• 제목/요약/키워드: AIC(Akaike Information Criterion)

검색결과 70건 처리시간 0.027초

Comparison of Temperature Indexes for the Impact Assessment of Heat Stress on Heat-Related Mortality

  • Kim, Young-Min;Kim, So-Yeon;Cheong, Hae-Kwan;Kim, Eun-Hye
    • Environmental Analysis Health and Toxicology
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    • 제26권
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    • pp.9.1-9.9
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    • 2011
  • Objectives: In order to evaluate which temperature index is the best predictor for the health impact assessment of heat stress in Korea, several indexes were compared. Methods: We adopted temperature, perceived temperature (PT), and apparent temperature (AT), as a heat stress index, and changes in the risk of death for Seoul and Daegu were estimated with $^1{\circ}C$ increases in those temperature indexes using generalized additive model (GAM) adjusted for the non-temperature related factors: time trends, seasonality, and air pollution. The estimated excess mortality and Akaike's Information Criterion (AIC) due to the increased temperature indexes for the $75^{th}$ percentile in the summers from 2001 to 2008 were compared and analyzed to define the best predictor. Results: For Seoul, all-cause mortality presented the highest percent increase (2.99% [95% CI, 2.43 to 3.54%]) in maximum temperature while AIC showed the lowest value when the all-cause daily death counts were fitted with the maximum PT for the $75^{th}$ percentile of summer. For Daegu, all-cause mortality presented the greatest percent increase (3.52% [95% CI, 2.23 to 4.80%]) in minimum temperature and AIC showed the lowest value in maximum temperature. No lag effect was found in the association between temperature and mortality for Seoul, whereas for Daegu one-day lag effect was noted. Conclusions: There was no one temperature measure that was superior to the others in summer. To adopt an appropriate temperature index, regional meteorological characteristics and the disease status of population should be considered.

차원 및 초동발췌방법에 따른 미소진동 음원위치결정 실험연구 (Experimental Study on Microseismic Source Location by Dimensional Conditions and Arrival Picking Methods)

  • 천대성;유정민;이장백
    • 터널과지하공간
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    • 제29권4호
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    • pp.243-261
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    • 2019
  • 미소진동기술을 활용한 계측 및 안전관리는 전통적인 방법에 비해 우수성이 인정되어 국내외 광산 등에서 활용되고 있다. 그러나 국내 지하광산의 비정형화와 채굴적과 암반 등이 혼재한 복잡한 구조는 미소 진동 전파속도 산정과 미소진동 신호의 초동발췌를 어렵게 한다. 본 연구에서는 여러 초동발췌방법과 차원에 따른 음원위치의 결정에 대해 실험적 연구를 수행하였다. 초동발췌방법은 FTC(First Threshold Cross), Picking window, AIC(Akaike Information Criterion)을 사용하였으며, 2차원 센서 배열일 때 2차원과 3차원 음원발생 실험을 수행하였다. 각 실험에서 음원위치결정 알고리즘은 반복법과 유전자 알고리즘을 사용하였다. 반복법은 센서 배열과 음원발생이 동차원인 경우 효과적이나 음원발생이 상위차원인 경우에는 적합하지 않았다. 반면, RCGA를 이용한 음원위치결정의 경우 상위차원 음원위치를 결정할 수 있었으나 계산속도가 다소 느렸다. 초동발췌방법의 정확도는 음원위치결정 방법에 따라 다르게 나타났으나, Picking window가 전반적으로 높은 정확도를 나타냈다.

제주도 지하수위 관측지점별 적정 확률분포형의 결정 (Determination of Proper Probability Distribution for Groundwater Monitoring Stations in Jeju Island)

  • 정일문;남우성;김민규;최지안;김기표;박윤석
    • 한국지하수토양환경학회지:지하수토양환경
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    • 제23권1호
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    • pp.41-53
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    • 2018
  • Comprehensive statistical analysis for the 127 groundwater monitoring stations in Jeju Island during 2005~2015 was carried out for the re-establishment of management groundwater level. Three probability distribution functions such as normal distibution, GEV (General Extreme Value) distribution, and Gumbel distribution were applied and the maximum likelihood method was used for parameter estimation of each distribution. AIC (Akaike information criterion) was calculated based on the estimated parameters to determine the proper probability distribution for all 127 stations. The results showed that normal distribution and Gumble distribution were found in 11 stations. Whereas GEV distribution were found in 105 stations, which covered most of groundwater monitoring stations. Therefore, confidence levels should be established in accord with the proper probability distribution when groundwater level management is determined.

Nonlinear mixed models for characterization of growth trajectory of New Zealand rabbits raised in tropical climate

  • de Sousa, Vanusa Castro;Biagiotti, Daniel;Sarmento, Jose Lindenberg Rocha;Sena, Luciano Silva;Barroso, Priscila Alves;Barjud, Sued Felipe Lacerda;de Sousa Almeida, Marisa Karen;da Silva Santos, Natanael Pereira
    • Animal Bioscience
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    • 제35권5호
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    • pp.648-658
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    • 2022
  • Objective: The identification of nonlinear mixed models that describe the growth trajectory of New Zealand rabbits was performed based on weight records and carcass measures obtained using ultrasonography. Methods: Phenotypic records of body weight (BW) and loin eye area (LEA) were collected from 66 animals raised in a didactic-productive module of cuniculture located in the southern Piaui state, Brazil. The following nonlinear models were tested considering fixed parameters: Brody, Gompertz, Logistic, Richards, Meloun 1, modified Michaelis-Menten, Santana, and von Bertalanffy. The coefficient of determination (R2), mean squared error, percentage of convergence of each model (%C), mean absolute deviation of residuals, Akaike information criterion (AIC), and Bayesian information criterion (BIC) were used to determine the best model. The model that best described the growth trajectory for each trait was also used under the context of mixed models, considering two parameters that admit biological interpretation (A and k) with random effects. Results: The von Bertalanffy model was the best fitting model for BW according to the highest value of R2 (0.98) and lowest values of AIC (6,675.30) and BIC (6,691.90). For LEA, the Logistic model was the most appropriate due to the results of R2 (0.52), AIC (783.90), and BIC (798.40) obtained using this model. The absolute growth rates estimated using the von Bertalanffy and Logistic models for BW and LEA were 21.51g/d and 3.16 cm2, respectively. The relative growth rates at the inflection point were 0.028 for BW (von Bertalanffy) and 0.014 for LEA (Logistic). Conclusion: The von Bertalanffy and Logistic models with random effect at the asymptotic weight are recommended for analysis of ponderal and carcass growth trajectories in New Zealand rabbits. The inclusion of random effects in the asymptotic weight and maturity rate improves the quality of fit in comparison to fixed models.

Allometric equation for estimating aboveground biomass of Acacia-Commiphora forest, southern Ethiopia

  • Wondimagegn Amanuel;Chala Tadesse;Moges Molla;Desalegn Getinet;Zenebe Mekonnen
    • Journal of Ecology and Environment
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    • 제48권2호
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    • pp.196-206
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    • 2024
  • Background: Most of the biomass equations were developed using sample trees collected mainly from pan-tropical and tropical regions that may over- or underestimate biomass. Site-specific models would improve the accuracy of the biomass estimates and enhance the country's measurement, reporting, and verification activities. The aim of the study is to develop site-specific biomass estimation models and validate and evaluate the existing generic models developed for pan-tropical forest and newly developed allometric models. Total of 140 trees was harvested from each diameter class biomass model development. Data was analyzed using SAS procedures. All relevant statistical tests (normality, multicollinearity, and heteroscedasticity) were performed. Data was transformed to logarithmic functions and multiple linear regression techniques were used to develop model to estimate aboveground biomass (AGB). The root mean square error (RMSE) was used for measuring model bias, precision, and accuracy. The coefficient of determination (R2 and adjusted [adj]-R2), the Akaike Information Criterion (AIC) and the Schwarz Bayesian information Criterion was employed to select most appropriate models. Results: For the general total AGB models, adj-R2 ranged from 0.71 to 0.85, and model 9 with diameter at stump height at 10 cm (DSH10), ρ and crown width (CW) as predictor variables, performed best according to RMSE and AIC. For the merchantable stem models, adj-R2 varied from 0.73 to 0.82, and model 8) with combination of ρ, diameter at breast height and height (H), CW and DSH10 as predictor variables, was best in terms of RMSE and AIC. The results showed that a best-fit model for above-ground biomass of tree components was developed. AGBStem = exp {-1.8296 + 0.4814 natural logarithm (Ln) (ρD2H) + 0.1751 Ln (CW) + 0.4059 Ln (DSH30)} AGBBranch = exp {-131.6 + 15.0013 Ln (ρD2H) + 13.176 Ln (CW) + 21.8506 Ln (DSH30)} AGBFoliage = exp {-0.9496 + 0.5282 Ln (DSH30) + 2.3492 Ln (ρ) + 0.4286 Ln (CW)} AGBTotal = exp {-1.8245 + 1.4358 Ln (DSH30) + 1.9921 Ln (ρ) + 0.6154 Ln (CW)} Conclusions: The results demonstrated that the development of local models derived from an appropriate sample of representative species can greatly improve the estimation of total AGB.

Allometric Equation for Biomass Determination in Chuqala Natural Forest, Ethiopia: Implication for Climate Change Mitigation

  • Balcha, Mecheal Hordofa;Soromessa, Teshome;Kebede, Dejene
    • Journal of Forest and Environmental Science
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    • 제34권2호
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    • pp.108-118
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    • 2018
  • Biomass determination of species-specific in forest ecosystem by semi-destructive measures requires the development of allometric equations; predict aboveground biomass observable independent variables such as, Diameter at Breast Height, Height, and Volume are crucial role. There has not been equation of this type in mountain Chuqala natural forest. In this study two species namely, Hypericum revolutum Vahl. & Maesa lanceoleta Forssk. with tree diameter classes (15-20, 20.5-25, and 25.5-35 cm), with the purpose of conducting allometric equations were characterized. Each species assumed considered individually. For the linear model fit the two observed variable DBH, H and V were preferred for the prediction of above ground biomass. The best fitted model choose among the two formed model were identified using Akaike Information Criterion (AIC), and $R^2$ and adjacent $R^2$. Based on this the best fit model for Hypericum revolutum Vahl. was AGB=-681.015+4,494.06 (DBH), and for Maesa lanceoleta Forrsk. was. AGB=-936.96+5,268.92 (DBH).

우리나라에서 소나무재선충병 초기 발생지의 환경 특성 분석 (Environmental Factors Influencing on the Occurrence of Pine Wilt Disease in Korea)

  • 이대성;남영우;최원일;박영석
    • 생태와환경
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    • 제50권4호
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    • pp.374-380
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    • 2017
  • Pine wilt disease (PWD) is one of the hazardous pine tree diseases in whole world. In Korea, PWD has been spreading since it was first observed in Busan in 1988. Dispersion of PWD is mainly mediated by its vectors such as Japanese pine sawyer. In this study, we characterized environmental condition including meteorological factors, geographical factors, and land use factors influencing on the occurrence of PWD. The occurrence data of PWD were collected at 153 sites where were the initial occurrence sites of PWD in local government regions such as city, Gun, or Gu scale. We used Akaike Information Criterion (AIC) to evaluate the relative importance of environmental variables on the discrimination of occurrence or absence of PWD. The results showed that altitude, slope, and distance to road were the most influential factors on the occurrence of PWD, followed by distance to building. Finally, our study presented that human activities highly influenced on the long term dispersal of PWD.

저층 삼중자망에 대한 동해안산 고무꺽정이 (Dasycottus setiger)의 망목 선택성 (Mesh selectivity of the bottom trammel net for spinyhead sculpin Dasycottus setiger in the eastern coastal sea of Korea)

  • 박창두;배재현
    • 수산해양기술연구
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    • 제53권4호
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    • pp.317-326
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    • 2017
  • Comparative fishing experiments were conducted in the eastern coastal waters near Uljin, Korea from 2002 to 2004, using the experimental trammel nets to estimate the selectivity for spinyhead sculpin Dasycottus setiger. The inner panels of the nets were made of nylon monofilament with four mesh sizes (82.2, 89.4, 104.8, and 120.2 mm) while its two outer panels were made of twisted nylon multifilament with a mesh size of 510 mm. The SELECT (Share Each Length's Catch Total) procedure with maximum likelihood method was applied to obtain a master selection curve. The different functional models (normal, lognormal, bi-normal, and logistic model) were fitted to the catch data. The lognormal model with the fixed relative fishing intensity was chosen as the best-fitted selection curve through comparison of model deviance and AIC (Akaike's Information Criterion). The optimum relative length (the ratio of fish total length to mesh size) with the maximum relative efficiency was obtained as 2.492.

기업의 경영전략과 경영성과 간의 관계에 관한 연구 -자동차 분야 중소기업을 중심으로- (A Study on the Relationship between the Management Strategy and Business Performance -Focus on Small and Medium Size Auto Parts Company-)

  • 김태성;구일섭
    • 대한안전경영과학회지
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    • 제13권1호
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    • pp.143-150
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    • 2011
  • 과거의 기업은 단순 생산과 관리만으로 기업을 유지시켜 왔다. 그러나 오늘날 제품 소비자들은 다양하고 복잡한 요구를 하고 있고 기업은 소비자들의 욕구를 충족시키지 못하면 존속할 수가 없다. 따라서 기업은 다양한 소비자의 요구에 대한 사회적, 경제적 환경변화에 대응 할 수 있는 최적의 기본 방침을 수립하고 그것을 실천하는 경영전략 수립이 필요하다. 경영전략 수립은 기업경영성과에 영향을 주는 가장 중요한 요인이라 할 수 있는데, 경영전략 수립과 기업경영성과라는 두 요인 사이에는 또 다른 복잡한 관리체계가 작용한다. 즉 생산시스템과 전사적 품질경영활동, 구성원들에 대한 보상, 그리고 조직구성원간의 관계 등이 영향을 미치는 것이다. 본 연구는 기업의 경영전략과 관리체계인 생산시스템, TQM 활동과 종업원에 대한 보상이 경영성과에 어떠한 영향이 있는지를 파악하고 이것을 기반으로 실증적 자료를 수집하여 분석 검증함으로써 기업발전의 토대로 삼고자 한다. 자료 분석을 위하여 SPSS 통계 패키지를 이용하였고, 각 연구 가설과 연구 모형은 구조방정식을 이용하여 검증하였다.

Application of Cox and Parametric Survival Models to Assess Social Determinants of Health Affecting Three-Year Survival of Breast Cancer Patients

  • Mohseny, Maryam;Amanpour, Farzaneh;Mosavi-Jarrahi, Alireza;Jafari, Hossein;Moradi-Joo, Mohammad;Monfared, Esmat Davoudi
    • Asian Pacific Journal of Cancer Prevention
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    • 제17권sup3호
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    • pp.311-316
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    • 2016
  • Breast cancer is one of the most common causes of cancer mortality in Iran. Social determinants of health are among the key factors affecting the pathogenesis of diseases. This cross-sectional study aimed to determine the social determinants of breast cancer survival time with parametric and semi-parametric regression models. It was conducted on male and female patients diagnosed with breast cancer presenting to the Cancer Research Center of Shohada-E-Tajrish Hospital from 2006 to 2010. The Cox proportional hazard model and parametric models including the Weibull, log normal and log-logistic models were applied to determine the social determinants of survival time of breast cancer patients. The Akaike information criterion (AIC) was used to assess the best fit. Statistical analysis was performed with STATA (version 11) software. This study was performed on 797 breast cancer patients, aged 25-93 years with a mean age of 54.7 (${\pm}11.9$) years. In both semi-parametric and parametric models, the three-year survival was related to level of education and municipal district of residence (P<0.05). The AIC suggested that log normal distribution was the best fit for the three-year survival time of breast cancer patients. Social determinants of health such as level of education and municipal district of residence affect the survival of breast cancer cases. Future studies must focus on the effect of childhood social class on the survival times of cancers, which have hitherto only been paid limited attention.