• Title/Summary/Keyword: Abnormal Return

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Long-term Performance of Stock Splits (주식분할의 장기성과)

  • Byun, Jong-Cook;Jo, Jeong-Il
    • The Korean Journal of Financial Management
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    • v.24 no.1
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    • pp.1-27
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    • 2007
  • In this study, we investigated the market long-term performance of stock splits by using the Korean Stock Market data from 1998 through 2002. We measured the performance by the event-time portfolio approach with the buy-and-hold abnormal return(BHAR) and the cumulative average abnormal return(CAAR). Also, the calendar-time portfolio approach with one-factor and three factor model were used for avoiding the misspecification model problem. The first of main results in this study was that the stock splits had significantly positive abnormal returns around the month of the stock splits announcements. However, the period BHAR and CAAR after the announcement month were significantly negative. This negative long-term abnormal returns were confirmed by the calendar-time portfolio approach. The results suggested that the abnormal return followed by the stock splits seemed to be positive in the short-term period. Second, there was no the difference of the long term performance between the high and the low split ratios. The operating income performance in the periods followed by the stock splits announcements grew worse. Therefore, the signalling effects, the managers of the firm under considering the stock splits would make use of splits as a form of signals for the upward changes in the cash flow or profits, could not be found. Finally, in contrast to Fama, Fisher, Jensen and Roll(1969), the significant negative abnormal returns following the stock splits were still found irrespective of the change of dividend payout ratio.

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Firm's Market Value Trends after Information Security Management System(ISMS) Certification acquisition (정보보호 관리체계 인증 취득 후 기업가치의 변화에 관한 연구)

  • Jo, Jung-Gi;Choi, Sang-Hyun
    • Journal of the Korea Convergence Society
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    • v.7 no.6
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    • pp.237-247
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    • 2016
  • This study analyzed quantitative effects of ISMS certification. To measure the company value change the stock data was used and the methodology of event study was also applied. Event study methodology is a method of analyzing the effects of information or public announcement about certain events on the stock market through abnormal return of stock price. First, ISMS certification was acquired followed by the measurement of abnormal excess return of company. Based on the increase or decrease of abnormal excess return, the group was classified. There are 3 types of groups("Increase", "Reduce", "Maintain"). Next, the cluster analysis was performed for each group. Cluster analysis or clustering is the task of grouping a set of objects in such a way that objects in the same group (called a cluster) are more similar (in some sense or another) to each other than to those in other groups(clusters). The purpose of this study is to have a quantitative measurement of performance of ISMS certification. So, the result of this study will be promoted a company's ISMS certification acquisition. And it would further be beneficial to your company's information security activities.

An Empirical Study on the Role of Korean Banks' Information Production (국내 은행의 정보생산 역할에 관한 실증 연구)

  • Kim, Dae-Sik;Lee, Jae-Hyun;Lee, Joon-Haeng
    • The Korean Journal of Financial Management
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    • v.27 no.1
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    • pp.157-180
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    • 2010
  • We try to check empirically whether the Korean banks produce valuable information for the firms listed in KOSDAQ. The sample covers 164 KOSDAQ firms which disclosed long-term bank loans for the period of October 2004 and March 2006. The result shows no abnormal stock returns from bank loan disclosures while the bond issuance indicates a negative abnormal return. In addition, when we control the effect of different debt levels of sample firms, we could not find any statistically significant effect of all types of borrowings. Results suggest that bank borrowings do not convey any favorable information on stock return and, as a result, bank loan is just one of several financing tools rather than a special event conveying good news for the firm under asymmetric information situation.

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Measuring the Long-run Stock Returns to Investors

  • Choi, Seung-Doo
    • 한국데이터정보과학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 2002.06a
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    • pp.75-84
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    • 2002
  • This paper compares long-run returns of privatization initial public offerings to those of domestic stock markets of respective countries using a sample of 196 privatization initial public offerings from 39 countries. The evidence indicates that the privatization initial public offerings (IPOs) significantly outperform their domestic stock markets. There are substantial differences in the long-run performance of privatization IPOs depending on the return estimation techniques, however. Evidence indicates that the inference based either on conventional t or on skewness-adjusted t statistics may yield misspecified test statistics. The quality of estimation tends to be improved by simply eliminating the outliers from the sample, especially for the buy-and-hold abnormal return technique.

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The Gains To Bidding Firms' Stock Returns From Merger (기업합병의 성과에 영향을 주는 요인에 대한 실증적 연구)

  • Kim, Yong-Kap
    • Management & Information Systems Review
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    • v.23
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    • pp.41-74
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    • 2007
  • In Korea, corporate merger activities were activated since 1980, and nowadays(particuarly since 1986) the changes in domestic and international economic circumstances have made corporate managers have strong interests in merger. Korea and America have different business environments and it is easily conceivable that there exists many differences in motives, methods, and effects of mergers between the two countries. According to recent studies on takeover bids in America, takeover bids have information effects, tax implications, and co-insurance effects, and the form of payment(cash versus securities), the relative size of target and bidder, the leverage effect, Tobin's q, number of bidders(single versus multiple bidder), the time period (before 1968, 1968-1980, 1981 and later), and the target firm reaction (hostile versus friendly) are important determinants of the magnitude of takeover gains and their distribution between targets and bidders at the announcement of takeover bids. This study examines the theory of takeover bids, the status quo and problems of merger in Korea, and then investigates how the announcement of merger are reflected in common stock returns of bidding firms, finally explores empirically the factors influencing abnormal returns of bidding firms' stock price. The hypotheses of this study are as follows ; Shareholders of bidding firms benefit from mergers. And common stock returns of bidding firms at the announcement of takeover bids, shows significant differences according to the condition of the ratio of target size relative to bidding firm, whether the target being a member of the conglomerate to which bidding firm belongs, whether the target being a listed company, the time period(before 1986, 1986, and later), the number of bidding firm's stock in exchange for a stock of the target, whether the merger being a horizontal and vertical merger or a conglomerate merger, and the ratios of debt to equity capital of target and bidding firm. The data analyzed in this study were drawn from public announcements of proposals to acquire a target firm by means of merger. The sample contains all bidding firms which were listed in the stock market and also engaged in successful mergers in the period 1980 through 1992 for which there are daily stock returns. A merger bid was considered successful if it resulted in a completed merger and the target firm disappeared as a separate entity. The final sample contains 113 acquiring firms. The research hypotheses examined in this study are tested by applying an event-type methodology similar to that described in Dodd and Warner. The ordinary-least-squares coefficients of the market-model regression were estimated over the period t=-135 to t=-16 relative to the date of the proposal's initial announcement, t=0. Daily abnormal common stock returns were calculated for each firm i over the interval t=-15 to t=+15. A daily average abnormal return(AR) for each day t was computed. Average cumulative abnormal returns($CART_{T_1,T_2}$) were also derived by summing the $AR_t's$ over various intervals. The expected values of $AR_t$ and $CART_{T_1,T_2}$ are zero in the absence of abnormal performance. The test statistics of $AR_t$ and $CAR_{T_1,T_2}$ are based on the average standardized abnormal return($ASAR_t$) and the average standardized cumulative abnormal return ($ASCAR_{T_1,T_2}$), respectively. Assuming that the individual abnormal returns are normal and independent across t and across securities, the statistics $Z_t$ and $Z_{T_1,T_2}$ which follow a unit-normal distribution(Dodd and Warner), are used to test the hypotheses that the average standardized abnormal returns and the average cumulative standardized abnormal returns equal zero.

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The Analysis of Long Term Performance of Initial Public Offerings in KOSDAQ Market (코스닥시장에서의 신규공모주의 장기성과 분석 -수요예측제도 도입 후를 중심으로-)

  • Shin, Yeon-Soo;Sheo, Chung-Won;Shin, Young-Jae
    • Management & Information Systems Review
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    • v.28 no.1
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    • pp.25-44
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    • 2009
  • This study examines long term performance of initial public offerings(IPO) after book building was introduced in KOSDAQ market. We use event time portfolio approach and calendar time portfolio approach to test if the performance of IPO is fair or not in long term. We estimate the performance by using the BHAR(buy and hold abnormal return), CAR(cumulative abnormal return), WR(wealth relatives) model in event time portfolio approach. And we calculate the performance by using Fama-French three factor model, CTAR(calendar time abnormal return), RATS(Return Across Time and Securities approach) model in calendar time portfolio approach. This study shows that the long term performance of IPO is positive with statistical significance as the results of the analysis through the various research method and all windows in all kinds of firms and total firms.

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Evaluation of Stock Market about Marketability of Mobile Contents (모바일 콘텐츠의 시장성에 대한 증권시장 평가)

  • Wi, Han-Jong;Kim, Young-Ho;Kim, Dong-Il
    • The Journal of the Korea Contents Association
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    • v.7 no.5
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    • pp.166-173
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    • 2007
  • This study analyzed the valuation of stock market for marketability of mobile contents. We investigated, during the period of 2002 to 2005, the anormal returns of each firms which announced the launching of new mobile contents. As a result, we found statistically significant average abnormal return(AAR) at launching day of new mobile contents. And the meaningful average cumulative abnormal returns(ACAR) are observed during event period. Which means that the launching announcement of new mobile contents leads to statistically significant positive abnormal returns at stock market. Therefore, we concluded that stock market react immediately to new mobile contents, and which valuate only specific value but also implied value of contents.

Implementation of the Measurement Equipment to Measure Return Current and Axle Temperature of High Speed Railway (고속철도 귀선전류 및 차축 온도 검측을 위한 검측장치 구현)

  • Lee, Young-Soo;Lee, Byeong-Gon;Hwang, In-Kwang;Han, Seung-Hun
    • The Transactions of The Korean Institute of Electrical Engineers
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    • v.65 no.4
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    • pp.695-703
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    • 2016
  • The maintenance method for the electrical facility of high speed railway has been evolved from inspection by personnel to the automated way by the detection devices. In particular, the signalling equipment in order to increase the safe and efficient operation of the trains is required to maintain normal operation by periodic maintenance. Because the return current gives the most important effects to the wayside equipment in case of the failures, a method is needed to measure the unbalanced rate of return current on the train at high speed driving. The Hot Box Detector(HBD) device that is installed at track-side has a function to recognize the abnormal axle box by detecting the temperature that occurs in the axle of train passing over its device. In order to implement the measurement equipment for unbalanced rate of return current and axle temperature, the design method is proposed and the experimental test results by test bed are included in the paper.

The Relationship between Internet Search Volumes and Stock Price Changes: An Empirical Study on KOSDAQ Market (개별 기업에 대한 인터넷 검색량과 주가변동성의 관계: 국내 코스닥시장에서의 산업별 실증분석)

  • Jeon, Saemi;Chung, Yeojin;Lee, Dongyoup
    • Journal of Intelligence and Information Systems
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    • v.22 no.2
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    • pp.81-96
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    • 2016
  • As the internet has become widespread and easy to access everywhere, it is common for people to search information via online search engines such as Google and Naver in everyday life. Recent studies have used online search volume of specific keyword as a measure of the internet users' attention in order to predict disease outbreaks such as flu and cancer, an unemployment rate, and an index of a nation's economic condition, and etc. For stock traders, web search is also one of major information resources to obtain data about individual stock items. Therefore, search volume of a stock item can reflect the amount of investors' attention on it. The investor attention has been regarded as a crucial factor influencing on stock price but it has been measured by indirect proxies such as market capitalization, trading volume, advertising expense, and etc. It has been theoretically and empirically proved that an increase of investors' attention on a stock item brings temporary increase of the stock price and the price recovers in the long run. Recent development of internet environment enables to measure the investor attention directly by the internet search volume of individual stock item, which has been used to show the attention-induced price pressure. Previous studies focus mainly on Dow Jones and NASDAQ market in the United States. In this paper, we investigate the relationship between the individual investors' attention measured by the internet search volumes and stock price changes of individual stock items in the KOSDAQ market in Korea, where the proportion of the trades by individual investors are about 90% of the total. In addition, we examine the difference between industries in the influence of investors' attention on stock return. The internet search volume of stocks were gathered from "Naver Trend" service weekly between January 2007 and June 2015. The regression model with the error term with AR(1) covariance structure is used to analyze the data since the weekly prices in a stock item are systematically correlated. The market capitalization, trading volume, the increment of trading volume, and the month in which each trade occurs are included in the model as control variables. The fitted model shows that an abnormal increase of search volume of a stock item has a positive influence on the stock return and the amount of the influence varies among the industry. The stock items in IT software, construction, and distribution industries have shown to be more influenced by the abnormally large internet search volume than the average across the industries. On the other hand, the stock items in IT hardware, manufacturing, entertainment, finance, and communication industries are less influenced by the abnormal search volume than the average. In order to verify price pressure caused by investors' attention in KOSDAQ, the stock return of the current week is modelled using the abnormal search volume observed one to four weeks ahead. On average, the abnormally large increment of the search volume increased the stock return of the current week and one week later, and it decreased the stock return in two and three weeks later. There is no significant relationship with the stock return after 4 weeks. This relationship differs among the industries. An abnormal search volume brings particularly severe price reversal on the stocks in the IT software industry, which are often to be targets of irrational investments by individual investors. An abnormal search volume caused less severe price reversal on the stocks in the manufacturing and IT hardware industries than on average across the industries. The price reversal was not observed in the communication, finance, entertainment, and transportation industries, which are known to be influenced largely by macro-economic factors such as oil price and currency exchange rate. The result of this study can be utilized to construct an intelligent trading system based on the big data gathered from web search engines, social network services, and internet communities. Particularly, the difference of price reversal effect between industries may provide useful information to make a portfolio and build an investment strategy.

Normalization Effect of Both ST36 and CV11, 12, 13 Meridian Points on the Abnormal Gastric Myoelectrical Activity in Two Cases of Functional Dyspeptic Patients (족삼리와 상완, 중완, 하완혈의 침 자극으로 기능성 소화불량증 환자의 위 평활근 전기적 활성 장애를 정상화시켰던 증례 2례)

  • Yoon, Sang-Hyub
    • The Journal of Internal Korean Medicine
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    • v.42 no.4
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    • pp.707-717
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    • 2021
  • Objectives: The aim of this study was to introduce the normalization effects of stimulation of both ST36 and CV11, 12, 13 meridian points on the abnormal gastric myoelectrical activity in two cases of functional dyspeptic patients with gastric dysmotility. Methods: Gastric myoelectrical activity was recorded by electrogastrography every two weeks until their gastric myoelectrical activity finally reached the normality. Dominant frequency of gastric slow waves in the fasting and postprandial periods and a dominant power ratio were obtained on each occasion. Patients were treated three times each day: 9 am, 1 pm, and 7 pm. The first treatment consisted of manual and immersion stimulation on all used meridian points for 20 min. In the second and third treatments, electrical stimulation of both ST36 was added. It was conducted for 20 min at a strength intensity of 1.2 times the pain threshold at a frequency of 3 Hz. Results: Stimulation of the above meridian points normalized abnormal gastric myoelectrical activity. The time taken to return from abnormal gastric myoelectrical activity to normal was 16-19 weeks. Conclusion: Stimulation of both ST36 and CV11, 12, 13 meridian points normalized the abnormal gastric myoelectrical activity in the functional dyspepsia of gastric dysmotility.