• Title/Summary/Keyword: 3P 모델

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Forecasting the Growth of Smartphone Market in Mongolia Using Bass Diffusion Model (Bass Diffusion 모델을 활용한 스마트폰 시장의 성장 규모 예측: 몽골 사례)

  • Anar Bataa;KwangSup Shin
    • The Journal of Bigdata
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    • v.7 no.1
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    • pp.193-212
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    • 2022
  • The Bass Diffusion Model is one of the most successful models in marketing research, and management science in general. Since its publication in 1969, it has guided marketing research on diffusion. This paper illustrates the usage of the Bass diffusion model, using mobile cellular subscription diffusion as a context. We fit the bass diffusion model to three large developed markets, South Korea, Japan, and China, and the emerging markets of Vietnam, Thailand, Kazakhstan, and Mongolia. We estimate the parameters of the bass diffusion model using the nonlinear least square method. The diffusion of mobile cellular subscriptions does follow an S-curve in every case. After acquiring m, p, and q parameters we use k-Means Cluster Analysis for grouping countries into three groups. By clustering countries, we suggest that diffusion rates and patterns are similar, where countries with emerging markets can follow in the footsteps of countries with developed markets. The purpose was to predict the timing and the magnitude of the market maturity and to determine whether the data follow the typical diffusion curve of innovations from the Bass model.

Development of L-THIA sub-daily flow-water quality prediction system (L-THIA 시단위 유량-수질 예측 시스템 개발)

  • Gwanjae Lee;Yonghun Choi;Seoro Lee;Kyoung Jae Lim
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2023.05a
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    • pp.262-262
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    • 2023
  • 기후변화 및 도시화에 따른 강우 패턴의 변화는 수문 변화를 야기시키며, 이에 따른 영향을 평가하고 예측하기 위해서는 수문학적 모델을 통해 정량화하는 과정이 필요하다. 그러나 기존에 개발되어 사용되고 있는 대부분의 수문학적 모델은 해외에서 개발되어 국내 유역 특성을 반영하지 못하는 한계가 있다. 이러한 한계점을 극복하기 위해서 L-THIA ACN-WQ 2016과 2018 모델이 개발되어 적용성이 평가된 바 있다. 하지만 L-THIA ACN-WQ 모델의 경우 시단위 유량 및 수질 모의가 불가능한 한계점이 있다. 소규모 유역이나 도시화된 지역에서는 하루에 여러 번의 강우 이벤트가 발생하거나 단기간에 많은 양의 강우가 발생하는 경우가 많기 때문에, 이러한 강우-유출을 평가하기 위해서는 시단위 모의가 필요하다. 본 연구에서는 시단위 유량-수질 모의가 가능한 L-THIA sub-daily WQ 모델을 개발하였으며, 갑천 유역과 복하천 유역에서 적용성을 평가하였다. L-THIA sub-daily WQ 모델은 SCS-CN 방법과 Green-Ampt 방법을 함께 고려할 수 있도록 개발하였으며, 국내의 토지이용 및 강우 특성을 고려할 수 있도록 점근 CN과 강우 계급별 EMC를 활용하였다. 갑천 유역과 복하천 유역에서 시단위 유량 예측 결과 R2는 0.61~0.69, NSE는 0.61~0.65, PBIAS는 -4.0~-7.3으로 모의된 시단위 유량이 자연현상을 잘 모의하는 것으로 나타났으며, 수질 예측 결과 T-P와 SS가 자연현상을 잘 모의하는 것으로 나타났다. 따라서, 본 연구에서 개발된 L-THIA sub-daily WQ 모델은 점오염원을 포함하고 있는 도시유역에서 비점오염원에 평가에 활용될 수 있을 것으로 사료된다.

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Immunomodulatory Effects of Eurya emarginata on NC/Nga Mice as Models for Atopic Dermatitis (아토피 피부염의 동물 모델인 NC/Nga Mice에서의 우묵사스레피의 면역조절 효과)

  • Lee, Seungheon
    • Journal of Life Science
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    • v.24 no.4
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    • pp.447-453
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    • 2014
  • In this study, a test for the immunity control effect by ethanolic extract of Eurya emarginata (EE-70E) on NC/Nga mice as the models for atopic dermatitis was conducted with the following results. Atopic dermatitis in NC/Nga mice was induced by repeated application of 1-chloro-2,4-dinitrobenzene (DNCB) for 5 weeks. Mice were orally administered EE-70E or terfenadine, positive control for 3 weeks. Scratching behavior, clinical skin severity, and the levels of IL-4, L-13, IL-17, total serum IgG1, and total serum IgE were measured. The oral administration with EE-70E doses of 200 or 400 mg/kg significantly decreased scratching behavior scores and clinical skin severity score in a dose-dependent manner (p<0.05). The administration of EE-70E at 400 mg/kg significantly decreased cytokines within the blood serum, that is, IL-4, L-13, and IL-17 compared to the control group (p<0.05). The level of blood histamine was statistically significantly decreased. Administration of EE-70E at 400 mg/kg significantly decreased the levels of total serum IgE (p<0.05). The above results indicated that EE-70E was effective in improving the symptoms of atopic dermatitis through various immunity control mechanisms.

Development of Ecological Restoration Model Consider Analysis on the Vegetation Structure of Burned Area (산불지역 식생구조 분석을 통한 식생복원 모델 개발)

  • Kim, Jeong-Ho;Lee, Soo-Dong
    • Korean Journal of Environment and Ecology
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    • v.21 no.5
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    • pp.400-414
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    • 2007
  • This study has analyzed the vegetation structure to suggest a vegetation ecological restoration model by using the case of the afforestation for erosion control area with Pinus koreaiensis and Betula platyphylla, etc., on the hills of the Young-in mountains after its great fire in 2000. Of the area having a dimension of $1,152,404.3m^2$ selected as a survey site for the existing vegetation, the forest fire area accounted for 69.2% among which, brushwoods accounted the most for 24.67%. As a result of analysis of the 27 surveyed unit plots[unit dimension: $100m^2$] set up in consideration of the existing vegetation pattern and damaged state from the forest fire, the surveyed area was classified into 10 communities. Shrub layer's vegetation was found to be dominant in forest fire areas and the surveyed sites were classified into 5 plant communities, i.e. P. koraiensis community, Quercus variabilis community, P. thunbergii community, Q. serrata community, B. platyphylla community in forest fire areas, while non-forest fire areas were classified into 5 plant communities, such as P. densiflora community, Q. acutissima community, Q. serrata community, Q. mongolica-Q. serrata community, B. platyphylla community. Species diversity of forest fire areas was $0.3679{\sim}0.5907$ and that of non-forest fire areas was $0.5728{\sim}0.8865$. In addition, the number of the species in the forest fire areas was $5{\sim}8$ and that of non-forest areas was $8{\sim}12$; however, the population of forest fire areas$(156{\sim}456)$ was higher than that of non-forest fire areas$(61{\sim}227)$. In the analysis of growth density per layer$[of\;100m^2]$, there appeared $1{\sim}8$ trees of Q. mongolica and $3{\sim}5$ trees of Q. serrata in the upper layer species; $2{\sim}4$ trees of Q. serrata and one tree of Q. mongolica in the canopy layer. As for the characteristics of soil, acidity of forest fire areas was pH 5.45 and that of non-forest fire was pH 5.25. By setting up the middle D.B.H range of Q. mongolica-Q. serrata community as the vegetation restoration model, planting species, planting density and planting models are suggested.

Marginal and Internal Fit of Copings Made by CAD/CAM using Different Scanning Methods (서로 다른 스캔 방식을 이용하여 CAD/CAM에 의해 제작된 코핑의 변연 및 내면의 적합성)

  • Cho, Young Beom;Chae, Heon Chung;Kim, Hee Jung
    • Journal of Dental Rehabilitation and Applied Science
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    • v.29 no.4
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    • pp.366-376
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    • 2013
  • The purpose of this study is to evaluate the marginal and internal fit of coping made by CAD/CAM using different scanning methods. Zirconia coping was made by each CAD/CAM system followed by intra-oral scanning, model optical scanning and model contact scanning. It was embedded into Epoxy Resin and was cut by buccal to lingual. AMD (Absolute marginal discrepancy), MG (Marginal gap), GA (Gap of axial), GL (Gap of line angle) and GO (Gap of occlusal) of each sample were measured. The result is as followed; 1. The mean value of AMD in Group 1, Group 2, Group 3 are $141.21{\pm}42.94{\mu}m$, $140.63{\pm}31.64{\mu}m$, $109.37{\pm}28.42{\mu}m$. The averages of MG in Group 1, Group 2, Group 3 are $82.52{\pm}43.99{\mu}m$, $90.28{\pm}27.93{\mu}m$, $66.55{\pm}28.77{\mu}m$. Statistically there is no difference in AMD and MG among the three Groups (Anova, P>0.05). 2. GA of Group 2 revealed statistically difference compared with Group 1 and Group 3 (Anova, P<0.05). 3. GL and GO of Group 1 showed statistically significant differences compared with Group 2 and Group 3 (Mann-whitney test (P<0.05). Zirconia copings made by 3 ways of scanning methods have no difference with conventional ceramics in AMD and MG which are known as the most important factors.

The Effects of Nitric Oxide and Sphingosine 1-phosphate on the Pulmonary Microstructure in a Rat Model of Acute Lung Injury: An Intravital Videomicroscopic Approach (Nitric Oxide 및 Sphingosine 1-phosphate가 말초 호흡 단위에 미치는 영향의 생체 내 분석: 백서의 급성 폐 손상 모델에서 생체 접촉 현미경을 이용한 연구)

  • Lee, Jae-Ik;Jheon, Sang-Hoon;Sung, Sook-Whan;Kim, Joo-Hyun
    • Journal of Chest Surgery
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    • v.41 no.2
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    • pp.177-188
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    • 2008
  • Background: To evaluate the effects of inhaled nitric oxide (NO) and sphingosine 1-phosphate (S1P) as potential therapeutic agents of acute lung injury, we analyzed the morphology in vivo of the pulmonary microstructure using intravital videomicroscopy in a rat model of acute lung injury. Material and Method: Sprague Dawley rats were divided into five groups: a control group that underwent normal saline aspiration, an acute lung injury (ALI) group that underwent hydrochloric acid aspiration, and three treatment groups that underwent hydrochloric acid aspiration and were administered therapeutic agents- the S1P group, the NO group, and the S1P+NO group (n=7 per group). To quantify alveolar compliance and interstitial edema, the diameters of all measurable alveoli and interalveolar septa were averaged at one and two hours after aspiration. Alveolar compliance was determined according to diameter changes during the respiratory cycle and the change in tidal volume. Result: At two hours after aspiration, the mean alveolar compliance (% change) in the All group decreased significantly versus the control group of rats (respiratory cycle: 1.9% for the ALI group vs 6.5% for the control group, p=0.03; tidal volume: 3.2% for the ALI group vs 9.1% for the control group, p=0.003) and versus the NO group (tidal volume: 3.2% for the ALI group vs 16.9% for the NO group, p=0.001). At two hours after aspiration, the mean interalveolar septal thickness in the NO group tended to be smaller as compared to that in the All group ($15.2{\mu}m$ for the ALI group vs $12.3{\mu}m$ for the NO group, p=0.06). S1P did not exert a significant effect on the pulmonary microstructure of the injured rat lung. Conclusion: Improved alveolar compliance and reduced interstitial edema, observed by intravital videomicroscopy, suggest that inhaled NO ameliorates lung injury.

Establishment of the Heart Failure Model by Coronary Artery Ligation in Sheep (양에서 관상동맥 결찰에 의한 심부전 모델의 확립)

  • 나찬영;홍장수;박정준;김원곤;강문철;서정욱
    • Journal of Chest Surgery
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    • v.35 no.1
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    • pp.1-10
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    • 2002
  • Background: Despite the relatively high mortality rates in the chronic heart failure model induced by coronary artery ligation are relatively high, this model has been a subject of continuos research because of its clinical correlation. Chronic heart failure model of large-sized animals is very useful to analyse mechanical or biological effects on circulatory system which is difficult in small-sized animals. The purpose of this study is to establish the heart failure model by coronary artery ligation in sheep. Material and Method: Among 9 Corridale sheep, the homonymous artery and the diagonal branch were ligated simultaneously in 2 sheep and remaining 7 sheep were assigned to successive ligation of both arteries at an interval of 1 hour. Both coronary arteries were ligated from the point 40% proximal to the apex of the heart. Hemodynamic and echocardiographic parameters were analyzed before the ligation of the coronary artery, after the ligation of the homonymous artery, and after additional ligation of the diagonal branch. The experimental animals were sacrificed after 2 or 3 months of growth and histopathologic studies were performed Result: Immediate postoperative death occurred in the 2 sheep that had received simultaneous ligation of the homonymous artery and diagonal branch. On the other hand, all the 7 sheep that were lifated in succession were survived up to 3 months. Arterial pressure was sifnificantly decreased immediately after ligation of the homonymous artery(p<0.05), and the cardiac output was decreased and pulmonary capillary wedge pressure was increased after further ligation of the diagonal branch(p<0.05). Central venous pressure, pulmonary artery pressure, pulmonary capillary wedge pressure, left ventricular end-diastolic dimension and end-systolic dimension were markedly increased 3 months after ligation of coronary arteries. Anteroseptal akinesia or dyskinesia was developed after the ligation of coronary arteries. Histopathologic study revealed we]1-demarcated ischemic area of fibrosis. Conclusion: Using methods of successive ligation of the homonymous artery and diagonal branch, chronic heart failure model could be reliably established in sheep.

Lateral Behavior of Abutment Piles in Full Integral Bridge During 7 Days in Response to Hydration Heat and Drying Shrinkage (수화열과 건조수축에 의한 7일간의 완전 일체식 교량 교대 말뚝기초의 횡방향 거동)

  • ;;;;Thomas A. Bolte
    • Journal of the Korean Geotechnical Society
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    • v.19 no.6
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    • pp.127-149
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    • 2003
  • The bridge tested was 3 spans 90m-long PSC beam concrete bridge with a stub-type abutment which had a skew of 60$^{\circ}$ about the axis of bridge. A cement concrete was placed at the superstructural slab of the bridge. Inclinometers and straingauges were installed at piles as well. During 7 days-curing of superstructural slab, the pile behavior in response to hydration heat and drying shrinkage of the slab was monitored. Then monitored values were compared with the horizontal movement obtained from the HACOM program and the calculated lateral behavior obtained from the nonlinear p-y curves of pile. As a result, lateral behavior of H-piles by the field measurement occurred due to the influence of hydration heat and drying shrinkage obtained during curing of superstructural concrete. The lateral displacements by hydration heat and drying shrinkage were 2.2mmand 1.4mm respectively. It was observed as well that the inflection point of lateral displacement of pile was shown at 1.3m down from footing base. It means that the horizontal movement of stub abutment did not behave as the fixed head condition of a pile but behave as a similar condition. The measured bending stress did not show the same behavior as the fixed head condition of pile but showed a similar condition. The increment of maximum bending stress obtained from the nonlinear p-y curves of pile was about 300(kgf/$\textrm{km}^2$) and was 2 times larger than measured values regardless of installation places of straingauges. Meanwhile, lateral load, maximum lateral displacement, maximum bending stress and maximum bending moment of pile showed a linear behavior as curing of superstructural concrete slab.

Carbon dioxide absorption characteristics according to amine mixtures with different order (급수가 다른 아민 혼합에 따른 이산화탄소 흡수 특성)

  • Choi, Soo-Hyun;You, Jong-Kyun;Park, Ki-Tae;Baek, Il-Hyun;Park, So-Jin
    • Journal of the Korea Academia-Industrial cooperation Society
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    • v.14 no.9
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    • pp.4635-4642
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    • 2013
  • The advanced absorbent that used amine mixture with different order were developed to separate carbon dioxide emitted from fossil fuel power plant. The carbon dioxide absorption capacity for mixtures with different amine(primary, secondary and tertiary) were investigated according to $CO_2$ partial pressure. The carbon dioxide absorption capacity at the same pressure is ordered as 3DMA1P 30wt%>3DMA1P 27wt%+MEA 3wt%>3DMA1P 27wt%+DEA 3wt%. The result indicates that mixing tertiary amine with primary amine yields more efficient carbon dioxide absorbent than mixing tertiary with secondary amine does. Finally, the predicted semi-empirical gas-liquid equilibrium model fitted with experimental results.

Study of Formation and Development of Oxygen Deficient Water Mass, Using Ecosystem Model in Jinhae, Masan Bay (생태계 모델을 이용한 진해·마산만에서의 빈산소수괴의 형성 및 발달에 관한 연구)

  • Kim, Yeon-Joong;Kim, Myoung-Kyu;Yoon, Jung-Sung
    • Journal of Ocean Engineering and Technology
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    • v.24 no.6
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    • pp.41-50
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    • 2010
  • This study established a 3D ecosystem model composed of stratification considering the topographic heat accumulation effect and river outflow, and then applied this model to Jinhae, Masan Bay. Specifically, it reenacted the formation and developmental process of ODW according to the stratification by calculating the kinematic eddy viscosity and eddy diffusion coefficient of the stratification model. The results were used as input data for the ecosystem model and compared with DO, COD, I-N, and I-P, which is the standard index of ocean water quality. As a result, it was determined that COD and T-N are third grade and T-P is second grade standards for a natural environment.