용하여 국내 고속도로 톨게이트 및 램프 구간에서 발생한 교통사고 데이터를 추출하고 교통사고 개요 항목을 확인한 후, 교통사고 유형을 분류하였다. 또한, 교통사고 유형 분류 결과를 바탕으로 톨게이트와 램프 구간의 다양한 위험 상황을 내용으로 하는 상황 시나리오를 개발하였다.

AEB의 V2V 안전성 평가 방법에 관한 연구 (A Study on the V2V Safety Evaluation Method of AEB)

  • 권병헌;이선봉
    • 자동차안전학회지
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    • 제11권1호
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    • pp.7-16
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    • 2019
  • There are trying to reduce damage from automobile accident in many countries. In many automobile companies, there have been active study on development of ADAS (Advanced Driver Assistance Systems) for commercialization, in order to reduce damage from automobile accident. ADAS is the system providing convenience and safeness for drivers. Generally, ADAS is composed of ACC (Adaptive Cruise Control), LKAS (Lane Keeping Assist System), and AEB (Autonomous Emergency Braking). AEB of the ADAS, it is an autonomous emergency braking system and it senses potential collide and avoids or degrades it. Therefore AEB plays a significant role in reducing automobile accident rate. However, AEB safety evaluation method is not established not yet. For this reason, this study suggests safety evaluation scenarios with adding cut-in, sensor malfunctioning scenario that scenario domestic street conditions considered as well as original standard AEB scenario of Euro NCAP for establishment of safety evaluation method of AEB. And verifying validity of suggested scenario by comparing the calculated values of the theoretical formulas presented in the previous study with results of the actual vehicle test.

수질모형을 이용한 수질오염사고의 모의분석 (Simulation of Water Pollution Accident with Water Quality Model)

  • 최현구;박준형;한건연
    • 환경영향평가
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    • 제23권3호
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    • pp.177-186
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    • 2014
  • Depending on the change of lifestyle and the improvement of people's living standards and rapid industrialization, urbanization of recent, demand for water is increasing rapidly. So emissions of domestic wastewater and various industrial waste water has increased, and water quality is worsening day by day. Therefore, in order to provide a measure against the occurrence of water pollution accident, this study was tried to simulate water pollution accident. This study simulated 2008 Gimcheon phenol accident using 1,2-D model, and analyze scenario for prevent of water pollution accident. Consequently the developed 1-D model presents high reappearance when compared with 2-D model, and has been able to obtain results in a short simulation run time. This study will contribute to the water pollution incident response prediction system and water quality analysis in the future.

수소충전소 및 수소자동차의 사고 시나리오 개발 (Development of Accident Scenarios for Hydrogen Refueling Station and Fuel Cell Vehicle)

  • 박병직;김양균;임옥근
    • 자동차안전학회지
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    • 제15권1호
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    • pp.27-34
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    • 2023
  • The registration rate of eco-friendly vehicles, such as hydrogen vehicles, is increasing rapidly, however, few first responders have experienced related accidents. Accident scenarios at hydrogen refueling stations and hydrogen vehicles on a road were investigated, and the relative importance of each scenario was analyzed using AHP analysis. Leakage, jet flame, and explosion that occurred inside and outside the hydrogen refueling station were reviewed, and the hydrogen gas explosion in the compartment showed the highest importance value. In case of the hydrogen vehicle, traffic accident statistics and actual accidents were used. It was analyzed that the hydrogen vessel explosion on the road due to the failure of TPRD and the leakage in the underground parking area were difficult to respond. The developed accident scenarios are expected to be used for first responder training.

ANALYSIS OF TMI-2 BENCHMARK PROBLEM USING MAAP4.03 CODE

  • Yoo, Jae-Sik;Suh, Kune-Yull
    • Nuclear Engineering and Technology
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    • 제41권7호
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    • pp.945-952
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    • 2009
  • The Three Mile Island Unit 2 (TMI-2) accident provides unique full scale data, thus providing opportunities to check the capability of codes to model overall plant behavior and to perform a spectrum of sensitivity and uncertainty calculations. As part of the TMI-2 analysis benchmark exercise sponsored by the Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development Nuclear Energy Agency (OECD NEA), several member countries are continuing to improve their system analysis codes using the TMI-2 data. The Republic of Korea joined this benchmark exercise in November 2005. Seoul National University has analyzed the TMI-2 accident as well as the currently proposed alternative scenario along with a sensitivity study using the Modular Accident Analysis Program Version 4.03 (MAAP4.03) code in collaboration with the Korea Hydro and Nuclear Power Company. Two input files are required to simulate the TMI-2 accident with MAAP4: the parameter file and an input deck. The user inputs various parameters, such as volumes or masses, for each component. The parameter file contains the information on TMI-2 relevant to the plant geometry, system performance, controls, and initial conditions used to perform these benchmark calculations. The input deck defines the operator actions and boundary conditions during the course of the accident. The TMI-2 accident analysis provided good estimates of the accident output data compared with the OECD TMI-2 standard reference. The alternative scenario has proposed the initial event as a loss of main feed water and a small break on the hot leg. Analysis is in progress along with a sensitivity study concerning the break size and elevation.

A study on maritime casualty investigations combining the SHEL and Hybrid model methods

  • Lee, Young-Chan
    • Journal of Advanced Marine Engineering and Technology
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    • 제40권8호
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    • pp.721-725
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    • 2016
  • This paper reviews the analysis of a given scenario according to the Hybrid Model, and why accident causation models are necessary in casualty investigations. The given scenario has been analyzed according to the Hybrid Model using its main five components, fallible decisions, line management, psychological precursors to unsafe acts, unsafe acts, and inadequate defenses. In addition, the differences between the SHEL and the Hybrid Model, and the importance of a safety barrier during an accident investigation, are shown in this paper. One unit of SHEL can be linked with another unit of SHEL. However, it cannot be used for the analysis of an accident. Therefore, we must use an accident causation model, which can be a Hybrid Model. This can explain the "How" and "Why" of accident, so it is a suitable model for analyzing them. During an accident investigation, the reason we focus on a safety barrier is to create another safety barrier or to change an existing safety barrier if that barrier fails. Hence, the paper shows how a sea accident can be investigated, and we propose a preventive way of avoiding the accident through combining the methods of different models for the future.