• 제목/요약/키워드: Acceptable Risk

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수소충전소의 경영안전성 강화를 위한 위험성평가 추가 항목 연구 (A Study on the Risk Assessment for Strengthening Management Safety of Hydrogen Fueling Station)

  • 이장원;김창수
    • 한국재난정보학회 논문집
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    • 제18권3호
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    • pp.520-531
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    • 2022
  • 연구목적: 본 연구는 수소충전소의 위험성 평가를 바탕으로, 운영주의 주요 관심 사항인 수익성과 경영 위험성을 고찰함으로써 경영안전성 강화를 위한 방안을 찾고자 한다. 연구방법: 위험성 평가를 수소충전소의 설치단계부터 시간의 흐름에 따라 '수용 가능한 위험성'과 '허용 가능한 위험성'으로 구분하여 기존의 연구결과와 비교, 분석하였다. 연구결과: 수소충전소 설치단계에 실행하는 위험성 평가는 현재 기존의 연구가 적절하게 적용되고 있었다. 그러나 운영단계에서 발생 가능한 위험을 찾을 수 있었다. 즉 경영위험성에 대한 평가도 필요함을 도출하였다. 그리고 이를 통해 수소충전소의 안전성이 강화됨을 확인했다. 결론: 수소충전소 설치단계에 선행되는 위험성평가는 '수용 가능한 위험성' 평가로 모두 유의미한 결과가 도출되어 적절하게 활용되고 있다. 그러나 운영주는 운영단계에서 발생 가능한 위험, 즉 '허용 가능한 위험성' 평가와 대응방안 마련이 필요하다. 따라서 보다 안전한 수소충전소 구축과 운영을 위하여 경영위험성 평가 항목 추가를 제안한다.

우리나라 일부 석면광산 지역에서 ABS를 이용한 석면노출 및 위해성 평가 (Asbestos Exposure and Risk Assessment by ABS(Activity Based Sampling) for Former Asbestos Mining Areas in Korea)

  • 이준혁;김대종;최성원;김현욱
    • 한국산업보건학회지
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    • 제25권1호
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    • pp.72-81
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    • 2015
  • Objectives: The aim of this study was to investigate the exposure and risk assessment of residents near asbestos mines in Korea. Methods: To assess asbestos types and airborne concentrations, air monitoring was performed in the neighborhoods of Kwangcheon (KC) and Sinsuk (SS) mines, which were leading South Korean mines in the past. In addition, activity-based-sampling (ABS) of residents' particular activities were conducted in order to estimate the Excess Lifetime Cancer Risks (ELCRs) for the residents. Conclusions: The average concentration of airborne asbestos in KC was 0.0014 f/cc and 0.0015 f/cc by PCM and TEM, respectively. In SS it was equal at 0.0012 f/cc by PCM and TEM. No statistically significant difference was found in the average concentration of airborne asbestos between the two mines. The average asbestos concentration of ABS was 0.0048 f/cc (PCM) and 0.0042 f/cc (TEM) in KC, while it was 0.0137 f/cc (PCM) and 0.0125 f/cc (TEM) in SS. It was found that the average asbestos concentration of ABS in SS was statistically significantly higher than that of KC (p<0.01). The results of ELCRs by scenario in KC showed that the scenarios of bicycle, car, weed control, weed whacking, child playing in the dirt, and physical training fell within $1{\times}0^{-6}-1{\times}10^{-4}$, which is the acceptable range of ELCR. The scenarios of motorcycle, walker, digging, and field sweeping, however, exceeded the acceptable range. In SS, only the scenario of car fell within the acceptable range, while all of the other scenarios exceeded the acceptable range.

수소-LPG 복합충전소 정량적 위험성평가에 관한 연구 (A Study on the Quantitative Risk Assessment of Hydrogen-LPG Combined Refueling Station)

  • 강승규
    • 에너지공학
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    • 제28권4호
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    • pp.29-34
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    • 2019
  • 본 연구에서는 수소 복합충전소에 대하여 정량적 위험성 평가를 실시하였다. 평가대상의 복합충전소는 수소-LPG이며 각 충전소의 설비 구성을 분석하고 위험도를 평가하였다. 최종 위험도는 피해영향과 사고빈도를 고려한 개인적 위험성과 사회적 위험성으로 평가한다. 본 연구의 대상이 된 수소-LPG 충전소에 대한 개인적 위험도 산출 결과, 수소-LPG 형태의 복합충전소는 HSE에서 제안하고 있는 허용 불가수준의 위험지역(> 1×10E-3)은 나타나고 있지 않으며, 작업자와 일반인에 대한 개인적 위험수준이 모두 허용범위 내에 분포하고 있다. 그리고 사회적 위험도 평가에서는 해석대상 모델이 허용 가능한 범위(ALARP, As Low As Reasonably Practicable)의 위험도 분포를 보이고 있다. 보다 향상된 안전성 확보를 위해 위험도 순위화 결과에서 높은 위험도를 보이고 있는 수소 저장용기, 디스펜서, 튜브트레일러 누출 및 LPG의 Vapour 회수 라인 등에 대한 정기적인 점검 및 확인을 권장한다.

제주지역 하수처리수의 농업용수 재이용 안전성 평가 (Safety Evaluation of a Wastewater Reuse for the Farmland Irrigation in Jeju Island)

  • 손영권;이한필;김해도;최선화;김정대
    • 한국농공학회논문집
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    • 제57권4호
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    • pp.21-29
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    • 2015
  • Safety of reclaimed wastewater irrigation needs to be evaluated to promote public health. Quantitative microbial and toxic risk assessment was conducted to identify the level of risk for farmland workers who use reclaimed wastewater and groundwater in Jeju island. Microbial risk through inhalation and ingestion exposure was below acceptable level (less than $10^{-3}$) of $7.07{\times}10^{-6}$ for reclaimed wastewater and $9.99{\times}10^{-8}$ for groundwater irrigation worker. Aggregate exposure risk of Ni, As and Cu was most contributable to overall risk in both reclaimed wastewater and groundwater irrigation plot. High cumulative exposure risk was estimated through non-dietary soil ingestion and dermal contact of soil, due to the high concentration of As, Cu and Ni in farmland soil. Overall toxic risk was $2.68{\times}10^{-4}$ for reclaimed water and $2.39{\times}10^{-4}$ for groundwater irrigation, which could not meet acceptable toxic risk level of $10^{-6}$. Further efforts, such as provide personal protective equipments or public health education, need to be implicated to reduce adverse health risk.

Risk Assessement를 통한 土地利用安全化計劃 (Risk Assessement-Safety for Rand use Planning)

  • 노삼규
    • 한국안전학회지
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    • 제3권2호
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    • pp.17-23
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    • 1988
  • Planning controls for the hazardous situation from Petrochemical Complexes in residential areas requires on theoretical estimation of risks. Engineering criteria and standards should e interpreted as acceptable risks for the safety of industrial workers and the community arising from industrial accident. An approach to formulate a safety criteria as distance between the origin and object of hazards and their impact are discussed.

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위험도 매트릭스를 활용한 철도시설물 구간 위험도평가의 사례연구 (Case Study on Risk Assessment of Railway Infrastructure Sections Using Acceptable Risk Matrix)

  • 신덕호;박찬우;채은경;이준석
    • 한국철도학회논문집
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    • 제20권4호
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    • pp.550-557
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    • 2017
  • 철도적용 신뢰성 및 안전성관리에 대한 국제표준 제정과 해당 국제표준에 대한 제3자 적합성평가의 정착으로 철도안전과 밀접한 신호시스템을 중심으로 정량적 위험도평가가 수행되고 있다. 이러한 정량적 지표를 활용한 위험도관리는 사고정의, 허용수준의 정량적 RAMS 목표수립으로부터 시작되어 운영기간 중 위험도가 허용수준으로 유지됨을 확인해야 한다. 본 논문에서는 기존 철도시설물의 5.5년간(2010년 1월~2015년 6월)의 관리장애 정보를 사용하여 국제표준에 따라 위험도 매트릭스를 활용하여 철도시설물 구간에 대한 위험도평가의 사례연구를 수행하였다. 또한, 분석된 데이터를 바탕으로 시설물의 과학적 위험도관리를 위한 방안을 제시한다.

Predicting Suicidal Ideation in College Students with Mental Health Screening Questionnaires

  • Shim, Geumsook;Jeong, Bumseok
    • Psychiatry investigation
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    • 제15권11호
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    • pp.1037-1045
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    • 2018
  • Objective The present study aimed to identify risk factors for future SI and to predict individual-level risk for future or persistent SI among college students. Methods Mental health check-up data collected over 3 years were retrospectively analyzed. Students were categorized as suicidal ideators and non-ideators at baseline. Logistic regression analyses were performed separately for each group, and the predicted probability for each student was calculated. Results Students likely to exhibit future SI had higher levels of mental health problems, including depression and anxiety, and significant risk factors for future SI included depression, current SI, social phobia, alcohol problems, being female, low self-esteem, and number of close relationships and concerns. Logistic regression models that included current suicide ideators revealed acceptable area under the curve (AUC) values (0.7-0.8) in both the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) and precision recall (PR) curves for predicting future SI. Predictive models with current suicide non-ideators revealed an acceptable level of AUCs only for ROC curves. Conclusion Several factors such as low self-esteem and a focus on short-term rather than long-term outcomes may enhance the prediction of future SI. Because a certain range of SI clearly necessitates clinical attention, further studies differentiating significant from other types of SI are necessary.

전환사채 주식전환을 위한 조건부 VaR 최적화 (Conditional Value-at-Risk Optimization for Conversion of Convertible Bonds)

  • 박구현;심은택
    • 경영과학
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    • 제28권2호
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    • pp.1-16
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    • 2011
  • In this study we suggested two optimization models to answer a question from an investor standpoint : how many convertible bonds should one convert, and how many keep? One model minimizes certain risk to the minimum required expected return, the other maximizes the expected return subject to the maximum acceptable risk. In comparison with Markowitz portfolio models, which use the variance of return, our models used Conditional Value-at-Risk(CVaR) for risk measurement. As a coherent measurement, CVaR overcomes the shortcomings of Value-at-Risk(VaR). But there are still difficulties in solving CVaR including optimization models. For this reason, we adopted Rockafellar and Uryasev's[18, 19] approach. Then we could approximate the models as linear programming problems with scenarios. We also suggested to extend the models with credit risk, and applied examples of our models to Hynix 207CB, a convertible bond issued by the global semiconductor company Hynix.

공역의 구조적 변경에 따른 위험평가 절차 연구 (A study on Risk Assessment Procedure for the Structural changes of Navigable Airspaces)

  • 김도현;김웅이
    • 한국항공운항학회지
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    • 제20권1호
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    • pp.13-18
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    • 2012
  • 'Navigable airspace' means an airspace at and above the minimum safe flight level, including airspace or flight procedures needed for safe takeoff and landing. Airspace may be established as needed and may be abolished, and in some cases may be limited to airspace management. These are absolutely based on risk assessment. Safety is the state in which the risk of harm to persons or of property damage is reduced to, and maintained at or below, an acceptable level through a continuing process of hazard identification and risk management. 'Risk' is the assessed potential for adverse consequences resulting from a hazard and 'Risk assessment' involves consideration of both the frequency and the severity of any adverse consequence. This paper proposed 'risk assessment procedure' for the structural changes of Navigable Airspaces through literature reviews relevant to manuals on airspace management and risk management.