• Title/Summary/Keyword: Abnormal weather

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A Non-annotated Recurrent Neural Network Ensemble-based Model for Near-real Time Detection of Erroneous Sea Level Anomaly in Coastal Tide Gauge Observation (비주석 재귀신경망 앙상블 모델을 기반으로 한 조위관측소 해수위의 준실시간 이상값 탐지)

  • LEE, EUN-JOO;KIM, YOUNG-TAEG;KIM, SONG-HAK;JU, HO-JEONG;PARK, JAE-HUN
    • The Sea:JOURNAL OF THE KOREAN SOCIETY OF OCEANOGRAPHY
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    • v.26 no.4
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    • pp.307-326
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    • 2021
  • Real-time sea level observations from tide gauges include missing and erroneous values. Classification as abnormal values can be done for the latter by the quality control procedure. Although the 3𝜎 (three standard deviations) rule has been applied in general to eliminate them, it is difficult to apply it to the sea-level data where extreme values can exist due to weather events, etc., or where erroneous values can exist even within the 3𝜎 range. An artificial intelligence model set designed in this study consists of non-annotated recurrent neural networks and ensemble techniques that do not require pre-labeling of the abnormal values. The developed model can identify an erroneous value less than 20 minutes of tide gauge recording an abnormal sea level. The validated model well separates normal and abnormal values during normal times and weather events. It was also confirmed that abnormal values can be detected even in the period of years when the sea level data have not been used for training. The artificial neural network algorithm utilized in this study is not limited to the coastal sea level, and hence it can be extended to the detection model of erroneous values in various oceanic and atmospheric data.

A Planning Direction of Resilient Waterfront City considering Technological and Social Meaning (기술·사회적 특성을 고려한 워터프론트 도시의 리질리언트 공간계획)

  • Lee, Kum-Jin;Choi, Jin-Hee
    • Journal of the Society of Disaster Information
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    • v.14 no.3
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    • pp.352-359
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    • 2018
  • Purpose: This study aims to suggest new strategy of planning water management and land use in response to abnormal weather which allow waterfront to be the cities through the experience of Netherlands resilient project. Method: A planning direction is developed based on Dutch national resilient policy and strategy as well as resilient theory of technical and social aspects, focusing on a new waterfront development that responds to abnormal weather. Results: The water control strategy, for flexibly responding to the sea level rise and flooding caused by the climate change through the experience of Dutch resilience, is as follows: 1)Customized prevention plan according to the local property 2)Creating spatial planning by considering disaster risk level and fragility 3)Establishing urban planning by considering the flood risk level. Conclusion: A new urban development method, particularly a resilience strategy based on the waterfront space where is most vulnerable to climate change, is required to cope with the abnormal climate beyond the conventional planning.

Analysis of the Impact of Heatwaves in Gwangju using Logistic Regression and Discriminant Analysis (로지스틱 회귀분석과 판별분석을 활용한 광주광역시의 폭염에 미치는 영향분석)

  • Youn Su Kim;Yeong Seon Kong;In Hong Chang
    • Journal of Integrative Natural Science
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    • v.17 no.2
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    • pp.33-41
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    • 2024
  • Abnormal climate is a phenomenon in which meteorological factors such as temperature and precipitation are significantly higher or lower than normal, and is defined by the World Meteorological Organization as a 30-year period. However, over the past 30 years, abnormal climate phenomena have occurred more frequently around the world than in the past. In Korea, abnormal climate phenomena such as abnormally high temperatures on the Korean Peninsula, drought, heatwave and heavy rain in summer are occurring in March 2023. Among them, heatwaves are expected to increase in frequency compared to other abnormal climates. This suggests that heatwave should be recognised as a disaster rather than just another extreme weather event. According to several previous studies, greenhouse gases and meteorological factors are expected to affect heatwaves, so this paper uses logistic regression and discriminant analysis on meteorological element data and greenhouse gas data in Gwangju from 2008 to 2022. We analyzed the impact of heatwaves. As a result of the analysis, greenhouse gases were selected as effective variables for heatwaves compared to the past, and among them, chlorofluorocarbons were judged to have a stronger effect on heatwaves than other greenhouse gases. Since greenhouse gases have a significant impact on heatwaves, in order to overcome heatwaves and abnormal climates, greenhouse gases must be minimized to overcome heatwaves and abnormal climates.

Effect of Monoculture and Mixtures on Dry Matter Yield and Feed Value of Italian Ryegrass (Lolium Multiflorum Lam.) (이탈리안 라이그라스의 단파 및 혼파 재배가 건물수량 및 사료가치에 미치는 영향)

  • Jeong Sung Jung;Bo Ram Choi;Ouk Kyu Han;Bae Hun Lee;Ki Choon Choi
    • Journal of The Korean Society of Grassland and Forage Science
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    • v.43 no.2
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    • pp.88-94
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    • 2023
  • This study was conducted to analyze and compare the dry matter yield of Italian ryegrass (IRG) cultivated under monoculture and mixed culture system to recommend suitable varieties that can be cultivated. Italian ryegrass cultivars, Green Fram (GF, extremely early-maturing), Kowinearly (KE, early-maturing), Kowinmaster (KM, mild-maturing), and Hwasan 104 (H104, late-maturing), were used for mono or mixed cultivation. The average monthly temperature in Cheonan over the past 30 years tended to be similar, but that in November and March are judged to be abnormal weather. The dry matter yield of GF+H104 was significantly higher during harvest than that of GF (p<0.05). The dry matter yields of KE and KE+KM were significantly higher during harvest than the output standards of KE and KM. There was no significant difference between the dry matter yield of H104 and KM (p>0.05), but KM had the highest yield of 16,763.1 kg/ha. Analysis showed that the highest dry matter yield during IRG harvest was obtained under monoculture and KE+KM mixed culture. Because the occurrence frequency of abnormal weather such as drought during spring is increasing recently, it is judged that IRG cultivation using early and middle growth is necessary to prepare for abnormal weather.

A Study on the Temperature Reduction Effect of Street Green Area (도로변 가로녹지 유형이 기상에 미치는 영향)

  • Kim, Jeong-Ho;Choi, Won-Jun;Yoon, Yong-Han
    • Journal of Environmental Science International
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    • v.26 no.12
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    • pp.1363-1374
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    • 2017
  • Global climate change caused by industrialization has caused abnormal weather conditions such as urban temperatures and tropical nights, urban heat waves, heat waves, and heavy rains. Therefore, the study tried to analyze climate conditions and weather conditions in the streets and analyze climate factors and meteorological factors that lead to inconvenience to citizens. In the case of trees, the overall temperature, surface temperature, solar irradiance, and net radiation were measured low, and the temperature was lower in the Pedestrian road than in roads. The dry bulb temperature, the black bulb temperature, and the wet bulb temperature for the thermal evaluation showed the same tendency. In the case of thermal evaluation, there was a similar tendency to temperature in WBGT, MRT, and UTCI, and varied differences between types. Although the correlation between the meteorological environment and the thermal environment showed a statistically significant significance, the difference between the measured items was not significant. The study found that the trees were generally pleasant to weather and thermal climate in the form of trees, and the differences were mostly documented.

Design of the Business Model to Reduce the Damage of Heavy Snowfall in Greenhouse (온실 폭설 피해경감을 위한 비즈니스 모델 설계)

  • Lee, Jonghyuk;Lee, Sangik;Jeong, Yongjoon;Kim, Dongsu;Lee, Seung-jae;Choi, Won
    • Journal of The Korean Society of Agricultural Engineers
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    • v.63 no.2
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    • pp.61-74
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    • 2021
  • Agriculture is most closely related to weather, and the government pursues stable food production by weather research. However, abnormal weather conditions have occurred frequently around the world in recent years, and stable food production has been threatened. Among them, heavy snow in winter tends to increase in frequency and size, which causes serious damage to greenhouses. Therefore, it is imperative to build a system reflecting various demands to reduce the damage to agricultural facilities caused by heavy snow. A business model can realize this as a way of commercialization, however, no suitable model has been presented to date. Therefore, this study aims to design a representative business model that can establish a safety system by distributing a greenhouse disaster prevention warning system for heavy snow to farms.

Evaluation criteria for freezing and thawing of tunnel concrete lining according to theoretical and experimental analysis

  • Moon, Joon-Shik;An, Jai-Wook;Kim, Hong-Kyoon;Lee, Jong-Gun;Lattner, Tim
    • Geomechanics and Engineering
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    • v.29 no.3
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    • pp.349-357
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    • 2022
  • Abnormal climate events are occurring frequently around the world. In particular, cold waves and heavy snow lead to damage and deterioration of facilities, which can cause loss of life or property damage, such as shortening the lifespan of facilities. Therefore, it is very important to prepare an appropriate maintenance system and to establish a strategy to cope with abnormal weather conditions. In this study, laboratory freezing experiments were performed to analyze the freeze-thaw characteristics affecting the tunnel concrete lining, and heat flow analysis was carried out based on the test results. Based on these experimental and theoretical analysis results, quantitative freeze-thaw evaluation criteria for tunnel concrete linings were proposed.

Application of Hydrated Lime-Modified Asphalt Mixture Properties to Korean Pavement Research Program (한국형 도로포장 설계 프로그램의 소석회 사용 아스팔트 혼합물 특성 적용)

  • Kim, Dowan;Lee, Sangyum;Mun, Sungho
    • International Journal of Highway Engineering
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    • v.17 no.4
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    • pp.69-75
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    • 2015
  • PURPOSES : The hydrated lime-modified asphalt, which improves moisture resistance, is normally used for pavements to reduce the number of potholes. However, the method of applying the material properties of the lime-modified asphalt mixture for use in pavements is not covered in the Korean Pavement Research Program (KPRP). The objective of this research is to find a method for the design application of lime-modified asphalt's material properties to the KPRP. METHODS: The section for test design is selected in some conditions which are related to the level of design regarding Annual Average Daily Traffic (AADT). To define the application methods of hydrated lime in the KPRP, the models of fatigue, rut and international roughness index (IRI) are determined based on the M-EPDG test results from some earlier research results. Moreover, it is well known that dynamic moduli of the unmodified mixture are not different from those of the lime-modified mixture. RESULTS: The performance results of hydrated lime-modified asphalt pavement were not very much different from those of the unmodified pavement, which meant the limited design regulations regarding fatigue failure, rutting deformation and IRI. CONCLUSIONS: The KPRP uses the weather model from the data for previous 10 years. It implies that the KPRP cannot predict abnormal climate changes accurately. Hence, the predictive weather data regarding the abnormal climate changes are unreliable. Secondly, the KPRP cannot apply the moisture resistance of asphalt mixtures. Therefore, a second level of design study will have to be performed to reflect the influence of moisture. It means that the influence on pavement performance can be changed by the application of hydrated lime in asphalt mixture design.

Python Package Production for Agricultural Researcher to Use Meteorological Data (농업연구자의 기상자료 활용을 위한 파이썬 패키지 제작)

  • Hyeon Ji Yang;Joo Hyun Park;Mun-Il Ahn;Min Gu Kang;Yong Kyu Han;Eun Woo Park
    • Korean Journal of Agricultural and Forest Meteorology
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    • v.25 no.2
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    • pp.99-107
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    • 2023
  • Recently, the abnormal weather events and crop damages occurred frequently likely due to climate change. The importance of meteorological data in agricultural research is increasing. Researchers can download weather observation data by accessing the websites provided by the KMA (Korea Meteorological Administration) and the RDA (Rural Development Administration). However, there is a disadvantage that multiple inquiry work is required when a large amount of meteorological data needs to be received. It is inefficient for each researcher to store and manage the data needed for research on an independent local computer in order to avoid this work. In addition, even if all the data were downloaded, additional work is required to find and open several files for research. In this study, data collected by the KMA and RDA were uploaded to GitHub, a remote storage service, and a package was created that allows easy access to weather data using Python. Through this, we propose a method to increase the accessibility and usability of meteorological data for agricultural personnel by adopting a method that allows anyone to take data without an additional authentication process.