• 제목/요약/키워드: ANNUAL MEAN TEMPERATURE

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DePreSys4의 동아시아 근미래 기후예측 성능 평가 (Assessment of Near-Term Climate Prediction of DePreSys4 in East Asia)

  • 최정;임슬희;손석우;부경온;이조한
    • 대기
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    • 제33권4호
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    • pp.355-365
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    • 2023
  • To proactively manage climate risk, near-term climate predictions on annual to decadal time scales are of great interest to various communities. This study evaluates the near-term climate prediction skills in East Asia with DePreSys4 retrospective decadal predictions. The model is initialized every November from 1960 to 2020, consisting of 61 initializations with ten ensemble members. The prediction skill is quantitatively evaluated using the deterministic and probabilistic metrics, particularly for annual mean near-surface temperature, land precipitation, and sea level pressure. The near-term climate predictions for May~September and November~March averages over the five years are also assessed. DePreSys4 successfully predicts the annual mean and the five-year mean near-surface temperatures in East Asia, as the long-term trend sourced from external radiative forcing is well reproduced. However, land precipitation predictions are statistically significant only in very limited sporadic regions. The sea level pressure predictions also show statistically significant skills only over the ocean due to the failure of predicting a long-term trend over the land.

중국 동북지역의 농업기후지대 구분 (Classification of Agro-climatic zones in Northeast District of China)

  • 정명표;허지나;박혜진;심교문;안중배
    • 한국농림기상학회지
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    • 제17권2호
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    • pp.102-107
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    • 2015
  • 본 연구에서는 중국의 동북지역 기후자료를 수집하여 DB를 구축하고, 이들 기후자료를 활용하여 농업기후지대를 구분함으로써 대상지역의 농업기상특성 분석의 기초정보를 확보하고자 하였으며, 국외의 주요 곡물 수출국의 기상관측정보를 수집, 분석, 제공할 수 있는 체계를 구축하고자 하였다. 중국 동북지역 농업기후지대를 구분하기 위하여 미국 항공우주국의 전 지구 모델링 및 동화 센터의 1979-2010년까지 32년 동안의 월별 기온 및 강수량 자료와 Weather Research and Forecasting(WRF) 모형의 동아시아 영역의 해발고도와 식물비 자료를 활용하였다. 중국 동북지역은 해발고도는 200m 이하, 200-800m, 800m 이상, 식물비 60%, 연평균 기온은 $0^{\circ}C$, 최난월 기온은 $22^{\circ}C$, 연평균 강수량 700mm를 기준으로 22개 농업기후지대로 구분되었다. 22개 농업기후지대는 연평균기온은 $3.4^{\circ}C$, 강수량 613.2mm, 일사량 $4,414.2MJ/m^2$의 기후특성을 보였다.

대구의 장기적 도시기후 변동에 관한 연구 (Study on the Long-term Change of Urban Climate in Daegu)

  • 김해동
    • 한국환경과학회지
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    • 제12권7호
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    • pp.697-704
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    • 2003
  • Through data analysis using the meteorological data during 40 years(1961∼2000) for 2 stations(Daegu and Chupungnyong), we studied the present condition and long-term trends in urban climatic environments of Daegu. It was found that there was about 1.5$^{\circ}C$ rise in annual mean temperature of Daegu from 1961 to 2000. On the other hand, that of Chupungnyung was not more than 0.4$^{\circ}C$ for the same period. The regional disparity in temperature changes has been caused by the difference of urban effects on climate between two regions. In particular, the urban warming appears more significant in winter season. There was about 3$^{\circ}C$ rise in annual mean daily minimum temperature of winter season(Dec.∼Feb.) in Daegu. As the result, the number of winter days continuously decreased from 115 days(1961) to 75 days(2000). The long-term trends of relative humidity were also studied to exame the effects of urbanization on climate in Daegu. It was found that there was about 7% decrease in relative humidity of Daegu during past 40 years(1961∼2000). On the other side, the decrease of Chupungnyung was not more than 2% for the same period. The long-term trends of the other climatic factors(fog days, tropical night days, etc) were also studied in this study.

임연군락의 주요종 분포양식 (Distribution Pattern of Principal Species in the Mantle Community)

  • Jung, Yong-Kyoo;Jong-Won Kim
    • The Korean Journal of Ecology
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    • 제17권4호
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    • pp.513-521
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    • 1994
  • Distribution patern of 30 species that are occurring predominantly in the mantle communities (Mantelgesellschaften) in South Korea was studied. The study was arried out by geographic and bioclimatic analysis on 368 releves obtained from the Zurich-Montpellier School's method, which involves direct analysis on the latitude, altitude, annual mean temperature and the lowest temperature of the site. Rosa multiflora and Pueraria thunbergiana which are regarded as repersentative pioneer species to the mantle community has the highest frequency, 70.1% and 60.3%, respectively. Three distribution patterns were recognized, i.e. northern type, central type and southern type, and each type was characterized by horizontal and altitudinal amplitude. Their concetrate distribution ranges on the annual mean temperature were 8~11℃, 9~12℃ and 10~13℃, respectively. It was recognized that tendencies of overlapping and continuous distribution pattern of the types and species exist. Geographically, the souther limit f the northern type is 35.5。N and the northern limit of the southern type 37.0。N. The central type is located at an coincided with the previous study in which cool-temperate forests were synchorologically indentified into northern/altimontane, certral/montane and southern/submontane type. The subsidiary knowledges from this study will provide practical information on the constructuin of the fence plant community for environmental conservation.

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복숭아 품종의 만개기와 과실 생장에 영향을 미치는 환경요인 분석 (Analysis of Environmental Factors for Full Bloom Stage and Fruit Growth in Peach)

  • 한현희;한점화;정재훈;류수현;권용희
    • 한국기후변화학회지
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    • 제7권4호
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    • pp.493-498
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    • 2016
  • This study was conducted to investigate the effect of environment factors on full bloom stage and fruit width in four peach cultivars. The average temperature in March was the main factor to determine the date of full bloom in 'Kurakatawase'($-0.6871^*$) and 'Changhowon Hwangdo'($-0.5270^*$). The fruit growth curve after 35 days from full bloom was the double sigmoid shape in 'Changhowon Hwangdo' cultivar. Environmental factors affecting fruit width were mean diurnal range(BIO2) and temperature annual range(BIO 7) in 'Kurakatawase', growing degree days(GDD) after 30 days from full bloom and July precipitation in 'Yumyeong', and annual mean temperature(BIO1), BIO7, and July precipitation in 'Kawanakajima Hakuto'. Of these, major environmental factors affecting fruit width in more than two cultivars were BIO7 and July precipitation.

옥내(屋內)의 온도(溫度), 상대습도(相對濕度)와 목재(木材) 평형함수율(平衡含水率)의 연중(年中) 변이(變異) (Annual Variation in Temperature, Relative Humidity and Equilibrium Moisture Content of Wood in Indoor)

  • 정희석;이남호
    • 한국산림과학회지
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    • 제83권4호
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    • pp.540-544
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    • 1994
  • 중부 지방에서 옥내의 목재 사용 4장소별로 기후치평형함수율은 온도와 상대습도를 근거하여 계산하고 실측평형함수율은 더그러스 퍼와 상수리나무 등 7수종의 기건 시험편을 1년간 공시하여 측정하였다. 조사된 각 장소의 연간 평균 온도과 상대습도는 아파트 안방이 $23.3^{\circ}C$와 54.9%, 아파트 거실은 $22.4^{\circ}C$와 59.5%, 사무실은 $20.1^{\circ}C$와 57.0%, 단독주택의 거실은 $19.4^{\circ}C$와 64.0%이었다. 년간 평균 기후치평형함수율과 실측평형함수율은 아파트 안방은 각각 10.2%와 9.7%, 아파트 거실은 각각 11.1%와 10.2%, 사무실은 각각 10.7%와 10.4% 그리고 단독주택의 거실은 각각 12.1%와 12.5%이었다. 카사이의 실측평형함수율은 전체 평균치보다 약간 컸었고 버즘나무와 아피통은 약간 적었다.

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RETRIEVAL OF LOCAL INTERPLANETARY DUST EMISSIVITY BY ASTRO-F

  • HONG S. S.;KWON S. M.;PYO J.;UENO M.;ISHIGURO M.;USUI F.;WEINBERG J. L.
    • 천문학회지
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    • 제37권4호
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    • pp.159-169
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    • 2004
  • This is a proposal to probe local part of the interplanetary dust (IPD) cloud complex and retrieve mean volume emissivity of the local IPDs at mid-infrared wavelengths. This will be done by monitoring, with Infrared Camera (IRC) aboard the ASTRO-F, the annual modulation of the zodiacal emission. In pointing mode of the ASTRO-F mission the spacecraft can make attitude maneuvering over approximately ${\pm}1^{\circ}$ range centered at solar elongation $90^{\circ}$ in the ecliptic plane. The attitude maneuvering combined with high sensitivity of the IRC will provide us with a unique opportunity observationally to take derivatives of the zodiacal emission brightness with respect to the solar elongation. From the resulting differential of the brightness over the ${\pm}1^{\circ}$ range, one can directly determine the mean volume emissivity of the local IPDs with a sufficient accuracy to de-modulate the annual emissivity variations due to the Earth's elliptical motion and the dis-alignment of the maximum IPD density plane with respect to the ecliptic. The non-zero eccentricity ($e_{\oplus}$= 0.0167) of the Earth's orbit combined with the sensitive temperature dependence of the Planck function would bring modulations of amplitude at least $3.34\%$ to the zodiacal emission brightness at mid-infrared wavelengths, with which one may determine the IPD temperature T(r) and mean number density n(r) as functions of heliocentric distance r. This will in turn fix the power-law exponent $\delta$ in the relation $T(r) = T_o(r/r_o)^{-\delta}$ for the dust temperature and v in $n(r) = n_o(r/r_o)^-v$ for the density. We discuss how one may de-couple the notorious degeneracy of cross-section, density, reference temperature $T_o$ and exponent $\delta$.

아한대 침엽수류 연륜연대기를 이용한 중부산간지역의 고기후복원 (Paleoclimate Reconstruction for Chungbu Mountainous Region Using Tree-ring Chronology)

  • 최종남;유근배;박원규
    • 한국제4기학회지
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    • 제6권1호
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    • pp.21-32
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    • 1992
  • The paleoclimate of the Chungbu Mountainous Region, Mts. Seorak and Sobaek, was estimated by means of dendroclimatic methodology, The annual growth value of tree-rings is deeply interrelated with the mean temperature of April-May and July-August. The mean temperature of April-May of the reconstruction period(1635-1911), observation period(1912-1989), and the whole period(1635-1989) is 13.58$^{\circ}C$, 13.69$^{\circ}C$, and 13.6$0^{\circ}C$, respectively. That of July-August is $24.50^{\circ}C$, $24.62^{\circ}C$, and $24.58^{\circ}C$ respectively. The reconstructed mean temperature data for April-May and for July-August reveal 13.2 and 12.9 year cycles.

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한국 남부지방 난온대성 상록활엽수의 동해피해 -전라남도 광양시 중마동의 후박나무를 중심으로- (Freezing Injury of Evergreen Broad-Leaved Trees in Warm-Temperature in the Southern Region in Korea -A Case of Machilus Thunbergii Siebold & Zucc. on the Jungma-dong, Gwangyang-city, Jeollanam Province-)

  • 이기원;김도균
    • 한국환경복원기술학회지
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    • 제20권1호
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    • pp.77-96
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    • 2017
  • This study was carried out to clarify the climatic factors of the freezing injury for the judgement on the adaptation areas of evergreen broad-leaved trees. We surveyed and analyzed the climatic factors of the freezing injury to Machilus thunbergii Siebold & Zucc. on the streets with the analyzation of planting grounds, soil conditions and the surrounding buildings. This study showed that only the minimum air temperature factor out of the other climate elements, which were the annual precipitation; the average annual temperature; the average monthly temperature of january; the average monthly minimum temperature of January; the average temperature of the coldest month; the warmth index and the coldness index, was matched up with the previous theories and reports on the freezing damages on the evergreen broad leaved trees and Machilus thunbergii Siebold & Zucc. The freezing injury of Machilus thunbergii Siebold & Zucc was occurred when the mean minimum temperature of the coldest month(TMC) in winter season fell down below $-4.1^{\circ}C$ and the temperature fell down below $-9.2^{\circ}C$. The freezing damage on Machilus thunbergii Siebold & Zucc surrounded by high buildings were less than those surrounded by low buildings or at non buildings.

Possibility of Climate Change and Simulation of Soil Moisture Content on Mt. Hallasan National Park, Chejudo Island, Korea

  • Kim, Eun-Shik;Kim, Young-Sun
    • The Korean Journal of Ecology
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    • 제23권2호
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    • pp.117-123
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    • 2000
  • Changing patterns and the possibility of climate change in the area of Cheiudo island, the southernmost Island in Korea, were analyzed using daily temperature and Precipitation data observed at the Cheiu Regional Meteorological Office from May 1923 to December 1998. A hydrologic simulation model "BROOK" was used to simulate and analyze the dynamics of daily soil moisture content and soil moisture deficit by applying the daily weather data. During the period, significantly increasing pattern was observed in temperature data of both annual and monthly basis, while no significantly changing pattern was observed in precipitation data. During the last 76 years. mean annual temperature was observed to have risen about 1.4$^{\circ}C$, which may show the Possibility of the initiation of climate change on the island whose validity should be tested in future studies after long-term studies on temperature. Based on the simulation, due to increased temperature, significant increase was predicted in evapotranspiration. while no significant decrease was detected in simulated soil moisture content during the period. Changing pattern of annual soil moisture content was markedly different from those of precipitation. In some dominant trees, negative effects of the drought of the late season for the previous year were shown to be statistically significant to radial growth of the tree for the current year. As annual variation of radial growth of trees is mainly affected by the soil moisture content. the information on the dynamics of soil moisture deficit possibly provides us with useful information for the interpretation of tree growth decline on the mountain. mountain.

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