• Title/Summary/Keyword: Abnormal Return

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A Empirical Analysis on the Effect of Seasoned Equity Offering on the Stock's Price (SEO공시 전후의 주가변화에 대한 실증분석)

  • Shin, Yeon-Soo
    • Journal of Industrial Convergence
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    • v.1 no.1
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    • pp.127-142
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    • 2003
  • This Study examines the implications for event studies using the daily stock data. The output present the event study results. The event period is defined from 30 days before through 30 days after the event date, and is broken into four "windows" for abnormal return cumulation: the pre-event period, days -30 through -2; dajys -1 and 0, a period commonly investigated for the immediate impact of the event; and the post-event period, days +1 through +30. It shows how firm's information offerings affect the price process and consequent issues. The Patell Z test is an examples of a standardized abnormal return approach, which estimate a separate standard error for each security-event and assumes cross-sectional independence. The generalized sign test adjusts for the fraction of positive abnormal returns in the estimation period instead of assuming 0.5.

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A Study on the Prediction of Stock Return in Korea's Distribution Industry Using the VKOSPI Index

  • Jeong-Hwan LEE;Gun-Hee LEE;Sam-Ho SON
    • Journal of Distribution Science
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    • v.21 no.5
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    • pp.101-111
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    • 2023
  • Purpose: The purpose of this paper is to examine the effect of the VKOSPI index on short-term stock returns after a large-scale stock price shock of individual stocks of firms in the distribution industry in Korea. Research design, data, and methodology: This study investigates the effect of the change of the VKOSPI index or investor mood on abnormal returns after the event date from January 2004 to July 2022. The significance of the abnormal return, which is obtained by subtracting the rate of return estimated by the market model from the rate of actual return on each trading day after the event date, is determined based on T-test and multifactor regression analysis. Results: In Korea's distribution industry, the simultaneous occurrence of a bad investor mood and a large stock price decline, leads to stock price reversals. Conversely, the simultaneous occurrence of a good investor mood and a large-scale stock price rise leads to stock price drifts. We found that the VKOSPI index has strong explanatory power for these reversals and drifts even after considering both company-specific and event-specific factors. Conclusions: In Korea's distribution industry-related stock market, investors show an asymmetrical behavioral characteristic of overreacting to negative moods and underreacting to positive moods.

The Determination Factors of Mutual Fund Return (한국주식시장에서 주식형 펀드의 성과결정요인에 관한 연구)

  • Park, Bum-Jin
    • The Korean Journal of Financial Management
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    • v.24 no.1
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    • pp.85-107
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    • 2007
  • In this study, I analyzed determinant factors of mutual fund return. The samples was distributed into three types according to the ratio of included stocks in funds. The proxies of mutual funds were set up three ways(returns of fund). As a result of the analysis, I found that growth positively affect to fund return, abnormal return and adjusted abnormal return in all samples. While, according to three types of sample, expected and unexpected fund cash flows had differently effect on fund return. Inferentially, it seemed that the ratio of included stocks in fund was the cause of that. But price pressure hypothesis are not supported. In conclusion, it was not found the possibility of stock market disturbance in this analysis.

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Investor Behavior Responding to Changes in Trading Halt Conditions: Empirical Evidence from the Indonesia Stock Exchange

  • RAHIM, Rida;SULAIMAN, Desyetti;HUSNI, Tafdil;WIRANDA, Nadya Ade
    • The Journal of Asian Finance, Economics and Business
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    • v.8 no.4
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    • pp.135-143
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    • 2021
  • Information has an essential role in decision-making for investors who will invest in financial markets, especially regarding the policies on the condition of COVID-19. The purpose of this study is to determine the market reaction to the information published by the government regarding the policy changes to the provisions of Trading Halt on the IDX in an emergency using the event study method. The population in this study was companies listed on the Indonesia Stock Exchange in March 2020; the sample selection technique was purposive sampling. Data analysis used a normality test and one sample T-test. The results of the study found that there were significant abnormal returns on the announcement date, negative abnormal returns around the announcement date, and significant trading volume activity occurring three days after the announcement. The existence of a significant positive abnormal return on the announcement date indicates that the market responds quickly to information published by the government. The practical implication of this research can be taken into consideration for investors in making investment decisions to analyze and determine the right investment options so that investors can minimize the risk of their investment and maximize the profits they want to achieve.

Key Audit Matters Readability and Investor Reaction

  • CHIRAKOOL, Wichuta;POONPOOL, Nuttavong;WANGCHAROENDATE, Suwan;BHONGCHIRAWATTANA, Utis
    • Journal of Distribution Science
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    • v.20 no.9
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    • pp.73-81
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    • 2022
  • Purpose: This study aimed to examine whether key audit matters (KAMs) readability influences investor reaction. Research design, data, and methodology: The signaling theory was applied to explain the behavior of investors when they receive useful information for their decisions. Data were collected from 1,866 firm-year observations from Thai listed companies in both the Stock Exchange of Thailand (SET) and the Market for Alternative Investment (MAI) for the fiscal years of 2016-2019. The study was based on secondary data, which were collected from the SET Market Analysis and Reporting Tool (SETSMART) database and the Stock Exchange of Thailand's website (www.set.or.th). A statistical regression method was used with panel data analysis to evaluate possible associations between KAMs readability and investor reaction. The study relied on popular readability measures (Fog Index). Moreover, investor reaction was measured by absolute cumulative abnormal return and abnormal trading volume. Results: It was found that the KAMs readability has positive significance on both absolute cumulative abnormal return and abnormal trading volume. Conclusion: This study showed a significant contribution to the implication of KAMs in an emerging economy. The results reveal that more readable KAMs disclosure distributed new insights and useful information to investors and led to reducing the information gap between auditors and investors.

Relationship between Accrual Anomaly and Stock Return: The Case of Vietnam

  • DANG, Hung Ngoc;TRAN, Dung Manh
    • The Journal of Asian Finance, Economics and Business
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    • v.6 no.4
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    • pp.19-26
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    • 2019
  • The study investigates the impact of accrual anomaly on stock return ratio of listed firms in Vietnam. Data were collected from listed firms for the period from 2008 to 2018. To learn about the causes of accrual anomaly in returns and future rate of returns on the Vietnamese stock market, this research is based on accrual analysis of Richardson, Sloan, Soliman, and Tuna (2006) on growth and effective components. We employ GLS regression model for examining the impact of accrual anomaly on stock return ratio and T-test for checking the difference between the lowest and the highest portfolio. The results show that accounting distortion is the main factor impacting the stock return, not growth determinant. Both two determinants of accounting distortion and growth contribute the explanation of the impact of accrual anomaly on profit and future stock return ratio. Experimental evidence confirms an abnormal existence of accrual in the Vietnam stock market. Aggregate accrual is negatively correlated with future operating profit and future stock return. However, after considering the factors contributing to the impact of future profitability and return on stock returns, the study results show that accounting distortion can account for low sustainability of income that is not growth.

Effects of Information Release for Technological Innovation on Firm's Value (기술혁신 정보가 기업가치에 미치는 영향)

  • Cho, Seong-Pyo;Park, Jeong-Hwan
    • Journal of Technology Innovation
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    • v.12 no.3
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    • pp.159-177
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    • 2004
  • Technological innovation is one of the critical success factors determining firm's Technological innovation is one of the critical success factors determining firm's value in the knowledge based economy. The study examines whether the information release on technological innovation has information contents in the stock market. The abnormal returns and cumulative abnormal return were calculated by using Market and Risk Adjusted Return Model. The results say that the market positively reacts to the information release of technological innovation on the event date. Especially, the disclosure on technology development causes stable increase of the firm's value. It is concluded that the market reacts favorably to technological innovations.

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Assessment of Equity Market Responses on the Construction Project Awards (건설프로젝트 수주에 대한 시장의 평가)

  • Choi, Jong-Soo;Heo, Seong-Tae;Lee, Hee-Min
    • Journal of the Korea Institute of Building Construction
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    • v.10 no.1
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    • pp.221-228
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    • 2010
  • A construction firm's performance is largely attributable to performance in individual projects. In this regard, the awarding of an individual project has significant implications. However, project awards have received limited attention in the construction sector from amarket assessment perspective. This event study focuses on an analysis of market responses at the time of project awarding. A total of 252 samples wereselected through a rigorous sample screening processes. Performance was measured as cumulative abnormal return, which is traditionally adopted in event analysis. Research results indicated that the overall return is positive, and that the level isstatistically significant. Equity holders realized a higher return for projects awarded from the foreign countries compared to domestic projects. No relationship was observed between project size and the level of return. Other research findings and implications were discussed in detail from a management perspective.

Stock Reaction to the Implementation of Extensible Business Reporting Language

  • JUNUS, Onong;IRWANTO, Andry
    • The Journal of Asian Finance, Economics and Business
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    • v.8 no.1
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    • pp.675-685
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    • 2021
  • The purpose of this study is to examine the reaction of stock prices on the implementation of Extensible Business Reporting Language (XBRL) in companies listed on the Indonesia Stock Exchange (IDX). Using the event study method and calculating abnormal returns of the 2015 financial statements of 462 companies listed on the IDX, findings showed that 49 companies have not applied the XBRL format in their financial statements. Based on the results of the Average Abnormal Return (AAR) and Cumulative Average Abnormal Return (CAAR) values, using the one-sample test, investors react to shares in companies that have not implemented XBRL and who have implemented XBRL; however, based on the independent t-test based on average values there are differences between companies that have not applied XBRL and those who have implemented XBRL. This research only looks at the one-year implementation of XBRL in financial reporting (2015), then the research does not separate which companies are on time in the delivery of financial statements to the public through the IDX website. Our research contributes to the understanding of the use of XBRL in corporate financial reporting because before the XBRL financial reporting format was published, the company had published a financial statement format based on the legal provisions of financial statements in Indonesia.

Does a Firm's IPO Affect Other Firms in the Same Conglomerate?

  • Bhadra, Madhusmita;Kim, Doyeon
    • Asia-Pacific Journal of Business
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    • v.12 no.3
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    • pp.37-50
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    • 2021
  • Purpose - This study aimed to examine the behavior surrounding the Initial Public Offering (IPO) event of firms within the same conglomerate and the impact of under-pricing and Return on Equity(ROE) on a firm's abnormal stock returns. Design/methodology - This study collected data from 166 South Korean Chaebols, consisting of 355 firms distributed as 202 listed on Korea Composite Stock Price Index (KOSPI) and 153 firms listed on Korean Securities Dealers Automated Quotations (KOSDAQ) from 2000 to 2020. The Capital Asset Pricing Model (CAPM) and the multiple regression analysis were hired to analyze the data. Findings - First, we found an adverse price reaction of IPO listing in the same chaebol group, and firms with higher under-pricing affect other firms' stock prices more adversely within the conglomerate. Next, we explored a negatively significant relation between ROE and the chaebol firms' stock returns during IPO events. Research implications - The novelty of this study is there are not many empirical studies on the impact of IPO within a conglomerate. So, the findings of this study contribute to the literature for analyzing stock's abnormal returns within a conglomerate.