• Title/Summary/Keyword: ARX Model

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Estimation of Cable Tension Force by ARX Model-Based Virtual Sensing (ARX모델기반 가상센싱을 통한 사장교 케이블의 장력 추정)

  • Choi, Gahee;Shin, Soobong
    • Journal of the Earthquake Engineering Society of Korea
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    • v.21 no.6
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    • pp.287-293
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    • 2017
  • Sometimes, it is impossible to install a sensor on a certain location of a structure due to the size of a structure or poor surrounding environments. Even if possible, sensors can be frequently malfunctioned or improperly operated due to lack of adequate maintenance. These kind of problems are solved by the virtual sensing methods in various engineering fields. Virtual sensing technology is a technology that can measure data even though there is no physical sensor. It is expected that this technology can be also applied to the construction field effectively. In this study, a virtual sensing technology based on ARX model is proposed. An ARX model is defined by using the simulated data through a structural analysis rather than by actually measured data. The ARX-based virtual sensing model can be applied to estimate unmeasured response using a transfer function that defines the relationship between two point data. In this study, a simulation and experimental study were carried out to examine the proposed virtual sensing method with a laboratory test on a cable-stayed model bridge. Acceleration measured at a girder is transformed to estimate a cable tension through the ARX model-based virtual sensing.

SOx Process Simulation, Monitoring, and Pattern Classification in a Power Plant (발전소에서의 SOx 공정 모사, 모니터링 및 패턴 분류)

  • 최상욱;유창규;이인범
    • Journal of Institute of Control, Robotics and Systems
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    • v.8 no.10
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    • pp.827-832
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    • 2002
  • We propose a prediction method of the pollutant and a synchronous classification of the current state of SOx emission in the power plant. We use the auto-regressive with exogeneous (ARX) model as a predictor of SOx emission and use a radial basis function network (RBFN) as a pattem classifier. The ARX modeling scheme is implemented using recursive least squares (RLS) method to update the model parameters adaptively. The capability of SOx emission monitoring is utilized with the application of the RBFN classifier. Experimental results show that the ARX model can predict the SOx emission concentration well and ARX modeling parameters can be a good feature for the state monitoring. in addition, its validity has been verified through the power spectrum analysis. Consequently, the RBFN classifier in combination with ARX model is shown to be quite adequate for monitoring the state of SOx emission.

Local Damage Detection Using Acceleration ARX Model (가속도 ARX 모델을 사용한 국부손상 탐색)

  • Shin, Soobong;Park, Hye-Youn;Kim, Jae-Cheon
    • Journal of the Korea institute for structural maintenance and inspection
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    • v.13 no.2 s.54
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    • pp.115-121
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    • 2009
  • The paper presents a signal-based damage detection algorithm of ARX model using dynamic acceleration data. An ARX model correlates acceleration data measured at two locations in a structure by considering those two sets of data as input and output signals. For detecting damage, the error between the measured data and the predicted response from the defined ARX model is computed in time and used for a statistical evaluation. A normal distribution function from the error in time is constructed and its statistical characteristic values are used for the evaluation of damage. By comparing the normal distribution functions before and after damage, three different types of damage indices are proposed. The efficiency and limitation of the proposed algorithm with the statistical evaluation of damage indices have been examined and discussed through laboratory experiments.

Comparison of forecasting performance of time series models for the wholesale price of dried red peppers: focused on ARX and EGARCH

  • Lee, Hyungyoug;Hong, Seungjee;Yeo, Minsu
    • Korean Journal of Agricultural Science
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    • v.45 no.4
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    • pp.859-870
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    • 2018
  • Dried red peppers are a staple agricultural product used in Korean cuisine and as such, are an important aspect of agricultural producers' income. Correctly forecasting both their supply and demand situations and price is very important in terms of the producers' income and consumer price stability. The primary objective of this study was to compare the performance of time series forecasting models for dried red peppers in Korea. In this study, three models (an autoregressive model with exogenous variables [ARX], AR-exponential generalized autoregressive conditional heteroscedasticity [EGARCH], and ARX-EGARCH) are presented for forecasting the wholesale price of dried red peppers. As a result of the analysis, it was shown that the ARX model and ARX-EGARCH model, each of which adopt both the rolling window and the adding approach and use the agricultural cooperatives price as the exogenous variable, showed a better forecasting performance compared to the autoregressive model (AR)-EGARCH model. Based on the estimation methods and results, there was no significant difference in the accuracy of the estimation between the rolling window and adding approach. In the case of dried red peppers, there is limitation in building the price forecasting models with a market-structured approach. In this regard, estimating a forecasting model using only price data and identifying the forecast performance can be expected to complement the current pricing forecast model which relies on market shipments.

Identification of MIMO State Space Model based on MISO High-order ARX Model: Design and Application (MISO 고차 ARX 모델 기반의 MIMO 상태공간 모델의 모델인식: 설계와 적용)

  • Won, Wangyun;Yoon, Jieun;Lee, Kwang Soon;Lee, Bongkook
    • Korean Chemical Engineering Research
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    • v.45 no.1
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    • pp.67-72
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    • 2007
  • An efficient method for identification of MIMO state space model has been developed by combining partial least squares (PLS) regression, balanced realization, and balanced truncation. In the developed method, a MIMO system is decomposed into multiple MISO systems each of which is represented by a high-order ARX model and the parameters of the ARX models are estimated by PLS. Then, MISO state space models for respective MISO ARX transfer function are found through realization and combined to a MIMO state space model. Finally, a minimal balanced MIMO state space model is obtained through balanced realization and truncation. The proposed method was applied to the design of model predictive control for temperature control of a high pressure $CO_2$ solubility measurement system.

Story-wise system identification of actual shear building using ambient vibration data and ARX model

  • Ikeda, Ayumi;Fujita, Kohei;Takewaki, Izuru
    • Earthquakes and Structures
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    • v.7 no.6
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    • pp.1093-1118
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    • 2014
  • A sophisticated story-wise stiffness identification method for a shear building structure is applied to the case where the shear building is subjected to an actual micro-tremor. While the building responses to earthquake ground motions are necessary in the previous method, it is shown that micro-tremors can be used for identification within the same framework. This enhances the extended usability and practicality of the previously proposed identification method. The difficulty arising in the limit manipulation at zero frequency in the previous method is overcome by introducing an ARX model. The weakness of small SN ratios in the low frequency range is avoided by using the ARX model together with filtering and introducing new constraints on the ARX parameters.

Identification of a Parametric ARX Model of a Steam Generation and Exhaust Gases for Refuse Incineration Plants (소각 프린트의 증기발생 및 배기가스에 대한 파라메트릭 ARX 모델규명)

  • Hwang, Lee-Cheol
    • Journal of Institute of Control, Robotics and Systems
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    • v.8 no.7
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    • pp.556-562
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    • 2002
  • This paper studies the identification of a combustion model, which is used to design a linear controller of a steam generation quantity and harmful exhaust gases of a Refuse Incineration Plant(RIP). Even though the RIP has strong nonlinearities and complexities, it is identified as a MIMO parametric ARX model from experimental input-output data sets. Unknown model parameters are decided from experimental input-output data sets, using system identification algorithm based on Instrumental Variables(IV) method. It is shown that the identified model well approximates the input-output combustion characteristics.

FPGA-based ARX-Laguerre PIO fault diagnosis in robot manipulator

  • Piltan, Farzin;Kim, Jong-Myon
    • Advances in robotics research
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    • v.2 no.1
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    • pp.99-112
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    • 2018
  • The main contribution of this work is the design of a field programmable gate array (FPGA) based ARX-Laguerre proportional-integral observation (PIO) system for fault detection and identification (FDI) in a multi-input, multi-output (MIMO) nonlinear uncertain dynamical robot manipulators. An ARX-Laguerre method was used in this study to dynamic modeling the robot manipulator in the presence of uncertainty and disturbance. To address the challenges of robustness, fault detection, isolation, and estimation the proposed FPGA-based PI observer was applied to the ARX-Laguerre robot model. The effectiveness and accuracy of FPGA based ARX-Laguerre PIO was tested by first three degrees of the freedom PUMA robot manipulator, yielding 6.3%, 10.73%, and 4.23%, average performance improvement for three types of faults (e.g., actuator fault, sensor faults, and composite fault), respectively.

Development of salinity simulation using a hierarchical bayesian ARX model (계층적 베이지안 ARX 모형을 활용한 염분모의기법 개발)

  • Kim, Hojun;Shin, Choong Hun;Kim, Tae-Woong;Kwon, Hyun-Han
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.53 no.7
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    • pp.481-491
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    • 2020
  • The development of agricultural land at Saemangeum has required a significant increase in agricultural water use. It has been well acknowledged that salinity plays a critical role in the farming system. Therefore, a systematic study in salinity is necessary to better manage agricultural water. This study aims to develop a stochastic salinity simulation model that simultaneously simulates salinities obtained from different layers. More specifically, this study proposed a two-stage Autoregressive Exgeneous (ARX) model within a hierarchical Bayesian modeling framework. We derived posterior distributions of model parameters and further used them to obtain the predictive posterior distribution for salinities at three different layers. Here, the BIC values are used and compared to determine the optimal model from a set of candidate models. A detailed discussion of the model is provided.

ARX Design Technique for Low Order Modeling of Backward-Facing-Step Flow Field (후향계단 유동장 저차 모델링을 위한 ARX 설계 기법)

  • Lee, Jin-Ik;Lee, Eun-Seok
    • Journal of the Korean Society for Aeronautical & Space Sciences
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    • v.40 no.10
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    • pp.840-845
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    • 2012
  • An ARX(Auto-Regressive eXogenous) modeling technique for vortex dynamics in the BFS(Backward Facing Step) flow field is proposed in this paper. In order for the modeling of the dynamics, the spatial and temporal modes are extracted through POD(Proper Orthogonal Decomposition) analysis. Determining the orders of the inputs and outputs for an ARX structure is carried out by the spectrum analysis and temporal mode analysis, respectively. The order of input delay terms is also determined by the flow velocity. Finally the coefficients of the ARX model are designed by using an artificial neural network.