• Title/Summary/Keyword: 95% 신뢰구간

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The Comparative Study on the Prevalence of Injury/Poisoning in the Agricultural and Fishery Population and the General Population (농어업인과 비농어업인의 손상, 중독 유병률 비교 연구)

  • Im, Hyoung-June;Kwon, Young-Jun;Yim, Jun;Ju, Young-Su;Lee, Kyung-Suk;Kim, Kyung-Ran
    • Journal of agricultural medicine and community health
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    • v.33 no.1
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    • pp.82-89
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    • 2008
  • Objective: We compared the prevalence of injury and poisoning in the agricultural and fishery population with that of the general population.Methods: The national health insurance data and agricultufor this study. The age-adjusted standardized morbidity ratio was used to compare the prevalence of all injuries and poisonings of the agricultural and fishery population with that of the general population for the year 2002, as well as the prevalence of certain injuries and poisonings common to the agricultural and fishery population. The age-adjusted standardized morbidity ratio and 95% confidence intervals were attained by using the general population as the standard population group.Results: The age-adjusted standardized morbidity ratio of total injuries and poisonings was significantly high in the agriculture and fishery population. The standardized morbidity ratio was 137.6 in the male agriculture and fishery population and 123.3 in the female agriculture and fishery population. In terms of injuries and poisonings common to the agriculture and fishery population, the age-adjusted standardized morbidity ratio was significantly high regarding the dislocations and strains of lumbar spine/pelvis, shoulder and neck, the fracture of rib/thoracic spine/sternum and pesticide poisoning.Conclusions: The overall prevalence of injury/poisoning was significantly higher in the agriculture and fishery population than in the general population. Various forms of research should be conducted on the injuries of the agriculture and fishery population in the future. In order to compare the differences in the prevalence rates of injuries according to time and region, standard definitions of injuries and occupation related injuries are required.

Radiocarbon Dating of a Wooden Board from Jeongsusa Temple Using Wiggle Matching of Quinquennial Tree-Ring Samples (5년 간격 연륜의 위글매치를 이용한 정수사 법당 목부재의 방사성탄소연대 측정)

  • Nam, Tae-Kwang;Park, Jung-Hun;Hong, Wan;Park, Won-Kyu
    • Journal of Conservation Science
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    • v.28 no.1
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    • pp.1-5
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    • 2012
  • This paper reports the application of radiocarbon wiggle-matching for Korean wooden artifacts such as buildings and Buddhist statues for precise dating. Nine quinquennial (every five-year) samples of 41 years (AD 1250-1290) for AMS radiocarbon measurements were prepared from a wooden board used for the Main Hall at Jeongsusa (temple) in Kangwhado, Korea, which was dendrochronologically dated. The 95.4% confidence interval of radiocarbon dating prior to wiggle matching was 113.3 year in average. When wiggle-matching technique was applied, it became 20 years, 5.7 times smaller than that produced without wiggle matching. The results indicated that wiggle-matching technique using the calibration curve for northern hemisphere (IntCal04) can produce precise dates for Korean wooden artifacts, at least, for the $13^{th}$ century.

Estimating the design flood interval of agricultural reservoirs using a non-parametric resampling technique (비매개변수적 리샘플링 기법 기반 농업용 저수지 설계홍수량 구간 추정 기법)

  • Park, Jihoon;Kang, Moon Seong;Kim, Keuk Soo;Choi, Kyu Hyun;Cho, Hyo Seob
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2021.06a
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    • pp.397-397
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    • 2021
  • 본 연구의 목적은 비매개변수적 리샘플링 기법을 이용하여 농업용 저수지 유입 설계홍수량의 구간을 추정하는 기법을 제안하는 데 있다. 본 연구는 설계홍수량을 점 추정하여 안전계수(safety factor)를 적용하는 기존 방법에 대한 대안을 제시하고자 한다. 설계홍수량의 구간 추정을 수행하기 위해 부트스트랩 기법(bootstrap technique)을 사용하였다. 부트스트랩 기법을 이용하여 95% 신뢰수준에 해당하는 신뢰구간을 추정하였다. 본 연구의 공간적인 범위는 남한의 30개 농업용 저수지이며, 시간적인 범위는 과거 기간(2015s: 1986-2015)과 미래기간(2040s: 2011-2040, 2070s: 2041-2070, 2100s: 2071-2100)을 설정하였다. 본 연구에서는 200년 빈도, 24시간 지속기간을 대표적인 결과로 선정하여 분석하였다. 빈도분석은 GEV 분포를 사용하였고, L-moment 방법을 이용하여 매개변수를 추정하였다. 설계홍수량은 HEC-1 모형을 이용하여 산정하였다. 최종적으로 설계홍수량 구간 추정한 결과를 기존의 점 추정한 뒤 안전계수를 적용한 기존 방법과 비교하였다. 97.5th BCa percentile 기준으로 상대적인 변화를 비교해보면, 미래로 갈수록 구간 추정으로 산정한 설계홍수량이 점차 증가하는 것으로 도출되었다. 한강 및 금강 유역에 위치한 농업용 저수지의 설계홍수량이 낙동강 유역에 비해 상대적으로 큰 변화를 보여주었다. 몇몇 농업용 저수지에 대해서 2040s 기간에 다소 감소하기도 하였으나 2070s 기간 이후에 다시 증가하는 결과를 보여주었다. 낙동강 유역의 위치는 농업용 저수지의 설계홍수량은 미래로 갈수록 크게 증가하지 않는 경향을 보여주었다. 본 연구는 설계홍수량을 추정하는 데 있어 결정론적인 방법에서 더 나아가 자료의 통계적인 특성을 고려하여 구간 추정을 수행하는 방법론을 제공할 수 있을 것으로 사료된다.

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Evaluation of Antibodies Against Haemophilus influenzae Type b in Korean Adults (우리나라 성인에서 Haemophilus influenzae type b에 대한 항체 평가)

  • Lee, Ji Hyen;Kim, Han Wool;Lee, Soyoung;Kim, Kyung-Hyo
    • Pediatric Infection and Vaccine
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    • v.24 no.3
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    • pp.125-133
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    • 2017
  • Purpose: After the introduction of Haemophilus influenzae type b (Hib) vaccine in 1995 in Korea, it was included in the national immunization program in 2013. In the post-Hib vaccine era, some studies in other countries reported that invasive Hib disease affects adults, especially the elderly and immunocompromised persons, more often than it affects children. To evaluate disease susceptibility, quantitative and qualitative analysis of anti-polyribosylribitol phosphate (PRP) antibodies were carried out in Korean adults aged 20 to 85 years. Methods: Sera were collected from 39 healthy adults (20 to 50 years of age) and from 30 elderly adults (75 to 85 years of age) who did not have immune-compromising conditions. The concentration of anti-PRP immunoglobulin G (IgG) and serum bactericidal indices (SBIs) were measured by enzyme-linked immunosorbent assay and serum bactericidal assay. Results: Geometric mean concentrations of anti-PRP IgG and geometric mean SBIs were $0.88{\mu}g/mL$ (95% confidence interval [CI], 0.17 to 3.85) and 354 (95% CI, 50 to 2,499) in young adults and $1.67{\mu}g/mL$ (95% CI, 0.53 to 5.24) and 449 (95% CI, 146 to 1,376) in elderly adults, respectively. When the threshold of seropositivity for anti-PRP IgG was applied as 0.15 or $1.0{\mu}g/mL$, which is the protective antibody level in children, seropositive rates were 87.2% or 53.8% in young adults and 100% or 60% in elderly adults. The seropositivity rates of the SBI ($SBI{\geq}4$) were 82.1% and 100% in the groups, respectively. Conclusions: Most subjects in the adult and elderly adult groups display immunity to Hib based on quantitative and qualitative antibody levels, but not all. Because high immunization and low Hib circulation rates may reduce the natural Hib immunity in the population, monitoring Hib immunity as well as disease are needed continuously.

A Studs on Farmers Syndrome and Its Risk Factors of Vinylhouse Workers and Evaluation of Risk Factors of Vinylhouse Works (일부 농촌지역 비닐하우스 농사자들의 작업환경 및 농부증 실태와 관련요인평가)

  • Lee, Jung-Jeung
    • Journal of agricultural medicine and community health
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    • v.29 no.1
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    • pp.101-119
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    • 2004
  • Objectives: In order to estimate risk factors affecting the health of vinylhouse workers and harmful environments in vinylhouse working. Methods: The investigator performed questionnaires and laboratory examinations on 102 vinylhouse workers and 69 farmers in 7 myoens (Korean subcounties). one eup (a Korean town), Goryeong-gun, Gyeongsangbuk-do between April 8 and 18, 2004 (for 11 days), and measured the heavy metal in the air and the soil, temperature, humidity, air current, harmful gases in vinylhouses. Results: Even in cloudy days, the temperature in vinylhouses in daylight was $33.4^{\circ}$ and the temperature difference between inside and outside vinylhouses was around $16^{\circ}$. Oxygen concentration was similar inside and outside vinylhouses, while carbon dioxide concentration was lower inside than outside vinylhouses. Carbon monoxide was not detected. In the air inside vinylhouses, cadmium was not detected. Lean concentration in the soil was lower inside vinylhouses than outside vinylhouses at surface, while cadmium concentration was similar inside and outside vinylhouses in the soil except some areas. Out of male vinylhouse workers. 16.4---- were positive farmer's syndrome and 49.2---- were suspicious, while out of females, 41.5---- were positive and 46.3---- were suspicious. Out of male farmers, 30.4---- were positive farmer's syndrome, while out of female farmers, 60.0---- were positive and 28.3---- were suspicious. There was no difference between vinylhouse workers and farmers in the distribution of hypertension and abnormal liver function, while diabetes mellitus was more common in farmers than in vinylhouse workers. Vinylhouse working, sex, and hours of farming per day were selected as significant variables affecting farmer's syndrome in this study, and the rate of positive farmer's syndrome was rather lower in vinylhouse workers than in farmers. Females were higher than males in the rate, and those who farmed at least 10 hours per day were higher in the rate than those who farmed less than 10 hours per day. Out of the vinylhouse workers, no differences were found between the distribution of farmer's syndrome and farming-related variables such as the total period of farming, the size of farm land, the mean farming hours per day, the number of family members who farm together, the frequency of scattering agricultural chemicals. In addition, there were no differences between the distribution and the wearing masks and protectors and personal sanitation among those who scattered agricultural chemicals by themselves. There were no differences found in blood lean concentration, urinary cadmium concentration, serum cholinesterase, and hemoglobin according to the distribution of farmer's syndrome. In the vinylhouse workers, females were higher than males in the rate of farmer's syndrome, and those who farmed at least 10 hours per day were higher in the rate than those who farmed less than 10 hours per day. Meanwhile, the rate was lower in those who slept at least 8 hours a day than in those who slept less than 8 hours. Conclusions: In conclusion, the physical environments inside vinylhouses were harmful, but no significant difference was found in harmfulness of the chemical environments. The chronic diseases such as farmer's syndrome. hypertension, diabetes, and dyshepatia were not common in the vinylhouse workers than in the farmers. Meanwhile, farmer's syndrome was more common in the vinylhouse workers who worked longer and slept less.

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Estimating the Attribute Values of 4 Major River Estuaries in Korea -Focusing on Testing for the IIA Assumption in MNL Model and the Alternative Models- (4대강 하구의 속성 가치 추정 -다항로짓모형에서 IIA가정의 검토와 대안 모형을 중심으로-)

  • Shin, Youngchul
    • Environmental and Resource Economics Review
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    • v.22 no.3
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    • pp.521-545
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    • 2013
  • This study applied choice experiment(CE) method(which is included in the stated preference method) to estimate values of some important attributes(i.e. type of estuary, water quality of river in estuary, water quality of sea in estuary, biodiversity level of estuary) of 4 major river(Hangang, Guemgang, Yeongsangang, Nakdonggang) estuaries in Korea. Although the multinomial logit model(MNL) is generally applied to analyse the CE data, testing for IIA assumption with the Hausman and McFadden test in MNL model shows that the IIA assumption in our data is rejected. Therefore, the heteroscedastic extreme value model(HEV) and the multinomial probit model(MNP) which are not based on the IIA assumption are used to analyse our CE data. As results, the coefficients and the elicited economic values of MNL model are seriously distorted if the IIA assumption is not satisfied in MNL model. The estimation results of MNP model show that the economic values are elicited as 352.3 billion won(95% C.I. 261.1 - 477.8 billion won) for natural estuary, 411.5 billion won(95% C.I. 338.5 - 525.5 billion won) for one grade improvement of river water quality in estuary, 358.9 billion won(95% C.I. 292.5 - 457.0 billion won) for one grade improvement of sea water quality in estuary, and 151.9 billion won(95% C.I. 99.0 - 218.6 billion won) for one grade improvement of biodiversity level of estuary. Therefore, the value of estuary is reached to 2,197.0 billion won(95% C.I. 1,721.0 - 2,879.9 billion won) if any natural estuary in 4 major rivers has good water quality of river in estuary(i.e. 2nd grade), good water quality of sea in estuary(i.e. 1st grade), and good biodiversity level of estuary.

Related Factors to Characteristics of Drinking Behaviors in a Metropolitan City's Adult Residents (일개 광역시민의 음주 행태 특성의 관련요인)

  • Song, Jeong-Mi;Hong, Jee-Young;Lee, Moo-Sik;Na, Baeg-Ju;Lee, Jin-Yong;Yoo, Se-Jong
    • Proceedings of the KAIS Fall Conference
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    • 2011.05b
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    • pp.926-929
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    • 2011
  • 이 연구는 음주 관련 요인을 일반적 특성과 사회-경제적, 건강행태 측면에서 규명하기 위하여 일개 광역시에 거주하는 만 19세 이상 남녀를 대상으로 한국 갤럽의 표준조사로 2007년 7월 30일부터 2달간 시행하였고, 전화 설문조사에 참여한 총 1,013명을 대상으로 일반적 사항, 건강 행태관련 설문지를 이용하여 관련 요인들을 추출하였고, 음주도를 산출하였다. 연구대상자의 지난 1년간 음주여부를 결과 변수로 하는 로지스틱 회귀분석 결과 연령에 따른 분류에서 19-29세와 30-39세에서 음주에 유의하게 영향을 미치는 것으로 나타났고, 가계수입에 따른 분류에서는 300~499만원과 500만원 이상에서 음주에 유의하게 영향을 미치는 것으로 나타났으며, 변수별 95% 신뢰구간에서는 유의하게 영향을 미치지 않는 것으로 나타났다. 연구대상자의 지난 한 달간 음주여부를 결과변수로 하는 로지스틱 회귀분석 결과 성별에 따른 분류에서 여성의 경우 음주에 유의하게 영향을 미치는 것으로 나타났고, 연령에 따른 분류에서 19-29세와 40-49세에서 음주에 유의하게 영향을 미치는 것으로 나타났으며, 가계수입에 따른 분류에서는 300~499만원과 500만원 이상이 음주에 유의하게 영향을 미치는 것으로 나타났고, 흡연에 따른 분류에서 현재 흡연의 경우 음주에 유의하게 영향을 미치는 것으로 나타났고, 스트레스 여부에 따른 분류에서 대단히 많이 느낌과, 조금 느끼는 편임의 경우 음주에 유의하게 영향을 미치는 것으로 나타났으며, 다른 변수들의 경우 95% 신뢰구간에서는 유의하게 영향을 미치지 않는 것으로 나타났다. 연구대상자의 주2회 이상 음주여부를 결과변수로 하는 로지스틱 회귀분석 결과 성별에 따른 분류에서 여성의 경우 음주에 유의하게 영향을 미치는 것으로 나타났고, 직업에서 가정주부, 학생의 경우 음주에 유의하게 영향을 미치는 것으로 나타났고, 흡연에서 현재 흡연과 과거 흡연에서 음주에 유의하게 영향을 미치는 것으로 나타났으며, 다른 변수들의 경우 95% 신뢰구간에서는 유의하게 영향을 미치지 않는 것으로 나타났다. 이상의 연구 결과를 종합해 볼 때, 직업분류에서 가정주부와 학생의 경우 음주에 유의하게 영향을 미치는 것으로 판단된다. 적정 섭취 알코올 기준이 남, 여가 다르게 제시되고 있기 때문에 성별에 따른 비교분석자료를 통하여 남, 여 적정 음주 기준에 따른 일반적 특성과 사회적 특성 및 건강행태와의 관련성에 대한 후속 연구가 필요하다고 생각된다.

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An Analysis of the Efficiency of Item-based Agricultural Cooperative Using the DEA Model (확률적 DEA모형에 의한 품목농협의 효율성 분석)

  • Lee, Sang-Ho
    • Journal of agriculture & life science
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    • v.45 no.6
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    • pp.279-289
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    • 2011
  • The purpose of this study is to estimate efficiency of item-based agricultural cooperative by using Data Envelopment Analysis. A proposed method employs a bootstrapping approach to generating efficiency estimates through Monte Carlo simulation resampling process. The technical efficiency, pure technical efficiency, and scale efficiency measure of item-based agricultural cooperative is 0.80, 0.87, 0.93 respectively. However the bias-corrected estimates are less than those of DEA. We know that the DEA estimator is an upward biased estimator. In technical efficiency, average lower and upper confidence bounds of 0.726 and 0.8747. According to these results, the DEA bootstrapping model used here provides bias-corrected and confidence intervals for the point estimates, it is more preferable.

Prediction of Rainfall-Induced Slope Failure Using Hotelling's T-Square Statistic (Hotelling의 T-square 통계량을 이용한 강우유발 사면붕괴 예측)

  • Kim, Seul-Bi;Na, Jong-Hwa;Seo, Yong-Seok
    • The Journal of Engineering Geology
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    • v.25 no.3
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    • pp.331-337
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    • 2015
  • A new technique is presented to detect unstable slope behavior, based on Hotelling's T2 analysis of pore pressure and water content obtained during flume tests using granitic and gneissic weathered soils. Three sets of pore pressure-water content values were simultaneously obtained during each test, and T2 statistics at the 90.0% and 95.0% confidence levels were calculated based on the correlations between values. The results show that unsuccessful detection of some local failures of the flume slope depended on the sensor position. In the case of global slope failures, anomalous behavior was detected between several hundred and several thousand seconds before the event as T2 statistics exceeded the confidence interval 90%. Hotelling's T2 analysis provides a single control criterion because it enables correlations between diverse measured values within the same slope; the criterion also includes stepwise criteria for a forecasting and warning system based on confidence levels.

Driving Characteristics Classification of TCS Data Based on Fuzzy c-means Clustering Algorithm (Fuzzy c-means 알고리즘을 이용한 TCS 데이터 주행특성 분류 방법 연구)

  • Park, Won-Sik;Kim, Dong-Keun;Yang, Young-Kyu
    • Proceedings of the Korea Information Processing Society Conference
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    • 2009.04a
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    • pp.1021-1024
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    • 2009
  • 현재 사용되고 있는 통행시간 분류방법은 하나의 통행시간을 대푯값으로 가지고 있다. 이에 문제점은 고속도로 특성으로 규정 속도 이상의 속도로 주행하는 차량, 규정 속도 및 휴게소 이용차량, 운전자의 운전 습성, 통행 목적, 피로의 정도, 운전자 성향과 도로상황에 따라 통행시간이 다르게 나타나는 점이다. TCS(Toll Collection System) 자료는 고속도로의 다양한 특성이 포함되어 있으며, 대상 구간의 거리가 멀수록 목적지에 도달하는 통행시간의 분산이 커지는 특성 또한 보인다. 따라서 이를 처리하기 위한 효율적인 통행시간 분류, 구간대표통행시간 추출 알고리즘이 필요하다. 기존의 방법은 전체 통행차량의 통행시간을 감안한 방법으로 통행시간 예측시 정확성이 저하된다. 본 연구에서는 TCS 자료를 Fuzzy c-means 알고리즘을 이용하여 일일 고속도로 통행시간의 시간별 주행특성을 고려한 대푯 값을 추출하는 알고리즘을 제안하였다. 실제 서울-청주 구간을 운행한 TCS 자료를 가지고 실시한 실험으로, 주행특성 및 도로상황을 고려한 Fuzzy c-means를 이용한 통행시간 분류방법과 기존의 통행시간 분류 방법을 통한 통행시간을 PIFAB를 사용 TCS 자료의 실제 통행시간과 경로통행시간을 비교 평가하였다. 평가한 결과 본 연구에서 제안하는 Fuzzy c-means기법은 기존 방법인 MAD기법보다 75%, 신뢰구간(95%) 추출법 대비 81%의 정확성을 제고하였다.