• Title/Summary/Keyword: Abnormal storm

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The Optimal Hydrologic Forecasting System for Abnormal Storm due to Climate Change in the River Basin (하천유역에서 기후변화에 따른 이상호우시의 최적 수문예측시스템)

  • Kim, Seong-Won;Kim, Hyeong-Su
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2008.05a
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    • pp.2193-2196
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    • 2008
  • In this study, the new methodology such as support vector machines neural networks model (SVM-NNM) using the statistical learning theory is introduced to forecast flood stage in Nakdong river, Republic of Korea. The SVM-NNM in hydrologic time series forecasting is relatively new, and it is more problematic in comparison with classification. And, the multilayer perceptron neural networks model (MLP-NNM) is introduced as the reference neural networks model to compare the performance of SVM-NNM. And, for the performances of the neural networks models, they are composed of training, cross validation, and testing data, respectively. From this research, we evaluate the impact of the SVM-NNM and the MLP-NNM for the forecasting of the hydrologic time series in Nakdong river. Furthermore, we can suggest the new methodology to forecast the flood stage and construct the optimal forecasting system in Nakdong river, Republic of Korea.

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NUMERICAL MODEL FOR STORM SURGES

  • Yamashita, Takao;Bekku, Isao
    • Proceedings of the Korean Society of Coastal and Ocean Engineers Conference
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    • 1995.10a
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    • pp.1-4
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    • 1995
  • Storm surges are defined as abnormal changes of sea surface elevation whose periods range from several hours to days. The generation mechanism is separated into two. One is sea water suction due to atmospheric depression and the other is wind-driven sea water circulation. The former is a forced long-wave motion which is accompanied by a typhoon. (omitted)

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IMPACT OF THE ICME-EARTH GEOMETRY ON THE STRENGTH OF THE ASSOCIATED GEOMAGNETIC STORM: THE SEPTEMBER 2014 AND MARCH 2015 EVENTS

  • Cho, K.S.;Marubashi, K.;Kim, R.S.;Park, S.H.;Lim, E.K.;Kim, S.J.;Kumar, P.;Yurchyshyn, V.;Moon, Y.J.;Lee, J.O.
    • Journal of The Korean Astronomical Society
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    • v.50 no.2
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    • pp.29-39
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    • 2017
  • We investigate two abnormal CME-Storm pairs that occurred on 2014 September 10 - 12 and 2015 March 15 - 17, respectively. The first one was a moderate geomagnetic storm ($Dst_{min}{\sim}-75nT$) driven by the X1.6 high speed flare-associated CME ($1267km\;s^{-1}$) in AR 12158 (N14E02) near solar disk center. The other was a very intense geomagnetic storm ($Dst_{min}{\sim}-223nT$) caused by a CME with moderate speed ($719km\;s^{-1}$) and associated with a filament eruption accompanied by a weak flare (C9.1) in AR 12297 (S17W38). Both CMEs have large direction parameters facing the Earth and southward magnetic field orientation in their solar source region. In this study, we inspect the structure of Interplanetary Flux Ropes (IFRs) at the Earth estimated by using the torus fitting technique assuming self-similar expansion. As results, we find that the moderate storm on 2014 September 12 was caused by small-scale southward magnetic fields in the sheath region ahead of the IFR. The Earth traversed the portion of the IFR where only the northward fields are observed. Meanwhile, in case of the 2015 March 17 storm, our IFR analysis revealed that the Earth passed the very portion where only the southward magnetic fields are observed throughout the passage. The resultant southward magnetic field with long-duration is the main cause of the intense storm. We suggest that 3D magnetic field geometry of an IFR at the IFR-Earth encounter is important and the strength of a geomagnetic storm is strongly affected by the relative location of the Earth with respect to the IFR structure.

A Study on the Stormwater Drainage Method of Overflow Type for the Prevention of Urban Flood due to Abnormal Precipitation (이상강우 발생시 도시침수 방지를 위한 월류형 우수배수방법 연구)

  • Seo, Se Deok;Park, Hyung Keun;Kim, Tae Hyun
    • KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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    • v.39 no.5
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    • pp.569-577
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    • 2019
  • Urban flooding has been a frequent phenomenon in recent years caused by the increase in maximum stormwater runoff arising from abnormal rainfall due to global warming, urban development, and development of lowlands according to population inflows. In order to respond positively against abnormal precipition in the city, it is necessary to check the GWI (Green Water Infra) effect and effectively utilize the existing stormwater detention tanks and treat stormwater to prevent local flooding. In this study, Overflow Type stormwater drainage methods are evaluated as a method of preventing urban flooding in abnormal precipitation using the Dynamic Wave Analysis SWMM (Storm Water Management Model) provided by the United States Environmental Protection Agency. Comparing and analyzing the Upward Watergate Type and Overflow Type, it was analyzed that the Overflow Type reduces the maximum flood discharge by 61 % and the total flood volume by 56 % in the rainfall of Typhoon Kong-rey. The application of the Overflow Type and the natural-pneumatic drainage method to the rainfall of Typhoon Soulik resulted in a 20 % reduction in maximum flood runoff and a 67 % reduction in total flood quantity. Therefore, as a solution to the abnormal rain fall, it is possible to improve the existing stormwater detection tank and install additional facilities. It is expected to be economically possible to strom drainage under limited conditions.

Calculation of Abnormallly Large Flood Discharge Amount Destroying the Stage Gaging Station (이상 호우에 의하여 붕괴된 수위국 지점의 홍수량 규모 결정)

  • Yoo, Ju-Hwan;Kim, Joo-Cheol
    • 한국방재학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 2008.02a
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    • pp.675-678
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    • 2008
  • An abnormal storm by the typhoon of RUSA in 2002th year was broken out with tremendous flood demages and inundations on the basin of Chogangcheon located in the upper middle part of Guem river's upstream. This flood could not be engaged because it was so big that the stage engaging Songcheon station stuck to Songcheon bridge was destroyed by submerging. In this study the quantity of the flood was calculated by use of Manning's equation and suitable roughness coefficient was suggested.

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Development for Prediction Model of Disaster Risk through Try and Error Method : Storm Surge (시행 착오법을 활용한 재난 위험도 예측모델 개발 : 폭풍해일)

  • Kim, Dong Hyun;Yoo, HyungJu;Jeong, SeokIl;Lee, Seung Oh
    • Journal of Korean Society of Disaster and Security
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    • v.11 no.2
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    • pp.37-43
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    • 2018
  • The storm surge is caused by an typhoons and it is not easy to predict the location, strength, route of the storm. Therefore, research using a scenario for storms occurrence has been conducted. In Korea, hazard maps for various scenarios were produced using the storm surge numerical simulation. Such a method has a disadvantage in that it is difficult to predict when other scenario occurs, and it is difficult to cope with in real time because the simulation time is long. In order to compensate for this, we developed a method to predict the storm surge damage by using research database. The risk grade prediction for the storm surge was performed predominantly in the study area of the East coast. In order to estimate the equation, COMSOL developed by COMSOL AB Corporation was utilized. Using some assumptions and limitations, the form of the basic equation was derived. the constants and coefficients in the equation were estimated by the trial and error method. Compared with the results, the spatial distribution of risk grade was similar except for the upper part of the map. In the case of the upper part of the map, it was shown that the resistance coefficient, k was calculated due to absence of elevation data. The SIND model is a method for real-time disaster prediction model and it is expected that it will be able to respond quickly to disasters caused by abnormal weather.

Applicability Analysis of UAV for Storm and Flood Monitoring (풍수해 모니터링을 위한 UAV 적용성 분석)

  • Kim, Min-Gyu;Jung, Gap-Yong;Kim, Jong-Bae;Yun, Hee-Cheon
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Surveying, Geodesy, Photogrammetry and Cartography
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    • v.28 no.6
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    • pp.655-662
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    • 2010
  • Recently, disasters are increasing rapidly due to global warming and abnormal weather conditions, and the scale of damage is also getting wider. In this study, the application of UAV is analyzed based on previous study about disaster and analysis of regulations for disaster. Also, this study is proposed application model to prepare, reponse and restoration from natural disaster to make use of the UAV. This UAV is quick and economic for existing technology, and available to various disaster monitoring. UAV application for disaster monitoring is able to support effective management of disaster by real time aerial monitoring for reponse from natural disaster and damage assessment.

Analysis of Flood Resilience of the Stormwater Management Using SWMM Model (SWMM 모델을 이용한 우수 관리 홍수 탄력성 분석)

  • Hwang, Soonho;Kim, Jaekyoung;Kang, Junsuk
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2021.06a
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    • pp.126-126
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    • 2021
  • Stormwater reduction plays an important role in the safety and resilience to flooding in urban areas. Due to rapid climate change, the world is experiencing abnormal climate phenomena, and sudden floods and concentrated torrential rains are frequently occurring in urban basins and the amount of outflow due to stormwater increases. In addition, the damage caused by urban flooding and inundation due to extreme rainfall exceeding the events that occurred in the past increases. To solve this problem, water supply, drainage, and water supply for sustainable urban development, the water management paradigm is shifting from sewage maintenance to water circulation and water-sensitive cities. So, in this study, The purpose of this study is to examine measures to increase the resilience of urban ecosystem systems for urban excellence reduction by analyzing the effects of green infra structures and LID techniques and evaluating changes in resilience. In this study, for simulating and analysis of runoff for various stormwater patterns and LID applications, Storm Water Management Model (SWMM) was used.

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Flood analysis for agriculture area using SWMM model: case study on Sindae drainage basin

  • Inhyeok Song;Hyunuk An;Mikyoung Choi;Heesung Lim
    • Korean Journal of Agricultural Science
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    • v.50 no.4
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    • pp.799-808
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    • 2023
  • Globally, abnormal climate phenomena have led to an increase in rainfall intensity, consequently causing a rise in flooding-related damages. Agricultural areas, in particular, experience significant annual losses every year due to a lack of research on flooding in these regions. This study presents a comprehensive analysis of the flood event that occurred on July 16, 2017, in the agricultural area situated in Sindaedong, Heungdeok-gu, Cheongju-si. To achieve this, the EPA (United States Environmental Protection Agency) Storm Water Management Model (SWMM) was employed to generate runoff data by rainfall information. The produced runoff data facilitated the identification of flood occurrence points, and the analysis results exhibited a strong correlation with inundation trace maps provided by the Ministry of the Interior and Safety (MOIS). The detailed output of the SWMM model enabled the extraction of time-specific runoff information at each inundation point, allowing for a detailed understanding of the inundation status in the agricultural area over different time frames. This research underscores the significance of utilizing the SWMM model to simulate inundation in agricultural areas, thereby validating the efficacy of flood alerts and risk management plans. In particular, the integration of rainfall data and the SWMM model in flood prediction methodologies is expected to enhance the formulation of preventative measures and response strategies against flood damages in agricultural areas.