• 제목/요약/키워드: Abnormal weather

검색결과 203건 처리시간 0.025초

다결정 실리콘 PV모듈의 하절기 표면온도 예측을 위한 알고리즘 검토 및 외부인자별 영향 평가 (Evaluation on Calculation Algorithms for Polycrystalline Silicon PV Module Surface Temperatures by Varying External Factors during the Summer Period)

  • 정동은;염규환;이찬욱;도성록
    • 대한건축학회논문집:구조계
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    • 제35권8호
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    • pp.177-184
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    • 2019
  • Recently, electric power usages and peak loads from buildings are increasing due to higher outdoor air temperatures and/or abnormal climate during the summer period. As one of the eco-friendly measures, a renewable energy system has been received much attention. Particularly, interest on a photovoltaic (PV) system using solar energy has been rapidly increasing in a building sector due to its broad applicability. In using the PV system, one of important factors is the PV efficiency. The normal PV efficiency is determined based on the STC(Standard Test Condition) and the NOCT(Nominal Operating Cell Temperature) performance test. However, the actual PV efficiency is affected by the temperature change at the module surface. Especially, higher module temperatures generally reduce the PV efficiency, and it leads to less power generation from the PV system. Therefore, the analysis of the relation between the module temperature and PV efficiency is required to evaluate the PV performance during the summer period. This study investigates existing algorithms for calculating module surface temperatures and analyzes resultant errors with the algorithms by comparing the measured module temperatures.

비정상 상황에서 '놀람과 깜짝놀람의 영향(Surprise and Startle Effect)'이 헬리콥터 조종사의 작업부하(Workload)에 미치는 영향에 관한 연구 - 자격증명(자가용 및 사업용) 조종사의 비교 - (A Study on the Helicopter Pilot's Workload Influences by 'Surprise and Startle Effect' in the Abnormal Situation - Comparison by Pilot Certificate (Private and Commercial) -)

  • 이석종;이강석;박원태
    • 한국항공운항학회지
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    • 제30권2호
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    • pp.44-54
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    • 2022
  • An empirical analysis was conducted on the workload of helicopter pilots flying in high-risk flight environments such as ground obstacles and weather effects at low altitudes. To evaluate the workload, an independent sample t-test was performed using the NASA-TLX evaluation method most suitable for the aviation field, and the workload score was calculated by applying the analytical stratification method (AHP) to compare and analyze private and commercial pilots. There is a significant difference in mean between private and commercial pilots and the result of work load was obtained over 70%. This paper studied the 'surprise and startle effect' on the helicopter field for the first time. In the future, it is intended to contribute to the safe operation of helicopters by presenting a method for effective safety management by utilizing it in the field of education and training for helicopter pilots and providing basic data for preventing accidents caused by human error.

토석류 충격력 특성 평가를 위한 모형실험 연구 (A Study on Model Experiment for Evaluation of Debris Flow's Impact Force Characteristics)

  • 김진환;이용수;박근보
    • 한국지반공학회논문집
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    • 제26권11호
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    • pp.5-15
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    • 2010
  • 산사태의 한 종류인 토석류(debris flow)는 물과 비교적 높은 농도로 섞인 암석, 자갈, 모래, 흙의 혼합물이 빠르게 흐르는 현상을 말한다. 토석류는 주로 장마철과 대풍이 지나가는 여름철에 집중적으로 발생하고 있으며, 최근에는 이상기후로 인한 국지성 집중호우로 인해 계절과 무관하게 토석류가 발생하고 있다. 본 연구에서는 토석류 발생시 나타나는 충격력의 특정을 파악하고자 2가지 자갈과 혼합시료를 이용하여 토석류 모형실험을 수행하였다. 토석류 모형실험 결과, 토석류에 의해 발생되는 충격력은 토석류 양에 비례하여 나타나지 않으며 토석류를 구성하는 입자의 크기에 따라 다양하게 나타나는 것으로 밝혀졌다.

통계적 공간상세화 기법의 시공간적 강우분포 재현성 비교평가 (Comparative Evaluation of Reproducibility for Spatio-temporal Rainfall Distribution Downscaled Using Different Statistical Methods)

  • 정임국;황세운;조재필
    • 한국농공학회논문집
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    • 제65권1호
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    • pp.1-13
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    • 2023
  • Various techniques for bias correction and statistical downscaling have been developed to overcome the limitations related to the spatial and temporal resolution and error of climate change scenario data required in various applied research fields including agriculture and water resources. In this study, the characteristics of three different statistical dowscaling methods (i.e., SQM, SDQDM, and BCSA) provided by AIMS were summarized, and climate change scenarios produced by applying each method were comparatively evaluated. In order to compare the average rainfall characteristics of the past period, an index representing the average rainfall characteristics was used, and the reproducibility of extreme weather conditions was evaluated through the abnormal climate-related index. The reproducibility comparison of spatial distribution and variability was compared through variogram and pattern identification of spatial distribution using the average value of the index of the past period. For temporal reproducibility comparison, the raw data and each detailing technique were compared using the transition probability. The results of the study are presented by quantitatively evaluating the strengths and weaknesses of each method. Through comparison of statistical techniques, we expect that the strengths and weaknesses of each detailing technique can be represented, and the most appropriate statistical detailing technique can be advised for the relevant research.

Investigating Regions Vulnerable to Recurring Landslide Damage Using Time Series-Based Susceptibility Analysis: Case Study for Jeolla Region, Republic of Korea

  • Ho Gul Kim
    • Journal of Forest and Environmental Science
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    • 제39권4호
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    • pp.213-224
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    • 2023
  • As abnormal weather events due to climate change continue to rise, landslide damage is also increasing. Given the substantial time and financial resources required for post-landslide recovery, it becomes imperative to formulate a proactive response plan. In this regard, landslide susceptibility analysis has emerged as a valuable tool for establishing preemptive measures against landslides. Accordingly, this study conducted an annual landslide susceptibility analysis using the history of landslides that occurred over many years in the Jeolla region, and analyzed areas with a high potential for landslides in the Jeolla region. The analysis employed an ensemble model that amalgamated 10 data-based models, aiming to mitigate uncertainties associated with a single-model approach. Furthermore, based on the cumulative data regarding landslide susceptible areas, this research identified regions vulnerable to recurring landslide damage in Jeolla region and proposed specific strategies for utilizing this information at various levels, including local government initiatives, adaptation plan development, and development approval processes. In particular, this study outlined approaches for local government utilization, the determination of adaptation plan types, and considerations for development permits. It is anticipated that this research will serve as a valuable opportunity to underscore the significance of information concerning regions vulnerable to recurring landslide damage.

봄철 과수 꽃눈 발육 수준에 따른 저온해 위험도 산정 (Estimation of freeze damage risk according to developmental stage of fruit flower buds in spring)

  • 김진희;김대준;김수옥;윤은정;주옥정;박종선;신용순
    • 한국농림기상학회지
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    • 제21권1호
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    • pp.55-64
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    • 2019
  • 기후변화에 따른 이상난동 현상으로 과수 개화시기는 앞당겨지는 추세이며, 이에 따라 발아-개화기를 전후로 갑작스레 출현하는 저온에 의한 피해사례가 증가하고 있다. 특정 과원 내에서 동일한 저온이 발생하더라도 개별 과수의 현재 발육상태에 따라 저온에 견뎌내는 힘은 각각 다르므로 피해정도와 양상은 다르게 나타나는데, 기존 과수 꽃눈의 발육상태별 동사온도 기준만으로는 기온 공간변이가 큰 임의 지역의 저온해를 예상하기에는 한계가 있었다. 본 연구에서는 이러한 한계를 극복하고 조기 대응할 수 있도록 생육추정 모델을 이용해 과수의 생육 수준을 예측하여 봄철 기온 예보자료만으로 저온에 따른 위험수준을 정량적으로 평가할 수 있는 저온해 위험도 함수식을 도출하였다. 저온해 위험 추정식을 2018년을 대상으로 '후지' 사과, '장호원황도' 복숭아, '신고' 배에 적용하여 저온해 발생일과 위험분포의 지리적 양상을 주산지별로 분석한 결과, 4월 8일에 모든 과수에서 저온해가 가장 큰 것으로 나타났다. 대표 주산지로 보면 사과는 거창, 함양, 장수에서, 복숭아는 의성, 청도, 김천, 임실, 남원, 대구에서, 배는 김천, 천안, 아산, 논산, 울산, 경주, 진주 일대에서 피해가 많이 발생했을 것으로 예상되었다. 이 기술은 과수 재배농가의 봄철 저온 피해 경감 및 이상기후에 따른 대응기술 마련에 기여할 것으로 기대된다.

이상기후대비 노후저수지 홍수 대응을 위한 사전방류 기술개발 및 평가 (Development and assessment of pre-release discharge technology for response to flood on deteriorated reservoirs dealing with abnormal weather events)

  • 문수진;정창삼;최병한;김승욱;장대원
    • 한국수자원학회논문집
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    • 제56권11호
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    • pp.775-784
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    • 2023
  • 최근 이상기후로 수공 구조물의 설계빈도를 상회하는 극한호우의 증가 경향이 뚜렷함에 따라 과거에 설계된 농업용 저수지의 안전성 검토가 필요하다. 그러나 한국농어촌공사 관할 일정 규모 이상의 저수지를 제외한 지자체 관리 저수지는 비상시 긴급 방류가 가능 저수지는 전무하다(13,685개소). 이러한 경우 이동식 사이펀을 현장에 빠르게 투입하여 사전 방류하는 방법이 긴요하며, 본 연구에서는 사전 및 긴급방류 기능을 동시에 수행할 수 있는 직경 200 mm, 최소 수위차 6 m, 420(m2/h), 10,000(m2/day)의 이동식 사이펀을 경주시 유금저수지를 대상으로 적용 가능성을 평가하였다. 테스트베드인 유금 저수지는 1945년 준공되어 공용기간이 78년 정도 경과한 시설물로 수문학적 안정성 분석 결과 현재 댐마루 구간의 최저높이는 27.15(EL.m)로 검토 홍수위 27.44(EL.m) 보다 0.29 m 낮아 제방을 통한 월류 가능성이 있고 여유고도 1.72 m 부족한 것으로 나타나 수문학 안전성을 확보하지 못하는 것으로 검토되었다. 유금저수지는 수위-유량 계측이 주기적으로 이루어진지 얼마 되지 않아 저수지의 수위-유량 관계 곡선식을 명확하게 확립하기 어려워 수위-용적 곡선을 임의로 도출하였으며 도출된 곡선을 기반으로 중소규모 노후저수지 운영 알고리즘을 통해 사전방류시간, 여수로 방류량을 고려하고 빈도별 홍수량에 따른 저수지 월류시간을 예측함으로써 사전에 대피 시간을 확보하고 붕괴위험을 저감할 수 있는 기술을 확보하였다. 직경 200 mm 이동식사이펀 1열 기준, 30년 빈도 홍수량 유입 시 상한수위 기준 80% 수준(약 30,000 m2)을 유지하면서 주민대피 시간(약 1시간)을 확보할 수 있는 최적 사전방류시간은 12시간 이전으로 분석되었다. 중소규모 노후저수지를 대상으로 사이펀 활용 사전방류기술 및 저수지 운영 알고리즘에 따라 이상기후 대비 사전에 방류를 시행하고 관리자의 의사결정을 돕는다면, 저수지 붕괴 위험지역 내의 주민들의 안전을 확보하고 주민대피 지원체계 구축을 통해 주민들의 불안감 해소, 저수지 위험상황 시 위험회피 수단 제공으로 위험요소 감소가 충분히 가능하다.

높은 체감온도가 서울의 여름철 질병 사망자 증가에 미치는 영향, 1991-2000 (The Impact of High Apparent Temperature on the Increase of Summertime Disease-related Mortality in Seoul: 1991-2000)

  • 최광용;최종남;권호장
    • Journal of Preventive Medicine and Public Health
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    • 제38권3호
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    • pp.283-290
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    • 2005
  • Objectives : The aim of this paper was to examine the relationship between the summertime (June to August) heat index, which quantifies the bioclimatic apparent temperature in sultry weather, and the daily disease-related mortality in Seoul for the period from 1991 to 2000. Methods : The daily maximum (or minimum) summertime heat indices, which show synergetic apparent temperatures, were calculated from the six hourly temperatures and real time humidity data for Seoul from 1991 to 2000. The disease-related daily mortality was extracted with respect to types of disease, age and sex, etc. and compared with the time series of the daily heat indices. Results : The summertime mortality in 1994 exceeded the normal by 626 persons. Specifically, blood circulation-related and cancer-related mortalities increased in 1994 by 29.7% (224 persons) and 15.4% (107 persons), respectively, compared with those in 1993. Elderly persons, those above 65 years, were shown to be highly susceptible to strong heat waves, whereas the other age and sex-based groups showed no significant difference in mortality. In particular, a heat wave episode on the 22nd of July 2004 ($>45^{\circ}C$ daily heat index) resulted in double the normal number of mortalities after a lag time of 3 days. Specifically, blood circulation-related mortalities, such as cerebral infraction, were predominant causes. Overall, a critical mortality threshold was reached when the heat index exceeded approximately $37^{\circ}C$, which corresponds to human body temperature. A linear regression model based on the heat indices above $37^{\circ}C$, with a 3 day lag time, accounted for 63% of the abnormally increased mortality (${\geq}+2$ standard deviations). Conclusions : This study revealed that elderly persons, those over 65 years old, are more vulnerable to mortality due to abnormal heat waves in Seoul, Korea. When the daily maximum heat index exceeds approximately $37^{\circ}C$, blood circulation-related mortality significantly increases. A linear regression model, with respect to lag-time, showed that the heat index based on a human model is a more dependable indicator for the prediction of hot weather-related mortality than the ambient air temperature.

Gamma-ray Exposure Rate Monitoring by Energy Spectra of NaI(Tl) Scintillation detectors

  • Lee, Mo Sung
    • Journal of Radiation Protection and Research
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    • 제42권3호
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    • pp.158-165
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    • 2017
  • Background: Nuclear facilities in South Korea have generally adopted pressurized ion chambers to measure ambient gamma ray exposure rates for monitoring the impact of radiation on the surrounding environment. The rates assessed with pressurized ion chambers do not distinguish between natural and man-made radiation, so a further step is needed to identify the cause of abnormal variation. In contrast, using NaI(Tl) scintillation detectors to detect gamma energy rates can allow an immediate assessment of the cause of variation through an analysis of the energy spectra. Against this backdrop, this study was conducted to propose a more effective way to monitor ambient gamma exposure rates. Materials and Methods: The following methods were used to analyze gamma energy spectra measured from January to November 2016 with NaI detectors installed at the Korea Atomic Energy Research Institute (KAERI) dormitory and Hanbat University. 1) Correlations of the variation of rates measured at the two locations were determined. 2) The dates, intervals, duration, and weather conditions were identified when rates increased by $5nSv{\cdot}h^{-1}$ or more. 3) Differences in the NaI spectra on normal days and days where rates spiked by $5nSv{\cdot}h^{-1}$ or more were studied. 4) An algorithm was derived for automatically calculating the net variation of the rates. Results and Discussion: The rates measured at KAERI and Hanbat University, located 12 kilometers apart, did not show a strong correlation (coefficient of determination = 0.577). Time gaps between spikes in the rates and rainfall were factors that affected the correlation. The weather conditions on days where rates went up by $5nSv{\cdot}h^{-1}$ or more featured rainfall, snowfall, or overcast, as well as an increase in peaks of the gamma rays emitted from the radon decay products of $^{214}Pb$ and $^{214}Bi$ in the spectrum. This study assumed that $^{214}Pb$ and $^{214}Bi$ exist at a radioactive equilibrium, since both have relatively short half-lives of under 30 minutes. Provided that this assumption is true and that the gamma peaks of the 352 keV and 1,764 keV gamma rays emitted from the radionuclides have proportional count rates, no man-made radiation should be present between the two energy levels. This study proved that this assumption was true by demonstrating a linear correlation between the count rates of these two gamma peaks. In conclusion, if the count rates of these two peaks detected in the gamma energy spectrum at a certain time maintain the ratio measured at a normal time, such variation can be confirmed to be caused by natural radiation. Conclusion: This study confirmed that both $^{214}Pb$ and $^{214}Bi$ have relatively short half-lives of under 30 minutes, thereby existing in a radioactive equilibrium in the atmosphere. If the gamma peaks of the 352 keV and 1,764 keV gamma rays emitted from these radionuclides have proportional count rates, no man-made radiation should exist between the two energy levels.

재해·재난 예방을 위한 저수지개보수사업의 지불의사금액 추정 (Estimation of Willingness-to-pay for Rehabilitation and Upgrading of Reservoirs in Protecting Against Natural Disasters and Dam-Break)

  • 박성경;임청룡;한재환;정원호
    • 농업생명과학연구
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    • 제52권6호
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    • pp.139-153
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    • 2018
  • 본 논문은 최근 이상기후에 따른 재해 재난대비수단으로 유용하게 활용되고 있는 저수지의 개보수사업에 대한 경제적 효과를 계량적으로 분석한다. 이를 위해 저수지개보수사업의 목적을 자연재해에 대비한 안정적인 농업용수 공급과 시설노후에 따른 붕괴예방으로 나누어 그 효과를 각각 측정한다. 저수지 개보수사업에 대한 효과 측정은 저수지 일대에 거주하고 있는 주민들을 대상으로 개보수사업에 대한 지불의사와 금액을 가상가치평가법(CVM)을 이용하여 추정한다. 분석 결과, 자연재해와 재난 예방 관련 지불의사금액의 분포는 유사하게 나타났다. 표본 지역 주민들의 66%가 개보수사업에 지불할 의향이 있다고 응답하였다. 전체 표본에 대한 자연재해 예방 관련 지불의사금액은 주민 평균 32,250~46,147원이고, 재난 예방 관련 지불의사금액은 28,427~47,308원으로 나타났다. 지역유형별로 지불의사금액을 비교해 보면 논 농업 지역, 시설재배 지역, 도시 지역 순으로 높게 나타났다. 한편, 주민별 지불의사금액에 기초하여 각 지역의 저수지개보수사업에 대한 총 기대가치를 산출한 결과 논 농업 지역과 시설재배 지역의 총 기대가치는 실제 사업비 규모에 비해 상당히 높게 나타났다. 이는 주민들이 자연재해 및 재난 예방을 위한 저수지개보수사업의 중요성을 충분히 인지하고 있으며 현재 사업비가 충분치 않을 경우 추가적인 비용을 부담할 용의가 있음을 시사한다.